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Proba.ilistic Seismic Risk a.sessment in Ma.iza.es,Colombia. Qua.tifying Losses for Insura.ce Purposes

Interna.iona. Journa. of Disa.ter Risk Science 2017年第3期8卷 296-307页

作者： Ma.io a. Sa.ga.o-Gálvez gabriel a. bernal Da.iela.Zuloa.a.Ma.el C. Ma.ula.da.Oma.-Da.ío Ca.dona.Seba.tián Hena. Centre Interna.iona. de Metodes Numerics en Enginyeria.CIMNE) 08034 BarcelonaSpain INGENIa. Ltda. BogotaD.C.110221Colombia Instituto de Estudios a.bienta.es(IDEa. Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede ManizalesManizales 170004Colombia Universida. Na.iona. de Colombia.Sede Ma.iza.es Manizales 170004Colombia

a.fully proba.ilistic seismic risk a.sessment wa. developed in Ma.iza.es, Colombia. considering a.sets of different types. The first type includes elements tha. a.e pa.t of the wa.er a.d sewa.e network, a.d the second type includes public a.d priva.e buildings. This a.sessment required the development of a.proba.ilistic seismic ha.a.d a.a.ysis tha. a.counts for the dyna.ic soil response,a.sembling high resolution exposure da.a.a.es, a.d the development of da.a.e models for different types of elements. The economic a.pra.sa. of the exposed a.sets wa. developed together with specia.ists of the wa.er utilities compa.y of Ma.iza.es a.d the city a.ministra.ion. The risk a.sessment wa. performed using severa. Comprehensive a.proa.h to Proba.ilistic Risk a.sessment modules a. well a. the R-System, obta.ning results in terms of tra.itiona. metrics such a. loss exceeda.ce curve, a.era.e a.nua. loss, a.d proba.le ma.imum loss. For the ca.e of pipelines, repa.r ra.es were a.so estima.ed. The results for the wa.er a.d sewa.e network were used in a.tivities rela.ed to the expa.sion a.d ma.ntena.ce stra.egies, a. well a. for the explora.ion of fina.cia. retention a.d tra.sfer a.terna.ives using insura.ce schemes ba.ed on technica.,proba.ilistic, a.d prospective da.a.e a.d loss *** the ca.e of the buildings, the results were used in the upda.e of the technica. premium va.ues of the existing collective insura.ce scheme.

关键词： Ca.RA Ea.thqua.e insura.ce Ma.iza.es (Colombia. Proba.ilistic seismic risk a.sessment Risk retention a.d tra.sfer

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Integra.ion of Proba.ilistic a.d Multi-Ha.a.d Risk a.sessment Within Urba. Development Pla.ning a.d Emergency Prepa.edness a.d Response: a.plica.ion to Ma.iza.es,Colombia

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Interna.iona. Journa. of Disa.ter Risk Science 2017年第3期8卷 270-283页

作者： gabriel a.bernal Ma.io a.Sa.ga.o-Gálvez Da.iela.Zuloa.a.Julián Trista.cho Dia.a.González Oma.-Da.ío Ca.dona INGENIa. Ltda Centre Interna.iona. de Metodes Numerics en Enginyeria.CIMNE) Universida. Distrita. Fra.cisco Joséde Ca.da. Instituto de Estudios a.bienta.es(IDEa. Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Manizales

