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Current Zoology 2011年第5期57卷 648-654页

作者： Jim GRAHAM Catherine JARNEVICH Nick YOUNG Greg NEWMAN thomas stohlgren Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory Colorado State University Fort Collins CO 80523-1499 USA Fort Collins Science Center U.S. Geological Survey 2150 Centre Ave. Building C Fort Collins CO 80526 USA

Habitat suitability models have been used to predict the present and future potential distribution of a variety of species. Eurasian tree sparrowsPasser montanus, native to Eurasia, have established populations in other parts of the world. In North America, their current distribution is limited to a relatively small region around its original introduction to St. Louis, Missouri. We combined data from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility with current and future climate data to create habitat suitability models using Maxent for this species. Under projected climate change scenarios, our models show that the distribution and range of the Eurasian tree sparrow could increase as far as the Pacific Northwest and Newfoundland. This is potentially important information for prioritizing the management and control of this non-native species.

关键词：气候变化影响树麻雀北美生境适宜性生物多样性西北太平洋欧亚大陆电流分布

Regional climate model downscaling may improve the prediction of alien plant species distributions

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Frontiers of Earth Science 2014年第4期8卷 457-471页

作者： Shuyan LIU Xin-Zhong LIANG Wei GAO thomas J. stohlgren Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center University of Maryland College Park MD 20740 USA Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences University of Maryland College Park MD 20740 USA Department of Ecosystem Science and Sustainability Colorado State University Fort Collins CO 80523 USA Fort Collins Science Center U.S. Geological Survey Fort Collins CO 80526 USA

Distributions of invasive species are commonly predicted with species distribution models that build upon the statistical relationships between observed species presence data and climate data. We used field observations, climate station data, and Maximum Entropy species distribution models for 13 invasive plant species in the United States, and then compared the models with inputs from a General Circulation Model （hereafter GCM-based models） and a downscaled Regional Climate Model （hereafter, RCM-based models）. We also compared species distributions based on either GCM-based or RCM-based models for the present （1990-1999） to the future （2046- 2055）. RCM-based species distribution models replicated observed distributions remarkably better than GCM- based models for all invasive species under the current climate. This was shown for the presence locations of the species, and by using four common statistical metrics to compare modeled distributions. For two widespread invasive taxa （Bromus tectorum or cheatgrass, and Tamarix spp. or tamarisk）, GCM-based models failed miserably to reproduce observed species distributions. In contrast, RCM-based species distribution models closely matched observations. Future species distributions may be significantly affected by using GCM-based inputs. Because invasive plants species often show high resilience and low rates of local extinction, RCM-based species distribution models may perform better than GCM-based species distribution models for planning containment programs for invasive species.

关键词： climate change species distribution model,Maxent downscaling

Bounding species distribution models

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Current Zoology 2011年第5期57卷 642-647页

作者： thomas J. stohlgren Catherine S. JARNEVICH Wayne E. ESAIAS Jeffrey T. MORISETTE Fort Collins Science Center U.S. Geological Survey 2150 Centre Avenue Fort Collins CO 80526USA Code 614.5. NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center. Greenbelt MD 20771 USA

Species distribution models are increasing in popularity for mapping suitable habitat for species of management concern. Many investigators now recognize that extrapolations of these models with geographic information systems (GIS) might be sensitive to the environmental bounds of the data used in their development, yet there is no recommended best practice for “clamping” model extrapolations. We relied on two commonly used modeling approaches: classification and regression tree (CART) and maximum entropy (Maxent) models, and we tested a simple alteration of the model extrapolations, bounding extrapolations to the maximum and minimum values of primary environmental predictors, to provide a more realistic map of suitable habitat of hybridized Africanized honey bees in the southwestern United States. Findings suggest that multiple models of bounding, and the most conservative bounding of species distribution models, like those presented here, should probably replace the unbounded or loosely bounded techniques currently used.

