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Empirical assessment of the role of the Sun in climate change using balanced multi-proxy solar records

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Geoscience Frontiers 2023年第6期14卷 191-209页

作者： nicola Scafetta Department of Earth Sciences Environment and GeoresourcesUniversity of Naples Federico IIComplesso Universitario di Monte S.Angelovia Cinthia21Naples 80126Italy

The role of the Sun in climate change is hotly *** studies suggest its impact is significant,while others suggest it is *** Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)supports the latter view and suggests that nearly 100%of the observed surface warming from 1850–1900 to 2020 is due to anthropogenic ***,the IPCC’s conclusions are based solely on computer simulations made with global climate models(GCMs)forced with a total solar irradiance(TSI)record showing a low multi-decadal and secular *** same models also assume that the Sun affects the climate system only through radiative forcing–such as TSI–even though the climate could also be affected by other solar *** this paper I propose three“balanced”multi-proxy models of total solar activity(TSA)that consider all main solar proxies proposed in scientific *** optimal signature on global and sea surface temperature records is assessed together with those produced by the anthropogenic and volcanic radiative forcing functions adopted by the CMIP6 *** is done by using a basic energy balance model calibrated with a differential multi-linear regression methodology,which allows the climate system to respond to the solar input differently than to radiative forcings alone,and to evaluate the climate’s characteristic time-response as *** proposed methodology reproduces the results of the CMIP6 GCMs when their original forcing functions are applied under similar physical conditions,indicating that,in such a scenario,the likely range of the equilibrium climate sensitivity(ECS)could be 1.4℃to 2.8℃,with a mean of 2.1℃(using the HadCRUT5 temperature record),which is compatible with the low-ECS CMIP6 GCM ***,if the proposed solar records are used as TSA proxies and the climatic sensitivity to them is allowed to differ from the climatic sensitivity to radiative forcings,a much greater solar impact on climate change is found,along with a significant

关键词： Solar activity changes Solar variability climatic impact Global climate change and modeling Equilibrium climate sensitivity

Impacts and risks of“realistic”global warming projections for the 21st century

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Geoscience Frontiers 2024年第2期15卷 392-416页

作者： nicola Scafetta Department of Earth Sciences Environment and GeoresourcesUniversity of Naples Federico IIComplesso Universitario di Monte S.AngeloVia Vicinale Cupa Cintia2180126 NaplesNAItaly

The IPCC AR6 assessment of the impacts and risks associated with projected climate changes for the 21st century is both alarming and *** to computer projections,global surface temperature may warm from 1.3℃to 8.0℃by 2100,depending on the global climate model(GCM)and the shared socioeconomic pathway(SSP)scenario used for the *** climate-change hazards are estimated to be high and very high if the global surface temperature rises,respectively,more than 2.0℃and 3.0℃above pre-industrial *** studies,however,showed that a substantial number of CMIP6 GCMs run“too hot”because they appear to be too sensitive to radiative forcing,and that the high/extreme emission scenarios SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 are to be rejected because judged to be unlikely and highly unlikely,***,the IPCC AR6 mostly focused on such alarmistic scenarios for risk *** paper examines the impacts and risks of“realistic”climate change projections for the 21st century generated by assessing the theoretical models and integrating them with the existing empirical knowledge on global warming and the various natural cycles of climate change that have been recorded by a variety of scientists and *** is achieved by combining the SSP2-4.5 scenario(which is the most likely SSP according to the current policies reported by the International Energy Agency)and empirically optimized climate *** to recent research,the GCM macro-ensemble that best hindcast the global surface warming observed from 1980 to 1990 to 2012–2022 should be made up of models that are characterized by a low equilibrium climate sensitivity(ECS)(1.5℃

关键词： Climate change Climate models Shared socioeconomic pathways 21st-century climate projections Impacts and risks assessment

Effect of template shape on metal nanoimprinting:a dislocation dynamics study

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Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering) 2010年第10期11卷 722-726页

作者： Lucia nicola Department of Materials Science and Engineering Delft University of Technology

Dislocation dynamics simulations are performed to investigate the effect of template shape on the nanoimprinting of metal layers. To this end, metal thin films are imprinted by a rigid template made of an array of equispaced indenters of various shapes, i.e., rectangular, wedge, and circular. The geometry of the indenters is chosen such that the contact area is approximately the same at the final imprinting depth. Results show that, for all template shapes, the final patterns strongly depend on the dislocation activity, and that each imprint differs from the neighboring ones. Large material pile ups appear between the imprints, such that polishing of the metal layer is suggested for application of the patterns in electronics. Rectangular indenters require the lowest imprinting force and achieve the deepest retained imprints.

