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Mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model for stochastic monthly streamflow simulation

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Water Science and Engineering 2024年第1期17卷 13-20页

作者： Wen-zhuo Wang zeng-chuan Dong Tian-yan Zhang Li Ren Lian-qing Xue Teng Wu College of Water Resources and Hydrology Hohai UniversityNanjing 210098China Yellow River Research Center Hohai UniversityNanjing 210098China

Copula functions have been widely used in stochastic simulation and prediction of streamflow.However,existing models are usually limited to single two-dimensional or three-dimensional copulas with the same bivariate block for all months.To address this limitation,this study developed a mixed D-vine copula-based conditional quantile model that can capture temporal correlations.This model can generate streamflow by selecting different historical streamflow variables as the conditions for different months and by exploiting the conditional quantile functions of streamflows in different months with mixed D-vine copulas.The up-to-down sequential method,which couples the maximum weight approach with the Akaike information criteria and the maximum likelihood approach,was used to determine the structures of multivariate Dvine copulas.The developed model was used in a case study to synthesize the monthly streamflow at the Tangnaihai hydrological station,the inflow control station of the Longyangxia Reservoir in the Yellow River Basin.The results showed that the developed model outperformed the commonly used bivariate copula model in terms of the performance in simulating the seasonality and interannual variability of streamflow.This model provides useful information for water-related natural hazard risk assessment and integrated water resources management and utilization.

关键词： Stochastic monthly streamflow simulation Mixed D-vine copula Conditional quantile model Up-to-down sequential method Tangnaihai hydrological station

Anti-psoriasis molecular targets and active components discovery of Optimized Yinxieling Formula via affinity-purified strategy

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Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines 2024年第2期22卷 127-136页

作者： WANG Wei LIU Lijuan YANG zhuo LU Chuanjian TU Pengfei ZHAO Ruizhi zeng Kewu State Key Laboratory of Natural and Biomimetic Drugs School of Pharmaceutical SciencesPeking UniversityBeijing 100191China State Key Laboratory of Dampness Syndrome of Chinese Medicine The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese MedicineGuangzhou 510006China

Psoriasis,a prevalent inherited skin condition,involves an inflammatory response as a key pathogenic mechanism.The Optimized Yinxieling Formula(OYF),rooted in traditional Chinese medicine,is extensively utilized in clinical settings to treat psoriasis.Although previous studies have demonstrated OYF’s significant anti-inflammatory effects in psoriasis,its potential molecular targets and active components remain unexplored.This study aimed to unveil the anti-psoriasis molecular targets and active components of OYF.Our findings indicated that OYF extract markedly reduced the production of several inflammatory mediators,including IL-23,nitric oxide,TNF-α,and IL-1β,in LPS-induced RAW264.7 cells.We synthesized OYF extract-crosslinked beads to isolate pharmacological targets from RAW264.7 lysates using an affinity purification strategy,known as Target Fishing.The enriched target proteins were subsequently identified via LC-MS/MS,followed by bioinformatics analysis to map the psoriasis-associated pathway-gene network.We identified a total of 76 potential target proteins,which were highly associated with mRNA transcription mechanisms.In particular,pathway-gene network analysis revealed that the IL-23 inflammatory pathway was involved in the anti-psoriasis effect of OYF extract.We further utilized a target protein-based affinity capture strategy,combined with LC-MS and SPR analysis,to globally screen OYF’s active components,focusing on the mRNA transcription regulator,fused in sarcoma(FUS).This process led to the identification of umbelliferone,vanillic acid,protocatechuic acid,gentisic acid,and echinacoside as key compounds targeting FUS to inhibit IL-23 expression.Additionally,we formulated a compound cocktail(CpdC),which significantly reduced psoriasis area and severity index(PASI)scores and the expressions of IL-23 and Ki67 in an imiquimod(IMQ)-induced psoriasis mouse model.Collectively,our study elucidates the primary molecular targets and active components of OYF,offering novel insights for psoriasis treatment.

