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The Influence of Climate Variability on the Watermelon Production in Zanzibar

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Atmospheric and Climate Sciences 2023年第1期13卷 44-61页

作者： Asya Omar Hamad Kombo Hamad Kai Agnes Kijazi Sara abdalla khamis abdalla Hassan abdalla Hassan Khatib Ame Masoud Makame Faki Faki Ali Ali Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) Zanzibar Office Zanzibar Tanzania TMA Dar es Salaam Office Dar es Salaam Tanzania The State University of Zanzibar (SUZA) Zanzibar Tanzania

Climate change and variability, has embarked societies in Zanzibar to rely on horticulture (i.e. watermelon production) as an adaptive measure due to an unpromising situation of commonly used agricultural yields. Currently, there is either no or scant information that describes the influence of climate changes and variability to watermelon production in Zanzibar. Thus, this study aimed to determine the influence of climate variability on the quantity of watermelon production in Zanzibar. The study used both primary and secondary datasets, which include the anecdotal information collected from interviewers’ responses from four districts of Unguja and Pemba, and climate parameters (rainfall, maximum and minimum temperature (Tmax and Tmin) acquired from Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) at Zanzibar offices. Pearson correlation was used for analyzing the association between watermelon production and climate parameters, while paired t-test was applied to show the significance of the mean differences of watermelon and climate parameters for two periods of 2014-2017 and 2018-2021, respectively. Percentage changes were used to feature the extent to which the two investigated parameters affect each other. The anecdotal responses were sorted, calculated in monthly and seasonal averages, plotted and then analyzed. Results have shown a strong correlation (r = 0.8 at p ≤ 0.02, and r = 0.7) between watermelon production, Tmax and rainfall during OND, especially in Unguja, as well as Tmin during JJA (i.e. r = - 0.8 at p ≤ 0.02) in Pemba. Besides, results have shown the existence of significant differences between the means of watermelon production and climate parameter for the two stated periods, indicating that the climate parameters highly affects the watermelon production by either enhancing or declining the yields by 69% - 162% and 17% - 77%, respectively. Moreover, results have shown that respondents were aware that excess temperature intensity during dry periods can le

关键词： Watermelon March to May (MAM) and October to November (OND) Seasonal Rainfall Maximum and Minimum Temperature Anecdotal Information

The Influence of Climate Change and Variability on Spatio-Temporal Rainfall and Temperature Distribution in Zanzibar

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Atmospheric and Climate Sciences 2023年第2期13卷 282-313页

作者： abdalla Hassan abdalla Kombo Hamad Kai Sara abdalla khamis Afredy Lawrence Kondowe Sarah E. Osima Philemon Henry King’uza Asya Omar Hamad Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) Zanzibar Tanzania Faculty of Science State University of Zanzibar (SUZA) Zanzibar Tanzania

Climate change has resulted in serious social-economic ramifications and extremely catastrophic weather events in the world, Tanzania and Zanzibar in particular, with adaptation being the only option to reduce impacts. The study focuses on the influence of climate change and variability on spatio-temporal rainfall and temperature variability and distribution in Zanzibar. The station observation datasets of rainfall, Tmax and Tmin acquired from Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) and the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment program (CORDEX) projected datasets from the Regional climate model HIRHAM5 under driving model ICHEC-EC-EARH, for the three periods of 1991-2020 used as baseline (HS), 2021-2050 as near future (NF) and 2051-2080 far future (FF), under two representative concentration pathways (RCP) of 4.5 and 8.5, were used. The long-term observed Tmax and Tmin were used to produce time series for observing the nature and trends, while the observed rainfall data was used for understanding wet and dry periods, trends and slope (at p ≤ 0.05) using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Mann Kendall test (MK). Moreover, the Quantum Geographic Information System (QGIS) under the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) interpolation techniques were used for mapping the three decades of 1991-2000 (hereafter D1), 2001-2010 (hereafter D2) and 2011-2020 (hereafter D3) to analyze periodical spatial rainfall distribution in Zanzibar. As for the projected datasets the Climate Data Operator Commands (CDO), python scripts and Grid analysis and Display System (GrADS) soft-wares were used to process and display the results of the projected datasets of rainfall, Tmax and Tmin for the HS, NF and FF, respectively. The results show that the observed Tmax increased by the rates of 0.035℃ yr-1 and 0.0169℃ yr-1, while the Tmin was i

