检索结果-南通市图书馆

Revisiting classical SIR modelling in light of the COVID-19 pandemic

Infectious Disease Modelling 2023年第1期8卷 72-83页

作者： Leonid Kalachev Erin L.Landguth jon graham Mathematical Sciences University of MontanaMissoulaUSA Center for Population Health Research School of Public and Community Health SciencesUniversity of MontanaMissoulaUSA

Background:Classical infectious disease models during epidemics have widespread usage,from predicting the probability of new infections to developing vaccination plans for informing policy decisions and public health responses.However,it is important to correctly classify reported data and understand how this impacts estimation of model parameters.The COVID-19 pandemic has provided an abundant amount of data that allow for thorough testing of disease modelling assumptions,as well as how we think about classical infectious disease modelling paradigms.Objective:We aim to assess the appropriateness of model parameter estimates and preiction results in classical infectious disease compartmental modelling frameworks given available data types(infected,active,quarantined,and recovered cases)for situations where just one data type is available to fit the model.Our main focus is on how model prediction results are dependent on data being assigned to the right model compartment.Methods:We first use simulated data to explore parameter reliability and prediction capability with three formulations of the classical Susceptible-Infected-Removed(SIR)modelling framework.We then explore two applications with reported data to assess which data and models are sufficient for reliable model parameter estimation and prediction accuracy:a classical influenza outbreak in a boarding school in England and COVID-19 data from the fall of 2020 in Missoula County,Montana,USA.Results:We demonstrated the magnitude of parameter estimation errors and subsequent prediction errors resulting from data misclassification to model compartments with simulated data.We showed that prediction accuracy in each formulation of the classical disease modelling framework was largely determined by correct data classification versus misclassification.Using a classical example of influenza epidemics in an England boarding school,we argue that the Susceptible-Infected-Quarantined-Recovered(SIQR)model is more appropriate than the commonly employed SIR model given the

关键词： Basic disease reproduction number Communicable disease control Coronavirus COVID-19 Disease transmission Epidemics Epidemiology Influenza data Mathematical models Montana SIR models

来源：

维普期刊数据库评论

在线全文

维普期刊数据库

学校读者我要写书评

暂无评论

哮喘治疗的新进展

引用

英国医学杂志中文版 2005年第4期8卷 223-228页

作者： Graeme P Currie graham S Devereux Daniel K C Lee jon G Ayres 刘艳（译）代华平（校） Chest Clinic C Aberdeen Royal Infirmary Foresterhill Aberdeen AB25 2ZN 不详

没有强有力的循证医学证据表明饮食方法或Buteyko技术对哮喘的临床管理有很大益处需要进一步研究确定当哮喘控制欠佳时患者应该怎么做小剂量吸入皮质激素可以和长效β2激动剂联合应用,以提供安全有效的哮喘控制静脉镁制剂和白三烯受体... 详细信息

没有强有力的循证医学证据表明饮食方法或Buteyko技术对哮喘的临床管理有很大益处需要进一步研究确定当哮喘控制欠佳时患者应该怎么做小剂量吸入皮质激素可以和长效β2激动剂联合应用,以提供安全有效的哮喘控制静脉镁制剂和白三烯受体拮抗剂对急性哮喘可能具有一些作用,但仍需进一步评价将来哮喘治疗是否能得到炎症生物标志或患者基因型认识的帮助。

关键词：哮喘镁制剂白三烯受体拮抗剂饮食管理皮质激素基因型

来源：

维普期刊数据库

同方期刊数据库评论

在线全文

学校读者我要写书评

暂无评论

SCLM age, composition and evolution

SCLM age, composition and evolution

引用

International Conference on Continental Volcanism

作者： W.L. Griffin Suzanne Y. O’Reilly graham Begg Elena Belousova Eloise Beyer jon Hronsky GEMOC Dept of Earth and Planetary SciencesMacquarie UniversityNSW 2109Australia CSIRO Exploration and MiningNorth RydeNSW 2113Australia GEMOC Dept of Earth and Planetary SciencesMacquarie UniversityNSW 2109Australia GEMOC Dept of Earth and Planetary SciencesMacquarie UniversityNSW 2109Australia BHP BillitonLevel 34 Central Park152-158 St Georges TcePerthWA 6000Australia GEMOC Dept of Earth and Planetary SciencesMacquarie UniversityNSW 2109Australia GEMOC Dept of Earth and Planetary SciencesMacquarie UniversityNSW 2109Australia GEMOC Dept of Earth and Planetary SciencesMacquarie UniversityNSW 2109Australia BHP BitlilonLevel 34 Central Park152-158 St Georges TcePerthWA 6000Australia

＜正＞The composition of the subcontinental lithospheric mantle （SCLM） varies broadly with the age of the last major tectonothermal event in the overlying crust. Archean SCLM is distinctively different from younger mantle;it is highly depleted, commonly is strongly stratified, and contains rock types that are essentially absent in younger SCLM. Its formation reflects processes that do not operate today. Phanerozoic terrains are generally underlain by fertile mantle, and most Proterozoic SCLM is intermediate between these two extremes. This

关键词：

来源： cnki会议评论

在线全文

cnki会议

学校读者我要写书评

暂无评论

欢迎您,

建议与咨询留下您的常用邮箱和电话号码，以便我们向您反馈解决方案和替代方法

时间限定

文献类型

馆藏选择

核心期刊

语言

文献类型

帮助

文字说明：

检索规则说明：

检索范例：

分类表

所选分类

限定检索结果

文献类型

馆藏范围

日期分布

学科分类号

主题

机构

作者

语言

在线全文

在线全文

在线全文

请选择保存的检索档案：

请选择收藏分类：

通借通还

欢迎您,

建议与咨询 留下您的常用邮箱和电话号码，以便我们向您反馈解决方案和替代方法

时间限定

文献类型

馆藏选择

核心期刊

语言

文献类型

帮助

文字说明：

检索规则说明：

检索范例：

分类表

所选分类

限定检索结果

文献类型

馆藏范围

日期分布

学科分类号

主题

机构

作者

语言

在线全文

在线全文

在线全文

请选择保存的检索档案： 新增检索档案 确定 取消

请选择收藏分类： 新增自定义分类 确定 取消

通借通还

建议与咨询留下您的常用邮箱和电话号码，以便我们向您反馈解决方案和替代方法

请选择保存的检索档案：

请选择收藏分类：