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A hybrid machine-learning model for solar irradiance forecasting

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CLEAN ENERGY 2024年第1期8卷 100-110页

作者： Almarzooqi, Ameera m. maalouf, maher El-Fouly, Tarek H. m. Katzourakis, Vasileios E. El moursi, mohamed s. Chrysikopoulos, Constantinos, V Khalifa Univ Dept Ind & Syst Engn POB 127788 Abu Dhabi U Arab Emirates Khalifa Univ Abu Dhabi Elect Engn & Comp Sci Dept Abu Dhabi U Arab Emirates Khalifa Univ Dept Civil Infrastruct & Environm Engn POB 127788 Abu Dhabi U Arab Emirates Tech Univ Crete Sch Chem & Environm Engn Khania 73100 Greece

Nowcasting and forecasting solar irradiance are vital for the optimal prediction of grid-connected solar photovoltaic (PV) power plants. These plants face operational challenges and scheduling dispatch difficulties due to the fluctuating nature of their power output. As the generation capacity within the electric grid increases, accurately predicting this output becomes increasingly essential, especially given the random and non-linear characteristics of solar irradiance under variable weather conditions. This study presents a novel prediction method for solar irradiance, which is directly in correlation with PV power output, targeting both short-term and medium-term forecast horizons. Our proposed hybrid framework employs a fast trainable statistical learning technique based on the truncated-regularized kernel ridge regression model. The proposed method excels in forecasting solar irradiance, especially during highly intermittent weather periods. A key strength of our model is the incorporation of multiple historical weather parameters as inputs to generate accurate predictions of future solar irradiance values in its scalable framework. We evaluated the performance of our model using data sets from both cloudy and sunny days in seattle and medford, UsA and compared it against three forecasting models: persistence, modified 24-hour persistence and least squares. Based on three widely accepted statistical performance metrics (root mean squared error, mean absolute error and coefficient of determination), our hybrid model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy in varying weather conditions and forecast horizons. A novel prediction method for solar irradiance, targeting both short-term and medium-term forecast horizons, is proposed to improve PV power production. The hybrid framework employs a fast trainable statistical learning technique based on the truncated-regularized kernel ridge regression model. Graphical Abstract

关键词： solar power generation kernel ridge regression hybrid model forecasting BATTERY ENERGY-sTORAGE POWER PV RADIATION PREDICTION CELLs

Liquid biopsy for gastric cancer:Techniques,applications,and future directions

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World Journal of Gastroenterology 2024年第12期30卷 1680-1705页

作者： Cristina Díaz del Arco m Jesús Fernández Aceñero Luis Ortega medina Department of surgical Pathology Health Research Institute of the Hospital Clínico San CarlosHospital Clínico San CarlosMadrid 28040Spain Department of Legal medicine Psychiatry and PathologyUniversidad Complutense de MadridMadrid 28040Spain

After the study of circulating tumor cells in blood through liquid biopsy(LB),this technique has evolved to encompass the analysis of multiple materials originating from the tumor,such as nucleic acids,extracellular vesicles,tumor-educated platelets,and other ***,research has extended to include the examination of samples other than blood or plasma,such as saliva,gastric juice,urine,or *** techniques are diverse,intricate,and *** must be highly sensitive,and pre-analytical,patient,and tumor-related factors significantly influence the detection threshold,diagnostic method selection,and potential ***,the implementation of LB in clinical practice still faces several *** potential applications of LB range from early cancer detection to guiding targeted therapy or immunotherapy in both early and advanced cancer cases,monitoring treatment response,early identification of relapses,or assessing patient *** the other hand,gastric cancer(GC)is a disease often diagnosed at advanced *** recent advances in molecular understanding,the currently available treatment options have not substantially improved the prognosis for many of these *** application of LB in GC could be highly valuable as a non-invasive method for early diagnosis and for enhancing the management and outcomes of these *** this comprehensive review,from a pathologist’s perspective,we provide an overview of the main options available in LB,delve into the fundamental principles of the most studied techniques,explore the potential utility of LB application in the context of GC,and address the obstacles that need to be overcome in the future to make this innovative technique a game-changer in cancer diagnosis and treatment within clinical practice.

