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Interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation and its influence on East Asian climate during boreal winter and spring

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Science china Earth sciences 2006年第5期49卷 554-560页

作者： FAN Ke1,2,3 & wang huijun2 1. Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, institute of atmospheric physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china 2. Department of atmospheric Science, Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, china 3. Graduate University of the chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100049, china Nansen-Zhu International Research Center Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Department of atmospheric Science Yunnan University Kunming China Graduate University of the chinese academy of sciences Beijing China

The interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) and its influence on East Asian climate during both boreal winter and spring are addressed. The results show that the positive AAO anomaly decreases the cold activity over East Asia during both boreal winter and spring. AAO-related barotropic meridional teleconnection from Antarctic to Arctic is found through analysis of mean me- ridional circulations. This meridional teleconnection is remarkable over Eurasia during boreal winter and over the Pacific Ocean during boreal spring. The results also show that zonal mean zonal wind at high latitudes in Southern Hemisphere has well positive correlation with that of Eurasia during boreal winter and has negative correlation with Pacific North American teleconnection (PNA) during boreal spring, which again display the meridional teleconnection. Thus, local meridional teleconnection is a possible linkage for interaction of circulations at mid-high latitudes between both hemispheres.

关键词： Antarctic Oscillation, Eurasian west wind, meridional teleconnection, mean meridional circulation.

Determination of the optical thickness and effective particle radius of clouds from transmitted solar radiation measurements

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第10期17卷 1199-1207页

作者： wang Yue, Lü Daren and Huo Juan(Laboratory for Middle Atmosphere and Global Environment Observation, institute of atmospheric physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china) Laboratory for Middle Atmosphere and Global Environment Observation Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Acad. of Sci. Beijing 100029 China

A method is presented for determining the optical thickness (τc) and effective particle radius (re) of stratiform cloud layers from transmitted solar radiation measurements. A detailed study shows that the cloud optical thickness and effective particle radius of water clouds can be determined from transmission function measurements at 0.75 and 2.13 μm, provided that the scaled optical thickness τ′0.75>1 and re>5 μm. The wavelengths adopted by our study are similar to the channels of the moderate resolution imaging spectrometer (MODIS). The proposed method is invalid for optically thin clouds since transmission at 2.13 μm is less sensitive to re. The retrieval errors of τ′0.75 and re monotonically decrease with increasing τc. For clouds having τ′0.75≥2, the retrieval errors of τ′0.75 and re are below 10% and 20%, respectively. Transmissions at 0.75 and 1.65 μm can also be used to retrieve τc and re.

关键词： transmitted solar radiation ground-based retrieval cloud optical thickness cloud effective particle radius.

Variational iteration solving method of a sea-air oscillator model for the ENSO

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第2期17卷 230-232页

作者： MO Jiaqi, LIN Wantao and wang Hui ( Department of Mathematics, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241000, china Division of Computational Science, E-institutes of Shanghai Universities, at SJTU, Shanghai 200240, china lasg, institute of atmospheric physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china chinese academy of Meteorological sciences, beijing 100081, china) Department of Mathematics Anhui Normal University Wuhu 241000 China Division of Computational Science E-Institutes of Shanghai Universities at SJTU Shanghai 200240 China lasg Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China chinese academy of Meteorological sciences Beijing 100081 China

A time delay equation for sea-air oscillator model is studied. The aim is to create an asymtotic solving method of nonlinear equation for the ENSO model. And based on a class of oscillators of ENSO model, employing the variational iteration method, the approximate solution of corresponding problem is obtained. It is proven from the results that the method of variational iteration method can be used for analyzing the sea surface temperature anomaly in the equatorial eastern Pacific of the atmosphere-ocean oscillation for ENSO model.

关键词： Nonlinear problem, time delay, El Nino-Southern oscillator model variational iteration.

Projecting Wintertime Newly Formed Arctic Sea Ice through Weighting CMIP6 Model Performance and Independence

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Advances in atmospheric sciences 2024年第8期41卷 1465-1482页

作者： Jiazhen ZHAO Shengping HE Ke FAN huijun wang Fei LI Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Ministry of Education/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change(ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters(CIC-FEMD)Nanjing University of Information Science&TechnologyNanjing 210044China Geophysical institute University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate ResearchBergen 5007Norway School of atmospheric Science Sun Yat-sen Universityand Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai)Zhuhai 519082China Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research Bergen 5007Norway Nansen-Zhu International Research Center Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100029China Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory(Zhuhai) Zhuhai 519082China

Precipitous Arctic sea-ice decline and the corresponding increase in Arctic open-water areas in summer months give more space for sea-ice growth in the subsequent cold seasons. Compared to the decline of the entire Arctic multiyear sea ice,changes in newly formed sea ice indicate more thermodynamic and dynamic information on Arctic atmosphere–ocean–ice interaction and northern mid–high latitude atmospheric teleconnections. Here, we use a large multimodel ensemble from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP6) to investigate future changes in wintertime newly formed Arctic sea ice. The commonly used model-democracy approach that gives equal weight to each model essentially assumes that all models are independent and equally plausible, which contradicts with the fact that there are large interdependencies in the ensemble and discrepancies in models' performances in reproducing observations. Therefore, instead of using the arithmetic mean of well-performing models or all available models for projections like in previous studies, we employ a newly developed model weighting scheme that weights all models in the ensemble with consideration of their performance and independence to provide more reliable projections. Model democracy leads to evident bias and large intermodel spread in CMIP6 projections of newly formed Arctic sea ice. However, we show that both the bias and the intermodel spread can be effectively reduced by the weighting scheme. Projections from the weighted models indicate that wintertime newly formed Arctic sea ice is likely to increase dramatically until the middle of this century regardless of the emissions ***, it may decrease(or remain stable) if the Arctic warming crosses a threshold(or is extensively constrained).

