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orecast of peak infection and estimate of excess deaths in COVID-19 transmission and prevalence in Taiyuan City,2022 to 2023

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第1期9卷 56-69页

作者： jia-Lin Wang Xin-Long Xiao Fen-Fen Zhang Xin Pei Ming-tao Li Ju-ping Zhang Juan Zhang Gui-Quan Sun Complex Systems Research Center Shanxi UniversityTaiyuan030006China School of Mathematical Sciences Shanxi UniversityTaiyuan030006China School of Mathematics North University of ChinaTaiyuan030051China College of Mathematics Taiyuan University of TechnologyTaiyuan030024China Complex Systems and Data Science Key Laboratory of Ministry of Education Taiyuan030006China

In this paper,with the method of epidemic dynamics,we assess the spread and prevalence of COVID-19 after the policy adjustment of prevention and control measure in December 2022 in Taiyuan City in China,and estimate the excess population deaths caused by *** on the transmission mechanism of COVID-19 among individuals,a dynamic model with heterogeneous contacts is established to describe the change of control measures and the population's social behavior in Taiyuan *** model is verified and simulated by basing on reported case data from November 8th to December 5th,2022 in Taiyuan city and the statistical data of the questionnaire survey from December 1st to 23rd,2022 in Neijiang *** with reported numbers of permanent residents and deaths from 2017 to 2021 in Taiyuan city,we apply the dynamic model to estimate theoretical population of 2022 under the assumption that there is no effect of *** addition,we carry out sensitivity analysis to determine the propagation character of the Omicron strain and the effect of the control *** a result of the study,it is concluded that after adjusting the epidemic policy on December 6th,2022,three peaks of infection in Taiyuan are estimated to be from December 22nd to 31st,2022,from May 10th to June 1st,2023,and from September 5th to October 13th,2023,and the corresponding daily peaks of new cases can reach 400000,44000 and 22000,*** the end of 2022,excess deaths can range from 887 to 4887,and excess mortality rate can range from 3.06%to 14.82%.The threshold of the infectivity of the COVID-19 variant is estimated 0.0353,that is if the strain infectivity is above it,the epidemic cannot be control with the previous normalization measures.

关键词： Taiyuan city COVID-19 Dynamic model Epidemic scale Epidemic peak Excess death

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Propagation form of internal cracks induced by continuous casting soft reduction and control strategy for internal quality

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Journal of Iron and Steel Research International 2024年第3期31卷 622-633页

作者： Pu Wang Liang Chen Qun-wei Tang Wei-tao Li Shao-xiang Li jia-quan Zhang School of Metallurgical and Ecological Engineering University of Science and Technology BeijingBeijing 100083China Weifang Special Steel Group Co..Ltd. Weifang 262400ShandongChina School of Materials Science and Engineering Tsinghua UniversityBeijing 100084China

The propagation form of internal cracks induced by continuous casting soft reduction and the control strategy for enhancing the internal quality of 45 steel through industrial trials and a three-dimensional flow-heat transfer-solidification coupling model were *** results showed that the internal cracks induced by soft reduction exhibited a characteristic of being"coarse in the middle and fine at both ends",and displayed an elliptical arc distribution on the loose side of the strand cross *** cracks originated within the brittle temperature range and propagated inward to the liquid impenetrable temperature and outward to the zero ductility temperature or *** control strategy for enhancing the internal quality of the 45 steel strand through soft reduction is to adjust the casting speed or the reduction zone appropriately,ensuring that the central solid fraction of the reduction zone falls within the range of *** this point,a reasonable reduction amount is allocated to eliminate the center shrinkage cavities and center segregation,even if it results in minor reduction-induced cracks.

关键词： Continuous casting Soft reduction Crack propagation Internal quality Control strategy

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Transcriptomic analysis identifies the neuropeptide cortistatin (CORT) as an inhibitor of temozolomide (TMZ) resistance by suppressing the NF-kB-MGMT signaling axis in human glioma

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Genes & Diseases 2024年第3期11卷 385-399页

作者： Zongze He Bo Peng Qi Wang Jie Tian ping Liu Jie Feng Yiwei Liao Longyi Chen ping jia jian Tang Department of Neurosurgery Sichuan Provincial People's HospitalUniversity of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaChengduSichuan 610072China Department of Rehabilitation Medicine Sichuan Provincial People's HospitalUniversity of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaChengduSichuan 610072China Department of Neurosurgery Xiangya HospitalCentral South UniversityChangshaHunan 410008China

