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Low-carbon Development Path of Ordos Based on leap model

Huanjing Kexue/Environmental Science 2024年第9期45卷 5097-5105页

作者： Yu Y.-W.-Q. Liu B. Zhu X.-H. Zhang J.-Y. Wang B.-H. Wang M.-P. Yang J.-G. Bai Y. Yang F.-Y. School of Vehicle and Mobility Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China Ordos Carbon Neutral Research and Application Co.，Ltd. Ordos 017004 China

To determine the low-carbon development path of Ordos，three scenarios（baseline scenario，low carbon scenario，and enhanced low carbon scenario）were constructed based on the leap model to forecast the energy demand and carbon emission in Ordos from 2020 to 2050 and to analyze the contribution of various policy initiatives to reduce carbon emission. The results showed that under the enhanced low carbon scenario，the energy demand in Ordos peaked at 52 million tons of standard coal equivalent in 2025 and decreased to 40 million tons of standard coal equivalent in 2050，and carbon emissions peaked at 163 million tons in 2025 and decreased to 16 million tons in 2050，which was 88% lower than that in 2020. Regarding emission reduction contribution，comparing the baseline scenario and the enhanced low-carbon scenario，the increase in renewable energy power generation installation，the reduction in energy consumption of terminal energy use，and the increase in terminal electrification rate contributed to the emission reductions of 43%，25%，and 24%，respectively. The Ordos should vigorously develop renewable energy and make full use of the rich endowment of wind and light resources；at the same time，it should promote economic transformation and gradually increase the proportion of high-value-added and low-energy-consuming industries in the industrial structure. For the power sector，the power generation structure should be adjusted. Traditional thermal power generation should be replaced by zero-carbon and low-carbon power generation technologies. For the industrial and transportation sectors，the terminal electrification rate should be increased，and the energy intensity should be reduced. © 2024 Science Press. All rights reserved.

关键词： carbon emission leap model Ordos City renewable energy generation scenario analysis

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Policy Options for Sustainable Development in Urban Transport:Analysis of Energy Consumption and Environmental Benefit Influenced by Different Transport Policies in Beijing

引用

Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment 2010年第4期8卷 26-36页

作者： Yang Yang Feng Xiangzhao Department of Economics Tufts UniversityMedfordMA 02155USA Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy of MEP Beijing 100029China

Transportation is a sector with high energy consumption as well as high *** speaking,economic growth will inevitably lead to the increase of travel demand and vehicle population,which in turn results into the augmentation of environmental and social *** metropolis like Beijing under rapid development,there exist various possibilities and options for transport development policy *** there is no guarantee that they will be suitable for Beijing,although they are effective in their local *** article assesses what kind of policy can most effectively improve the traffic conditions in Beijing in the *** literature reviews on the practices of foreign policy and we established several feasible ***,we used the Long Range Energy Alternatives Planning System(LREAP) analyzed their corresponding results of reduced energy consumption and ***,by simulating and computing the realistic Beijing transportation scenarios,this paper scientifically assesses what kind of policy can most effectively improve the traffic condition in Beijing in the coming decade.

关键词： leap model energy conservation emission reduction transport sector scenario analysis

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