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Non-crossing Quantile Regression Neural Network as a Calibration Tool for Ensemble Weather Forecasts

Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第7期41卷 1417-1437页

作者： Mengmeng SONG Dazhi YANG sebastian LERCH Xiang'ao XIA Gokhan Mert YAGLI Jamie M.BRIGHT Yanbo SHEN Bai LIU Xingli LIU Martin Janos MAYER School of Electrical Engineering and Automation Harbin Institute of TechnologyHarbin150001China Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies Schloss-Wolfsbrunnenweg 3569118HeidelbergGermany Chair of Statistical Methods and Econometrics Karlsruhe Institute of Technology(KIT)Bluecherstr.1776185KarlsruheGermany Key Laboratory of Middle Atmosphere and Global Environment Observation Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing100029China Solar Energy Research Institute of Singapore(SERIS) National University of Singapore(NUS)Singapore117574Singapore UK Power Networks LondonSE61NPUK China Meteorological Administration Beijing100081China Heilongjiang Meteorological Bureau Harbin150001China Department of Energy Engineering Faculty of Mechanical EngineeringBudapest University of Technology and EconomicsMűegyetem rkp.3H-1111BudapestHungary

Despite the maturity of ensemble numerical weather prediction(NWP),the resulting forecasts are still,more often than not,*** such,forecast calibration tools have become *** those tools,quantile regression(QR)is highly competitive in terms of both flexibility and predictive ***,a long-standing problem of QR is quantile crossing,which greatly limits the interpretability of QR-calibrated *** this point,this study proposes a non-crossing quantile regression neural network(NCQRNN),for calibrating ensemble NWP forecasts into a set of reliable quantile forecasts without *** overarching design principle of NCQRNN is to add on top of the conventional QRNN structure another hidden layer,which imposes a non-decreasing mapping between the combined output from nodes of the last hidden layer to the nodes of the output layer,through a triangular weight matrix with positive *** empirical part of the work considers a solar irradiance case study,in which four years of ensemble irradiance forecasts at seven locations,issued by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,are calibrated via NCQRNN,as well as via an eclectic mix of benchmarking models,ranging from the naïve climatology to the state-of-the-art deep-learning and other non-crossing *** and stringent forecast verification suggests that the forecasts post-processed via NCQRNN attain the maximum sharpness subject to calibration,amongst all ***,the proposed conception to resolve quantile crossing is remarkably simple yet general,and thus has broad applicability as it can be integrated with many shallow-and deep-learning-based neural networks.

关键词： ensemble weather forecasting forecast calibration non-crossing quantile regression neural network CORP reliability diagram post-processing

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细菌和噬菌体间的防御与反防御机制（英文）

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Journal of Zhejiang University-Science B(Biomedicine & Biotechnology) 2024年第3期 181-197页

作者：汪晓庆 sebastian LEPTIHN 丽水学院医学院爱丁堡大学医学院医学与兽医学院 HMU健康与医科大学

在后抗生素时代，因抗菌药过度使用产生的超级细菌引发了严峻的耐药形势。噬菌体能特异性地杀灭细菌，且不会破坏正常菌群，可以作为一种有前景的感染治疗途径，以补充甚至取代抗生素。细菌进化出多种复杂的抵抗噬菌体感染的方式，包括... 详细信息

在后抗生素时代，因抗菌药过度使用产生的超级细菌引发了严峻的耐药形势。噬菌体能特异性地杀灭细菌，且不会破坏正常菌群，可以作为一种有前景的感染治疗途径，以补充甚至取代抗生素。细菌进化出多种复杂的抵抗噬菌体感染的方式，包括流产感染和CRISPR-Cas系统，噬菌体同样也进化出反防御的策略去继续感染细菌。对细菌防御和噬菌体反防御机制的深入探索将有助于噬菌体治疗策略的优化及增加我们对微生物世界认知。为此，本文对近年来细菌抵抗噬菌体的防御机制、噬菌体的反防御机制及病毒与宿主协同共赢系统等方面的研究进展进行了综述。