关键词： Liquid biopsy Gastric cancer Circulating tumor cells Cell-free DNA Circulating tumor DNA molecular

Comparative study between three carbonaceous nanoblades and nanodarts for antimicrobial applications

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Journal of Environmental sciences 2024年第2期136卷 594-605页

作者： mohamed s.selim Ahmed m.Azzam mohamed A.shenashen shimaa A.Higazy Bayaumy B.mostafa sherif A.El-safty National Institute for materials science(NIms) 1-2-1 SengenTsukuba-ShiIbaraki-Ken 305-0047Japan Petroleum Application Department Egyptian Petroleum Research InstituteNasr City 11727Egypt Department of Environmental Research Theodor Bilharz Research InstituteGizaEgypt

The design of nanostructured materials occupies a privileged position in the development and management of affordable and effective technology in the antibacterial ***,we discuss the antimicrobial properties of three carbonaceous nanoblades and nanodarts materials of graphene oxide(GO),reduced graphene oxide(RGO),and single-wall carbon nanotubes(sWCNTs)that have a mechano-bactericidal effect,and the ability to piercing or slicing bacterial *** demonstrate the significance of size,morphology and composition on the antibacterial activity mechanism,the designed nanomaterials have been *** minimum inhibitory concentration(mIC),standard agar well diffusion,and transmission electron microscopy were utilized to evaluate the antibacterial activity of GO,RGO,and *** on the evidence obtained,the three carbonaceous materials exhibit activity against all microbial strains tested by completely encapsulating bacterial cells and causing morphological disruption by degrading the microbial cell membrane in the order of RGO>GO>*** of the external cell wall structure and outer membrane proteins,the synthesized carbonaceous nanomaterials exhibited higher antibacterial activity against Gram-positive bacterial strains than Gram-negative and fungal *** had the lowest mIC values(0.062,0.125,and 0.25 mg/mL against ***,***,and ***,respectively),as well as minimum fungal concentrations(0.5 mg/mL for both *** and ***).At 12 hr,the cell viability values against tested microbial strains were completely *** lysis and death occurred as a result of severe membrane damage caused by microorganisms perched on RGO *** work gives an insight into the design of effective graphene-based antimicrobial materials for water treatment and remediation.

关键词： Antimicrobial properties Nanoblades mechano-bactericidal effect RGO nanosheets Gram-positive bacteria Cell viability

Prevalence and associated factors of clubfoot in the eastern province of saudi Arabia: A hospital-based study

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World Journal of Orthopedics 2024年第7期15卷 635-641页

作者： Ammar K Alomran Bandar A Alzahrani Bader s Alanazi mohammed A Alharbi Loay m Bojubara Eman m Alyaseen Department of Orthopedic College of MedicineImam Abdulrahman bin Faisal UniversityDammam 34212Saudi Arabia College of medicine Imam Abdulrahman bin Faisal UniversityDammam 34212Saudi Arabia College of medicine Arabian Gulf UniversityManama 329Bahrain

BACKGROUND Clubfoot,or congenital talipes equinovarus,is a widely recognized cause of disability and congenital deformity worldwide,which significantly impacts the quality of *** management of clubfoot requires long-term,multidiscip-linary *** is important to understand how common this condition is in order to assess its impact on the ***,few studies have investigated the prevalence of clubfoot in saudi *** To determine the prevalence of clubfoot in saudi Arabia via the patient population at King Fahad University Hospital(KFUH).mETHODs This was a retrospective study conducted at one of the largest hospitals in the country and located in one of the most densely populated of the administrative *** Of the 7792 births between 2015 to 2023 that were included in the analysis,42 patients were diagnosed with clubfoot,resulting in a prevalence of 5.3 per 1000 live births at *** The observed prevalence of clubfoot was significantly higher than both global and local estimates,indicating a substantial burden in the study population.

关键词： Clubfoot Talipes equinovarus Congenital talipes equinovarus Prevalence saudi Arabia

Comparative analysis of microstructure,mechanical,and corrosion properties of biodegradable mg-3Y alloy prepared by selective laser melting and spark plasma sintering

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Journal of magnesium and Alloys 2024年第4期12卷 1496-1510页

作者： P.minárik m.Zemková s.Šašek J.Dittrich m.Knapek F.Lukáˇc D.Koutný J.Jaroš R.Král Faculty of mathematics and Physics Charles UniversityKe Karlovu 5Praha 12116Czech Republic Research Centre University ofŽilinaUniverzitná8215/1Žilina 01026Slovakia Institute of Plasma Physics of the Czech Academy of sciences Za Slovankou 1782/318200 Praha 8Czech Republic Institute of machine and Industrial Design Brno University of TechnologyTechnická2896/2Brno 61669Czech Republic

