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Energy Outlook in East Africa Region and the Carbon Emissions for Conventional En-ergy Projection (Part I)

Journal of Power and Energy Engineering 2016年第7期4卷 32-41页

作者： mwongereza jean d’amour Aissa Boudjella Pan African University Institute of Water and Energy Science (PAUWES) Tlemcen University Tlemcen Algeria Bircham International University Madrid Spain

In this investigation, we focus on the current energy sources and future projects situation in East Africa up to 2040. Electricity generation potential of energy mix and electrical capacity will be analyzed. For both electricity generation and electrical capacity, the data source shows that some forms of energies such bio-energy, solar PV, etc. will contribute less as well as with insignificant contribution of nuclear energy. Whereas hydro is dominating comparing with gas, oil, coal, solar PV, bio-energy and other renewables energies. From 2000 up to 2012, hydro and oil were only the one source of electricity generation. Starting from 2020, other forms of energies will appear and continue to increase at different rate. The international trade of electricity in this region will appear in 2020 and continue to increase as predicted by the data. Up to 2040, hydro will play a big role in electricity generation with other renewable energy sources, such as coal, oil, Gas, bio- energy and solar PV that will continue to increase at different rate. The share of solar PV in energy generation will slowly increase compared to other sources. The capacity of hydro and renewable energy sources will be high compared with other sources of energy such as bioenergy, coal, oil, PV solar, and gas. The results show also that bio-energy will increase slowly in electricity generation in comparison with other source of energies. The present report shows that oil will continue to emit a lot carbon dioxide compared to gas and coal. The emission of CO2 from total final consumption (TFC) of oil will continue to be high in comparing with CO2 emission from power generation (PG) of oil. But the emission of carbon dioxide from power generation of coal from 2025 until 2040 will be high compared with emission of CO2 generated from FTC of coal. In this period, the emission from TFC for gas will remain insignificant. The total final consumption emission of oil in general

关键词： Electricity Generation Electrical Capacity Renewable Energy Carbon dioxide Emissions

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East Africa Region Energy Projection with the Carbon Emissions for Conventional Energy

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Computational Water, Energy, and Environmental Engineering 2018年第2期7卷 69-79页

作者： Aissa Boudjella mwongereza jean d’amour American University Darulaman Road Kabul Afghanistan Kabul Afghanistan Bircham International University Avda Sierra 2 Villanueva de la Ca&#241 ada Madrid Spain Pan African University Institute of Water and Energy Science PAUWES Pole Chetouane Tlemcen Algeria Integrated Polytechnic Regional Centre East (IPRC-EAST) Kibungo Rwanda

In this study we analyzed the generation and the potential of the electricity capacity of energy mix in East Africa from 2020 to 2040 including CO2 emission. The predicted results show that the electricity generated from hydro will dominate compared to gas, oil, coal, Solar PV, bio-energy and other renewable energy. Some forms of energies such as bio-energy, solar PV will contribute less, while the contribution of nuclear will remain insignificant. The oil will continue to emit a lot carbon dioxides compared to the emission from gas and coal. The emission of CO2 from total final consumption (TFC) of oil will be high compared to its emission from power generation (PG) of oil. More importantly, the results show a linear relationship between the energy outlook and time. This approach of modeling the energy in a linear form simplifies significantly the analysis of the electricity generation and capacity. due to this high emission of CO2, a new policy and a transition from conventional to renewable should be implemented with clean and energy efficiency technology.

关键词： East Africa Electricity Generation Electrical Capacity Renewable Energy Carbon dioxide Emissions

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