The deta.ls of a.multi-ha.a.d a.d proba.ilistic risk a.sessment, developed for urba. pla.ning a.d emergency response a.tivities in Ma.iza.es, Colombia. a.e presented in this a.ticle. This risk a.sessment effort wa. developed under the fra.ework of a. integra. disa.ter risk ma.a.ement project whose goa. wa. to connect risk reduction a.tivities by using open a.cess a.d sta.e-of-thea.t risk models. a.proba.ilistic a.proa.h wa. used for the a.a.ysis of seismic, la.dslide, a.d volca.ic ha.a.ds to obta.n stocha.tic event sets suita.le for proba.ilistic loss estima.ion a.d to genera.e risk results in different metrics a.ter a.grega.ing in a.rigorous wa. the losses a.socia.ed to the different ha.a.ds. Deta.led a.d high resolution exposure da.a.a.es were used for the building stock a.d infra.tructure of the city together with a.set of vulnera.ility functions for ea.h of the perils considered. The urba. a.d territoria. ordering pla. of the city wa. upda.ed for socioeconomic development a.d la.d use using the ha.a.d a.d risk inputs a.d determina.ts, which cover not only the current urba. a.ea.but a.so those a.ja.ent a.ea. where the expa.sion of Ma.iza.es is expected to occur. The emergency response ca.a.ilities of the city were improved by ta.ing into a.count risk scena.ios a.d a.ter upda.ing a.a.toma.ic a.d rea.-time post-ea.thqua.e da.a.e a.sessment.

关键词： Emergency response Ma.iza.es (Colombia. Multi-ha.a.d risk a.sessment Proba.ilistic ha.a.d a.a.ysis Proba.ilistic risk a.sessment Urba. pla.ning

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Continuous a.omorphine Infusion in Pa.ients with a.va.ced Pa.kinson’s Disea.e with Va.ying Degrees of Functiona. Impa.rment

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Journa. of Beha.iora. a.d Bra.n Science 2016年第10期6卷 393-403页

作者： gabriel Sa.a.a. Ma.ta.Fra.oso Jona.a. Ma.tí Noelia.Ma.tín Rosó bernal Neurology Depa.tment Hospital Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa Barcelona Spain Da.-Hospita. Nursing Depa.tment Hospital Consorci Sanitari de Terrassa Barcelona Spain

Introduction: Continuous a.omorphine infusion (Ca.) is effective in improving complica.ions in a.va.ced Pa.kinson’s disea.e (a.D). The effectiveness a.d tolera.ce of Ca. in pa.ients with a.D with va.ying degrees of functiona. impa.rment wa. studied. Methods: In this compa.a.ive observa.iona. study, consecutive a.D who sta.ted trea.ment with Ca. were included. They were cla.sified into two groups of functiona. impa.rment: a. modera.e (Schwa. a.d Engla.d (S & E) = 60% - 80% a.d Hoehn a.d Ya.r (H & Y) = 2 - 3;Group (a., a.d (B) severe (S & E 3;Group B). Clinica. follow-up wa. performed with concomita.t medica.ion a.d Ca. a.justment a. 3, 6 a.d 12 months. Clinica. eva.ua.ion included a.dyskinesia.dia.y a.d a.MS, S & E, NPI, NMSS a.d Ha.S questionna.res. Results: Eighteen pa.ients pa.ticipa.ed (a.= 9 a.d B = 9) with EP dia.nosed 7 (a. a.d 13 (B) yea.s before. Their ba.eline dose of levodopa.wa. 728 mg (a. a.d 925 mg (B), which did not cha.ge during follow-up. Dopa.ine a.onists were progressively reduced in both groups. Progressive titra.ion of Ca. resulted in a.a.donment of a.omorphine bolus a.ministra.ion. Both groups experienced improvements in a.l va.ia.les, higher in group a.motor fluctua.ions = 69% (a., 53% (B);a.MS = 82% (a., 71 (B);S & E = 32% (a., 18% (B);NMS = 62% (a., 19% (B);NPI = 75% (a., 50% (B);Ha.S (a.xiety) = 26% (a., 21% (B);Ha.S (depression) = 52% (a., 31% (B). a.verse effects were genera.ly mild a.d resolved without reducing Ca. dose. There were no withdra.a.s. Conclusions: Pa.ients with a.D a.d modera.e functiona. impa.rment trea.ed with Ca. ma. obta.n grea.er functiona., cognitive a.d emotiona. improvement tha. pa.ients more severely a.fected.

关键词： Pa.kinson’s Disea.e a.o Morphine Continuous Dopa.inergic Stimula.ion

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