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A Probabilistic Description of the Impact of Vaccine-Induced Immunity in the Dynamics of COVID-19 Transmission

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Open Journal of Modelling and Simulation 2024年第2期12卷 59-73页

作者： Javier Blecua juan Fernández-Recio José manuel gutiérrez Instituto de Ciencias de la Vid y del Vino (ICVV) CSIC-Universidad de La Rioja-Gobierno de La Rioja Logro&#241o Spain Departamento de Matemá ticas y Computaci&#243n Universidad de La Rioja Logro&#241o Spain

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has caused millions of deaths worldwide and a huge societal and economic impact in virtually all countries. A large variety of mathematical models to describe the dynamics of COVID-19 transmission have been reported. Among them, Bayesian probabilistic models of COVID-19 transmission dynamics have been very efficient in the interpretation of early data from the beginning of the pandemic, helping to estimate the impact of non-pharmacological measures in each country, and forecasting the evolution of the pandemic in different potential scenarios. These models use probability distribution curves to describe key dynamic aspects of the transmission, like the probability for every infected person of infecting other individuals, dying or recovering, with parameters obtained from experimental epidemiological data. However, the impact of vaccine-induced immunity, which has been key for controlling the public health emergency caused by the pandemic, has been more challenging to describe in these models, due to the complexity of experimental data. Here we report different probability distribution curves to model the acquisition and decay of immunity after vaccination. We discuss the mathematical background and how these models can be integrated in existing Bayesian probabilistic models to provide a good estimation of the dynamics of COVID-19 transmission during the entire pandemic period.

关键词： COVID-19 Transmission Dynamics Probabilistic Model Bayesian Analysis Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Improved organs at risk segmentation based on modified U‐Net with self‐attention and consistency regularisation

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CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology 2024年第4期9卷 850-865页

作者： Maksym Manko Anton Popov juan manuel Gorriz Javier Ramirez Electronic Engineering Department Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic InstituteKyivUkraine Department of Signal Theory Telematics and CommunicationsUniversity of GranadaGranadaSpain

Cancer is one of the leading causes of death in the world,with radiotherapy as one of the treatment *** planning starts with delineating the affected area from healthy organs,called organs at risk(OAR).A new approach to automatic OAR seg-mentation in the chest cavity in Computed Tomography(CT)images is *** proposed approach is based on the modified U‐Net architecture with the ResNet‐34 encoder,which is the baseline adopted in this *** new two‐branch CS‐SA U‐Net architecture is proposed,which consists of two parallel U‐Net models in which self‐attention blocks with cosine similarity as query‐key similarity function(CS‐SA)blocks are inserted between the encoder and decoder,which enabled the use of con-sistency *** proposed solution demonstrates state‐of‐the‐art performance for the problem of OAR segmentation in CT images on the publicly available SegTHOR benchmark dataset in terms of a Dice coefficient(oesophagus-0.8714,heart-0.9516,trachea-0.9286,aorta-0.9510)and Hausdorff distance(oesophagus-0.2541,heart-0.1514,trachea-0.1722,aorta-0.1114)and significantly outperforms the *** current approach is demonstrated to be viable for improving the quality of OAR segmentation for radiotherapy planning.

关键词： 3‐D computer vision deep learning deep neural networks image segmentation medical image processing object segmentation

Role of capsule endoscopy in suspected celiac disease: A European multi-centre study

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World Journal of Gastroenterology 2017年第4期23卷 703-711页

作者： Marisol Luján-Sanchis Enrique Pérez-Cuadrado-Robles Javier Garcia-Lledo José-Francisco juanmartinena Fernandez Luca Elli Victoria-Alejandra Jiménez-García juan Egea-Valenzuela Julio Valle-Munoz Cristina Carretero-Ribón Ignacio Fernández-Urién-Sainz Antonio López-Higueras Noelia Alonso-Lazaro Mileidis Sanjuan-Acosta Francisco Sanchez-Ceballos Bruno Rosa Santiago González-Vázquez Federica Branchi Lucía Ruano-Díaz César Prieto-de-Frías Vicente Pons-Beltrán Pilar Borque-Barrera Begona González-Suárez Sofía Xavier Federico Argüelles-Arias juan-manuel herrerías-gutiérrez Enrique Pérez-Cuadrado-Martínez Javier Sempere-García-Argüelles Digestive Diseases Unit General University Hospital of Valencia Small Bowel Unit Hospital Morales Meseguer Digestive Diseases Unit General University Gregorio Maranón Unit of Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Complejo Hospitalario de Navarra Center for prevention and Diagnosis of Celiac Disease Fondazione IRCCS Ca'Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico Unit of Gastroenterology and Endoscopy University Hospital Virgen Macarena Gastroenterology department Hospital Virgen de la Arrixaca Department of Gastroenterology Complejo Hospitalario de Toledo Department of Gastroenterology University of Navarra Clinic1 Endoscopy Digestive Unit Digestive Diseases AreaUniversitari i Politècnic La Fe Hospital1 Digestive Diseases Unit University Hospital Nuestra Senora de Candelaria1 Digestive Diseases Unit Clinical Hospital San Carlos1 Digestive Diseases Unit Hospital da Senhora da Oliveira-Guimaraes1 Endoscopy Digestive Unit Hospital Clinic de Barcelona

