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A Bayesian multi-model inference methodology for imprecise momentindependent global sensitivity analysis of rock structures

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Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering 2024年第3期16卷 840-859页

作者： Akshay Kumar Gaurav tiwari Department of Civil Engineering Indian Institute of Technology(IIT)KanpurKanpur208016India

Traditional global sensitivity analysis(GSA)neglects the epistemic uncertainties associated with the probabilistic characteristics(*** of distribution type and its parameters)of input rock properties emanating due to the small size of datasets while mapping the relative importance of properties to the model *** paper proposes an augmented Bayesian multi-model inference(BMMI)coupled with GSA methodology(BMMI-GSA)to address this issue by estimating the imprecision in the momentindependent sensitivity indices of rock structures arising from the small size of input *** methodology employs BMMI to quantify the epistemic uncertainties associated with model type and parameters of input *** estimated uncertainties are propagated in estimating imprecision in moment-independent Borgonovo’s indices by employing a reweighting approach on candidate probabilistic *** proposed methodology is showcased for a rock slope prone to stress-controlled failure in the Himalayan region of *** proposed methodology was superior to the conventional GSA(neglects all epistemic uncertainties)and Bayesian coupled GSA(B-GSA)(neglects model uncertainty)due to its capability to incorporate the uncertainties in both model type and parameters of *** Borgonovo’s indices estimated via proposed methodology provide the confidence intervals of the sensitivity indices instead of their fixed-point estimates,which makes the user more informed in the data collection *** performed with the varying sample sizes suggested that the uncertainties in sensitivity indices reduce significantly with the increasing sample *** accurate importance ranking of properties was only possible via samples of large ***,the impact of the prior knowledge in terms of prior ranges and distributions was significant;hence,any related assumption should be made carefully.

关键词： Bayesian inference Multi-model inference Statistical uncertainty Global sensitivity analysis(GSA) Borgonovo’s indices Limited data

Implication of machine learning techniques to forecast the electricity price and carbon emission:Evidence from a hot region

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Geoscience Frontiers 2024年第3期15卷 259-271页

作者： Suleman Sarwar Ghazala Aziz Aviral Kumar tiwari Department of Finance and Economics College of BusinessUniversity of JeddahJeddahSaudi Arabia Department of Business Administration College of Administrative and Financial SciencesSaudi Electronic UniversityJeddahSaudi Arabia Indian Institute of Management BodhgayaIndia

The current study examines the significant determinants of electricity consumption and identifies an appropriate model to forecast the electricity price *** main contribution is focused on eastern region of Saudi Arabia,a relatively hottest geographical area full of energy resources but with different electricity consumption *** relative irrelevance of temperature as predicting factor of electricity consumption is quite surprising and contradicts the previous *** the eastern region,electricity price has negative association with electricity *** comparing traditional and machine learning,it is found that machine learning techniques offer better *** the machine learning techniques,the support vector machine has the lowest errors in forecasting the electricity ***,the support vector machine approach is used to forecast the trend of carbon emissions caused by electricity *** findings have policy implications and offer valuable suggestions to policymakers while addressing the determinants of electricity consumption and forecasting electricity prices.

关键词： Electricity consumption Carbon emission Artificial neural network Support vector machine Saudi Arabia

Resource savings,recycling and utilization,and energy transition:Introduction

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Geoscience Frontiers 2024年第3期15卷 180-182页

作者： Xin Zhao Umer Shahzad Aviral Kumar tiwari School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics Anhui University of Finance and EconomicsBengbu 233030China School of Economics Széchenyi Istvàn UniversityHungary Adnan Kassar School of Business Lebanese American UniversityBeirutLebanon Indian Institute of Management Bodh Gaya Bodh GayaBiharIndia

In the context of increasingly tight constraints on global resources and environment,accelerating the conservation and recycling of fossil fuels and other mineral resources have become significant *** promoting the transformation of energy development mode,and making efficient use of coal,oil,natural gas,iron ore,potassium salts,phosphate,sulfur and other mineral resources have become important issues in energy planning and energy *** the framework of Sustainable Development Goals,it is urgent and critical to investigate the relationship between geological resource saving,recycling and modern energy systems,which is an important step to establish a complete system of efficient use of natural resources.