关键词： Psoriasis Optimized Yinxieling Formula(OYF) FUS protein Molecular targets Affinity-purified strategy

Review on frost resistance and anti-clogging of pervious concrete

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Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering(English Edition) 2024年第3期11卷 481-496页

作者： zhuo Wang Zhichen Liu Feng zeng Kun He Shuaicheng Guo China Railway Construction Group Co. Ltd.Beijing 100040China State Key Laboratory of Bridge Safety and Resilience College of Civil EngineeringHunan UniversityChangsha 410082China

Pervious concrete is a special type of concrete that is of high porosity and contains no or a small amount of fine aggregate,and it is an important basic material for sponge city construction.The presence of a large number of connected pores inside pervious concrete leads to a marked difference in durability failure mechanism compared with that of ordinary concrete.In this study,the frost resistance and anti-clogging of pervious concrete were introduced in detail,and the methods to improve their performance were summarized systematically.The cracking pattern of pervious concrete is influenced by geometric characteristics and three-dimensional morphological features of pores,resulting in its crack generation,development,and geometry being significantly different from those of ordinary concrete,thus leading to different freeze-thaw cycle mechanisms.In addition,due to its different pore structure compared to ordinary concrete,three types of clogging mechanisms,affecting the long-term permeability of pervious concrete were elaborated systematically(i.e.,physical clogging,biological clogging,and chemical clogging).And the ways to improve the anti-clogging of pervious concrete are systematically presented from multiple perspectives.Finally,in order to broaden the engineering applications of pervious concrete,some research proposals are presented in this study.

关键词： Pervious concrete Connected pore Frost resistance Clogging mechanism

Switching,explosion,and chaos of multi-wavelength soliton states in ultrafast fiber lasers

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Science China(Physics,Mechanics & Astronomy) 2024年第7期67卷 82-90页

作者： Zhi-zeng Si Yue-Yue Wang Chao-qing Dai College of Optical Mechanical and Electrical EngineeringZhejiang A&F UniversityLin’an 311300China

Because of the complexity and difficulty of realizing a multi-wavelength soliton state,reports on its internal dynamic characteristics are scarce.In this study,the switching and periodic soliton explosion processes of the multi-wavelength soliton state in a negative dispersion passively mode-locked fiber laser are realized.The generation of the multi-wavelength soliton state undergoes the process of noise,oscillation,and stable mode-locking,and the splitting and annihilation of solitons with different group velocities directly impact the generation and disappearance of three wavelengths.Positive and negative dispersion lead to different group velocities of solitons.The presence and displacement of solitons with different group velocities cause soliton collisions,which lead to soliton explosions.A soliton experiences relative phase oscillation,chaos,and oscillation,as well as convergence and separation before and after an explosion.With an increase in parameters related to pump power,single-soliton oscillation,multi-wavelength solitons,and chaos are found in experiments and simulations,proving the relevance and reliability between simulation and experimental results.This work promotes the dynamical study of multi-soliton collisions in nonlinear science and the development of chaos theory in multi-comb lasers.

关键词： multi-wavelength fiber laser soliton explosion chaos state switching real-time dynamics

A newly proposed heatstroke-induced coagulopathy score in patients with heat illness: A multicenter retrospective study in China

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Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2024年第2期27卷 83-90页

作者： qing-Wei Lin Lin-Cui Zhong Long-Ping He qing-Bo zeng Wei Zhang qing Song Jing-Chun Song Department of Critical Care Medicine The 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistic Support ForcesNanchang360104Jiangsu ProvinceChina Department of Emergency Medicine The 900th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistic Support ForcesFuzhou350000China Department of Critical Care Medicine Hainan Hospital of Chinese PLA General HospitalSanya572013Hainan ProvinceChina