关键词： wintertime newly formed Arctic sea ice model democracy model weighting scheme model performance model independence

Multisymplectic Structure and Multisymplectic Scheme for the Nonlinear Ware Equation

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Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica 2002年第1期18卷 169-176页

作者： Yu-shun wang, Meng-zhao QINlasg, institute of atmospheric physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, chinainstitute of Computational Mathematics, academy of Mathematics and System sciences, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100080, china lasg Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China institute of Computational Mathematics Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

The multisymplectic structure of the nonlinear wave equation is derived directly from the variational principle. In the numerical aspect, we present a multisymplectic nine points scheme which is equivalent to the multisymplectic Preissman scheme. A series of numerical results are reported to illustrate the effectiveness of the scheme.

关键词： Multisymplectic structure Multisymplectic schemes Nonlinear wave equation

Traditional Meiyu-Baiu has been suspended by global warming

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National Science Review 2024年第7期11卷 126-134页

作者： Zhicong Yin Xiaolei Song Botao Zhou Wenhao Jiang Huopo Chen huijun wang Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Ministry of Education/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology Nansen-Zhu International Research Centre Institute of Atmospheric PhysicsChinese Academy of Sciences

More than 1000 years, the Meiyu–Baiu have shaped the uniqueness of natural resources, civilization and culture in the Yangtze River Basin of china and the main islands of Japan. In recent decades, frequent rainstorms and droughts have seemingly diminished the misty features of traditional Meiyu–Baiu ***, there is still no consensus on whether their traditional nature is suspended. In this study, we quantitatively demonstrate that the Meiyu–Baiu almost completely lost their traditional features during 1961–2023, ～80% of which can be attributed to anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, in a warmer future,the traditional Meiyu–Baiu will be more unlikely to appear. This study underscores the urgency in adapting to climate shift because destructive extremes are measurably taking the place of mild and maternal rains.

关键词： global warming Meiyu–Baiu extremes human activity culture and civilization

Evaluation of a 3dVAR system for the South china Sea

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2008年第5期18卷 547-554页

作者： Xianjun Xiao a,b, Dongxiao wang a, Changxiang Yan c, Jiang Zhu c a LED, South china Sea institute of Oceanology, chinese academy of sciences, Guangzhou 510301, china b NCC, china Meteorological Administration, beijing 100081, china c institute of atmospheric physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china LED South China Sea Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences Guangzhou 510301 China NCC China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China institute of atmospheric physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

The authors evaluate a three-dimensional variational (3dVAR) system for the South china Sea (SCS) in this study. The assimilation method applied in the system takes into consideration error correlation along each ground track and uses recursive lter for optimiza- tion. Data from three R/V cruises during the spring and summer of 1998 and the summer of 2000 are used to evaluate the system. The root-mean-square error and bias are reduced signi cantly and when the altimeter data are assimilated, the distribution of the error is much closer to the Gaussian distribution. Precipitation and river discharge in the southwestern SCS are reproduced, and the variability of sea surface height is e ciently transferred to the subsurface. The 3dVAR system performs well for each of the three cruises, suggesting that it is steady for routine usage.

关键词： South china Sea Three-dimensional variational data assimilation Recursive lter

CO_2 background concentration in the atmosphere over the chinese mainland

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chinese Science Bulletin 2002年第14期47卷 1217-1220页

作者： wang Gengchen, WEN Yupu, KONG Qinxin, REN Lixin & wang Mulininstitute of atmospheric physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing, 100029, china academy of Meteorological sciences, china Meteorological Administration, beijing 100086, china institute of atmospheric physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China academy of Meteorological sciences China Meteorological Administration Beijing China

Based on the long-term monitoring data on CO2 concentration, variation trend and characteristics of CO2 background concentration in the atmosphere over the chinese mainland are analyzed. Results show that the increasing trend of CO2 background concentration in the atmosphere over the chinese mainland has appeared during the period of 1991-2000. The average annual CO2 growth increment is 1.59μL/L, and the average annual CO2 growth rate is 0.44%. Distinct seasonal variations of CO2 background concentration are observed, and the averaged amplitude of CO2 seasonal variations is 10.35μL/L. Regional variation characteristics of CO2 background concentration in the atmosphere and possible impact of human activities on these variations over the chinese mainland are discussed as well.

关键词： CO2 background concentration chinese mainland CO2 growth rate CO2 seasonal variation CO2 regional variation CO2 variation trend.

Influence of interannual variability of Antarctic oscillation on mei-yu along the Yangtze and Huaihe River valley and its importance to prediction

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chinese Science Bulletin 2003年第S2期48卷 61-67页

作者： GAO Hui~(1,2), XUE Feng~1 wang huijun~1 1. institute of atmospheric physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china 2. Department of atmospheric sciences, Nanjing institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044. china chinese Acad Sci Inst Atmospher Phys Beijing 100029 Peoples R China Nanjing Inst Meteorol Dept Atmospher Sci Nanjing 210044 Peoples R China

Both correlation analysis and case study indi-cate that Antarctic oscillation (AAO) is closely related withsummer rainfall in eastern china. When AAO is stronger inboreal spring, especially in May, there is more mei-yu rain-fall in summer with a longer period along the Yangtze andHuaihe River valley. In contrast, there is less rainfall with ashorter period corresponding to a weaker AAO. Besides, ananomalous AAO changes the position and intensity of severalcirculation systems, which are important to summer rainfallalong the Yangtze and Huaihe River valley. Furthermore, theAntarctic sea ice is negatively correlated with the intensity ofAAO with a 6-month leading time. The result in this studyprovides a new method for the prediction of mei-yu.

关键词： Antarctic oscillation interannual variability mei-yu Antarctic sea ice.