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Spatial Variation and Trend of Extreme Precipitation in Africa during 1981-2019 and Its Projected Changes at the End of 21^st Century

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Journal of Geoscience and Environment Protection 2024年第3期12卷 192-221页

作者： Fabien Habiyakare Tong Jiang ibrahim Yahaya Daudi Ndabagenga James Kagabo Buda Su School of Atmospheric Sciences Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Nanjing China Rwanda Meteorology Agency (Meteo Rwanda) Kigali Rwanda Institute for Disaster Risk Management/School of Geographical Sciences Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology Nanjing China Department of Geography Gombe State University Gombe State Nigeria

This study comprehensively examines the patterns and regional variation of severe rainfall across the African continent, employing a suite of eight extreme precipitation indices. The analysis extends to the assessment of projected changes in precipitation extremes using five General Circulation Models (GCMs) from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios at the long-term period (2081-2100) of the 21st century. Furthermore, the study investigates potential mechanisms influencing precipitation extremes by correlating extreme precipitation indices with oceanic system indices, specifically Ni?o 3.4 for El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Dipole Mode Index (DMI) for the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). The findings revealed distinct spatial distributions in mean trends of extreme precipitation indices, indicating a tendency toward decreased extreme precipitation in North Africa, Sahel region, Central Africa and the Western part of South Africa. Conversely, West Africa, East Africa and the Eastern part of South Africa exhibit an inclination toward increased extreme precipitation. The changes in precipitation extreme indices indicate a general rise in both the severity and occurrence of extreme precipitation events under all scenarios by the end of the 21st century. Notably, our analysis projects a decrease in consecutive wet days (CWD) in the far-future. Additionally, correlation analysis highlights significant correlation between above or below threshold rainfall fluctuation in East Africa and South Africa with oceanic systems, particularly ENSO and the IOD. Central Africa abnormal precipitation variability is also linked to ENSO with a significant negative correlation. These insights contribute valuable information for understanding and projecting the dynamics of precipitation extreme in Africa, providing a foundation for climate adaptation and mitigation efforts in the region.

关键词： Extreme Precipitation Mann-Kendall Trend Projections Oceanic System Africa

Study of Factors Associated with the Practice of Vaccination against COVID-19 among Medical Science Students in Dakar (Senegal)

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Open Journal of Epidemiology 2024年第2期14卷 199-220页

作者： Chafika ibrahim Zanguina Theresa Stella Esperance Fouckou Moko Jean Augustin Diegane Tine Department of Medicine El Hadji Ibrahima Niasse University of Dakar Dakar Senegal Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health Faculty of Medicine Pharmacy and Odontology Cheikh Anta Diop University Dakar Senegal

Introduction: Almost a year after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, Senegal embarked on a vaccination campaign to protect its population. The objective of this study was to identify the factors influencing the COVID-19 vaccination practices within a health training university in Dakar. Methodology: This was a cross-sectional, descriptive and analytical study carried out from October 21 2021 to February 21 2022 among students at the Elhadj ibrahima Niass private University in Dakar, Senegal. A 28-question online questionnaire was sent to all students enrolled at the university during this period. Results: Of the 576 students who responded, the average age was 22.60 years, with females predominating (57.81%). Medical students accounted for 66.14% of participants, pharmacy 22.40% and dental surgery 11.46%. Of these, 42.01% were bachelor’s students, 29.51% master’s students and 28.47% doctoral students. Vaccination coverage was 50.35%. Students who considered COVID-19 to be very dangerous were more likely to be vaccinated (OR = 5.05 [2.24-11.9]). Those with poor knowledge of vaccines were less likely to be vaccinated (OR = 0.07 [0.03-0.18]), as were those with poor knowledge of contraindications to vaccination (OR = 0.49 [0.28-0.86]). No association was found between vaccination status and socio-demographic or educational characteristics. Conclusion: In view of the importance of knowledge about COVID-19 vaccination, our results suggest that it is important to involve health students in the Ministry of Health’s awareness-raising strategies, because their support is necessary for better public awareness.

关键词： COVID-19 Vaccination Health Students Senegal

Assessment of Radiological Hazards of Sedimentary, Igneous and Sediments Natural Rocks

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World Journal of Nuclear Science and Technology 2024年第2期14卷 131-145页

作者： Wafaa Arafa Hala Mahmoud Eman Yousf Ashry Ashry ibrahim Elaassy Ahmed Elsersy Faculty of Women Ain Shams University Cairo Egypt Nuclear Material Authority Cairo Egypt Faculty of Education Ain Shams University Cairo Egypt National Institute of Standard Giza Egypt

Gamma-ray spectroscopy based on a 100% efficiency hyper-pure germanium detector was used to evaluate the activity concentrations of 226Ra, 232Th, and 40K natural radionuclides in sedimentary, conglomerate, igneous and sedi-ments rock samples collected from four different locations in Eastern desert in Egypt. The obtained activity concentrations are used to evaluate the radi-ological hazards indices, absorbed dose rate, annual effective dose equivalent in air, radium equivalent, external and internal hazard index, radiation level index, annual gonadal dose equivalent, excess lifetime cancer risk and expo-sure rate. The results show that 1) the absorbed dose rate depends on the rock type, 2) the annual effective dose equivalent in air in 71% of sample below 20 mSvy-1 (permissible limit for workers), 3) the conglomerate rocks show low radioactivity level, 4) sedimentary rocks are rich in radium while igneous rocks are rich in thorium and the sediments rocks are rich in both radium and thorium.