Purpose:In patients with heatstroke, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) is associated with greater risk of in-hospital mortality. However, time-consuming assays or a complex diagnostic system may delay immediate treatment. Therefore, the present study proposes a new heatstroke-induced coagulopathy (HIC) score in patients with heat illness as an early warning indicator for DIC.Methods:This retrospective study enrolled patients with heat illness in 24 Chinese hospitals from March 2021 to May 2022. Patients under 18 years old, with a congenital clotting disorder or liver disease, or using anticoagulants were excluded. Data were collected on demographic characteristics, routine blood tests, conventional coagulation assays and biochemical indexes. The risk factors related to coagulation function in heatstroke were identified by regression analysis, and used to construct a scoring system for HIC. The data of patients who met the diagnostic criteria for HIC and International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis defined-DIC were analyzed. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 26.0.Results:The final analysis included 302 patients with heat illness, of whom 131 (43.4%) suffered from heatstroke, including 7 death (5.3%). Core temperature (OR = 1.681, 95% CI 1.291 - 2.189, p < 0.001), prothrombin time (OR = 1.427, 95% CI 1.175 - 1.733, p < 0.001) and D-dimer (OR = 1.242, 95% CI 1.049 - 1.471, p = 0.012) were independent risk factors for heatstroke, and therefore used to construct an HIC scoring system because of their close relation with abnormal coagulation. A total score ≥ 3 indicated HIC, and HIC scores correlated with the score for International Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis-DIC (r = 0.8848, p < 0.001). The incidence of HIC (27.5%) was higher than that of DIC (11.2%) in all of 131 heatstroke patients. Meanwhile, the mortality rate of HIC (19.4%) was lower than that of DIC (46.7%). When HIC developed into DIC, parameters of coagulation dysfunction changed significantly: platelet count decrea

关键词： Heat illness Heatstroke Coagulation disorders Diagnosis Disseminated intravascular coagulation

Investigation of Quantum Dot Color Filter Micro-LED Display

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Photonic Sensors 2024年第1期14卷 40-47页

作者： Xuhui PENG Yang zeng Sitao HUO Zhenyuan YANG Xiaoping HUANG qing ZHAO School of Resources and Environment University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaChengdu 611731China Yangtze Delta Region Institute(Huzhou) University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaHuzhou 313001China Shanghai Tianma Microelectronics Shanghai 201201China

In this work,we present the investigation of the quantum dot color filter(QDCF)micro-light emitting diode(micro-LED)display.Green and red quantum dot photoresist(QDPR)materials are patterned into a pixelated array and precisely bonded with an all-blue micro-light emitting diode(micro-LED)substrate,forming a red,green,and blue(RGB)full color display through color conversion.A few factors that influence the achievable color gamut are further investigated.The resulting 1.1-inch 228-pixels per inch(ppi)display demo shows the good performance.The findings in this paper pave a way to the future industrialization of the micro-LED display.

关键词： Quantum dot color filter(QDCF) color conversion micro-light emitting diode(micro-LED) color gamut

South China Sea Typhoon Hagibis enhanced Xinfengjiang Reservoir seismicity

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Earthquake Science 2024年第3期37卷 210-223页

作者： Peng Zhang Xinlei Sun Yandi zeng zhuo Xiao Runqing Huang State Key Laboratory of Isotope Geochemistry Guangzhou Institute of GeochemistryGuangzhou 510640China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China College of Geosciences Chengdu University of TechnologyChengdu 610059China College of Artificial Intelligence Guangxi Minzu UniversityNanning 530006China

There was an evident increase in the number of earthquakes in the Xinfengjiang Reservoir from June to July 2014 after the landing of Typhoon Hagibis.To understand the spatial and temporal evolution of this microseismicity,we built a high-precision earthquake catalog for 2014 and relocated 2275 events using recently developed methods for event picking and catalog construction.Seismicity occurred in the southeastern part of the reservoir,with the preferred fault plane orientation aligned along the Heyuan Fault.The total seismic energy peaked when the typhoon passed through the reservoir,and seismicity correlated with typhoon energy.In contrast,a limited seismic response was observed during the later Typhoon Rammasun.Combining data regarding the water level in the Xinfengjiang Reservoir and seismicity frequency changes in the Taiwan region during these two typhoon events,we suggest that typhoon activity may increase microseism energy by impacting fault stability around the Xinfengjiang Reservoir.Whether a fault can be activated also depends on how close the stress accumulation is to its failure point.

