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Prediction and control of cholera outbreak:Study case of

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第3期9卷 892-925页

作者： C.Hameni Nkwayep r.GlèlèKakaï S.Bowong laboratory of Mathematics Department of Mathematics and Computer ScienceUniversity of DoualaPO Box 24157DoualaCameroon IrD Sorbonne UniversityUMMISCOF-93143BondyFrance Biomathematics and Forest Modeling University of Abomey-CalaviCalaviBenin

This paper deals with the problem of the prediction and control of cholera outbreak using real data of *** first develop and analyze a deterministic model with seasonality for the cholera,the novelty of which lies in the incorporation of undetected *** present the basic properties of the model and compute two explicit threshold parametersr_(0)and r_(0).that bound the effective reproduction number,from below and above,that is r_(0)≤r_(0)≤r_(0).We prove that cholera tends to disappear whenr_(0)≤1,while when r_(0)>1,cholera persists uniformly within the ***,assuming that the cholera transmission rates and the proportions of newly symptomatic are unknown,we develop the EnKf approach to estimate unmeasurable state variables and these unknown parameters using real data of cholera from 2014 to 2022 in *** use this result to estimate the upper and lower bound of the effective reproduction number and reconstructed active asymptomatic and symptomatic cholera cases in Cameroon,and give a short-term forecasts of cholera in Cameroon until *** simulations show that(i)the transmission rate from free Vibrio cholerae in the environment is more important than the human transmission and begin to be high few week after May and in October,(ii)90%of newly cholera infected cases that present the symptoms of cholera are not diagnosed and(iii)60.36%of asymptomatic are detected at 14%and 86%of them recover *** future trends reveals that an outbreak appeared from July to November 2023 with the number of cases reported monthly peaked in October *** impulsive control strategy is incorporated in the model with the aim to avoid or prevent the cholera *** the first year of monitoring,we observed a reduction of more than 75%of incidences and the disappearance of the peaks when no control are available in Cameroon.A second monitoring of control led to a further reduction of around 60%of incidences the following year,showing how

关键词： Vibrio cholerae Mathematical models Ensemble Kalman filterBasic reproduction number Impulsive control

resistance of full-scale beams against close-in *** modeling and field tests

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Defence Technology（防务技术） 2024年第10期40卷 35-47页

作者： A.Prado A.Alañón r.Castedo A.P.Santos l.M.lópez M.Chiquito M.Bermejo C.Oggeri Escuela Politécnica Superior déAvila Universidad de SalamancaÁvila05003Spain E.T.S.I.Minas y Energía Universidad Politecnica de MadridMadrid28003Spain Department of Engineering Aviation and TechnologySaint Louis UniversityMadrid28003Spain Department of Environment Land and Infrastructure Engineering(DIATI)Politecnico di TorinoTorino10129Italy

This paper explores the performances of a finite element simulation including four concrete models applied to a full-scale reinforced concrete beam subjected to blast *** test data has been used to compare model results for each *** numerical modelling has been,carried out using the suitable code *** code integrates blast load routine(CONWEP)for the explosive description and four different material models for the concrete including:Karagozian&Case Concrete,Winfrith,Continuous Surface Cap Model and riedeleHiermaiereThoma models,with concrete meshing based on 10,15,and 20 *** full-scale beams were tested:four of them used for the initial calibration of the numerical model and two more tests at lower scaled *** calibration,field data obtained employing pressure and accelerometers transducers were compared with the results derived from the numerical *** surfaces and the shape of rupture in the beams have been used as references for *** of the meshing on accelerations has been put in evidence and for some models the shape and size of the damage in the beams produced maximum differences around 15%.In all cases,the variations between material and mesh models are shown and discussed.

关键词： Blast test Numerical simulation lS-DYNA Concrete model Mesh effect Full-scale beams

Enhancement of the CO_(2)adsorption and hydrogenation to CH_(4)capacity of ru–Na–Ca/γ–Al_(2)O_(3)dual function material by controlling the ru calcination atmosphere

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Journal of Environmental Sciences 2024年第6期140卷 292-305页

作者： Alejandro Bermejo-lópez Beñat Pereda-Ayo Jon A.Onrubia-Calvo JoséA.González-Marcos Juan r.González-Velasco Department of Chemical Engineering Faculty of Science and TechnologyUniversidad del País Vasco UPV/EHUBarrio Sarrienas/n48940 LeioaBizkaiaSpain

