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Has global deforestation accelerated due to the COVID-19 pandemic?

Journal of Forestry Research 2023年第4期34卷 1153-1165页

作者： Jonnathan Céspedes Janelle M.Sylvester Lisset Pérez-Marulanda Paula Paz-Garcia Louis Reymondin mehran khodadadi Jhon J.Tello Augusto Castro-Nunez The Alliance of Bioversity International and International Center for Tropical Agriculture(CIAT) Km 17 Recta Cali-PalmiraCaliColombia Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management University of CopenhagenCopenhagenDenmark Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research(ZALF) MünchebergGermany

As the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded,questions arose as to whether the pandemic would amplify or pacify tropical deforestation.Early reports warned of increased deforestation rates;however,these studies were limited to a few months in 2020 or to selected regions.To better understand how the pandemic infl uenced tropical deforestation globally,this study used historical deforestation data(2004–2019)from the Terra-i pantropical land cover change monitoring system to project expected deforestation trends for 2020,which were used to determine whether observed deforestation deviated from expected trajectories after the fi rst COVID-19 cases were reported.Time series analyses were conducted at the regional level for the Americas,Africa and Asia and at the country level for Brazil,Colombia,Peru,the Democratic Republic of Congo and Indonesia.Our results suggest that the pandemic did not alter the course of deforestation trends in some countries(e.g.,Brazil,Indonesia),while it did in others(e.g.,Peru).We posit the importance of monitoring the long-term eff ects of the pandemic on deforestation trends as countries prioritize economic recovery in the aftermath of the pandemic.

关键词： Deforestation COVID-19 Time series Terra-i Drivers of deforestation monitoring

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