关键词： typhoon seismicity analysis earthquake detection spatio-temporal evolution characteristics microseisms

El Niño and the AMO Sparked the Astonishingly Large Margin of Warming in the Global Mean Surface Temperature in 2023

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Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 2024年第6期41卷 1017-1022页

作者： Kexin LI Fei ZHENG Jiang ZHU qing-Cun zeng International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters Nanjing University of Information Science&TechnologyNanjing 210044China University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049China

In 2023,the majority of the Earth witnessed its warmest boreal summer and autumn since 1850.Whether 2023 will indeed turn out to be the warmest year on record and what caused the astonishingly large margin of warming has become one of the hottest topics in the scientific community and is closely connected to the future development of human society.We analyzed the monthly varying global mean surface temperature(GMST)in 2023 and found that the globe,the land,and the oceans in 2023 all exhibit extraordinary warming,which is distinct from any previous year in recorded history.Based on the GMST statistical ensemble prediction model developed at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics,the GMST in 2023 is predicted to be 1.41℃±0.07℃,which will certainly surpass that in 2016 as the warmest year since 1850,and is approaching the 1.5℃ global warming threshold.Compared to 2022,the GMST in 2023 will increase by 0.24℃,with 88%of the increment contributed by the annual variability as mostly affected by El Niño.Moreover,the multidecadal variability related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation(AMO)in 2023 also provided an important warming background for sparking the GMST rise.As a result,the GMST in 2023 is projected to be 1.15℃±0.07℃,with only a 0.02℃ increment,if the effects of natural variability—including El Niño and the AMO—are eliminated and only the global warming trend is considered.

关键词： record-breaking temperature global mean surface temperature El Niño AMO global warming

Integrative transcriptome analysis identifies MYBL2 as a poor prognosis marker for osteosarcoma and a pan-cancer marker of immune infiltration

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Genes & Diseases 2024年第3期11卷 351-367页

作者： Xinzhu Quiu Hongbo He Hao zeng Xiaopeng Tongg Can Zhang Yupeng Liu Zhan Liao qing Liu Department of Orthopaedics Xiangya HospitalCentral South UniversityChangshaHunan 410008China National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders Xiangya HospitalChangshaHunan 410008China Department of Sports Medicine Research Center of Sports MedicineXiangya HospitalCentral South UniversityChangshaHunan 410008China

MYBL2(MYB proto-oncogene like 2)is an emerging prognostic marker for malignant tumors,and its potential role in osteosarcoma and its relationship with immune infiltration in pan-cancer is yet to be elucidated.We constructed a transcription factor activity profile of os-teosarcoma using the single-cell regulatory network inference algorithm based on single-cell RNA sequencing data obtained from the Gene Expression Omnibus.Subsequently,we calcu-lated the extent of MYBL2 activation in malignant proliferative osteoblasts.We also explored the association between MYBL2 and chemotherapy resistance in osteosarcoma.Furthermore,we systematically correlated MYBL2 with immunological signatures in the tumor microenviron-ment in pan-cancer,including immune cell infiltration,immune checkpoints,and tumor immu-notherapy prognosis.Finally,we developed and validated a risk score(MRGS),derived an osteosarcoma risk score nomogram based on MRGS,and tested its ability to predict prognosis.MYBL2 and gene enrichment analyses in osteosarcoma and pan-cancer revealed that MYBL2 was positively correlated with cell proliferation and tumor immune pathways.MYBL2 expres-sion positively correlated with SLC19A1 in pan-cancer and osteosarcoma cell lines.Pan-cancer immune infiltration analysis revealed that MYBL2 was correlated with myeloid-derived sup-pressor cells,Th2 cell infiltration,CD276,RELT gene expression,and tumor mutation burden.

关键词： Biomarker Immunecheckpoint MYBL2 Osteosarcoma Pan-cancer