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On the evidential reasoning rule for dependent evidence combination

Chinese Journal of Aeronautics 2023年第5期36卷 306-327页

作者： Peng ZHANG Zhijie ZHOU Shuaiwen TANG Jie WANG Guanyu HU Dao ZHAO You CAO Rocket Force University of Engineering Xi’an 710025China State Key Laboratory of Astronautic Dynamics Xi’an Satellite Control CenterXi’an 710043China Guangxi Key Laboratory of Trusted Software Guilin University of Electronic TechnologyGuilin 541004China

Evidential Reasoning(ER)rule,which can combine multiple pieces of independent evidence conjunctively,is widely applied in multiple attribute decision ***,the assumption of independence among evidence is often not satisfied,resulting in ER rule *** this paper,an Evidential Reasoning rule for Dependent Evidence combination(ERr-DE)is ***,the aggregation sequence of multiple pieces of evidence is determined according to evidence *** this basis,a calculation method of evidence Relative Total Dependence Coefficient(RTDC)is proposed using the distance correlation ***,as a discounting factor,RTDC is introduced into the ER rule framework,and the ERr-DE model is *** aggregation process of two pieces of dependent evidence by ERr-DE is investigated,which is then generalized to aggregate multiple pieces of non-independent ***,sensitivity analysis is carried out to investigate the relationship between the model output and the *** properties of sensitivity coefficient are explored and mathematically *** conjunctive probabilistic reasoning process of ERr-DE and the properties of sensitivity coefficient are verified by two numerical examples ***,the practical application of the ERr-DE is validated by a case study on the performance assessment of satellite turntable system.

关键词： Evidential reasoning rule Dependent evidence Relative total dependence coefficient aggregation sequence Performance assessment

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