关键词：噬菌体噬菌体抗性流产感染噬菌体治疗

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No generality in biodiversity-productivity relationships along elevation in temperate and subtropical forest landscapes

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Forest Ecosystems 2024年第3期11卷 255-265页

作者： Jiayun Zou Yahuang Luo Rupert Seidl Dominik Thom Jie Liu Lisa Geres Tobias Richter Linjiang Ye Wei Zheng Liangliang Ma Jie Song Kun Xu Dezhu Li Lianming Gao sebastian Seibold Ecosystem Dynamics and Forest Management Research Group School of Life SciencesTechnical University of MunichHans-Carl-von-Carlowitz-Platz 285354FreisingGermany State Key Laboratory of Plant Diversity and Specialty Crops Kunming Institute of BotanyChinese Academy of SciencesKunming650201YunnanChina Germplasm Bank of Wild Species Kunming Institute of BotanyChinese Academy of SciencesKunming650201YunnanChina Lijiang Forest Biodiversity National Observation and Research Station Kunming Institute of BotanyChinese Academy of SciencesLijiang674100China Berchtesgaden National Park Doktorberg 683471Germany Gund Institute for Environment University of Vermont617 Main StreetBurlingtonVT 1105405USA Faculty of Biological Sciences Institute for EcologyEvolution and DiversityConservation BiologyGoethe University FrankfurtFrankfurt am MainGermany University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing10049China TUD Dresden University of Technology Forest ZoologyPienner Str.701737TharandtGermany

An improved understanding of biodiversity-productivity relationships(BPRs)along environmental gradients is crucial for effective ecosystem management and biodiversity *** stress-gradient hypothesis suggests that BPRs are stronger in stressful environments compared to more favorable ***,there is limited knowledge regarding the variation of BPRs along elevational gradients and their generality across different *** study how BPRs change with elevation,we harnessed inventory data on 6,431 trees from152 plots surveyed twice in eight to ten year intervals in mountain forests of temperate Europe and subtropical *** quantified the relationship between aboveground productivity and different biodiversity measures,including taxonomic,functional,and phylogenetic *** elucidate the processes underlying BPRs,we studied the variation of different functional traits along elevation across *** found no general pattern of BPRs across landscapes and *** were neutral for all biodiversity measures in temperate forests,and negative for taxonomic and functional diversity in subtropical *** were largely congruent between taxonomic,functional and phylogenetic *** found only weak support for the stress-gradient hypothesis,with BPRs turning from negative to positive(effect not significant)close to the tree line in subtropical *** temperate forests,however,elevation patterns were strongly modulated by species identity effects as influenced by specific *** effect of traits such as community-weighted mean of maximum plant height and wood density on productivity was congruent across *** study highlights the context-dependence of BPRs across elevation gradients and *** traits are key modulating factors of BPRs and should be considered more explicitly in studies of the functional role of ***,our findings highlight that potential trade-offs be

关键词： Biodiversity-ecosystem functioning Climate mitigation Elevation gradients Forest management Forest productivity Functional traits Nature conservation Phylogenetic diversity

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Study on Chrome-free Purging Plugs for Steel Ladles

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China's Refractories 2024年第2期33卷 41-47页

作者： Yunpeng ZHOU Wang FENG Shankha CHATTERJEE Andus BUHR sebastian KLAUS Almatis Qingdao Co. Ltd.Qingdao 266510China Almatis Alumina Pvt Ltd. Kolkata 700071India Almatis GmbH Frankfurt 60528Germany

Purging plug refractories in China typically contain around 3 mass% of super-fine chromium oxide in the matrix in order to improve the performance of the purging plugs, primarily, slag corrosion and wear resistance. Alternatives to chromium oxide containing refractories have gained interest due to health concerns related to the formation of soluble chromium compounds over long storage periods of refractory wastes. Super-ground reactive alumina can replace chromium oxide in purging plug refractories and this paper discussed the new reactive alumina E-SY 88 in comparison to chromium oxide in a typical purging plug castable. The mixing behaviour, wet castable properties, as well as cured, dried, and fired properties at different temperatures up to 1 600 ℃ were compared. In addition, the hot modulus of rupture, creep behaviour, thermal shock resistance and slag corrosion resistance were tested. The microstructure after slag corrosion was investigated by SEM. The results prove that E-SY 88 is an economically viable technical alternative to chromium oxide in purging plug refractories.

