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Analysis on the spatial pattern and evolution of China's petroleum trade under the dual effect of international oil price and “belt and road” Framework

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Petroleum Science 2023年第6期20卷 3945-3953页

作者： Shuang-Ying Wang Ya-Yao Hua Bao-Ju Li Ping Wei Peng Gao Business School Qingdao University of TechnologyQingdao266555ShandongChina Changdao Comprehensive Test Area Economic Development Bureau Yantai265800ShandongChina

“belt and road” is the important origin of oil import in China. Based on social network analysis and stochastic frontier gravity model, this paper studied the characteristic evolution and influence factor of oil import network between China and “belt and road” countries. Then by constructing a stochastic frontier gravity model including the crude oil future price and oil importing price, it found that the international crude oil future price, the oil importing price, the political situation, the trade agreements have the effects on the China's oil import from “belt and road” region. It provided suggestions for improving the spatial pattern of China's petroleum trade.

关键词： "belt and road" Oil import network Stochastic frontier gravity model International oil futures price

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The Impact of Civilization Clashes on the Bilateral Trade of Countries along the "belt and road" Route under the Institutional Boundary

The Impact of Civilization Clashes on the Bilateral Trade of...

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作者： WANG Ying Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics

By making use of the HS07 six digit statistical data of classified trade of 64 countries along the"belt and road"route from 2008 to 2014 and employing the high-dimensional fixed effects model of panel data,this paper empirically studies the impact of civilization clashes on the bilateral trade of countries along the"belt and road"route under the institutional boundary when the other affecting factors are effectively controlled.The findings indicate that the institutional quality of the import and export countries is an important boundary condition to the impact of the civilization clashes on the bilateral trade of countries along"belt and road"route,that is,the good institutional quality of the import and export countries can reduce from the institutional level the transaction costs and uncertainty risks brought by the civilization clashes,thereby weakening the inhibitory effect of the civilization clashes on the bilateral trade of countries along the"belt and road"route.Furthermore,this effect is more significant for the trade of high contract intensive products.The important enlightenment of this conclusion is that even if there is a great difference in civilizations among the countries along the belt and road route,the countries can still weaken and resolve the trade risks that may be caused by the civilization clashes through improving their own institutional quality,so as to promote the development of bilateral trade in the region.

关键词： "belt and road" civilization clashes institutional boundary bilateral trade

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