Integrated CO_(2)capture and utilization(ICCU)technology requires dual functional materials(DFMs)to carry out the process in a single reaction *** influence of the calcination atmosphere on efficiency of 4%ru-8%Na_(2)CO_(3)-8%CaO/γ-Al_(2)O_(3)DFM is *** adsorbent precursors are first co-impregnated onto alumina and calcined in ***,ru precursor is impregnated and four aliquotes are subjected to different calcination protocols:static air in muffle or under different mixtures(10%H_(2)/N_(2),50%H_(2)/N_(2)and N_(2))*** are characterized by XrD,N_(2)adsorption-desorption,H_(2)chemisorption,TEM,XPS,H_(2)-TPD,H_(2)-TPr,CO_(2)-TPD and *** catalytic behavior is evaluated,in cycles of CO_(2)adsorption and hydrogenation to CH_(4),and temporal evolution of reactants and products concentrations is *** calcination atmosphere influences the physicochemical properties and,ultimately,activity of *** data and catalytic performance discover the acccomodation of ru nanoparticles disposition and basic sites is mostly influencing the catalytic *** calcined under N_(2)flow(ruNaCa-N_(2))shows the highest CH_(4)production(449μmol/g at 370℃),because a well-controlled decomposition of precursors which favors the better accomodation of adsorbent and ru phases,maximizing the specific surface area,the ru-basic sites interface and the participation of different basic sites in the CO_(2)methanation ***,the calcination in a N_(2)flow is revealed as the optimal calcination protocol to achieve highly efficient DFM for integrated CO_(2)adsorption and hydrogenation applications.

关键词： CO_(2)methanation Integrated CO_(2)capture and utilization(ICCU) Dual functional material(DFM) ru calcination atmosphere

Cr-induced fusion reactions to synthesize superheavy elements

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Nuclear Science and Techniques 2024年第5期35卷 122-130页

作者： S.Madhu H.C.Manjunatha N.Sowmya B.M.rajesh l.Seenappa r.S.Susheela Department of Physics R V College of EngineeringBangalore 560074India Visvesvaraya Technological University BelagaviKarnataka 590018India Department of Physics Government First Grade CollegeSrinivasapurKarnataka 563135India Department of Physics Government First Grade CollegeDevanahallyKarnataka 562110India Department of Physics Government First Grade CollegeMulbagalKarnataka 563131India Department of Physics Government First Grade collegeNanjangudOoty RoadMysore 571301India

We investigated ^(50,52-54)Cr-induced fusion reactions for the synthesis of the superheavy element in the 104≤Z≤122 *** cross sections produced in this investigation using ^(54)Cr projectiles were compared with those obtained in prior *** estimated cross sections from this analysis are consistent with the findings of prior *** the current study,the predicted cross section was found to be 42fb at 236 MeV for ^(53)Cr+^(243)Am,23.2 fb at 236 MeV for ^(54)Cr+^(247)Cm,95.6 fb at 240 MeV for ^(53)Cr+248Bk,and 1.33 fb at 242 MeV for ^(53)Cr+***,these projected cross sections with excitation energy and beam energy will be useful in future Cr-induced fusion reaction investigations.

关键词： Fusion cross sections Compound nucleus formation probability Survival probability Evaporation residue cross sections

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巴西油气勘探开发历程:从陆上到超深水

石油勘探与开发 2024年第4期51卷 796-806页

作者： ANJOS Sylvia M C SOMBrA Cristiano l SPADINI Adali r 巴西国家石油公司里约热内卢20231-030巴西

21世纪以来,随着桑托斯盆地深水盐下获得一系列重大油气发现,巴西东部海域成为全球深水油气勘探与生产的热点区域。通过全面回顾巴西油气勘探开发历程,系统阐述了从陆上到海域、从浅水到深水—超深水直至盐下勘探的探索实践、战略转变... 详细信息