关键词：分布模型物种管理欧洲核子研究中心地理信息系统环境预测模型映射物种分布 CART

美国大陆外来入侵物种斑马纹贻贝(Dreissena polymorpha)潜在生境预测模型

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生态学报 2008年第9期28卷 4253-4258页

作者：李明阳居云为 Sunil Kumar thomas J.stohlgren 南京林业大学森林资源与环境学院南京210037 美国科罗拉多州立大学自然资源与生态实验室科罗拉多州柯林斯堡市80523 美国地质调查局柯林斯堡研究中心科罗拉多州柯林斯堡市80523

防止外来生物入侵造成危害的重要手段是阻止可能造成入侵的物种进入适合其生存的地区。论文以1864个美国外来入侵物种斑马纹贻贝定点发生数据和开放式基础地理信息数据库Daymet的34个环境变量为主要信息源,采用逻辑斯蒂回归(LR)、分类... 详细信息

防止外来生物入侵造成危害的重要手段是阻止可能造成入侵的物种进入适合其生存的地区。论文以1864个美国外来入侵物种斑马纹贻贝定点发生数据和开放式基础地理信息数据库Daymet的34个环境变量为主要信息源,采用逻辑斯蒂回归(LR)、分类与回归树模型(CART)、基于规则的遗传算法(GARP)、最大熵法(Maxent)4种途径,建立美国大陆部分潜在生境预测模型,从接受者运行特征曲线下面积(AUC)、Pearson相关系数、Kappa值3个方面来检验模型预测精度,在此基础上分析斑马纹贻贝的空间分布规律及其环境影响因素。研究结果表明:在3个评价指标中,4个生态位模型预测精度均达到优良水平,其中Maxent在物种现实生境模拟、主要生态环境因子筛选、环境因子对物种生境影响的定量描述方面都表现出了优越的性能;距水源距离、海拔高度、降水频率、太阳辐射是影响物种空间分布的主要环境因子。论文提出的研究方法对中国外来入侵物种生境预测具有较强的借鉴意义,研究结果对中国海洋外来入侵物种沙筛贝的预测与防治,具有一定的指导作用。

关键词：外来入侵物种斑马纹贻贝潜在生境生态位模型

濒危野生动物潜在生境空间建模方法--以印度野牛(Bos gaurus)为例

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东北林业大学学报 2009年第5期37卷 88-91页

作者：李明阳巨云为 Sunil Kumar thomas J. stohlgren 南京林业大学南京210037 美国科罗拉多州立大学

以2002年印度野牛(Bos gaurus)印度次大陆的空间分布图和开放式生态环境数据库的30个环境变量为主要信息源,采用逻辑斯蒂回归(LR)、分类与回归树模型(CART)、基于规则的遗传算法(GARP)、最大熵法(Maxent)4种生态位模型,进行印度野牛印... 详细信息

以2002年印度野牛(Bos gaurus)印度次大陆的空间分布图和开放式生态环境数据库的30个环境变量为主要信息源,采用逻辑斯蒂回归(LR)、分类与回归树模型(CART)、基于规则的遗传算法(GARP)、最大熵法(Maxent)4种生态位模型,进行印度野牛印度大陆部分潜在生境预测。结果表明:4个预测模型总体性能相差不大,其中,Maxent模型单项指标、总体平均值均最高;年平均降水量、温度季节性变化、林木覆盖率、标准归一化植被指数、海拔高度、距主要道路距离是影响印度野牛空间分布的主要环境因子;增加林木覆盖率、减少道路修建引起的生境破碎化、保证水源是印度野牛保护的主要措施。

关键词：濒危物种印度野牛潜在生境生态位模型

外来入侵物种潜在生境预测模型研究——以美国大陆斑马纹贻贝为例

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外来入侵物种潜在生境预测模型研究——以美国大陆斑马纹贻贝为例

Insights into carbon dioxide sequestration into coal seams through coupled gas flow-adsorption-deformation modelling

全国生物多样性保护及外来有害物种防治交流研讨会

作者：李明阳巨云为 Sunil Kumar thomas J.stohlgren 南京林业大学森林资源与环境学院美国科罗拉多州立大学自然资源与生态实验室美国地质调查局柯林斯堡研究中心

