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Projections of ocean climate for northwestern Pacific Ocean

Acta Oceanologica Sinica 2005年第1期24卷 134-145页

作者： CHOI Byung Ho KIM Dong Hoon CHOI Young Jin YUK Jin Hee Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Sungkyunkwan University Suwon KoreaAbiko Research Laboratory Central Research Institute of Electric Power Industry JapanResearch Institute of Applied Mechanics Kyushu University JapanDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering Sungkyunkwan University Suwon Korea

The long-term adjustment processes of atmosphere and ocean in response to gradually increased atmospheric CO2 concentration have been analyzed in 70 and 140 a integrations with NCAR fully-coupled climate system model (CSM). In these experiments the CO2 concentration has been increased to double and quadruples the initial concentration, respectively. After 70 a, at the time of CO2 doubling, the model predicts surface air temperature rises by 1.2 and 1.5 K for the globe and the northwestern Pacific Ocean, respectively. The behavior of the quadrupling run is similar: each global and regional mean surface air temperatures increase by 2.8 and 3.0 K at the time of CO2 quadrupling. From the experiments, surface air temperature changes in the northwestern Pacific Ocean will be more distinctive compared with the global average, mainly due to exceptionally large wanning and sea level change near the entrance of the Kuroshio extension.

关键词： climate model simulation global warming northwestern Pacific Ocean

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Advances in climate Change Research 2015年第3期6卷 159-170页

作者： ZHANG Peng Deliang CHEN Hans W.LINDERHOLM ZHANG Qiong Regional climate Group Department of Earth Sciences University of Gothenburg Bert Bolin Centre for climate Research Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology Stockholm University

Tree-ring based temperature reconstructions have successfully inferred the past inter-annual to millennium scales summer temperature variability. A clear relationship between annual and summer temperatures can provide insights into tile variability of past annual mean tem- perature from the reconstructed summer temperature. However, how similar are summer and annual temperatures is to a large extent still unknown. This study aims at investigating the relationship between annual and summer temperatures at different timescales in central Sweden during the last millennium. The temperature variability in central Sweden can represent large parts of Scandinavia which has been a key region for dendroclimatological research. The observed annual and summer temperatures during 1901-2005 were firstly decomposed into different frequency bands using ensemble empirical mode decomposition （EEMD） method, and then the scale-dependent relationship was quantified using Pearson correlation coefficients. The relationship between the observed annual and summer temperatures determined by the instrumental data was subsequently used to evaluate 7 climate models. The model with the best performance was used to infer the relationship for the last millennium. The results show that the relationship between the observed annual and summer temperatures becomes stronger as the timescale increases, except for the 4--16 years timescales at which it does not show any relationship. The summer temperature variability at short timescales （2--4 years） shows much higher variance than the annual variability, while the annual temperature variability at long timescales （〉32 years） has a much higher variance than the summer one. During the last millennium, the simulated summer temperature also shows higher variance at the short timescales （2-4 years） and lower variance at the long timescales （〉1024 years） than those of the annual temperature. The relationship between the two temperatures is generally close at

关键词： Annual temperature Summer temperature Central Sweden climate model simulation Scale-dependent similarity

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