AIMTo analyze the diagnostic yield (DY), therapeutic impact (TI) and safety of capsule endoscopy (CE).METHODSThis is a multi-centre, observational, analytical, retrospective study. A total of 163 patients with suspicion of celiac disease (CD) (mean age = 46.4 ± 17.3 years, 68.1% women) who underwent CE from 2003 to 2015 were included. Patients were divided into four groups: seronegative CD with atrophy (Group-I, n = 19), seropositive CD without atrophy (Group-II, n = 39), contraindication to gastroscopy (Group-III, n = 6), seronegative CD without atrophy, but with a compatible context (Group-IV, n = 99). DY, TI and the safety of CE were *** overall DY was 54% and the final diagnosis was villous atrophy (n = 65, 39.9%), complicated CD (n = 12, 7.4%) and other enteropathies (n = 11, 6.8%; 8 Crohn’s). DY for groups I to IV was 73.7%, 69.2%, 50% and 44.4%, respectively. Atrophy was located in duodenum in 24 cases (36.9%), diffuse in 19 (29.2%), jejunal in 11 (16.9%), and patchy in 10 cases (15.4%). Factors associated with a greater DY were positive serology (68.3% vs 49.2%, P = 0.034) and older age (P = 0.008). On the other hand, neither sex nor clinical presentation, family background, positive histology or HLA status were associated with DY. CE results changed the therapeutic approach in 71.8% of the cases. Atrophy was associated with a greater TI (92.3% vs 45.3%, P < 0.001) and 81.9% of the patients responded to diet. There was one case of capsule retention (0.6%). Agreement between CE findings and subsequent histology was 100% for diagnosing normal/other conditions, 70% for suspected CD and 50% for complicated *** has a high DY in cases of suspicion of CD and it leads to changes in the clinical course of the disease. CE is safe procedure with a high degree of concordance with histology and it helps in the differential diagnosis of CD.

关键词： Capsule endoscopy Celiac disease Anti-transglutaminase antibodies Gluten-free diet Non-celiac gluten sensitivity

Guest Editorial:Knowledge‐based deep learning system in bio‐medicine

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CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology 2024年第4期9卷 787-789页

作者： Yu‐Dong Zhang juan manuel Górriz University of Leicester LeicesterUK University of Granada GranadaSpain

Numerous healthcare procedures can be viewed as medical sector *** the modern era,computers have become indispensable in the realm of medical decision‐***-ever,the common view of computers in the medical field typically extends only to applications that support doctors in diagnosing *** more tightly intertwine computers with the biomedical sciences,professionals are now more frequently utilising knowledge‐driven deep learning systems(KDLS)and their foundational technologies,especially in the domain of neuroimaging(NI).

关键词： learning computer doctor

GAN‐MD:A myocarditis detection using multi‐channel convolutional neural networks and generative adversarial network‐based data augmentation

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CAAI Transactions on Intelligence Technology 2024年第4期9卷 866-878页

作者： Hengame Ahmadi Golilarz Alireza Azadbar Roohallah Alizadehsani juan manuel Gorriz Department of Medical Radiation Engineering Faculty of EngineeringLahijan BranchIslamic Azad UniversityLahijanIran Department of Medical Radiation Engineering Lahijan BranchIslamic Azad UniversityLahijanIran Institute for Intelligent Systems Research and Innovation(IISRI) Deakin UniversityWaurn PondsVictoriaAustralia Data Science and Computational Intelligence Institute University of GranadaGranadaSpain

Myocarditis is a significant public health concern because of its potential to cause heart failure and sudden *** standard invasive diagnostic method,endomyocardial bi-opsy,is typically reserved for cases with severe complications,limiting its widespread ***,non‐invasive cardiac magnetic resonance(CMR)imaging presents a promising alternative for detecting and monitoring myocarditis,because of its high signal contrast that reveals myocardial *** assist medical professionals via artificial intelligence,the authors introduce generative adversarial networks‐multi discriminator(GAN‐MD),a deep learning model that uses binary classification to diagnose myocarditis from CMR *** approach employs a series of convolutional neural networks(CNNs)that extract and combine feature vectors for accurate *** authors suggest a novel technique for improving the classification precision of *** generative adversarial networks(GANs)to create synthetic images for data augmentation,the authors address challenges such as mode collapse and unstable *** a reconstruction loss into the GAN loss function requires the generator to produce images reflecting the discriminator features,thus enhancing the generated images'quality to more accurately replicate authentic data ***,combining this loss function with other reg-ularisation methods,such as gradient penalty,has proven to further improve the perfor-mance of diverse GAN models.A significant challenge in myocarditis diagnosis is the imbalance of classification,where one class dominates over the *** mitigate this,the authors introduce a focal loss‐based training method that effectively trains the model on the minority class *** GAN‐MD approach,evaluated on the Z‐Alizadeh Sani myocarditis dataset,achieves superior results(F‐measure 86.2%;geometric mean 91.0%)compared with other deep learning models and traditional machine learning methods.