防止外来生物入侵造成危害的重要手段是阻止可能造成入侵的物种进入适合其生存的地区。论文以1864个美国外来入侵物种斑马纹贻贝GPS定点发生数据和开放式基础地理信息数据库Daymet的34个环境变量为主要信息源,采用逻辑斯蒂回归(LR)、分... 详细信息

防止外来生物入侵造成危害的重要手段是阻止可能造成入侵的物种进入适合其生存的地区。论文以1864个美国外来入侵物种斑马纹贻贝GPS定点发生数据和开放式基础地理信息数据库Daymet的34个环境变量为主要信息源,采用逻辑斯蒂回归(LR)、分类与回归树模型(CART)、基于规则的遗传算法(GARP)、最大熵法(Maxent)4种途径,建立美国大陆部分潜在生境预测模型,从接受者运行特征曲线下面积(AUC)、Pearson相关系数、Kappa值三个方面来检验模型预测精度,在此基础上分析斑马纹贻贝的空间分布规律及其环境影响因素。研究结果表明:在三个评价指标中,4个生态位模型预测精度均达到优良水平,其中Maxent在物种现实生境模拟、主要生态环境因子筛选、环境因子对物种生境影响的定量描述方面都表现出了优越的性能;距水源距离、海拔高度、降水频率、太阳辐射是影响物种空间分布的主要环境因子。论文提出的研究方法对中国外来入侵物种生境预测具有较强的借鉴意义,研究结果对中国海洋外来入侵物种沙筛贝的预测与防治,具有一定的指导作用。

关键词：外来入侵物种斑马纹贻贝潜在生境生态位模型

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Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering 2024年第1期16卷 26-40页

作者： Hywel thomas Min Chen Geoenvironmental Research Centre Cardiff School of EngineeringCardiff UniversityQueen’s BuildingsThe ParadeNewport RoadCardiffCF243AAUK Key Laboratory of Marine Geology Tongji UniversityShanghai200092China

Injecting carbon dioxide(CO_(2))into coal seams may unlock substantial carbon sequestration *** the coal acts like a carbon filter,it can preferentially absorb significant amounts of CO_(2).To explore this further,desorption of the adsorbed gas due to pressure drop is investigated in this paper,to achieve an improved understanding of the long-term fate of injected CO_(2) during post-injection *** paper presents a dual porosity model coupling gas flow,adsorption and geomechanics for studying coupled processes and effectiveness of CO_(2) sequestration in coals.A new adsorption?desorption model derived based on thermodynamics is incorporated,particularly,the desorption hysteresis is *** reliability of the proposed adsorption-desorption isotherm is examined via validation *** is indicated that occurrence of desorption hysteresis is attributed to the adsorption-induced pore *** injection ceases,the injected gas continues to propagate further from the injection well,while the pressure in the vicinity of the injection well experiences a significant *** the adsorbed gas near the well also decreases,this decrease is less compared to that in pressure because of desorption *** unceasing spread of CO_(2) and drops of pressure and adsorbed gas depend on the degree of desorption hysteresis and heterogeneity of coals,which should be considered when designing CO_(2) sequestration into coal seams.

关键词： CO_(2)geological storage Coal seam Adsorption Desorption hysteresis

CLASSIFICATIONS OF DUPIN HYPERSURFACES IN LIE SPHERE GEOMETRY

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Acta Mathematica Scientia 2024年第1期44卷 1-36页

作者： thomas E.CECIL Department of Mathematics and Computer Science College of the Holy CrossWorcesterMA01610USA

This is a survey of local and global classification results concerning Dupin hypersurfaces in S^(n)(or R^(n))that have been obtained in the context of Lie sphere *** emphasis is on results that relate Dupin hypersurfaces to isoparametric hypersurfaces in *** with these classification results,many important concepts from Lie sphere geometry,such as curvature spheres,Lie curvatures,and Legendre lifts of submanifolds of S^(n)(or R^(n)),are described in *** paper also contains several important constructions of Dupin hypersurfaces with certain special properties.

