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Learning from the COVID-19 pandemic:A systematic review of mathematical vaccine prioritization models

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第4期9卷 1057-1080页

作者： gilberto Gonzalez-Parra Md Shahriar Mahmud Claus Kadelka Instituto de Matematica Multidisciplinar Universitat Politecnica de ValenciaValenciaSpain Department of Mathematics New Mexico Tech801 Leroy PlaceSocorro87801NMUSA Department of Mathematics Iowa State University411 Morrill RdAmes50011IAUSA

As the world becomes ever more connected,the chance of pandemics increases as *** recent COVID-19 pandemic and the concurrent global mass vaccine roll-out provides an ideal setting to learn from and refine our understanding of infectious disease models for better future *** this review,we systematically analyze and categorize mathematical models that have been developed to design optimal vaccine prioritization strategies of an initially limited *** older individuals are disproportionately affected by COVID-19,the focus is on models that take age explicitly into *** lower mobility and activity level of older individuals gives rise to non-trivial *** research questions concern the optimal time interval between vaccine doses and spatial vaccine *** review showcases the effect of various modeling assumptions on model outcomes.A solid understanding of these relationships yields better infectious disease models and thus public health decisions during the next pandemic.

关键词： Review Mathematical model Age COVID-19 Vaccine allocation Vaccine roll-out

Mathematical modeling for estimating influenza vaccine efficacy:A case study of the Valencian Community,Spain.

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第3期9卷 744-762页

作者： Carlos Andreu-Vilarroig Rafael J.Villanueva gilberto González-Parra Instituto de Matemática Multidisciplinar Universitat Politècnica de ValènciaValenciaSpain Department of Mathematics New Mexico TechSocorroNMUSA

Vaccine efficacy and its quantification is a crucial concept for the proper design of public health vaccination *** this work we proposed a mathematical model to estimate the efficacy of the influenza vaccine in a real-word *** particular,our model is a SEIR-type epidemiological model,which distinguishes vaccinated and unvaccinated ***,its dynamics is governed by a nonlinear system of ordinary differential equations,where the non-linearity arises from the effective contacts between susceptible and infected *** key aspects of this study is that we use a vaccine distribution over time that is based on real data specific to the elderly people in the Valencian Community and the calibration process takes into account that over one influenza season a specific proportion of the population becomes infected with *** consider the effectiveness of the vaccine,the model incorporates a parameter,the vaccine attenuation factor,which is related with the vaccine efficacy against the influenza *** this framework,in order to calibrate the model parameters and to obtain an influenza vaccine efficacy estimation,we considered the 2016–2017 influenza season in the Valencian Community,Spain,using the influenza reported cases of vaccinated and *** order to ensure the model identifiability,we choose to deterministically calibrate the parameters for different scenarios and we find the one with the minimum error in order to determine the vaccine *** calibration results suggest that the influenza vaccine developed for 2016–2017 influenza season has an efficacy of approximately 76.7%,and that the risk of becoming infected is five times higher for an unvaccinated individual in comparison with a vaccinated *** estimation partially agrees with some previous studies related to the influenza *** study presents a new integrated mathematical approach to study the influenza vaccine efficacy and gives f

关键词： Mathematical modeling Epidemiology SEIR Vaccine efficacy Influenza Valencian community

Robotic Surgery: An Effective Treatment Option for Epiphrenic Diverticulum Associated with Nutcracker Esophagus

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Surgical Science 2024年第1期15卷 1-6页

作者： Augusto Tinoco gilberto Carvalho Leonardo Tinoco Ana Paula Quintão Department of Digestive Surgery Hospital S&#227o Jos&#233 do Ava&#237 Itaperuna Brazil

Background: Epiphrenic Diverticulum is frequently associated with esophageal motility disorders, such as nutcrackers esophagus. The diagnosis is usually made using imaging studies such as a Barium esophagogram, and esophageal manometry. Surgical treatment options for epiphrenic diverticulum and EN include diverticulectomy and wide myotomy. Aim: The resection of three epiphrenic diverticula and extensive myotomy were performed by robotic thoracoscopy uneventfully. Case presentation: A 65-year-old female complaining of dysphagia for solid foods, Chest pain and regurgitation. Esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EDG) with difficulty in advancing the endoscope at 25 cm and demonstrating an ED, no hiatal hernia and normal stomach and duodenum. Barium Esophagogram showed multiple diverticula and tortuosity throughout the esophagus. Conclusion: With robotic surgery, surgeons can perform highly precise operations with enhanced 3D vision and control. Through this cutting-edge approach, the treatment of ED associated with EN can be drastically changed, promising better outcomes for patients.