关键词： Climate Change Climate Variability Spatial and Temporal Distribution Temperature Rainfall CORDEX

The Influence of Weather and Climate Variability on Groundwater Quality in Zanzibar

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Atmospheric and Climate Sciences 2022年第4期12卷 613-634页

作者： Leluu Ramadhan Mohammed Kombo Hamad Kai Agnes Laurence Kijazi Said Suleiman Bakar Sara abdalla khamis Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) Kisauni Zanzibar State University of Zanzibar Tunguu Campus Zanzibar

Climate change and variability have been inducing a broad spectrum of impacts on the environment and natural resources including groundwater resources. The study aimed at assessing the influence of weather, climate variability, and changes on the quality of groundwater resources in Zanzibar. The study used the climate datasets including rainfall (RF), Maximum and Minimum Temperature (Tmax and Tmin), the records acquired from Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) Zanzibar office for 30 (1989-2019) and 10 (2010-2019) years periods. Also, the Zanzibar Water Authority (ZAWA) monthly records of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Electrical Conductivity (EC), and Ground Water Temperature (GWT) were used. Interpolation techniques were used for controlling outliers and missing datasets. Indeed, correlation, trend, and time series analyses were used to show the relationship between climate and water quality parameters. However, simple statistical analyses including mean, percentage changes, and contributions to the annual and seasonal mean were calculated. Moreover, t and paired t-tests were used to show the significant changes in the mean of the variables for two defined periods of 2011-2015 and 2016-2020 at p ≤ 0.05. Results revealed that seasonal variability of groundwater quality from March to May (MAM) has shown a significant change in trends ranging from 0.1 to 2.8 mm/L/yr, 0.1 to 2.8 μS/cm/yr, and 0.1 to 2.0℃/yr for TDS, EC, and GWT, respectively. The changes in climate parameters were 0.1 to 2.4 mm/yr, 0.2 to 1.3℃/yr and 0.1 to 2.5℃/yr in RF, Tmax, and Tmin, respectively. From October to December (OND) changes in groundwater parameters ranged from 0.2 to 2.5 mm/L/yr 0.1 to 2.9 μS/cm/yr, and 0.1 to 2.1℃/yr for TDS, EC, and GWT, whereas RF, Tmax, and Tmin changed from 0.3 to 1.8 mm/yr, 0.2 to 1.9℃/yr and 0.2 to 2.0℃/yr, respectively. Moreover, the study has shown strong c

关键词： Quality of Groundwater Parameters Climate Variability Mean Changes of Climate and Water Quality Parameters

The Influence of Climate Change and Variability on Aircraft Take-off and Landing Performance;a Case Study of the Abeid Amani Karume International Airport-Zanzibar

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Journal of Transportation Technologies 2022年第3期12卷 453-474页

作者： Omar Mohamed Haji Kombo Hamad Kai Sara abdalla khamis Said Suleiman Bakar Hassan Rashid Ali Gharib Hamza Mohamed Fatma Said Seif Tanzania Civil Aviation Authority Zanzibar Office Kisauni Zanzibar Tanzania Meteorological Authority Zanzibar Office Kisauni Zanzibar State University of Zanzibar Tunguu Zanzibar