关键词： Dupin hypersurfaces isoparametric hypersurfaces Lie sphere geometry Lie sphere transformations Lie curvatures

How to enhance agricultural plastic waste management in China?Insights from public participation

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Journal of Integrative Agriculture 2024年第6期23卷 2127-2143页

作者： Aibo Hao thomas Dogot Changbin Yin State Key Laboratory of Efficient Utilization of Arid and Semi-arid Arable Land in Northern China Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional PlanningChinese Academy of Agricultural SciencesBeijing 100081China Economics and Rural Development Laboratory TERRA Teaching and Research CentreGembloux Agro-Bio TechUniversity of LiègeGembloux B-5030Belgium Research Center for Agricultural Green Development in China Beijing 100081China

Agricultural plastics play a pivotal role in agricultural ***,due to expensive costs,agricultural plastic waste management(APWM)encounters a vast funding *** one of the crucial stakeholders,the public deserves to make appropriate efforts for ***,identifying whether the public is willing to pay for APWM and clarifying the decisions’driving pathways to explore initiatives for promoting their payment intentions are essential to address the dilemma confronting *** this end,by applying the extended theory of planned behavior(TPB),the study conducted an empirical analysis based on 1,288 residents from four provinces(autonomous regions)of northern *** illustrate that:1)respondents hold generally positive and relatively strong payment willingness towards APWM;2)respondents’attitude(AT),subjective norm(SN),and perceived behavioral control(PBC)are positively correlated with their payment intentions(INT);3)environmental cognition(EC)and environmental emotion(EE)positively moderate the relationships between AT and INT,and between SN and INT,posing significant indirect impacts on *** study’s implications extend to informing government policies,suggesting that multi-entity cooperation,specifically public payment for APWM,can enhance agricultural non-point waste management.

关键词： agricultural plastic waste extended theory of planned behavior public payment environmental cognition environmental emotion

Theory and classification of mass extinction causation

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National Science Review 2024年第1期11卷 16-36页

作者： thomas J.Algeo Jun Shen State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology China University of Geosciences—Wuhan State Key Laboratory of Geological Processes and Mineral Resources China University of Geosciences—Wuhan Department of Geosciences University of Cincinnati

Theory regarding the causation of mass extinctions is in need of systematization, which is the focus of this contribution. Every mass extinction has both an ultimate cause, i.e. the trigger that leads to various climato-environmental changes, and one or more proximate cause(s), i.e. the specific climato-environmental changes that result in elevated biotic mortality. With regard to ultimate causes, strong cases can be made that bolide(i.e. meteor) impacts, large igneous province(LIP) eruptions and bioevolutionary events have each triggered one or more of the Phanerozoic Big Five mass extinctions, and that tectono-oceanic changes have triggered some second-order extinction events. Apart from bolide impacts, other astronomical triggers(*** flares, gamma bursts and supernova explosions) remain entirely in the realm of speculation. With regard to proximate mechanisms, most extinctions are related to either carbon-release or carbon-burial processes, the former being associated with climatic warming, ocean acidification, reduced marine productivity and lower carbonate δ13C values, and the latter with climatic cooling, increased marine productivity and higher carbonate δ13C values. Environmental parameters such as marine redox conditions and terrestrial weathering intensity do not show consistent relationships with carbon-cycle *** this context, mass extinction causation can be usefully classified using a matrix of ultimate and proximate factors. Among the Big Five mass extinctions, the end-Cretaceous biocrisis is an example of a bolide-triggered carbon-release event, the end-Permian and end-Triassic biocrises are examples of LIP-triggered carbon-release events, and the Late Ordovician and Late Devonian biocrises are examples of bioevolution-triggered carbon-burial events. Whereas the bolide-impact and LIP-eruption mechanisms appear to invariably cause carbon release, bioevolutionary triggers can result in variable carbon-cycle changes, e.g. carbon burial durin

关键词： biocrisis ultimate cause proximate cause bolide large igneous province bioevolutionary event