关键词： Robotic Surgery Myotomy Nutcracker Esophagus Epiphrenic Diverticulum

Quantification of the Vertical Load Applied to the Pavement during Cornering Maneuver of a Battery Electric Commercial Vehicle

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Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering 2024年第5期12卷 207-213页

作者： Pablo Kubo Ney Siqueira gilberto Grossl Luis Welin Mairon Dobicz Marcio Andrade Department of Complete Vehicle Volvo Group North AmericaGreensboro 27409USA Department of Complete Vehicle Volvo Trucks BrazilCuritiba 81260-900Brazil

The wheel loads of heavy trucks are the major source of pavement damage,given the repeated loadings imposed by them due to transient events and surface *** related studies focus on steady-state context regarding simplified vehicle’s parameters and ideal pavement conditions,this paper aims to analyze the vertical load applied to the pavement by considering cornering maneuver as a transient event,on a battery electric vehicle *** this concern,measurements were performed on a rigid truck,with two steering front axles,in a closed course proving *** relationship has been presented between vehicle’s speed,lateral acceleration and transferred vertical load for a given curve radius of 85.6 m and 3.7°of transversal *** measurements results indicated that for every 10 km/h increasing on the vehicle’s speed,additional 110 kgf will be transferred to the pavement on the outer side of the cornering *** value itself could not be considered high,but it will be also added to the static load,or overload in some truck applications.

关键词： Load transfer durability vehicle dynamics

The Beneficial Effects of Components of Garlic (Allium sativum L.) in the Poultry Industry

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Food and Nutrition Sciences 2024年第1期15卷 27-57页

作者： Alejandra Meza-Rios gilberto Velazquez-Juarez Inkar Castellanos-Huerta Rocio Ivette Lopez-Roa Luis A. Anguiano-Sevilla Xochitl Hernanez-Velasco Xochitl Hernanez-Velasco Saeed El-Ashram Ebtsam Al-Olayan Billy Hargis Guillermo Tellez-Isaias Adelaida Sara Minia Zepeda-Morales Departamento de Farmacobiología CUCEI Universidad de Guadalajara Blvd. M. García Barragán Guadalajara México Laboratorio de Análisis Fisicoquímicos Externos Departamento de Química CUCEI Universidad de Guadalajara Boulevard Marcelino García Barragán Guadalajara México Center of Excellence for Poultry Science Department of Poultry Science Dale Bumpers College of Agricultural Food and Life Sciences University of Arkansas Cumberland United States Laboratorio de Investigación y Desarrollo Farmacéutico Departamento de Farmacobiología CUCEI Universidad de Guadalajara Boulevard Marcelino García Barragán Guadalajara México Departamento de Medicina y Zootecnia de Aves Facultad de Medicina Veterinaria y Zootecnia UNAM Mexico Mexico Zoology Department Faculty of Science Kafrelsheikh University Kafr El-Sheikh Egypt Department of Zoology College of Science King Saud University Riyadh Saudi Arabia Laboratorio de Análisis Clínicos y Bacteriológicos (vinculación) Departamento de Farmacobiología CUCEI Universidad de Guadalajara Boulevard Marcelino García Barragán Guadalajara México

Plant-based antimicrobial agents are readily available, cost-effective, and exhibit low toxicity, making them promising alternatives in combatting microbial infections. Among these plants, garlic (Allium sativum) stands out for its traditional medicinal use in effectively combating various microorganisms. In the poultry industry, preventing avian virus and bacterial infections is paramount for chicken husbandry. However, using conventional drugs poses potential risks to human health. Garlic, a widely used Asian plant in traditional medicine for various pathologies, has shown potential as an herbal prophylactic remedy against viral and bacterial infections. Recently, researchers explored garlic and its derivatives as a scientific strategy in veterinary practices for diverse purposes, such as improving poultry production characteristics and acting as antibiotic growth promoters. This comprehensive review delves into garlic and its derivatives as preventive and corrective treatments for viral diseases in laying hens and broilers. The paper highlights their potential effectiveness and safety as a natural means to enhance poultry health and welfare while mitigating the risks associated with conventional drug usage in the food industry.

关键词： Garlic Antiviral Veterinary Chickens Allium sativum

Chaplygin gas of Tachyon Nature Imposed by Noether Symmetry and constrained via H(z)data

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Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics 2016年第4期16卷 113-120页

作者： Lucas Gardai Collodel gilberto Medeiros Kremer Departamento de Ffsica Universidade Federal do Parana81531-980 CuritibaBrazil

An action of general form is proposed for a Universe containing matter, radiation and dark energy. The latter is interpreted as a tachyon field non-minimally coupled to the scalar curvature. The Palatini approach is used when varying the action so the connection is given by a more generic form. Both the self-interaction potential and the non-minimally coupling function are obtained by constraining the system to present invariability under global point transformation of the fields （Noether Symmetry）. The only possible solution is shown to be that of minimal coupling and constant potential （Chaplygin gas）. The behavior of the dynamical properties of the system is compared to recent observational data, which infers that the tachyon field must indeed be dynamical.