Climate change (CC) and variability have been world widely reported to pose number of risks in aviation industry including accidents, astray, and other operational difficulties. The impact of weather on landing and take-off performances has been several times experienced at Abeid Amani Karume International Airport (AAKIA);however, the influence of climate change and variability to the aircraft performance needs to be assessed. Thus, this study investigated the influence of climate change and variability on aircrafts take-off and landing performances. Specifically, the study investigated;i) the influence of climate change on Take-off Distance Required (TODR) and Maximum Take-off Mass (MTOM) for different types of aircraft;ii) the influence of climate variability to the aircraft landing performance on light, medium and heavy aircraft and lastly, iii) the study investigated the seasonal and annual variability on aircraft landing performance due to climate variability. The datasets used in this study include the eight years (2014-2021), aircraft operational records (diversion and missed approach events) and Aviation Routine Weather Reports (METAR) records which were utilized as the indicators for landing performance, the long-term (1990-2020) annual maximum temperatures (Tmax) which was used to determine the TODR and MTOM. Statistical tools including mean, percentage changes, correlations, regression, and the chi-square test were used for analysis and hypotheses testing. The results revealed that light and medium aircraft categories were significantly most affected on diversion events as compared to the heavy categories;however, for the missed approach events the impact was vice versa. Moreover, the seasonal and annual variability on diversion and missed approach events were significantly different (at p ≤ 0.001). As for the take-off performance, results show that the TODR and MTOM were significantly increasing and decreasing (at p ≤ 0.001), based on increasing air temp

关键词： Aircraft Take off/Landing Performance Missed Approach Diversion Take off Distance Required Maximum Take-off Mass Diversion Missed Approach

Seasonal Prediction of Tropical Cyclones and Storms over the Southwestern Indian Ocean Region Using the Generalized Linear Models

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Atmospheric and Climate Sciences 2023年第2期13卷 103-137页

作者： Kombo Hamad Kai Yohanna Wilson Shaghude Christian Bs Uiso Agnes Laurent Kijazi Sarah Osima Sara abdalla khamis Asya Omar Hamad Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) and Institute of Marine Sciences (IMS) University of Dar es Salaam (UDSM) Zan-zibar Tanzania Department of Physics University of Dar es Salaam (UDSM) TMA Zanzibar Tanzania Department of Natural Sciences State University of Zanzibar Zanzibar Tanzania

Tropical cyclones (TCs) and storms (TSs) are among the devastating events in the world and southwestern Indian Ocean (SWIO) in particular. The seasonal forecasting TCs and TSs for December to March (DJFM) and November to May (NM) over SWIO were conducted. Dynamic parameters including vertical wind shear, mean zonal steering wind and vorticity at 850 mb were derived from NOAA (NCEP-NCAR) reanalysis 1 wind fields. Thermodynamic parameters including monthly and daily mean Sea Surface Temperature (SST), Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR) and equatorial Standard Oscillation Index (SOI) were used. Three types of Poison regression models (i.e. dynamic, thermodynamic and combined models) were developed and validated using the Leave One Out Cross Validation (LOOCV). Moreover, 2 × 2 square matrix contingency tables for model verification were used. The results revealed that, the observed and cross validated DJFM and NM TCs and TSs strongly correlated with each other (p ≤ 0.02) for all model types, with correlations (r) ranging from 0.62 - 0.86 for TCs and 0.52 - 0.87 for TSs, indicating great association between these variables. Assessment of the model skill for all model types of DJFM and NM TCs and TSs frequency revealed high skill scores ranging from 38% - 70% for TCs and 26% - 72% for TSs frequency, respectively. Moreover, results indicated that the dynamic and combined models had higher skill scores than the thermodynamic models. The DJFM and NM selected predictors explained the TCs and TSs variability by the range of 0.45 - 0.65 and 0.37 - 0.66, respectively. However, verification analysis revealed that all models were adequate for predicting the seasonal TCs and TSs, with high bias values ranging from 0.85 - 0.94. Conclusively, the study calls for more studies in TCs and TSs frequency and strengths for enhancing the performance of the March to May (MAM) and December to October (OND) seasonal rainfalls in the East African (EA) and Tanzania in particular.