关键词： purging plug alumina-spinel castable workability chromium-free thermal shock resistance

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Trends in mortality among the geriatric population undergoing Surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) and potential racial disparities: a 20-year perspective via the National (Nationwide) Inpatient Sample

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Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2024年第7期21卷 716-722页

作者： Nomesh Kumar Kamleshun Ramphul FNU Bawna Nitish Behary Paray Mansimran Si-ngh Dulay Jasninder Singh Dhaliwal Shruti Aggarwal sebastian Mactaggart Suma Sri Chennapragada Shaheen Sombans Renuka Verma Hemamalini Sakthivel Raheel Ahmed Department of Internal Medicine Detroit Medical Center Sinai Grace-Wayne State UniversityMichiganUSA In-dependent Researcher TrioletMauritius Independent researcher Farmington HillsMichiganUSA Royal Devon University Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust ExeterUnited Kingdom Royal Brompton Hospital part of Guy’s and St.Thomas’NHS Foundation TrustLondonUnited Kingdom Department of Internal Medicine University of Cali-forniaRiversideUSA Independent Researcher New DelhiIndia Northumbria Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust NewcastleUnited Kingdom Department of Internal Medicine Louisiana State UniversityShreveportUSA Sha-heen Sombans Independent ResearcherHyderabadIndia Department of Internal Medicine Kirk Kerkorian School of Medicine at UNLVLas VegasUSA One Brooklyn Health System/Interfaith Medical Ctr Program BrooklynNYUSA

Background Racial disparities in cardiovascular conditions are well *** similar race-based discrepancies in health outcomes also exist among elderly patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement(SAVR) for aortic stenosis remains *** We abstracted data from the National(Nationwide) Inpatient Sample over a 20-year period from 2001 to 2020 using specific ICD-9 and ICD-10 *** included patients aged ≥ 60 and ≤ 80 years with races recorded as White,African American,or Hispanic at the time of their hospitalization for *** analyzed and reported the baseline characteristics,risk-adjusted inhospital mortality,and complications stratified by *** Of 420,181 patients studied,90.0% identified as White,4.0% as African American and 6.0% as *** a decrease in overall in-hospital mortality rates from 3.8% between 2001-2005 to 1.8% between 2016-2020,African Americans had higher odds of all-cause in-hospital deaths compared to Whites(a OR = 1.390,P < 0.001).Additionally,they were more likely to experience cardiogenic shock(a OR = 1.241,P < 0.001) and acute kidney injury(a OR = 1.314,P < 0.001) as well as more likely to require organ support such as IABP use(a OR = 1.336,P < 0.001) or invasive mechanical ventilation(a OR = 1.342,P < 0.001).Interestingly,African Americans were less likely to report events of acute ischemic stroke compared to Whites(a OR = 0.852,P < 0.001).Conclusions Despite a reassuring reduction in overall in-hospital mortality rates of geriatric patients undergoing SAVR for aortic stenosis,racial disparities in health outcomes remain pervasive with minorities more likely to report higher in-hospital morbidity and mortality.

关键词： mortality likely spite

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迈向整合的直觉理论

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科学技术哲学研究 2024年第2期41卷 17-25页

作者：王小塞北京大学外国哲学研究所北京100871 北京大学哲学系北京100871

文章提出了一种对直觉本质的解释,该解释或可为哲学和心理学的直觉研究提供一个统一框架。首先,文章基于理智表象的一个原型,展示了对近期有关哲学文献的整合,而这原型来源于一种常见的悖论——从而表明,对于理智表象的概念而言,其与知... 详细信息