21世纪以来,随着桑托斯盆地深水盐下获得一系列重大油气发现,巴西东部海域成为全球深水油气勘探与生产的热点区域。通过全面回顾巴西油气勘探开发历程,系统阐述了从陆上到海域、从浅水到深水—超深水直至盐下勘探的探索实践、战略转变、重大突破和关键理论技术。巴西国家石油公司(简称巴西国油)自1953年成立以后的15年间,在陆上古生界克拉通盆地和断陷盆地进行了勘探,并于断块和三角洲砂体圈闭获得了一些中小型油气发现。20世纪70年代,应用重力流沉积模式和高质量三维地震等勘探新技术,在坎波斯盆地浅水中发现Namorado和Enchova等油田,随后深水盐上勘探获得突破,成功发现Marlim、roncador等大型油田。21世纪初,通过盐下含油气系统、碳酸盐岩成储成藏模式和核磁共振测井等理论技术攻关,推动桑托斯盆地下白垩统湖相碳酸盐岩陆续获得Tupi(lula)、Buzios、Mero等世界级超深水盐下大油田的系列重大发现。在复杂的深水作业环境下,油气开发工程面临巨大挑战,巴西国油通过启动深水研发计划(PrOCAP),开发并实施窄压力窗口控压钻井、加压钻井液帽钻井、多段智能完井、水下采油及浮式生产平台开发和流动保障等关键技术,显著提升了钻完井、油气田开发和输运的效率及安全性。此外,在浮式采储卸油系统建产规模受限的情况下,推进全球最大规模的CO_(2)捕集、驱油利用与埋存工程(CCUS-EOr),有效减少温室气体排放并提高了原油采收率。上述理论技术的发展和应用,也为全球深水油气勘探开发提供了宝贵经验。未来巴西油气勘探将继续聚焦深水盐下碳酸盐岩和盐上浊积岩,并在古生界天然气等勘探领域持续寻求新的发现,同时通过技术创新和战略合作,促进巴西石油天然气行业的可持续发展。

关键词：巴西深水盐下勘探坎波斯盆地桑托斯盆地浊积岩湖相碳酸盐岩深水开发流动保障

Spatial analysis of Dengue through the reproduction numbers relating to socioeconomic features:Case studies on two Brazilian urban centers

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第1期9卷 142-157页

作者： Ana T.C.Silva rejane C.Dorn lívia r.Tomás leonardo B.l.Santos lacita M.Skalinski Suani T.r.Pinho Departamento de Física Universidade Estadual de Feira de SantanaAv.Transnordestinas/n.Novo HorizonteFeira de Santana44036-900BABrazil Instituto de Física Universidade Federal da BahiaRua Barão de Jeremoabo s/nCampus Universitário de OndinaSalvador40170-115BABrazil Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais(CEMADEN) Estrada Dr.Altino Bondensan500São Josédos Campos12247-016SPBrazil Universidade Estadual de Santa Cruz Campus Soane Nazaréde AndradeRodovia Jorge AmadoKm 16SalobrinhoIlhéus45662-900BABrazil Instituto de Saúde Coletiva Universidade Federal da BahiaR.Basílio da Gamas/n-CanelaSalvador40110-140BABrazil Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia-Sistemas Complexos Virtual InstitutionBrazil

The study of the propagation of infectious diseases in urban centers finds a close connection with their population's social characteristics and *** work performs a spatial analysis of dengue cases in urban centers based on the basic reproduction numbers,r0,and incidence by planning areas(PAs),as well as their correlations with the Human Development Index(HDI)and the number of *** analyzed dengue epidemics in 2002 at two Brazilian urban centers,Belo Horizonte(BH)and rio de Janeiro(rJ),using PAs as spatial *** results reveal heterogeneous spatial scenarios for both cities,with very weak correlations between r0 and both the number of trips and the HDI;in BH,the values of r0 show a less spatial heterogeneous pattern than in *** BH,there are moderate correlations between incidence and both the number of trips and the HDI;meanwhile,they weakly correlate for ***,the absence of strong correlations between the considered measures indicates that the transmission process should be treated considering the city as a whole.

关键词： Dengue Mathematical mode lBasic reproduction number Urban mobility Urban indices

Simultaneous portal vein thrombosis and splenic vein thrombosis in a COVID-19 patient:A case report and review of literature

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World Journal of Clinical Cases 2024年第18期12卷 3561-3566页

作者： Binyamin ravina Abramowitz Michael coles Ayse Aytaman Bani Chander-roland Daniel Anthony Dileo Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology SUNY Downstate Health Sciences UniversityBrooklynNY 11203United States Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology Brooklyn Campus of the Veterans Affairs New York Harbor Healthcare SystemBrooklynNY 11209United States