Glioma is a common tumor originating in the brain that has a high mortality ***(TMZ)is the first-line treatment for high-grade ***,a large pro-portion of gliomas are resistant to TMZ,posing a great challenge to their *** the study,the specific functions and mechanism(s)by which cortistatin(CORT)regulates TMZ resis-tance and glioma progression were *** decreased expression of CoRT was detected in glioma tissues,and highly expressed CORT was associated with a better survival rate in pa-tients with *** overexpression notably decreased the capacity of glioma cells to pro-liferate and migrate in vitro and to form tumors in *** overexpression also markedly suppressed the viability and enhanced the apoptosis of TMZ-resistant U251 cells by regulating MGMT,p21,and Puma ***,CORT overexpression reduced the resistance of gliomas to TMZ in *** expression Was negatively correlated with MGMT expression in both glioma tissues and cells,and it was found that CORT inhibited NF-kB pathway activation in glioma cells,thereby inhibiting MGMT *** conclusion,CORT regulates glioma cell growth,migration,apoptosis,and TMZ resistance by weakening the activity of NF-kB/p65 and thereby regulating MGMT *** CORT/NF-kB/MGMT axis might be regarded as a molecular mechanism contributing to the resistance of glioma to *** data also suggest that CORT regulates the viability and metastatic potential of glioma cells,independent of its effects on TMZ resistance,providing evidence of novel therapeutic targets for glioma that should be evaluated infurther studies.

关键词： Cortistatin Glioma MGMT NF-kB pathway Temozolomide

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Dynamic Response of A Group of Cylindrical Storage Tanks with Baffles Considering the Effect of Soil Foundation

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China Ocean Engineering 2024年第1期38卷 129-143页

作者： SUN Ying WANG jia-dong HUO Rui-li ZHOU Ding GU Zhen-yuan QIAN Wang-ping School of Transportation and Civil Engineering Nantong UniversityNantong 226019China Faculty of Civil Engineering and Mechanics Jiangsu UniversityZhenjiang 212013China College of Civil Engineering Nanjing Tech UniversityNanjing 211816China

The sloshing in a group of rigid cylindrical tanks with baffles and on soil foundation under horizontal excitation is studied *** solutions for the velocity potential are derived out by the liquid subdomain *** models with mass-spring oscillators are established to replace continuous *** with the least square technique,Chebyshev polynomials are employed to fit horizontal,rocking and horizontal-rocking coupling impedances of soil,respectively.A lumped parameter model for impedance is presented to describe the effects of soil on tank structures.A mechanical model for the soil-foundation-tank-liquid-baffle system with small amount of calculation and high accuracy is proposed using the substructure *** analytical solutions are in comparison with data from reported literature and numerical codes to validate the effectiveness and correctness of the *** dynamic properties and seismic responses of the soil-tank system are given for the baffle number,size and location as well as soil parameter.

关键词： cylindrical tanks multiple annular baffles equivalent analytical model soil−structure interaction subdomain method dynamic response

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Anti-corrosive and highly reversible zinc metal anode enabled by the phenolic resin coating

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Rare Metals 2024年第5期43卷 2115-2124页

作者： Ya-ping Wang Ya-Di Yang Shu-Qi Duan Li Wang jia-Shuo Guo An-Qiang Pan School of Materials Science and Engineering Hebei University of TechnologyTianjin 300130China Key Laboratory of Special Functional Materials for Ecological Environment and Information(Hebei University of Technology).Ministry of Education Tianjin 300130China Key Laboratory for New Type of Functional Materials in Hebei Province Hebei University of TechnologyTianjin 300130China School of Materials Science and Engineering Central South UniversityChangsha 410083China

Aqueous zinc-ion batteries have attracted much attention due to their high theoretical capacity,low cost high safety,and ***,challenges such as dendrite growth and side reactions severely hinder the electrochemical performance of the Zn anode,leading to low Coulombic efficiency(CE)or even short circuits Herein,phenolic resin(PF)is used as a protective coating on the surface of the zinc metal *** PF layer can greatly improve the corrosion resistance of the Zn electrode in the ***,this artificial electrode/electrolyte interphase also elevates the nucleation barrier and restrains Zn^(2+)2D diffusion,regulating the zinc deposition/dissolution *** a result,PF@Zn symmetric cells exhibit superior performance than that of bare Zn symmetric cells,achieving a stable and dendrite-free cycle of 1400 ***,the carbon nanotube MnO_(2)||PF@Zn(CNT/MnO_(2)||PF@Zn)full cell also delivers a long cycle life with a high-capacity retention of about 180.0 m Ah·g^(-1)after 1400 cycles,far exceeding that of bare Zn *** work provides a facile strategy for achieving a dendrite-free and rechargeable zinc anode.