文章提出了一种对直觉本质的解释,该解释或可为哲学和心理学的直觉研究提供一个统一框架。首先,文章基于理智表象的一个原型,展示了对近期有关哲学文献的整合,而这原型来源于一种常见的悖论——从而表明,对于理智表象的概念而言,其与知觉的类比不是必要的。在解释了直觉表象所具有的一般的自发性后,文章结论部分展示了前文所辩护的理论不仅整合了此前哲学和心理学中关于直觉的研究,而且还可能使这两个学科未来的直觉研究更为体系化。

关键词：直觉直觉判断心理学表象先验

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Chiral forces in longitudinally invariant dielectric photonic waveguides

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Photonics Research 2024年第3期12卷 431-443页

作者： JOSEP MARTÍNEZ-ROMEU IAGO DIEZ sebastian GOLAT FRANCISCO J.RODRÍGUEZ-FORTUÑO ALEJANDRO MARTÍNEZ Nanophotonics Technology Center Universitat Politècnica de ValènciaValencia 46022Spain Department of Physics King’s College LondonLondon WC2R 2LSUK

We calculate numerically the optical chiral forces in rectangular cross-section dielectric waveguides for potential enantiomer *** study considers force strength and time needed for separating chiral nanoparticles,mainly via quasi-TE guided modes at short wavelengths(405 nm)and the 90°-phase-shifted combination of quasi-TE and quasi-TM modes at longer wavelengths(1310 nm).Particle tracking simulations show successful enantiomer separation within two *** results suggest the feasibility of enantiomeric separation of nanoparticles displaying sufficient chirality using simple silicon photonic integrated circuits,with wavelength selection based on the nanoparticle size.

关键词： dielectric forces quasi

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Rainfall Sensitivity to Microphysics and Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterizations in Convection-Permitting Simulations over Northwestern South America

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Journal of Meteorological Research 2024年第4期38卷 805-825页

作者： K.Santiago HERNANDEZ sebastian GOMEZ-RIOS Juan J.HENAO Vanessa ROBLEDO Alvaro RAMiREZ-CARDONA Angela M.RENDON Geolimna Escuela AmbientalFacultad de IngenieriaUniversidad de AntioquiaMedellin 050010Colombia Grupo de Ingenieria y Gestion Ambiental(GIGA) Escuela AmbientalFacultad de IngenieriaUniversidad de AntioquiaMedellin 050010Colombia Division of Atmospheric Sciences Desert Research InstituteRenoNV 89512USA

Convection-permitting modeling allows us to understand mechanisms that influence rainfall in specific ***,microphysics parameterization(MP) and planetary boundary layer(PBL) schemes remain an important source of uncertainty,affecting rainfall intensity,occurrence,duration,and ***,we study the sensitivity of rainfall to three MP [Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) Single-Moment 6-class(WSM6),Thompson,and Morrison] and two PBL [the Yonsei University(YSU) and Mellor–Yamada Nakanishi Niino(MYNN)] schemes with a convection-permitting resolution(4 km) over northwestern South America(NWSA).Simulations were performed by using the WRF model and the results were evaluated against soundings,rain gauges,and satellite data,considering the spatio-temporal variability of rainfall over diverse regions prone to deep convection in *** and PBL schemes largely influenced simulated rainfall,with better results for the less computationally expensive WSM6 MP and YSU PBL *** rain gauges and satellite estimates,simulations with Morrison MP overestimated rainfall,especially westward of the Andes,whereas the MYNN PBL underestimated precipitation in the Amazon–Savannas *** found that the uncertainty in the rainfall representation is highly dependent on the region,with a higher influence of MP in the Colombian Pacific and PBL in the Amazon–Savannas *** analyzing rainfall-related processes,the selection of both MP and PBL parameterizations exerted a large influence on the simulated lower tropospheric moisture flux and moisture *** schemes significantly influenced the downward shortwave radiation,with MYNN simulating a greater amount of low clouds,which decreased the radiation ***,latent heat fluxes were greater for YSU,favoring moist convection and *** schemes had a marked impact on vertical ***,Morrison MP showed stronger convection and higher precipitation rates,which is assoc

关键词： sensitivity microphysics planetary boundary layer(PBL) Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) processes

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Optical magnetic field enhancement using ultrafast azimuthally polarized laser beams and tailored metallic nanoantennas

