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Case study of high waves in the South Pacific generated by Tropical Cyclone Harold in 2020

Tropical Cyclone Research and Review 2024年第3期13卷 147-160页

作者： Amit Singh nadao kohno Hironori Fudeyasu Research Institute of Environment and Information Sciences Yokohama National UniversityYokohamaJapan Meteorological Research Institute Japan Meteorological AgencyTsukubaJapan Typhoon Science and Technology Research Center Yokohama National UniversityYokohamaJapan Fiji Meteorological Service Fiji

This study highlighted a high wave case by severe tropical cyclone Harold and conducted a simulation with a newly developed wave forecasting system for the South Pacific based on the Japan Meteorological Agency third generation wave model(JMA MRI-III)using the National Center for Environment Prediction Global Forecast System(GFS)*** was a very intense tropical cyclone(TC)and very high waves up to 10 m affected parts of Vanuatu and *** model results were reasonable and verified against observations of orbital satellites and a wave buoy at Komave in *** statistical verifications were carefully *** Root Mean Squared Error(RSME),Scatter Index(SI),Bias and R2 are all showing very impressive *** new wave forecasting system is the first high resolution operational model at Fiji Meteorological Service(FMS),which covers the whole Fiji *** system will provide guidance to FMS in preparing marine alerts and warning better and more confidence in providing the marine forecast accurately.

关键词： A wave forecasting system The South pacific Tropical cyclone harold

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Forecasting tropical cyclone coastal and marine hazards and impacts

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Tropical Cyclone Research and Review 2024年第1期13卷 1-14页

作者： nadao kohno Cody Fritz Monica Sharma Robbie Berg Diana Greenslade Devon Telford Sakeasi Rabitu P.L.N.Murty M.Mohapatra Maria Cristina C.Uson Japan Meteorological Agency TokyoJapan National Hurricane Center MiamiUSA India Meteorological Department New DelhiIndia Bureau of Meteorology MelbourneAustralia Environment and Climate Change Canada QuebecCanada Fiji Meteorological Service NadiFiji Philipine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services AdministrationQuezon CityPhilippines

The report highlights the signiﬁcant progress over various regions with respect to understanding of coastal hazards,numerical modeling techniques and the generation&dissemination of coastal hazard warnings and *** developments over various regions in the globe during 2014–18 have been discussed in this report as presented during 10th Session of International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones(IWTC-X)at Bali,*** speciﬁcally,various regions have started to confront the uncertainty that cannot be removed from TC analyses and forecasts and further communicate those hazards within the context of risk[probabilistic]based *** also includes impact-based forecasts such as communicating coastal inundation information relative to total water level instead of storm surge,speciﬁcally(i.e.,anomaly from as-tronomical tide and waves).Lastly,updates to model grid conﬁguration,model resolution,and coupled dynamical systems continue to resolve the costal hazards more *** approaches have likely helped reduce loss of life relative to historical ***,regions agree that the generation and dissemination of coastal hazard information still need to be improved in view of growing population along the coast and thus increased exposure of life to coastal hazard.

关键词： Coastal inundation Storm surge Probabilistic forecast

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THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANIZATION FOURTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON TROPICAL CYCLONE LANDFALL PROCESSES(IWTCLP-IV): A SUMMARY

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Tropical Cyclone Research and Review 2018年第2期7卷 77-84页

作者： ROBERT F.ROGERS KEVIN CHEUNG RUSSELL L.ELSBERRY nadao kohno MARIE-DOMINIQUE LEROUX PETER OTTO NOAA/AOML Hurricane Research Division Macquarie University University of Colorado Colorado Springs Japan Meteorological Agency Meteo-France Bureau of Meteorology

The Fourth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Processes(IWTCLP-4) was held in Macao, China from 5-7 December 2017. The workshop was organized by the World Meteorological Organization(WMO) Expert Team on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Processes in partnership with the WMO Tropical Cyclone Program. The workshop provided a forum for discussion between researchers and forecasters on the current status of tropical cyclone landfall processes and on priorities and opportunities for research. More than 60 leading research scientists and warning specialists working on topics related to tropical cyclone landfall examined current knowledge, forecasting and research trends from an integrated global perspective. The workshop offered a number of recommendations for future forecasting studies and research with special regard to the varying needs of different tropical cyclone af fected regions. The recommendations emanating from the workshop will be presented at the upcoming Ninth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones(IWTC-9)(Hawaii, USA, 3-7 December 2018).

关键词： tropical cyclone landfall forecasting and research World Meteorological Organization Workshop recommendations

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RECENT PROGRESS IN STORM SURGE FORECASTING

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Tropical Cyclone Research and Review 2018年第2期7卷 128-139页

作者： nadao kohno SHISHIR K.DUBE MIKHAIL ENTEL S.H.M.FAKHRUDDIN DIANA GREENSLADE MARIE-DOMINIQUE LEROUX JAMIE RHOME NGUYEN BA THUY Japan Meteorological Agency Amity University Rajasthan Bureau of Meteorology Tonkin +Taylor International Ltd National Hurricane Center Meteo-France National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting

This report briefly summarizes recent progress in storm surge forecasts, one of topics discussed during the fourth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone Landfall Process(IWTCLP 4) held during 5-8 December, 2017. In the workshop, improvement of storm surge forecasting system was mainly discussed with relevance to the problem of estimating the impacts of tropical cyclone *** deal with storm surges, accurate TC condition(predictions and forecasts) as input, reasonable storm surge predictions(with forecasting systems), and effective advisories/warnings(i.e. useful information products) are necessary. Therefore, we need to improve storm surge related matters systematically: input, prediction system, and ef fective *** report tries to highlight recent progress in the field of storm surges in relation to three key points: improvement in storm surge forecasting models/system, TC conditions as input for storm surge predictions, and informative products for end users.

关键词： storm surges tropical cyclone forecast system warning landfall

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