关键词： cosmology: cosmological parameters -- cosmology: theory -- cosmology: observations --dark energy

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Stellar structure model in hydrostatic equilibrium in the context of f(R)-gravity

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Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics 2017年第12期17卷 31-40页

作者： Raíla Andr gilberto M.Kremer Departamento de Fisica Universidade Federal do Parana81531-980 CuritibaBrazil Manipal Centre for Natural Sciences Manipal UniversityManipal 576104India

In this work we present a stellar structure model from the f（R）-gravity point of view capable of describing some classes of stars（white dwarfs, brown dwarfs, neutron stars, red giants and the Sun）. This model is based on f（R）-gravity field equations for f（R） = R ＋ f2R2, hydrostatic equilibrium equation and a polytropic equation of state. We compare the results obtained with those found by Newtonian theory. It has been observed that in these systems, where high curvature regimes emerge,stellar structure equations undergo modifications. Despite the simplicity of this model, the results are satisfactory. The estimated values of pressure, density and temperature of the stars are within those determined by observations. This f（R）-gravity model has proved to be necessary to describe stars with strong fields such as white dwarfs, neutron stars and brown dwarfs, while stars with weaker fields, such as red giants and the Sun, are best described by Newtonian theory.

关键词： cosmology:theory stars:general massive brown dwarfs white dwarfs neutron

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Exclusion of tourist species from assemblages in ecological studies:a methodological approach using spiders

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Ecological Processes 2022年第1期11卷 825-844页

作者： María Florencia Nadal Alda González gilberto Avalos Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas(CONICET) Buenos AiresArgentina Laboratorio de Biología de los Artrópodos Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales y AgrimensuraUniversidad Nacional del NordesteAvenida Libertad 54703400 CorrientesArgentina Centro de Estudios Parasitológicos y de Vectores(CEPAVE-UNLP) Boulevard 120 s/n(e/60-64)1900 La PlataArgentina

Background:The exclusion of tourist species from samples is important to avoid bias in community ***,in practice,this is a very difficult *** commonly used methods by researchers,when the habitat of the species is not known,have several shortcomings:first,they exclude not only pseudo-rare species but also genuinely rare species;second,the results obtained with those methods depend on the abundance of the sampling;and third,they follow very subjective *** aims of this study were:(i)to propose a methodology to detect and exclude habitat-tourist species from the database used to carry out analyses in community ecology studies,(ii)to evaluate how the presence of habitat-tourist species affects the richness estimates,and(iii)to assess the effect of including juvenile spiders in the detection of tourist species and the effect of removing them from the richness ***:When the adult+juvenile dataset was considered,twenty-one habitat-tourist species were detected:8 in forest foliage,11 in forest leaf litter,and 2 in *** habitat-tourist species were considered with this dataset,richness overestimation was significant in foliage and in leaf litter,and the final slopes of the richness estimation curves were significantly steeper in leaf *** only the adult dataset was considered,eight habitat-tourist species were detected:3 in forest foliage,4 in forest leaf litter,and just one in *** inclusion of habitat-tourist species in this dataset showed an overestimation of richness,but this was not ***:The proposed methodology contributes to solving the problem of tourist species,which was recognized as one of the great problems in biodiversity *** study showed that common estimators overestimate species richness when habitat-tourist species are included,leading to erroneous ***,this research showed that the inclusion of juveniles(***)could improve the analysis outputs be

关键词： Pseudo-rare species Richness estimation Indicator value Habitat

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The role of isotropic and anisotropic Hubbard corrections for the magnetic ordering and absolute band alignment of hematite α-Fe2O3(0001)surfaces

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2019年第3期29卷 349-355页

作者： Sateesh Bandaru Ivan Scivetti Chi-Yung Yam gilberto Teobaldi School of Chemical and Bioprocess Engineering University College Dublin Beijing Computational Science Research Center Stephenson Institute for Renewable Energy Department of ChemistryThe University of Liverpool Scientific Computing Department Science and Technology Facilities CouncilDaresbury Laboratory

An isotropic (+U) and anisotropic [+(U-J)] corrected Density Functional Theory study for bulk hematite (α-Fe2O3) was carried out,and several competing terminations of its (0001) surface modeled via slabs of increasing thickness from twelve to thirty-six *** spite of small quantitative differences,the use of either U or (U-J)corrections showed not to qualitatively affect the results of the simulations both for bulkα-Fe2O3and the lowestenergyα-Fe2O3(0001) surface studied,regardless of the thickness of the slab *** energy favored antiferromagnetic ordering of bulkα-Fe2O3was preserved in the relaxed slabs,with the largest surface-induced effects limited to the outermost three Fe-layers in the *** O-and Fe-terminations were found to be energetically favored and ***,fully O-or Fe-terminated surfaces were calculated to be energetically disfavored and ***,the role of Fe-or O-termination for the semiconducting or metallic nature as well as absolute band alignment ofα-Fe2O3(0001) surfaces was analyzed and discussed with respect to the challenges in enhancing the activity ofα-Fe2O3samples as photo-electrode for water splitting.

关键词： Hematite α-Fe2O3 Surfaces Photo-electrodes Density functional theory Electronic properties Magnetic properties