关键词： Tropical Cyclones and Storms Frequency Thermodynamic and Dynamic Models Skill Scores TCs/TSs Variability and Verification Leave One out Cross Validation

The Social Surveillance and Generational Compliance in New Mediation

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Journalism and Mass Communication 2023年第1期13卷 26-34页

作者： khamis Juma abdalla State University of Zanzibar KilimaniZanzibar

This article explores the social transformation on account of surveillance conception preoccupied through the technology diffusion thanks to the Web 2.0 novel *** new mediation abstracts the social provisions into radical customs of *** primes the supposition of socialization hitherto to transpire the scrutiny of the mutual rehearses of vertical and horizontal ***,the ultimate conversion keeps on through self-exposition notion in views of social interaction which so far posit the question of the privacy and public boundary owing to the hypothetical undue freedom of self-expression through Web ***,this paper examines the Surveillance Society in a comprehensive scope of the social structure vis-à-vis the ideas of generational submission towards social *** the dichotomy of digital revolutions,the Digital“Natives”are classified as typically addicted digital consumptions bearing the community outlooks,while Digital“Immigrants”persist in semi obedience along with the traditional ***,the Panopticon conceptualizes the certainty of social surveillance by dint of proliferation of information flows keen on social conducts automated in both online and offline paths through technological appliances.

关键词： generational divide new mediation self-expression and exposition social transformation Surveillance Society Web 2.0

Novel energy recovery from an integrated municipal solid waste and leachate treatment system

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Waste Disposal and Sustainable Energy 2024年第1期6卷 53-61页

作者： Siti Salwa khamis Hadi Purwanto Hamzah Mohd Salleh Alya Naili Rozhan Mohamed Abdur Rahman Mahammadsalman Warimani Noor Alam Faculty of Engineering International Islamic University MalaysiaJalan Gombak53100Kuala LumpurMalaysia Department of Engineering Management Universitas Internasional Semen IndonesiaGresikIndonesia Halalan Thayyiban Research Centre Sultan Sharif Ali Islamic UniversityBandar Seri BegawanBrunei Department of Mechanical Engineering P.A.College of EngineeringMangaloreKarnataka574153India Department of Mechanical Engineering Malaysia-Japan International Institute of TechnologyUniversity of Technology Malaysia54100Kuala LumpurMalaysia

Population growth,waste generation,and massive waste mismanagement have led to environmental *** of municipal solid waste(MSW)requires an efficient and sustainable integrated *** integrated thermal processing of MSW is one of the best waste management *** this study,energy analysis of MSW is carried out based on the material and energy balance of 2000 kg wet MSW,which contains 50%*** the leachate is removed,the dry MSW is sent for carbon content enhancement in carbonization to produce MSW-based ***,the combustion of MSW-based char provided high heat and syngas to be used in a hydrothermal process for MSW leachate *** result shows that the char fuel of MSW produces a sufficient amount of energy,13501.29 MJ(84.55%),in the form of synthetic gas by-product,which has a big potential as an energy *** novelty of the proposed integrated thermal system is to produce 84.55%synthetic gas by-product,which is used for electricity production,cooking,food,and heat energy for industrial *** proposed applications of this paper offer insightful information for policymaking regarding novel MSW techniques,which are economical,energy-efficient,and environmentally ***,it increases the effectiveness of MSW utilization.

关键词： Energy Carbonization Hydrothermal Municipal solid waste Integrated system

Seroprevalence of SARS-COV-2 Exposure among “High-Risk” Populations (Healthcare Workers, People Who Attend Markets, and School Children) in Zanzibar

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Advances in Infectious Diseases 2024年第1期14卷 34-55页

作者： Ame Masemo Solomon Mwakasungula khamis Kheir Erick Mgina Nahya khamis Irabi Kassim Bihila Bakar khamis Salim Sarah Mswata Kibwana Omar Theckla Kazimoto Linzy Elton Honorati Masanja Mayassa Ally Zanzibar Health Research Institute Binguni Zanzibar Ifakara Health Institute Bagamoyo Tanzania National Institute for Medical Research Muhimbili Centre Dar es Salaam Tanzania Binguni Public Health Laboratory Binguni Zanzibar Department of Microbiology Mnazi Mmoja Hospital Stone Town Zanzibar Centre for Clinical Microbiology Royal Free Hospital Campus University College London London UK