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Photonics Research 2024年第5期12卷 1078-1092页

作者： RODRIGO MARTIN-HERNANDEZ LORENZ GRUNEWALD LUIS SANCHEZ-TEJERINA LUIS PLAJA ENRIQUECONEJERO JARQUE CARLOS HERNANDEZ-GARCIA sebastian MAI Grupo de Investigacion en Aplicaciones del Laser y Fotonica Departamento de Fisica AplicadaUniversidad de SalamancaE-37008 SalamancaSpain Unidad de Excelencia en Luz y Materia Estructuradas(LUMES) Universidad de SalamancaE-37008 SalamancaSpain Institute of Theoretical Chemistry Faculty of ChemistryUniversity of Vienna1090 ViennaAustria Vienna Doctoral School in Chemistry(DoSChem) Faculty of ChemistryUniversity of Vienna1090 ViennaAustria Departamento de Electricidad y Electrónica Universidad de Valladolid47011 ValladolidSpain

*** *** thank Valentina Shumakova,Elizaveta Gangrskaia,Alessandra Bellissimo,Audrius Pugzlys,and Andrius Baltu?ka for fruitful discussions and computational support by the Vienna Scientific Cluster(VSC 4).The authors thankfully acknowledge the computer resources at MareNostrum and SCAYLE,and the technical support provided by Barcelona Supercomputing Center(RES-FI-2022-3-0041).R.M.-H.,L.S.-T.,L.P.,E.C.J.,and C.H.-*** funding from the European Research Council(ERC)under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation program(Grant Agreement No.851201)and support from Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación(PID2022-142340NB-I00,PID2019-106910GB-I00).This research was funded in whole or in part by the Austrian Science Fund(FWF)(10.55776/ZK91).For open access purposes,the author has applied a CC BY public copyright license to any author accepted manuscript version arising from this submission.

关键词： metallic polarized discussions

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Multitarget Thiol-Activated Tetrapyridyl Gold(Ⅲ)Complexes for Hypoxic Cancer Therapy

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CCS Chemistry 2024年第3期6卷 783-797页

作者： Xue-Quan Zhou Selda Abyar Imma Carbo-Bague Lan Wang sebastian Türck Maxime ASiegler Uttara Basu Ingo Ott Rongfang Liu Adriaan PIJzerman Sylvestre Bonnet Institute of Biopharmaceutical and Health Engineering Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School(SIGS)Tsinghua UniversityShenzhen 518055 Leiden Institute of Chemistry Leiden University2333 CC Leiden Department of Chemistry Simon Fraser UniversityBurnabyBritish Columbia V5A 1S6 Institute of Medicinal and Pharmaceutical Chemistry Technische Universität Braunschweig38106 Braunschweig Department of Chemistry Johns Hopkins UniversityBaltimoreMaryland 21218 Division of Drug Discovery&Safety Leiden Academic Centre for Drug ResearchLeiden University2333 CC Leiden

Gold complexes have emerged as promising anticancer metallodrugs due to their efficient thioredoxin reductase(TrxR)inhibition,which disturbs the redox balance of cancer ***,in this model,the role of the ligand(s)coordinated to gold is often *** this work,we present a series of tetrapyridyl Au(Ⅲ)complexes that exhibit thiol-induced release of a Au(Ⅰ)ion and a tetrapyridyl *** formation of a free Au(Ⅰ)center is responsible for the expected TrxR ***,the released ligand,which was visible in cells due to its intense blue fluorescence,showed excellent binding properties to the hERG potassium ***,these ligands ended up in the lysosomes,resulting in significant lysosome ***,the Au(Ⅲ)complexes presented in this work showed broad-spectrum anticancer properties,both in hypoxic 2D monolayers and 3D tumor *** suggest that the interaction of the released Au(Ⅰ)center and the tetrapyridyl ligand with two different protein targets may combine into prodrugs that overcome hypoxia-induced drug deactivation.

关键词： anticancer Au(Ⅲ)complexes enzyme inhibtion potassium channel affinity lysosome damage cell imaging prodrug

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