关键词： Rechargeable aqueous batteries Zn metal anode Phenolic resin Anti-corrosion

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Survey on performance of vertical slot and nature-like fishways at Angu hydropower station, Southwest China

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Water Science and Engineering 2024年第1期17卷 83-91页

作者： Jun-jian Sun jia-yue Shi Qi Zhang Xiao-tao Shi Jun-jun Tan PowerChina Huadong Engineering Corporation Limited Hangzhou 311122China Hubei International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Fish Passage China Three Gorges UniversityYichang 443002China

To restore dam-blocked natural fish migratory passages,a growing number of artificial fishways have been built in water conservancy and hydropower projects in *** Angu hydropower station involved diverse important fish habitats in the lower reaches of the Daduhe River in Southwest ***,a vertical slot fishway(VSF)and a nature-like fishway(NLF)were built near the backwater area of the reservoir to connect the upstream and downstream *** and aquatic ecological surveys were conducted after the completion of the project to estimate the fish passing effect of the two *** results indicated that both fishways were in effective operation and could maintain the desired hydrodynamic conditions and be used by several local fish *** the survey,149 fish from 15 species and 111 fish from 17 species were captured by the traps in the VSF and NLF,respectively,while 1263 fish from 27 species were found in the downstream *** species captured in the VSF were not found in the NLF,and vice versa,which implied the different preferences of ***,3789 signals including 2099 upward ones and 1690 downward ones were monitored with an ultrasonic fish detector at the inlet of the *** findings revealed the characteristics of fish species observed in and near the fishways and provided valuable insights into the different fish passing capabilities of VSFandNLF.

关键词： Vertical slot fishway Nature-like fishway Aguatic ecological survey Fishwaymonitoring Statistical analysis

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Study of the reaction mechanism for preparing powdered activated coke with SO_(2)adsorption capability via one-step rapid activation method under flue gas atmosphere

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Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering 2024年第1期65卷 158-168页

作者： Binxuan Zhou Jingcai Chang Jun Li Jinglan Hong tao Wang Liqiang Zhang ping Zhou Chunyuan Ma School of Environmental Science and Engineering Shandong UniversityQingdao 266237China School of Energy and Power Engineering Shandong UniversityJinan 250061China Weihai Research Institute of Industrial Technology of Shandong University Weihai 264209China

In this study,the impact of different reaction times on the preparation of powdered activated carbon(PAC)using a one-step rapid activation method under flue gas atmosphere is investigated,and the underlying reaction mechanism is *** indicate that the reaction process of this method can be divided into three stages:stage I is the rapid release of volatiles and the rapid consumption of O_(2),primarily occurring within a reaction time range of 0-0.5 s;stage II is mainly the continuous release and diffusion of volatiles,which is the carbonization and activation coupling reaction stage,and the carbonization process is the main in this *** stage mainly occurs at the reaction time range of 0.5 -2.0 s when SL-coal is used as material,and that is 0.5-3.0 s when JJ-coal is used as material;stage III is mainly the activation stage,during which activated components diffuse to both the surface and interior of *** stage mainly involves the reaction stage of CO_(2)and H2O(g)activation,and it mainly occurs at the reaction time range of 2.0-4.0 s when SL-coal is used as material,and that is 3.0-4.0 s when JJ-coal is used as ***,the main function of the first two stages is to provide more diffusion channels and contact surfaces/activation sites for the diffusion and activation of the activated components in the third *** the reaction mechanism would serve as a crucial reference and foundation for designing the structure,size of the reactor,and optimal positioning of the activator nozzle in PAC preparation.

关键词： Reaction mechanism Powdered activated coke preparation SO_(2)adsorption One-step rapid activation Flue gas atmosphere

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Sedimentary architecture of submarine channel-lobe systems under different seafloor topography:Insights from the Rovuma Basin offshore East Africa

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Petroleum Science 2024年第1期21卷 125-142页

作者： Mei Chen Sheng-He Wu Rui-Feng Wang jia-jia Zhang Peng-Fei Xie Min Wang Xiao-Feng Wang Ji-tao Yu Qi-Cong Xiong State Key Laboratory of Petroleum Resources and Prospecting China University of Petroleum(Beijing)Beijing102249China College of Geosciences China University of Petroleum(Beijing)Beijing102249China Faculty of Geosciences University of BremenBremen28359Germany MARUM-Center for Marine and Environmental Sciences University of BremenBremen28359Germany Research institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development PetroChinaBeijing10083China School of Geosciences Yangtze UniversityWuhan 100083HubeiChina CNODC Mozambique Ltd. Beijing 100034China

