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Predicting the effectiveness of protected areas of Natura 2000 under climate change

Ecological Processes 2019年第1期8卷 162-182页

作者： Mst.Umme Salma Nila Carl Beierkuhnlein Anja Jaeschke samuel hoffmann Md Lokman Hossain Global Change Ecology International Elite Study ProgrammeUniversity of BayreuthUniversitätsstraße 3095447 BayreuthGermany Department of Biogeography University of BayreuthUniversitätsstraße 3095447 BayreuthGermany Department of Geography Hong Kong Baptist University15 Baptist University RoadKowloon TongHong Kong Department of Environmental Protection Technology German University Bangladesh1702 GazipurBangladesh.

Background:Protected areas(PAs)are aimed to hold the environmental conditions that facilitate species and ecosystems to *** can become climatically unsuitable and unable to sustain their current number of species under climate *** Natura 2000(N2K)is the largest coordinated conservation tool assigned to maintain the long-term survival of Europe’s most significant species and *** attempting to understand the effectiveness of PAs in the face of climate change scenarios,we tested two hypotheses:(1)PAs in the Alpine and the Boreal biogeographical regions will experience more newly emerged climate conditions(hotter and drier)compared to the climate representation of other biogeographical regions under future climate in Europe and(2)PAs in the Mediterranean and the Continental biogeographical regions will face more consistency in climate conditions due to less area of disappearing and novel climate in ***:Current climate data(1960–1990)and projections for 2050 and 2070 of PAs of N2K were extracted from WorldClim global climate *** components analysis(PCA)was performed to construct climate space for the PAs across the biogeographical regions based on 19 climatic variables assessed at 5-km *** 10.1 was used to map the location of the novel and disappearing ***:PAs in the Alpine region will experience more novel climate conditions in the future compared to other biogeographical *** future projections showed that 17.70%of the PAs in the Alpine region will experience novel climate by *** climate consistency was observed in the PAs in the Continental region compared to the other biogeographical *** results showed that about 176 km2 of the selected PAs in the Continental region will face new emerging climate,while about 110 km2 will disappear under RCP 8.5 *** prediction also revealed that in the Mediterranean region 08 PAs will experience novel climate and 786 km2 areas

关键词： Biodiversity conservation Biogeographical region Climate change Climate scenarios Natura 2000,Protected areas

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No treeline shift despite climate change over the last 70 years

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Forest Ecosystems 2022年第1期9卷 13-22页

作者： Mirela Beloiu Dimitris Poursanidis Antonis Tsakirakis Nektarios Chrysoulakis samuel hoffmann Petros Lymberakis Antonis Barnias David Kienle Carl Beierkuhnlein Department of Biogeography University of BayreuthUniversitatsstraaße 3095447BayreuthGermany Remote Sensing Lab Institute of Applied and Computational MathematicsFoundation for Research and Technology Hellas100 N.Plastira Str.Vassilika VoutonHeraklion70013Greece Samaria National Park Management BodyOld National Road Chanion-KissamouAgioi ApostoloiChaniaCreteGreece Natural History Museum of Crete University of CreteKnossou Av.71409IrakleioCreteGreece GIB Department of Geography University of Bayreuth95447BayreuthGermany BayCEER Bayreuth Center of Ecology and Environmental Research University of Bayreuth95448BayreuthGermany

Background:The recent rise in temperature and shifting precipitation regimes threaten ecosystems around the globe to different *** are expected to respond to climate warming by shifting to higher elevations,but it is unclear whether they can track temperature ***,we integrated high-resolution aerial imagery with local climatic and topographic characteristics to study the treeline dynamic from 1945 to 2015 on the semiarid Mediterranean island of Crete,***:During the study period,the mean annual temperature at the treeline increased by 0.81℃,while the average precipitation decreased by 170 *** treeline is characterized by a diffuse form,with trees growing on steep limestone slopes(>50°)and shallow ***,the treeline elevation decreases with increasing distance from the coast and with aspect(south>north).Yet,we found no shift in the treeline over the past 70 years,despite an increase in temperature in all four study ***,the treeline elevation correlated strongly with topographic exposure to wind(R^(2)=0.74,p<0.001).Therefore,the temporal lag in treeline response to warming could be explained by a combination of topographic and microclimatic factors,such as the absence of a shelter effect and a decrease in ***:Although there was no treeline shift over the last 70 years,climate change has already started shifting the treeline altitudinal ***,the lack of climate-mediated migration at the treeline should raise concerns about the threats posed by warming,such as drought damages,and wildfire,especially in the Mediterranean ***,conservation management should discuss options and needs to support adaptive management.

关键词： Aerial imagery Protected area Continental island Mediterranean region High mountains Temperature Precipitation Climate change Forest dynamics

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Correction to: Predicting the effectiveness of protected areas of Natura 2000 under climate change

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Ecological Processes 2019年第1期8卷 370-370页

作者： Mst Umme Salma Nila Carl Beierkuhnlein Anja Jaeschke samuel hoffmann Md Lokman Hossain Global Change Ecology International Elite Study ProgrammeUniversity of BayreuthUniversitätsstraße 3095447 BayreuthGermany Department of Biogeography University of BayreuthUniversitätsstraße 3095447 BayreuthGermany Department of Geography Hong Kong Baptist University15 Baptist University RoadKowloon TongHong Kong Department of Environmental Protection Technology German University BangladeshGazipur 1702Bangladesh.

Correction to:Ecol Process https://***/10.1186/s13717-019-0168-6 In the original publication of this article(Nila and Hossain 2019),co-authors‘Carl Beierkuhnlein,Anja Jaeschke and samuel hoffmann’need to be added to... 详细信息

关键词： protected Nat Correction

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