关键词： Gamma Spectrometry Radiological Hazard Indices NORM Sedimentary Conglomerate Igneous Sediments

Hematological picture of pediatric Sudanese patients with visceral leishmaniasis and prediction of leishmania donovani parasite load

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World Journal of Clinical Cases 2024年第30期12卷 6374-6382页

作者： Zeinab ibrahim Ahmed Elnoor Omaima Abdelmajeed Alamin Mustafa Thuraya Gasim Shima Algam Mohamed Musa Abdelrahman Hamza Abdelmoneim Islamia ibrahim Ahmed Omer Hiba Awadelkareem Osman Fadl Department of Pathology Faculty of MedicineOmdurman Ahilia UniversityOmdurmanKhartoumSudan Mohammed Alamin Hamid Pediatric Hospital Omdurman KhartoumSudan Department of Hematology and Blood Transfusion Medicine Federal Ministry of HealthKhartoumSudan Department of Pediatrics Faculty of MedicineOmdurman Islamic UniversityOmdurmanKhartoumSudan Tropical Diseases Teaching Hospital OmdurmanKhartoumSudan Faculty of Medicine Al-Neelain UniversityKhartoumSudan Faculty of Medicine Omdurman Islamic UniversityOmdurmanKhartoumSudan Department of Pediatrics Faculty of MedicineUniversity of Science and TechnologyKhartoumSudan Department of Hematology Faculty of Medical Laboratory SciencesAl-Neelain UniversityKhartoumSudan

BACKGROUND Visceral leishmaniasis(VL)is a systemic protozoan infection caused by Leishmania donovani(***)and transmitted by sand flies,causing macrophage invasion in the liver,spleen,and bone *** of VL is currently based on clinical signs,symptoms,and specific in-vitro markers and bone marrow ***,VL's specific hematological and bone marrow manifestation in Sudanese pediatric patients is not well *** To examine the blood and bone marrow characteristics in pediatric patients from Sudan who have *** This is a retrospective hospital-based study with a sample of 107 consecutive Sudanese pediatric *** data focused on hematological and bone marrow *** included only the completed records of the pediatric patients with VL in the Tropical Disease Teaching Hospital in Khartoum,Sudan from the period of 2016 to *** The majority of pediatric patients included in this study are below 5-years-old(n=59,55.2%).Moreover,anemia,thrombocytopenia,and leukopenia were among the prevalent characteristics in the population under *** further analyze the data,we developed a machine learning model using boosted forest algorithms to predict *** parasites load,with a mean accuracy of 0.88 for the training dataset and an accuracy of 0.46,0.50,and 0.74 for mild,moderate,and severe *** parasite load in the validation *** This study shows that the most common bone marrow change among Sudanese VL children was increased chronic inflammatory cells(n=88,82.2%)with present macrophage hemophagocytes(n=103,96.3%).While anemia and thrombocytopenia were the most common hematological *** results will hopefully lead to an early diagnosis and hence better management for Sudanese pediatric patients with suspected VL.

关键词： Machine learning Bone marrow Hematological changes Tropical diseases Leishmania donovani Visceral leishmaniasis

Epidemiological, Clinical, Therapeutic, and Evolutionary Aspects of Heart Failure in the Medical Department at Gao Regional Hospital

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World Journal of Cardiovascular Diseases 2024年第5期14卷 309-321页

作者： Coulibaly Alhousseny Dollo ibrahim Guindo Hamadoun Sidibé Lamine Mariko Souleymane Traoré Bassirima Dao Karim Guindo ibrahim Togo Mamadou Sidibé Samba Sangaré ibrahima Ba Hamidou Oumar Ichiaka Menta Departement of Medicine Gao Hospital Gao Mali Departement of Medicine Mopti Regional Hospital Mopti Mali Departement of Medicine Tombouctou Hospital Tombouctou Mali Departement of Cardiology CHU Gabriel TOURE Bamako Mali

