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Development and validation of a prediction model for early screening of people at high risk for colorectal cancer

World Journal of Gastroenterology 2024年第5期30卷 450-461页

作者： Ling-Li Xu Yi Lin Li-Yuan Han Yue Wang Jian-Jiong Li Xiao-Yu Dai Department of General Surgery Ningbo No.2 HospitalNingbo 315000Zhejiang ProvinceChina Center for Health Economics Faculty of Humanities and Social SciencesUniversity of NottinghamNingbo 315100Zhejiang ProvinceChina Department of Global Health Ningbo Institute of Life and Health IndustryUniversity of Chinese Academy of SciencesNingbo 315000Zhejiang ProvinceChina School of Public Health Medical College of Soochow UniversitySuzhou 215123Jiangsu ProvinceChina

BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer(CRC)is a serious threat *** early screening is suggested to be the most effective method to prevent and control CRC,the current situation of early screening for CRC is still not *** China,the incidence of CRC in the Yangtze River Delta region is increasing dramatically,but few studies have been ***,it is necessary to develop a simple and efficient early screening model for *** To develop and validate an early-screening nomogram model to identify individuals at high risk of *** Data of 64448 participants obtained from Ningbo Hospital,China between 2014 and 2017 were retrospectively *** cohort comprised 64448 individuals,of which,530 were excluded due to missing or incorrect *** 63918,7607(11.9%)individuals were considered to be high risk for CRC,and 56311(88.1%)were *** participants were randomly allocated to a training set(44743)or validation set(19175).The discriminatory ability,predictive accuracy,and clinical utility of the model were evaluated by constructing and analyzing receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and calibration curves and by decision curve ***,the model was validated internally using a bootstrap resampling *** Seven variables,including demographic,lifestyle,and family history information,were *** logistic regression analysis revealed that age[odds ratio(OR):1.03,95%confidence interval(CI):1.02-1.03,P<0.001],body mass index(BMI)(OR:1.07,95%CI:1.06-1.08,P<0.001),waist circumference(WC)(OR:1.03,95%CI:1.02-1.03 P<0.001),lifestyle(OR:0.45,95%CI:0.42-0.48,P<0.001),and family history(OR:4.28,95%CI:4.04-4.54,P<0.001)were the most significant predictors of high-risk *** lifestyle was a protective factor,whereas family history was the most significant risk *** area under the curve was 0.734(95%CI:0.723-0.745)for the final validation set ROC curve and 0.735(95%CI:0.728-0.742)for the training s

关键词： Colorectal cancer Early screening model High-risk population Nomogram model Questionnaire survey Dietary habit living habit

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太湖地区桔小实蝇的生活习性(英文)

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Plant Diseases and Pests 2010年第3期1卷 47-50页

作者：詹国辉樊新华顾忠盈陈云芳蔡平袁卫明储春荣林亚静胡斌华南京林业大学江苏南京210037 江苏省苏州出入境检验检疫局江苏苏州215021 江苏出入境检验检疫局江苏南京210001 苏州大学江苏苏州215001 江苏省太湖常绿果树推广中心江苏苏州215121

[ Objective] The aim was to supply technical basis for developing quarantine and control techniques for orient fruit fly. [ Method] By utilizing facilities including rearing chamber and rearing cage, the population of orient fruit fly was established and sustained by using the methods of artificial feeding and fruit culture, and the continuous indoor biological observation was carried out. The isolated enclosure equipped with temperature and humidity recorder was established in Dongshan area of Taihu for cultivating various species of host plants, then the living habits of orient fruit fly were observed everyday. [ Result] Through feeding and observation in lab, the living habit of adult, larva, pupa and eggs of orient fruit fly were studied; the impact of soil depth on the emergence rate of pupa were conducted, and the result indicated that when the soil layer depth increased to 40 cm, there were still adults appeared and their emergence rate was 80%. The results of indoor trend test showed that the selectivity of orient fruit fly on fruits produced in Suzhou was sequenced from high to low as follows： tangerine, dates, pomegranate, peach, orange, pear and persimmon. While the sequence of fruit tree species were tangerine, dates, pomegranate, pears and persimmons according to damage rates of orient fruit fly from high to low under field isolation rearing conditions. In the local tangerine varieties, the damage rate from high to low were Dongting manda- rin, eady tangerine, Wen orange, Huangpi, Zaohong, Liaohong. [ Conclusion] Orient fruit fly artificial rearing facility was established, which laid the foundation for carrvina out bioloaical characteristics observation and biolooical exoeriments

关键词： Taihu Orient fruit fly living habit Insect rearing room Feeding method

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