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The impact of climatic variables on the population dynamics of the main malaria vector, Anopheles stephensi Liston(Diptera: Culicidae), in southern Iran

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Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine 2020年第10期13卷 448-455页

作者： Madineh Abbasi Abbas Rahimi Foroushani Tohid Jafari-Koshki kamran pakdad Hassan Vatandoost Ahmad Ali Hanafi-Bojd Deparment of Medical Entomology&Vector Control School of Public HealthTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Infectious and Tropical Diseases Research Center Tabriz University of Medical SciencesTabrizIran Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics School of Public HealthTehran University of Medical SciencesTehranIran Molecular Medicine Research Center Tabriz University of Medical SciencesTabrizIran Department of Statistics and Epidemiology Faculty of HealthTabriz University of Medical SciencesTabrizIran Department of Parasitology&Mycology Paramedical SchoolShahid Beheshti University of Medical SciencesTehranIran

Objective:To determine the significance of temperature,rainfall and humidity in the seasonal abundance of Anopheles stephensi in southern ***:Data on the monthly abundance of Anopheles stephensi larvae and adults were gathered from earlier studies conducted between 2002 and 2019 in malaria prone areas of southeastern *** data for the studied counties were obtained from climatology *** estimating equations method was used for cluster correlation of data for each study site in different ***:A significant relationship was found between monthly density of adult and larvae of Anopheles stephensi and precipitation,max temperature and mean temperature,both with simple and multiple generalized estimating equations analysis(P<0.05).But when analysis was done with one month lag,only relationship between monthly density of adults and larvae of Anopheles stephensi and max temperature was significant(P<0.05).Conclusions:This study provides a basis for developing multivariate time series models,which can be used to develop improved appropriate epidemic prediction systems for these ***-term entomological study in the studied sites by expert teams is recommended to compare the abundance of malaria vectors in the different areas and their association with climatic variables.

关键词： Anopheles stephensi Climatic variables Monthly activity Iran

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