关键词： energy transition recycling

EPQ model with the effect of inflation and reliability for partial trade credit under fuzzy and cloudy fuzzy environment

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Journal of Management Analytics 2024年第1期11卷 110-134页

作者： Supriya tiwari Kunal Shah Kajal Bhimani Department of Science and Humanities Apollo Institute of Engineering&TechnologyGTUAhmedabadIndia Department of Mathematics SMMPISRKadi Sarva VishwavidyalayaGandhinagarIndia AVAerials 401 Swarnim Business Hub-1 New Chamunda SocietyGodrej Garden CityGotaAhmedabadIndia

The proposed study offers the first-of-its-kind economic production quantity model for deteriorating items having a demand rate to be price dependent under the effect of inflation and reliability with partial trade *** model is extended under an uncertain environment by assuming inventory parameters to be triangular fuzzy numbers and cloudy triangular fuzzy *** objective of the study is to maximize the profit of the inventory system and to identify the most suitable environment for the proposed *** are verified using the numerical ***,the comparative study is presented to justify the nature of fuzzy and cloudy fuzzy *** analysis under all environments is conducted to identify the most sensitive parameters of all.

关键词： EPQ partial trade credit inflation reliability triangular fuzzy number cloudy triangular fuzzy number

Dt1-SWEET10a partner:Photoperiodic control of seed weight in soybean

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Molecular Plant 2024年第6期17卷 839-841页

作者： Li-Qing Chen Lalit Dev tiwari Department of Plant Biology University of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignUrbanaIL 61801USA DOE Center for Advanced Bioenergy and Bioproducts Innovation University of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignUrbanaIL 61801USA Institute for Sustainability Energyand EnvironmentUniversity of Illinois at Urbana-ChampaignUrbanaIL 61801USA

Seed weight and size are critical agronomic traits essential for determining yield and composition,receiving significant attention throughout domestication(Meyer et al.,2012).Seed weight serves as a reliable indicator of average seed size due to their positive *** of seed weight involves both developmental and environmental cues,affecting cell proliferation or expansion(Li et al.,2019).

关键词： soybean SWEET1 weight

Impacts of road on plant invasions in the Middle Mountain region of central Nepal

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Journal of Mountain Science 2024年第2期21卷 619-632页

作者： Ananda ADHIKARI Adarsha SUBEDI Achyut tiwari Bharat Babu SHRESTHA Central Department of Botany Tribhuvan UniversityKirtipur 44618Nepal

Biological invasion is triggered by human development activities such as the construction and expansion of road *** verges serve as important habitats and corridors for the distribution of invasive alien plant species(IAPS)between geographically distant ***,the trajectory of plant invasion and the data regarding the impact of roads on IAPS distribution are relatively poor in ***,we surveyed two road types(main roads and feeder road)in the Middle Mountain region of central Nepal in order to investigate how different road types are driving the dispersal of IAPS along road verges and the adjacent natural *** sampling was conducted at ca 2.5 km intervals along the *** each sampling site,paired plots(25 m×4 m)were sampled:one adjacent to and along the road,and another 20 m away and parallel to it in the interior *** results revealed that the main road verges had a higher cover(33%)and a larger number of IAPS(14 species)than the feeder road(25%;10 species).The IAPS cover and richness were significantly higher along verges than in the adjacent interior habitats for both road types,indicating that roads are contributing as corridors for the dispersal of IAPS in the Middle Mountain areas of central ***,elevation,tree canopy,and disturbances(grazing/mowing/trampling)were found to be the key factors that determine spatial distribution of IAPS along road *** emphasize that regular monitoring of vegetation along the road verges can help with the early detection and control of potential IAPS in the region before they become problematic.

关键词： Biological invasions Dispersal corridor Invasive alien plants Transport infrastructure Himalayan mountains

Techno-economic and environmental impact analysis of electric two-wheeler batteries in India

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Clean Energy 2024年第3期8卷 147-156页

作者： Aman Gupta Ditipriya Bose Sandeep tiwari Vikrant Sharma Jai Prakash Department of Green Energy and Sustainable Development Zakir Husain College of Engineering and Technology Aligarh Muslim UniversityUttar Pradesh-202002India Battery Testing Facility National Institute of Solar EnergyGurugram-Faridabad RoadGwal PahariGurugram-122003HaryanaIndia

This paper presents a comprehensive techno-economic and environmental impact analysis of electric two-wheeler batteries in *** technical comparison reveals that sodium-ion(Na-ion)and lithium-ion(Li-ion)batteries outperform lead-acid batteries in various parameters,with Na-ion and Li-ion batteries exhibiting higher energy densities,higher power densities,longer cycle lives,faster charge rates,better compactness,lighter weight and lower self-discharge *** economic comparison,Na-ion batteries were found to be~12-14%more expensive than Li-ion ***,the longer lifespans and higher energy densities of Na-ion and Li-ion batteries can offset their higher costs through improved performance and long-term ***-acid batteries have the highest environmental impact,while Li-ion batteries demonstrate better environmental performance and potential for ***-ion batteries offer promising environmental advantages with their abundance,lower cost and lower toxic and hazardous material *** recycling processes can further enhance the environmental benefits of Na-ion ***,this research examines the potential of Na-ion batteries as a cheaper alternative to Li-ion batteries,considering India’s abundant sodium resources in regions such as Rajasthan,Chhattisgarh,Jharkhand and others.