关键词： 2‐D 3‐D

Brent *** Texas Intermediate in the US petro derivatives price formation

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Petroleum Science 2024年第1期21卷 729-739页

作者： Alejandro Almeida Antonio A.Golpe juan manuel Martín-Alvarez Jose Carlos Vides Universidad Internacional de La Rioja Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and BusinessLa RiojaSpain University of Huelva Department of Economics and Centro de Estudios Avanzados en FisicaMatematicas y Computacion and ICEIHuelvaSpain Complutense University of Madrid Department of Applied and Structural Economics and History and ICEIMadridSpain

In this paper,we apply the spatial panel model to explore the relationship between the dynamic of two types of crude oil prices(WTI and Brent crude oil)and their refined products over *** the turbulent months of 2011,when Cushing Oklahoma had reached capacity and the crude oil export ban removal in 2015 as breakpoints,we apply this method both in the full sample and the three resultant ***,results suggest our results show that both WTI and Brent display very similar behaviour with the refined ***,when attending to each regime,results derived from the first and third regimes are quite similar to the full sample ***,during the second regime,Brent crude oil became the benchmark in the petrol market,and it influenced the distillate ***,our model can let us determine the price-setters and price-followers in the price formation mechanism through refined *** results possess important considerations to policymakers and the market participants and the price formation.

关键词： Crude oil prices Spatial panel model Refined products Price formation

Rehabilitation of Semi-Arid Grasslands through the Perennialization of Lots by Implementing Perennial Forage Exotic Grass

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Phyton-International Journal of Experimental Botany 2024年第8期93卷 2115-2125页

作者： Delfina Arancio Sidoti juan manuel Zeberio Guadalupe Peter Universidad Nacional de Río Negro Sede AtlánticaCEANPaViedma8500Argentina Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas CONICETCABABuenos Aires1425Argentina Chacra Experimental Patagones Ministerio de Desarrollo Agrario de la Provincia de Buenos AiresCarmen de Patagones8504Argentina

Argentina is the country with the highest proportion of arid and semi-arid ecosystems in Latin *** the rangelands of Southwestern Buenos Aires(Patagones Department),there is a clear advancement of the agricultural frontier to the detriment of the native forest in this *** to rainfall variation and seed acquisition,Thinopyrum ponticum is cultivated as a forage perennial crop in this *** objective was to evaluate the performance of *** as a facilitating crop for the medium-term rehabilitation of natural grasslands in semi-arid *** working hypotheses were that:1)native perennial grass cover increases over the years and 2)diversity and specific richness of the vegetation are enhanced by the duration of Tall Wheatgrass *** were collected from commercial plots where *** was shown:recent implantation(5–8 years,RI);medium implantation(13–15 years,MI);and old implantation(20–22 years,OI).Thirty-four species were identified and classified into seven functional groups:Annual grasses,annual herbs,perennial herbs,exotic perennial herbs,perennial forage grasses,exotic perennial forage grasses,perennial forage exotic grasses,and nonforage perennial *** ponticum’s total cover was between RI and *** cover,species richness,and Shannon-Weaver diversity index showed no differences among *** forage grasses exhibited higher cover values in sites with greater implantation age and annual grasses showed the opposite *** results indicated that *** does not invade the sampled plots and enhances the colonization of the planted plots by perennial forage native ***,even though the herbaceous cover had been recovered,the woody layer which could provide environmental services and specific values for conservation was not.

关键词： Wheatgrass clearing vegetation monte Thinopyrum ponticum

Latest developments in early diagnosis and specific treatment of severe influenza infection

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Journal of Intensive Medicine 2024年第2期4卷 160-174页

作者： Francisco Valenzuela-Sánchez Blanca Valenzuela-Méndez juan Francisco Rodríguez-gutiérrez Ángel Estella Intensive Care Unit University Hospital of JerezRonda de Circunvalación s/nJerez de la FronteraSpain Haematology Department University Hospital of JerezRonda de Circunvalación s/nJerez de la FronteraSpain Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red Enfermedades respiratoriasCIBERESInstituto de Salud Carlos IIIAv.de Monforte de LemosMadridSpain Department of Oncological Surgery Institut du Cancer de Montpellier(ICM)Parc Euromédecine208 Av.des ApothicairesMontpellierFrance Department of Medicine Faculty of MedicineUniversity of CádizCalle Doctor MarañónCádizSpain Instituto de Investigación e Innovación Biomédica de Cádiz(INIBiCA) Avenida Ana de Viya 21CádizSpain

