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Occurrence of Extreme Rainfall and Flood Risks in Yopougon, Abidjan, Southeast Côte d’Ivoire from 1971 to 2022

American Journal of Climate Change 2024年第3期13卷 427-451页

作者： Kolotioloma Alama Coulibaly pauline agoh dibi-anoh Bi Néné Jules Tah Hervé anoh Kouadio Christophe N’da Serge Camille Ahilé Kouakou Bernard Djè Daouda Konaté Geography Department Felix Houphouet-Boigny University Abidjan Cte dIvoire National Meteorological Service Socit dExploitation et de Dveloppement Aroportuaire Aronautique et Mtorologique Abidjan Cte dIvoire BRL Ingnierie-Cte dIvoire Abidjan Cte dIvoire Graduate School of Education Lesley University Cambridge MA USA

Yopougon, located in the western part of the Autonomous District of Abidjan, is the most heavily populated municipality in Côte d’Ivoire. However, this area is prone to floods and landslides during the rainy season. The study aims to assess recent flood risks in the municipality of Yopougon of the Autonomous District of Abidjan. To achieve this objective, the study analyzed two types of data: daily rainfall from 1971 to 2022 and parameters derived from a Numerical Field and Altitude Model (NFAM). The study examined six rainfall parameters using statistical analysis and combined land use maps obtained from the NFAM of Yopougon. The results indicated that, in 67% of cases, extreme rainfall occurred mainly between week 3 of May and week 1 of July. The peak of extreme rainfall was observed in week 2 of June with 15% of cases. These are critical periods of flood risks in the Autonomous District of Abidjan, especially in Yopougon. In addition, there was variability of rainfall parameters in the Autonomous District of Abidjan. This was characterized by a drop of annual and seasonal rainfall, and an increase of numbers of rainy days. Flood risks in Yopougon are, therefore, due to the regular occurrence of rainy events. Recent floods in Yopougon were caused by normal rains ranging from 55 millimeters (mm) to 153 mm with a return period of less than five years. Abnormal heavy rains of a case study on June 20-21, 2022 in Yopougon were detected by outputs global climate models. Areas of very high risk of flood covered 18% of Yopougon, while 31% were at high risk. Climate information from this study can assist authorities to take in advance adaptation and management measures.

关键词： Yopougon-Abidjan Extreme Rainfall Rainy Day Return Period Flood Risk Areas

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