BACKGrOUND It is well-described that the coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)infection is associated with an increased risk of thrombotic *** there have been many cases of pulmonary emboli and deep vein thrombosis in these patients,reports of COVID-19 associated portal vein thrombosis(PVT)have been *** present a unique case of concomitant PVT and splenic artery thrombosis in a COVID-19 *** SUMMArY A 77-year-old-male with no history of liver disease presented with three days of left-sided abdominal *** week earlier,the patient was diagnosed with mildly symptomatic COVID-19 and was treated with nirmatrelvir/*** exam revealed mild right and left lower quadrant tenderness,but was otherwise *** laboratory findings included white blood cell count 12.5 K/μl,total bilirubin 1.6 mg/dl,aminoaspartate transferase 40 U/l,and alanine aminotransferase 61 U/*** tomography of the abdomen and pelvis revealed acute PVT with thrombus extending from the distal portion of the main portal vein into the right and left *** noted was a thrombus within the distal portion of the splenic artery with resulting splenic *** workup including prothrombin gene analysis,factor V leiden,cardiolipin antibody,and JAK2 mutation were all *** with enoxaparin was initiated,and the patient’s pain *** was discharged on *** It is quite uncommon for PVT to present simultaneously with an arterial thrombotic occlusion,as in the case of our *** thrombotic manifestations are classically linked to hypercoagulable states including malignancy and hereditary and autoimmune *** infections such as Epstein-Barr virus,cytomegalovirus,viral hepatitis,and COVID-19 have all been found to increase the risk of splanchnic venous occlusions,including *** our patient,prompt abdominal imaging led to early detection of thrombus,early treatment,and an exce

关键词： COVID-19 Thromboembolism Portal vein thrombosis Splenic artery thrombosis Anticoagulation lovenox Thrombotic complication Case report

Analysis and Optimization of Operational and Pollutant Attributes of Diesel Engine with CNT-Infused Orange Peel Biodiesel-Diesel Blend Fuel

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Journal of Thermal Science 2024年第2期33卷 761-778页

作者： ranjeet rAI r.r.SAHOO Mechanical Engineering Department GLA UniversityMathura281406India Mechanical Engineering Department IIT(BHU)Varanasi221005India

The current study is performed to find sustainable solutions for the future of transportation and environmental *** conventional methods and experimental design table(l16 Orthogonal Array)techniques have been employed to examine and optimize a diesel-powered engine's operational and pollutant *** l16 Orthogonal Array is obtained through Taguchi's experimental design approach using Minitab 16 *** experimental design incorporated three control variables,namely engine speed,fuel type,and engine load,each with four *** operational parameters,namely brake thermal efficiency(BTE)and brake specific fuel consumption(BSFC),as well as the emission characteristics,including hydrocarbon(HC),carbon monoxide(CO),nitrogen oxide(NO),and smoke emissions,were acquired using the l16 orthogonal array(OA) and subsequently *** utilization of methodologies such as signal-to-noise(S/N) ratio and grey analysis was employed to determine the optimal operational state of the engine to achieve maximum performance while minimizing *** engine's ideal state of operation,in terms of BTE and BSFC,was determined to be at 75% engine load,1000 r/min engine speed,and using 10^(-4)(in vol) carbon nanotube incorporated 20% orange peel biodiesel(OPB20CNT100) blended fuel(A3-B1-C4).The study indicated that engine load significantly influenced BTE and BSFC,with 84.05% and 87.79% contribution factors,*** 25% engine load,1000 r/min,and OPB20CNT100 fuel(A1-B1-C4) CO,smoke,NO,and HC emissions were the *** load affects emissions the *** BSFC increased 3.10% and NO emissions 1.77%.BTE,CO,smoke,and HC emissions decreased by 1.9%,12.29%,47.05%,and 47.22%,respectively,at optimal operating conditions concerning diesel *** study shows that Taguchi-Grey's experimental design optimizes diesel engine operational and pollutant *** outcomes revealed that orange peel biodiesel infused with CNT can replace diesel fuel in a

关键词： Taguchi-Grey method OPB20CNT100 transesterification S/N ratio GrG HC CO and NO

Vaccination effect on a stochastic epidemic model with healing and relapse

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International Journal of Biomathematics 2024年第1期17卷 29-59页

作者： M.M.Abdeslami l.Basri M.El Fatini I.Sekkak r.Taki laboratory of Partial Differential Equations Spectral Algebra and Geometry Department of Mathematics Faculty of Sciences Ibn Tofail UniversityBP 133KénitraMorocco Centre de recherche en Sante Publique Montréal(Québec)H3N 1X9 Canada Departement de Medecine Sociale et Preventive Ecole de SantéPublique de I'Universitéde Montreal 101Avenue du ParcMontréal(Quebec)H3N 1X9Canada EST Sidi Bennour Chouaib Doukkali UniversityEl JadidaMorocco

In this work,we consider a stochastic epidemic model with vaccination,healing and *** prove the existence and the uniqueness of the positive *** establish sufficient conditions for the extinction and the persistence in mean of the stochastic ***,we also establish sufficient conditions for the existence of ergodic stationary distribution to the model,which reveals that the infectious disease will *** graphical illustrations of the approximate solutions of the stochastic epidemic model have been performed.

关键词： Stochastic epidemic model with relapse and healing vaccination extinction persistence in mean Markov semigroup stationary distribution