关键词： electric two-wheelers environmental impact assessment lead-acid batteries lithium-ion batteries sodium-ion batteries techno-economic analysis

Role of circular economy,energy transition,environmental policy stringency,and supply chain pressure on CO_(2)emissions in emerging economies

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Geoscience Frontiers 2024年第3期15卷 209-220页

作者： Sunil tiwari Kamel Si Mohammed Grzegorz Mentel Sebastian Majewski Irum Shahzadi Department of Tourism Studies School of Business StudiesCentral University of KeralaIndia Faculty of Economics and Management Department of EconomicsUniversity of Ain TemouchentAlgeria Department of Quantitative Methods Faculty of ManagementRzeszow University of Technology35-959 RzeszowPoland Institute of Economics and Finance University of Szczecinul.A.Mickiewicza 6471-101 SzczecinPoland Department of Business Administration IQRA University Karachi-75300Pakistan Department of Production EngineeringSão Paulo State University(UNESP)BauruBrazil

This paper investigates the effect of the circular economy on CO_(2)emissions growth by considering the role of energy transition,climate policy stringency,industrialization,and supply chain pressure from 1997 to 2020 using panel quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lags(QARDL)and the panel *** employ cointegration association in the long run among the variables,and the results of the two models confirm *** reveal that circular economy and climate policy stringency significantly negatively impact carbon *** the other hand,the energy transition,industrialization,and supply chain pressures are crucial to determining CO_(2)emissions in the short and long *** finding further explores that municipal waste generation recycling is considerable at the mean and upper 90th quantiles than the lower ***,the empirical results of the current study provide acumens for policymakers of advanced economies and emerging markets to maintain the balance among circular economy,energy transition,environmental policy stringency,and supply chain pressure for reducing CO_(2)emissions without halting economic growth and sustainable ***,practical implications are reported through the lens of carbon neutrality and structural changes.

关键词： Circular economy Energy transition Supply chain Carbon emissions Panel QARDL

Anti-methanogenic potential of seaweeds and seaweed-derived compounds in ruminant feed:current perspectives,risks and future prospects

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Journal of Animal Science and Biotechnology 2024年第2期15卷 463-489页

作者： Ailbhe McGurrin Julie Maguire Brijesh K.tiwari Marco Garcia-Vaquero Section of Food and Nutrition School of Agriculture and Food ScienceUniversity College DublinDublin 4BelfieldIreland TEAGASC Food Research CentreDublin 15AshtownIreland Bantry Marine Research Station Ltd BantryCo.CorkP75 AX07GearhiesIreland

With methane emissions from ruminant agriculture contributing 17%of total methane emissions worldwide,there is increasing urgency to develop strategies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in this *** of the proposed strategies is ruminant feed intervention studies focused on the inclusion of anti-methanogenic compounds which are those capable of interacting with the rumen microbiome,reducing the capacity of ruminal microorganisms to produce ***,seaweeds have been investigated for their ability to reduce methane in ruminants in vitro and in vivo,with the greatest methane abatement reported when using the red seaweed Asparagopsis taxiformis(attributed to the bromoform content of this species).From the literature analysis in this study,levels of up to 99%reduction in ruminant methane emissions have been reported from inclusion of this seaweed in animal feed,although further in vivo and microbiome studies are required to confirm these results as other reports showed no effect on methane emission resulting from the inclusion of seaweed to basal *** review explores the current state of research aiming to integrate seaweeds as anti-methanogenic feed additives,as well as examining the specific bioactive compounds within seaweeds that are likely to be related to these *** effects of the inclusion of seaweeds on the ruminal microbiome are also reviewed,as well as the future challenges when considering the largescale inclusion of seaweeds into ruminant diets as anti-methanogenic agents.

关键词： Asparagopsis Bromoform Methanogenesis Phlorotannin Saponin Tannin