In Zanzibar, from the start of the pandemic in March 2020 to the time of sampling in December 2020, SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence data was limited. We conducted a seroprevalence study to evaluate the magnitude of SARS-CoV-2 exposure among healthcare workers, school children, and people who attended general markets in Zanzibar. The objectives of the study were to analyse the total antibodies from selected higher-risk population groups in order to determine magnitude in SARS CoV-2 exposure. Blood samples were collected from eligible and consented participants (adults and children), and their serum was analyzed for total antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 using ELISA. A questionnaire was used to collect participants’ demographic and clinical data. The overall SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence across all age groups was 33%, and a higher seroprevalence was observed in the 40 - 49 years’ age group relative to other ages as well as in those who attended markets. A runny nose (18.8% of participants) was the most frequently reported SARS-CoV-2 infection-related symptom. Multivariable analysis showed significantly higher odds of infection in people living in urban districts. The findings provide insight into SARS-CoV-2 infection among school children, health workers, and people who attended markets in Zanzibar in the early stages of the pandemic. Exposure in these groups might have been influenced by infection and prevention strategies taken by the government, as well as shopping behavior, school overcrowding, and population density in urban settings. The study had methodological limitations, including cross-sectional design. Further, well-designed, longitudinal studies are recommended to understand exposure and transmission at a population level.

关键词： SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence Zanzibar ELISA COVID-19

Pediatric and adult liver transplantation in Bahrain: The experiences in a country with no available liver transplant facilities

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World Journal of Transplantation 2024年第1期14卷 96-111页

作者： Hasan M Isa Fatema A Alkharsi Jawad K khamis Sawsan A Hasan Zainab A Naser Zainab N Mohamed Afaf M Mohamed Shaikha A Altamimi Department of Pediatrics Salmaniya Medical ComplexManama 26671Bahrain Department of Pediatrics Arabian Gulf UniversityManama 26671Bahrain Department of Medicine Salmaniya Medical ComplexManama 26671Bahrain Public Health Directorate Ministry of HealthManama 26671Bahrain The Overseas Office Supreme Committee for Treatment AbroadMinistry of HealthManama 26671Bahrain

BACKGROUND Liver transplantation(LT)is a life-saving procedure for patients with end-stage liver disease and has become the standard and most effective treatment method for these *** are many indications for LT that vary between countries and *** outcome of LT depends on the available facilities and surgical expertise,as well as the types of liver graft donors *** To assess the clinical characteristics of patients from Bahrain who underwent LT overseas,and analyze factors affecting their *** In this retrospective cohort study,we reviewed the medical records and overseas committee registry information of all pediatric and adult patients who were sent overseas to undergo LT by the Pediatric and Medical Departments of Salmaniya Medical Complex and Bahrain Defence Force Hospital via the Overseas Treatment Office,Ministry of Health,Kingdom of Bahrain,between 1997 and *** data,LT indication,donor-recipient relationship,overseas LT center,graft type,post-LT medications,and LT complications,were *** measured included the overall and 5-year LT survival ***’s exact,Pearsonχ2,and Mann-Whitney U tests were used to compare the pediatric and the adults’group in terms of clinical characteristics,donor-recipient relationship,medication,complications,and *** analysis was estimated via the Kaplan-Meier’s *** and multivariate analyses were used to detect predictors of *** Of the 208 eligible patients,170(81.7%)were sent overseas to undergo LT while 38(18.3%)remained on the waiting *** the 170 patients,167(80.3%)underwent LT and were included in the *** majority of the patients were Bahraini(91.0%),and most were males(57.5%).One-hundred-and-twenty(71.8%)were adults and 47(28.3%)were *** median age at transplant was 50.0[interquartile range(IQR):14.9–58.4]*** main indication for pediatric LT was biliary atresia(31.9%),while that of adult LT was

关键词： Overseas liver transplantation End-stage liver disease Liver transplant facilities Liver donor Biliary atresia Hepatitis C