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Mathematical modeling of malaria transmission dynamics in humans with mobility and control states

Infectious Disease Modelling 2023年第4期8卷 1015-1031页

作者： gbenga adegbite Sunday Edeki Itunuoluwa Isewon Jerry Emmanuel Titilope Dokunmu Solomon Rotimi Jelili Oyelade Ezekiel Adebiyi Covenant University Bioinformatics Research Covenant UniversityOtaNigeria Department of Computer and Information Sciences Covenant UniversityOtaNigeria Department of Mathematics Covenant UniversityOtaNigeria Department of Biochemistry Covenant UniversityOtaNigeria Covenant Applied Informatics and Communications-African Centre of Excellence Covenant UniversityOtaOgun StateNigeria Division of Applied Bioinformatics German Cancer Research Center(DKFZ)HeidelbergGermany

Malaria importation is one of the hypothetical drivers of malaria transmission dynamics across the *** studies on malaria importation focused on the effect of the use of conventional malaria control strategies as approved by the World Health Organization(WHO)on malaria transmission dynamics but did not capture the effect of the use of traditional malaria control strategies by vigilant *** order to handle the aforementioned situation,a novel system of Ordinary Differential Equations(ODEs)was developed comprising the human and the malaria vector *** of the system was carried out to assess its quantitative *** novel computational algorithm used to solve the developed system of ODEs was implemented and benchmarked with the existing Runge-Kutta numerical solution ***,simulations of different vigilant conditions useful to control malaria were carried *** novel system of malaria models was well-posed and epidemiologically meaningful based on its quantitative *** novel algorithm performed relatively better in terms of model simulation accuracy than *** the best model-fit condition of 98%vigilance to the use of conventional and traditional malaria control strategies,this study revealed that malaria importation has a persistent impact on malaria transmission *** lieu of this,this study opined that total vigilance to the use of the WHO-approved and traditional malaria management tools would be the most effective control strategy against malaria importation.

关键词： Malaria importation Traditional malaria control Ordinary differential equation Quantitative properties Novel algorithm Runge-Kutta

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