关键词： Nanoimprinting Dislocation dynamics Simulations

Production of metallic iron nanoparticles in a baffled stirred tank reactor: Optimization via computational fluid dynamics simulation

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Particuology 2020年第5期18卷 83-96页

作者： Giorgio Vilardi nicola Verdone Sapienza University of Rome Department of Chemical Engineering Materials EnvironmentVia Eudossiana 1800184RomeItaly

The aim of this work is to optimize iron nanoparticle production in stirred tank reactors equipped with two classical impellers:Rushton and four-pitched blade turbines,which are largely used in batch industrial synthesis and efficient *** main operative parameters of nanoparticle synthesis are the precursor initial concentration,reducing agent/precursor molar ratio,impeller-tank clearance,and impeller rotational *** parameters were varied during the synthesis to find the optimal operating values based on the Fe(0)(%)production,zeta potential,particle size distribution,and powder X-ray diffraction pattern *** found that the optimal operating conditions for nanoparticle production were an impeller velocity of 1500 rpm,initial iron precursor concentration of 20 mM,molar ratio of reducing agent to iron precursor of 3 mol/mol,and impeller clearance of 0.25 and 0.4 times the vessel diameter for Rushton and four-pitched blade impellers,*** these conditions achieved a total conversion of 0.94-0.98 and yielded a product with a unimodal size distribution and average diameters in the range 30-50 *** computational fluid dynamics results agreed with the expectations,and the obtained mixing Damkohler numbers show that the process is mixed controlled.

关键词： Nano zero-valent iron Computational fluid dynamics Turbulence Micromixing Length scale

Covariance analysis of periodic and quasi-periodic orbits around Phobos with applications to the Martian Moons eXploration mission

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Astrodynamics 2023年第3期7卷 363-379页

作者： Edoardo Ciccarelli nicola Baresi Surrey Space Centre University of SurreyGU27XHGuildfordUK

Understanding the internal composition of a celestial body is fundamental for formulating theories regarding its *** knowledge of the distribution of mass under the body’s crust can be achieved by analyzing its moments of inertia and gravity *** this regard,the two moons of the Martian system have not yet been closely studied and continue to pose questions regarding their origin to the space community;thus,they deserve further *** Martian Moons eXploration mission will be the first of its kind to sample and study Phobos over a prolonged *** study aims to demonstrate that the adoption of periodic and quasi-periodic retrograde trajectories would be beneficial for the scientific value of the ***,a covariance analysis was implemented to compare the estimation of high-order gravitational field coefficients from different orbital geometries and for different sets of processed *** was shown that the adoption of low-altitude non-planar quasi-satellite orbits would help to refine the knowledge of the moon’s libration angle and gravitational field.

关键词： covariance analysis Martian system geodetic navigation Martian Moons eXploration(MMX) Phobos

From Wagner to Wagner: reminiscences of the Bayreuth Festspielhaus in the reconstruction of the Carlo Felice Opera House in Genoa

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Frontiers of Architectural Research 2022年第5期11卷 917-933页

作者： nicola Delledonne College of Design and Built Environment Architecture DepartmentKing Fahd University of Petroleum and MineralsDhahran31261SaudiArabia

Around the middle of the nineteenth century, in the context of an extensive project to reform opera, German composer Richard Wagner began to envision a new kind of theater building that finally saw the light in 1876 in Bayreuth as the Festspielhaus. In the following century, Italian architect Aldo Rossi evoked its characteristic features in his reconstruction project of the Carlo Felice Opera House in Genoa, a building that had been partially destroyed during World War II and was reopened to the public in 1991. At the same time, he restored the relationship between architecture and the city that Wagnerian precepts had more or less consciously eliminated. By revisiting the time that separates the two buildings, and specifically the changes that the most important playhouses underwent, this essay attempts to capture the distinctive elements of the Wagnerian playhouse in order to evaluate what remains of them, what was omitted, and what was subtracted from later buildings that either exist only as projects or that were in fact actualized.