This work explored possibilities of biodegradable magnesium alloy mg-3Y preparation by two modern powder metallurgy techniques–spark plasma sintering(sPs)and selective laser melting(sLm).The powder material was consolidated by both methods utilising optimised parameters,which led to very low porosity(∼0.3%)in the sLm material and unmeasurably low porosity in the sPs *** main aim of the study was the thorough microstructure characterisation and interrelation between the microstructure and the functional properties,such as mechanical strength,deformability,and corrosion *** materials showed comparable strength of∼110 mPa in tension and compression and relatively good deformability of∼9%and∼21%for the sLm and sPs materials,*** corrosion resistance of the sPs material in 0.1 m NaCl solution was superior to the sLm one and comparable to the conventional extruded *** digital image correlation during loading and the cross-section analysis of the corrosion layers revealed that the residual porosity and large strained grains have the dominant negative effect on the functional properties of the sLm *** the other hand,one of the primary outcomes of this study is that the sPs consolidation method is very effective in the preparation of the W3 biodegradable alloy,resulting in material with convenient mechanical and degradation properties that might find practical applications.

关键词： magnesium Yttrium Powder metallurgy microstructure mechanical strength Corrosion resistance

Forecasting of tropical cyclones AsANI (2022) and mOCHA (2023) over the Bay of Bengal - real time challenges to forecasters

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TROPICAL CYCLONE REsEARCH AND REVIEW 2024年第2期13卷 88-112页

作者： Kotal, s. D. Arulalan, T. mohapatra, m. Govt India Minist Earth Sci India Meteorol Dept New Delhi India

This study examines the track and intensity forecasts of two typical Bay of Bengal tropical cyclones (TC) AsANI and mOCHA. The analysis of various Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model forecasts [ECmWF (European Centre for medium range Weather Forecast), NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction), NCUm (National Centre for medium Range Weather Forecast-Unified model), ImD (India meteorological Department), HWRF (Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting)], mmE (multi-model Ensemble), sCIP (statistical Cyclone Intensity Prediction) model, and OFCL (Official) forecasts shows that intensity forecasts of AsANI and track forecasts of mOCHA were reasonably good, but there were large errors and wide variation in track forecasts of AsANI and in intensity forecasts of mOCHA. Among all model forecasts, the track forecast errors of ImD model and mmE were least in general for AsANI and mOCHA respectively. Also, the landfall point forecast errors of ImD were least for AsANI, and the mmE and OFCL forecast errors were least for mOCHA. No model is found to be consistently better for landfall time forecast for AsANI, and the errors of ECmWF, ImD and HWRF were least and of same order for mOCHA. The intensity forecast errors of OFCL and sCIP were least for AsANI, and the forecast errors of HWRF, ImD, NCEP, sCIP and OFCL were comparable and least for mOCHA up to 48 h forecast and HWRF errors were least thereafter in general. The ECmWF model forecast errors for intensity were found to be highest for both the TCs. The results also show that although there is significant improvement of track forecasts and limited or no improvement of intensity forecast in previous decades but challenges still persists in real time forecasting of both track and intensity due to wide variation and inconsistency of model forecasts for different TC cases. (c) 2024 The shanghai Typhoon Institute of China meteorological Administration. Publishing services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communi

关键词： Tropical cyclone Track forecast Intensity forecast NWP model Bay of Bengal North Indian Ocean NORTH INDIAN-OCEAN INTENsITY PREDICTION ATLANTIC BAsIN TRACK FORECAsT LANDFALL PACIFIC mODEL EYE

Exploring van der Waals materials with high anisotropy:geometrical and optical approaches

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Light(science & Applications) 2024年第4期13卷 645-653页

作者： Aleksandr s.slavich Georgy A.Ermolaev mikhail K.Tatmyshevskiy Adilet N.Toksumakov Olga G.matveeva Dmitriy V.Grudinin Kirill V.Voronin Arslan mazitov Konstantin V.Kravtsov Alexander V.syuy Dmitry m.Tsymbarenko mikhail s.mironov sergey m.Novikov Ivan Kruglov Davit A.Ghazaryan Andrey A.Vyshnevyy Aleksey V.Arsenin Valentyn s.Volkov Kostya s.Novoselov moscow Center for Advanced studies Kulakova str.20Moscow 123592Russia. Emerging Technologies Research Center XPANCEOInternet CityEmmay TowerDubaiUnited Arab Emirates. Donostia International Physics Center(DIPC) Donostia/San-Sebastián 20018Spain. Institute of materials Ecole Polytechnique Federale de Lausanne1015 LausanneSwitzerland. Department of Chemistry Lomonosov Moscow State UniversityMoscow 119991Russia. Laboratory of Advanced Functional materials Yerevan State UniversityYerevan 0025Armenia. National Graphene Institute(NGI) University of ManchesterManchester M139PLUK. Department of materials science and Engineering National University of SingaporeSingapore 03-09 EASingapore. Institute for Functional Intelligent materials National University of Singapore117544 SingaporeSingapore

