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Study the Application of Neural Network in the Prediction of Regional Integrated Transport structure

Study the Application of Neural Network in the Prediction of...

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2004 International Symposium on Distributed Computing and Applications to Business, Engineering and Science

作者： Huiyuan Jiang Jiang Li Transportation College Wuhan University of Science and Technology Wuhan Hubei Province 430063 China

＜正＞Each transport method in the transport system has its own technical economic characteristics and application range. However,in the past,each transport method was usually investigated separately in the quantitative analysis of transportation development *** obviously has some *** it is always a technological problem to analyze the development trend of the comprehensive transportation structure with mutual effect of each transport *** presence of the artificial neural network provides us a new way to resolve this *** the BP network is suitable for the short-term estimate,after its self-adapting in algorithm and error correction it can also be suitable for the long-term *** article establishes a neural network model according to the principle of artificial neural network, for the structure prediction of the comprehensive transport freight transportation volume and the freight transportation *** have displayed the running result of the model which has been proved to conform to the natural law of transport economic development with an example of the comprehensive freight transport system in a Province. Therefore,the BP network is more suitable to the multi-factor complicated transport system,which is unable to be expressed or analyzed by overt formulas.

关键词： Neural Network Integrated Traffic cargo structure Forecast

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