Seafloor topography plays an important role in the evolution of submarine ***,it is still not so clear how the shape of slope affects the three-dimensional(3-D)architecture of submarine *** this study,we analyze the effect of topography factors on different hierarchical lobe architectures that formed during Pliocene to Quaternary in the Rovuma Basin offshore East *** characterize the shape,size and growth pattern of different hierarchical lobe architectures using 3-D seismic *** find that the relief of the topographic slope determines the location of preferential deposition of lobe complexes and single *** the topography is irregular and presents topographic lows,lobe complexes first infill these *** lobes are deposited preferentially at positions with higher longitudinal(***-slope)slope *** the longitudinal slope becomes higher,the aspect ratio of the single lobes ***(***-slope)topography does not seem to have a strong influence on the shape of single lobe,but it seems to affect the overlap of single *** the lateral slope gradient is relatively high,the single lobes tend to have a larger overlap ***,as the average of lateral slope and longitudinal slope gets greater,the width/thickness ratio of the single lobe is smaller,*** tend to accumulate *** results demonstrate that the shape of slopes more comprehensively influences the 3-D architecture of lobes in natural deep-sea systems than previously other lobe deposits and analogue experiments,which helps us better understand the development and evolution of the distal parts of turbidite systems.

关键词： Submarine fan Seafloor topography Sedimentary architecture Slope system SW Indian ocean

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Chemical Composition, Pharmacological Effects and Clinical Applications of Cinobufacini

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Chinese Journal of Integrative Medicine 2024年第4期30卷 366-378页

作者： ZUO Qian XU Ding-qiao YUE Shi-jun FU Rui-jia TANG Yu-ping Key Laboratory of Shaanxi Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine for TCM Compatibility Shaanxi University of Chinese MedicineXi'an(712046)China

Chinese medicine cinobufacini is an extract from the dried skin of Bufo bufo gargarizans Cantor,with active ingredients of bufadienolides and indole *** further research and clinical applications,it is found that cinobufacini alone or in combination with other therapeutic methods can play an anti-tumor role by controlling proliferation of tumor cells,promoting apoptosis,inhibiting formation of tumor neovascularization,reversing multidrug resistance,and regulating immune response;it also has the functions of relieving cancer pain and regulating immune *** this paper,the chemical composition,pharmacological effects,clinical applications,and adverse reactions of cinobufacini are ***,the extraction of monomer components of cinobufacini,the relationship between different mechanisms,and the causes of adverse reactions need to be further ***,high-quality clinical studies should be conducted.

关键词： cinobufacini chemical composition Chinese medicine pharmacological effect clinical application adverse effect

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Study of inter-well interference in shale gas reservoirs by a robust production data analysis method based on deconvolution

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Petroleum Science 2024年第4期21卷 2502-2519页

作者： Wen-Chao Liu Cheng-Cheng Qiao ping Wang Wen-Song Huang Xiang-Wen Kong Yu-ping Sun He-Dong Sun Yue-Peng jia School of Civil and Resource Engineering University of Science and Technology Beijing PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development

In order to overcome the defects that the analysis of multi-well typical curves of shale gas reservoirs is rarely applied to engineering, this study proposes a robust production data analysis method based on deconvolution, which is used for multi-well inter-well interference research. In this study, a multi-well conceptual trilinear seepage model for multi-stage fractured horizontal wells was established, and its Laplace solutions under two different outer boundary conditions were obtained. Then, an improved pressure deconvolution algorithm was used to normalize the scattered production data. Furthermore, the typical curve fitting was carried out using the production data and the seepage model solution. Finally,some reservoir parameters and fracturing parameters were interpreted, and the intensity of inter-well interference was compared. The effectiveness of the method was verified by analyzing the production dynamic data of six shale gas wells in Duvernay area. The results showed that the fitting effect of typical curves was greatly improved due to the mutual restriction between deconvolution calculation parameter debugging and seepage model parameter debugging. Besides, by using the morphological characteristics of the log-log typical curves and the time corresponding to the intersection point of the log-log typical curves of two models under different outer boundary conditions, the strength of the interference between wells on the same well platform was well judged. This work can provide a reference for the optimization of well spacing and hydraulic fracturing measures for shale gas wells.

关键词： Shale gas Inter-well interference Deconvolution Production data analysis Typical curves Multi-stage fractured horizontal well

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