The emergence of van der Waals(vdW)materials resulted in the discovery of their high optical,mechanical,and electronic anisotropic properties,immediately enabling countless novel phenomena and *** success inspired an intensive search for the highest possible anisotropic properties among vdW ***,the identification of the most promising among the huge family of vdW materials is a challenging quest requiring innovative ***,we suggest an easy-to-use method for such a survey based on the crystallographic geometrical perspective of vdW materials followed by their optical *** our approach,we found As2s3 as a highly anisotropic vdW *** demonstrates high in-plane optical anisotropy that is~20%larger than for rutile and over two times as large as calcite,high refractive index,and transparency in the visible range,overcoming the century-long record set by *** these benefits,As2s3 opens a pathway towards nextgeneration nanophotonics as demonstrated by an ultrathin true zero-order quarter-wave plate that combines classical and the Fabry–Pérot optical phase ***,our approach provides an effective and easy-to-use method to find vdW materials with the utmost anisotropic properties.

关键词： anisotropy anisotropic high

The CCD instrument background of the smILE sXI

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Earth and Planetary Physics 2024年第1期8卷 15-24页

作者： m.W.J.Hubbard O.Hetherington D.J.Hall T.W.Buggey s.Parsons T.Arnold A.Holland C.Pagani s.sembay Centre for Electronic Imaging The Open UniversityMilton KeynesMK76AAUK X-ray and Observational Astronomy Group Department of Physics&AstronomyUniversity of LeicesterLE17RHUK

The EsA and CAs smILE mission orbit is highly elliptical and will pass through multiple radiation *** soft X-ray Imager(sXI)instrument aboard has a radiation shutter door designed to close when the surrounding radiation flux is *** shutter door will close when passing below an altitude threshold to protect against trapped particles in the Earth’s Van Allen ***,two radiation environments can be approximated based on the shutter door position:open and *** instrument background for the CCDs(Charge-Coupled Devices)that form the focal plane array of the sXI were evaluated for the two *** to the correlation of the space environment with the solar cycle,the solar minima and maxima,the background was also evaluated at these two *** results demonstrated that the highest instrument background will occur during solar minima due to the main contributing source being Galactic Cosmic Rays(GCRs).It was also found that the open background was highest for solar minima and that the closed background was highest during solar *** is due to the radiation shutter door acting as a scattering centre and the changes in the energy flux distribution of the GCRs between the two solar extremes.

关键词： instrument background X-ray astronomy space radiation

Ion heat transport in electron cyclotron resonance heated L-mode plasma on the T-10 tokamak

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Plasma science and Technology 2024年第4期26卷 52-60页

作者： V.A.KRUPIN m.R.NURGALIEV A.R.NEmETs I.A.ZEmTsOV s.D.sUNTsOV T.B.mYALTON D.s.sERGEEV N.A.sOLOVEV D.V.sARYCHEV D.V.RYJAKOV s.N.TUGARINOV N.N.NAUmENKO National Research Centre“Kurchatov Institute” Moscow 123182Russia Bauman moscow state Technical University Moscow 105005Russia Institution“Project Center ITER” Moscow 123098Russia JsC“sOLAR” Minsk 220034Belarus

Anomalous ion heat transport is analyzed in the T-10 tokamak plasma heated with electron cyclotron resonance heating(ECRH) in second-harmonic extra-ordinary mode. Predictive modeling with empirical scaling for Ohmical heat conductivity shows that in ECRH plasmas the calculated ion temperature could be overestimated, so an increase of anomalous ion heat transport is required. To study this effect two scans are presented: over the EC resonance position and over the ECRH power. The EC resonance position varies from the high-field side to the low-field side by variation of the toroidal magnetic field. The scan over the heating power is presented with on-axis and mixed ECRH regimes. Discharges with high anomalous ion heat transport are obtained in all considered regimes. In these discharges the power balance ion heat conductivity exceeds the neoclassical level by up to 10 times. The high ion heat transport regimes are distinguished by three parameters: the ratio Te/Ti, the normalized electron density gradient R/■, and the ion–ion collisionality νii~*. The combination of high Te/Ti, high νii~*, and R/■=6-10 results in values of normalized anomalous ion heat fluxes up to 10 times higher than in the low transport scenario.

关键词： tokamak L-mode electron cyclotron resonance heating ion heat transport