Influenza pandemics are unpredictable recurrent events with global health,economic,and social *** objective of this review is to provide an update on the latest developments in early diagnosis and specific treatment of the disease and its complications,particularly with regard to respiratory organ *** advances in treatment,the rate of mortality in the intensive care unit remains approximately 30%.Therefore,early identification of potentially severe viral pneumonia is extremely important to optimize treatment in these *** pathogenesis of influenza virus infection depends on viral virulence and host ***,in some patients,it is associated with an excessive systemic response mediated by an authentic cytokine *** process leads to severe primary pneumonia and acute respiratory distress *** prognostication in the emergency department based on comorbidities,vital signs,and biomarkers(e.g.,procalcitonin,ferritin,human leukocyte antigen-DR,mid-regional proadrenomedullin,and lactate)is *** of these biomarkers on admission may facilitate clinical decision-making to determine early admission to the hospital or the intensive care *** decisions are reached considering pathophysiological circumstances that are associated with a poor prognosis(e.g.,bacterial co-infection,hyperinflammation,immune paralysis,severe endothelial damage,organ dysfunction,and septic shock).Moreover,early implementation is important to increase treatment *** on a limited level of evidence,all current guidelines recommend using oseltamivir in this *** possibility of drug resistance should also be *** options include other antiviral drugs and combination therapies with monoclonal ***,it is not recommended to use corticosteroids in the initial treatment of these ***,the implementation of supportive measures for respiratory failure is ***

关键词： Influenza Pandemic Respiratory failure Acute respiratory distress syndrome Intensive care unit admission

Microsurgical management of radicular cyst using guided tissue regeneration technique:A case report

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World Journal of Clinical Cases 2024年第7期12卷 1346-1355页

作者： juan Carlos Gómez Mireles Eugenia Karina Martínez Carrillo Katia Alcalá Barbosa Evangelina gutiérrez Cortés Javier González Ramos Luis Antonio González Gómez Rubén Alberto Bayardo González Sarah Monserrat Lomelí Martínez Periodontics Specialty Department of Integral Dentistry ClinicsCentro Universitario de Ciencias de la SaludUniversidad de GuadalajaraGuadalajara 44340Mexico Endodontics Specialty Department of Integral Dentistry ClinicsCentro Universitario de Ciencias de la SaludUniversidad de GuadalajaraGuadalajara 44340Mexico Endodontics Specialty Department of ClinicsCentro Universitario de Los AltosUniversidad de GuadalajaraTepatitlán de Morelos 47620Mexico Specialty in Oral Pathology Surgical-Stomatological DepartmentAutonomous University of GuadalajaraZapopan 45129Mexico Independent Researcher Guadalajara 44340Mexico Department of Integral Dentistry Clinics Centro Universitario de Ciencias de la SaludUniversidad de GuadalajaraGuadalajara 44340Mexico Department of Medical and Life Sciences Centro Universitario de la CiénegaUniversidad de GuadalajaraOcotlán 47810Mexico Master of Public Health Department of Well-being and Sustainable DevelopmentCentro Universitario del NorteUniversidad de GuadalajaraColotlán 46200Mexico

BACKGROUND Radicular cyst is a lesion of odontogenic origin that arises from epithelial remains due to periapical periodontitis caused by inflammatory reactions generated at the apex of affected teeth with infected or necrotic *** therapeutic mana gement of radicular cysts is *** is only one case report of enucleation of a radicular cyst managed with microsurgery and apicoectomy,but without the use of the guided tissue regeneration(GTR)technique in the same surgical *** present clinical case describes the management of a radicular cyst with microsurgical approach,performance of an apicoectomy of the tooth associated with the entity,application of GTR technique,use of a resorbable membrane of type I bovine collagen,and bovine *** SUMMARY A 68-year-old patient presented with a radicular cyst from an upper lateral *** microsurgical management used was aimed at enucleating the chemical membrane,performing apicoectomy of the tooth along with careful and precise retrograde filling,and implementing GTR technique using a resorbable collagen membrane and bovine *** diagnosis of radicular cyst was confirmed using histopathological *** patient underwent follow-up evaluations at 10 and 30 d *** 4 months postoperative evaluation,she remained asymptomatic,and radiographs showed significant periapical healing with adequate bone *** These results suggest that microsurgical management using the GTR technique with collagen membrane and xenograft,contributes to bone regeneration.

关键词： Odontogenic cysts Apical periodontal cyst Dental root end cyst Case report