关键词： Theater Richard Wagner Aldo Rossi Bayreuth Genoa

Infrared-active phonons in one-dimensional materials and their spectroscopic signatures

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npj Computational Materials 2023年第1期9卷 331-337页

作者： Norma Rivano nicola Marzari Thibault Sohier Theory and Simulations of Materials(THEOS) École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneCH-1015 LausanneSwitzerland National Centre for Computational Design and Discovery of Novel Materials(MARVEL) École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneCH-1015 LausanneSwitzerland Laboratory for Materials Simulations Paul Scherrer Institut5232 Villigen PSISwitzerland Laboratoire Charles Coulomb(L2C) Universitéde MontpellierCNRSMontpellierFrance

Dimensionality provides a clear fingerprint on the dispersion of infrared-active,polar-optical *** these phonons,the local dipoles parametrized by the Born effective charges drive the LO-TO splitting of bulk materials;this splitting actually breaks down in two-dimensional ***,we develop the theory for one-dimensional(1D)systems—nanowires,nanotubes,and atomic and polymeric *** an analytical model with the implementation of density-functional perturbation theory in 1D boundary conditions,we show that the dielectric splitting in the dispersion relations collapses as x^(2) log(x)at the zone *** dielectric properties and the radius of the 1D materials are linked by the present work to these red shifts,opening infrared and Raman characterization avenues.

关键词： dimensional splitting dielectric

Solids that are also liquids: elastic tensors of superionic materials

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npj Computational Materials 2023年第1期9卷 2252-2264页

作者： Giuliana Materzanini Tommaso Chiarotti nicola Marzari Theory and Simulations of Materials(THEOS) École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneCH-1015 LausanneSwitzerland National Centre for Computational Design and Discovery of Novel Materials(MARVEL) École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneCH-1015 LausanneSwitzerland Present address:Institute of Condensed Matter and Nanosciences UniversitéCatholique de LouvainB-1348 Louvain-la-NeuveBelgium

Superionics are fascinating materials displaying both solid- and liquid-like characteristics: as solids, they respond elastically to shearstress;as liquids, they display fast-ion diffusion at normal conditions. In addition to such scientific interest, superionics aretechnologically relevant for energy, electronics, and sensing applications. Characterizing and understanding their elastic propertiesis, e.g., urgently needed to address their feasibility as solid-state electrolytes in all-solid-state batteries. However, static approachesto elasticity assume well-defined reference positions around which atoms vibrate, in contrast with the quasi-liquid motion of themobile ions in fast ionic conductors. Here, we derive the elastic tensors of superionics from ensemble fluctuations in the isobaric-isothermal ensemble, exploiting extensive Car-Parrinello simulations. We apply this approach to paradigmatic Li-ion conductors,and complement with a block analysis to compute statistical errors. Static approaches sampled over the trajectories oftenoverestimate the response, highlighting the importance of a dynamical treatment in determining elastic tensors in superionics.

关键词： ionic liquids ensemble

General invariance and equilibrium conditions for lattice dynamics in 1D,2D,and 3D materials

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npj Computational Materials 2022年第1期8卷 2280-2290页

作者： Changpeng Lin Samuel Poncé nicola Marzari Theory and Simulation of Materials(THEOS) École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneCH-1015LausanneSwitzerland National Centre for Computational Design and Discovery of Novel Materials(MARVEL) École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneCH-1015LausanneSwitzerland European Theoretical Spectroscopy Facility Institute of Condensed Matter and NanosciencesUniversitécatholique de LouvainChemin desÉtoiles 8B-1348Louvain-la-NeuveBelgium

The long-wavelength behavior of vibrational modes plays a central role in carrier transport,phonon-assisted optical properties,superconductivity,and thermomechanical and thermoelectric properties of ***,we present general invariance and equilibrium conditions of the lattice potential;these allow to recover the quadratic dispersions of flexural phonons in low-dimensional materials,in agreement with the phenomenological model for long-wavelength bending *** also prove that for any low-dimensional material the bending modes can have a purely out-of-plane polarization in the vacuum direction and a quadratic dispersion in the long-wavelength *** addition,we propose an effective approach to treat invariance conditions in crystals with non-vanishing Born effective charges where the long-range dipole-dipole interactions induce a contribution to the lattice potential and stress *** approach is successfully applied to the phonon dispersions of 158 two-dimensional materials,highlighting its critical relevance in the study of phonon-mediated properties of low-dimensional materials.

关键词： materials. lattice invariance