Introduction: Heart failure is a major public health pandemic, particularly in Africa, where its prevalence continues to increase. In northern Mali, few data exist, hence the interest of this study with the objective of studying the epidemiological, clinical and therapeutic and evolutionary aspects of Heart failure at the regional hospital of Gao. Patients and Methods: This was a cross-sectional, descriptive study that took place from July 2022 to June 2023 in the medical department at Gao Hospital. Results: The hospital prevalence of heart failure was 44.1%. The mean age was 47.30 ± 20 years (range: 16-88). Hypertension was the most common with 46.1%, followed by a sedentary lifestyle, and diabetes with 18.2% and 8.3% respectively;NYHA stage III-IV dyspnea was found in 83.9%. Reduced EF heart failure was present in 110 patients (76.9%), seventeen cases with moderately reduced EF (11.9%) and sixteen patients had preserved EF (11.2%). Global heart failure was the dominant (91.6%). The main etiologies of heart failure were dominated by hypertensive heart disease in 46 patients (32.2%), followed by postpartum cardiomyopathy with 43 cases (30.1%), primary dilated cardiomyopathy in 18 patients (12.6%), ischemic heart disease in 16 patients with 11.2%. Seven cases of valvular heart disease, or 4.9%. The evolution was favorable under treatment in 104 patients or 72.7%. In-hospital mortality was 14.7%. Conclusion: Heart failure is a common condition in sub-Saharan Africa, particularly in our country.

关键词： Heart Failure Epidemioclinical Progressive Gao Hospital

Litho-Tectonic Architecture of the Dialafara Area, Kédougou-Kéniéba Inlier, Integration of New Field Data and Geophysics

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Open Journal of Geology 2024年第3期14卷 279-297页

作者： Mahamadou Diallo Mamadou Yossi ibrahim Méyès Coulibaly Youssouf Son Amako Dolo Département de Géologie et Mines Ecole Nationale d’Ingénieurs Abderhamane Baba Touré (ENI-ABT) Bamako Mali Sagax Afrique S.A Geophysical Surveys and Consulting Bamako Mali

The Dialafara area is part of the highly endowed Kédougou-Kéniéba Inlier (KKI), West-Malian gold belt, which corresponds to a Paleoproterozoic window through the West African Craton (WAC). This study presents, first of all, an integration of geophysical data interpretation with litho-structural field reconnaissance and then proposes a new litho-structural map of the Dialafara area. The Dialafara area shows a variety of lithology characterized by volcanic and volcano-sedimentary units, metasediments and plutonic intrusion. These lithologies were affected by a complex superposition of structures of unequal importance defining three deformation phases (DD1 to DD3) under ductile to brittle regimes. These features permit to portray a new litho-structural map, which shows that the Dialafara area presents a more complex lithological and structural context than the one presented in regional map of the KKI. This leads to the evidence that this area could be a potential site for exploration as it is situated between two world-class gold districts.

关键词： Kédougou-Kéniéba Inlier Dialafara Mapping Aeromagnetic Data Structure

模糊数学感官评价结合响应面法优化鲊辣椒混菌发酵工艺

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食品与发酵工业 2024年第7期50卷 83-91,I0004,I0005页

作者：黄璐晗尹小庆阚建全武运戚晨晨彭芸 SAMEH Awad AMEL ibrahim 杜木英西南大学食品科学学院重庆400715 西南大学中匈食品科学合作研究中心重庆400715 川渝共建特色食品重庆市重点实验室重庆400715 西藏自治区农牧科学院农产品开发与食品科学研究所西藏拉萨850032 新疆农业大学食品科学与药学学院新疆乌鲁木齐830000 新疆新康农业发展有限公司新疆乌鲁木齐830000 亚历山大大学农学院埃及亚历山大999060

以小米椒和玉米粉为原料,植物乳植杆菌XZ3和生香酵母菌Y50为菌种,制作一款混菌发酵鲊辣椒。以鲊辣椒的模糊感官评分为响应值,采用Box-Behnken中心组合设计试验对鲊辣椒混菌发酵工艺进行优化,并测定其产品的功能性成分。结果表明,混菌发... 详细信息

以小米椒和玉米粉为原料,植物乳植杆菌XZ3和生香酵母菌Y50为菌种,制作一款混菌发酵鲊辣椒。以鲊辣椒的模糊感官评分为响应值,采用Box-Behnken中心组合设计试验对鲊辣椒混菌发酵工艺进行优化,并测定其产品的功能性成分。结果表明,混菌发酵鲊辣椒的最优发酵条件为:植物乳植杆菌XZ3与生香酵母菌Y50的比例为1∶1、混菌添加量为2.5%、食盐添加量为4%、发酵时间6 d。在此优化条件下,鲊辣椒的感官评分为8.45分。与不接种自然发酵鲊辣椒和利用植物乳植杆菌XZ3纯种发酵的鲊辣椒进行对比,发现优化后的混菌发酵鲊辣椒的香气更突出。进一步测定其功能性成分发现,混菌发酵鲊辣椒中多酚组分含量最高且种类检出最多,其总酸含量、辣椒碱含量和总黄酮含量都显著高于自然发酵鲊辣椒。除此之外,相比于其他两种,混菌发酵鲊辣椒中甜味氨基酸的含量上升,苦味氨基酸的比例降低。该研究为混菌发酵鲊辣椒的生产提供了有益参考。

关键词：鲊辣椒响应面分析模糊数学感官评定发酵工艺功能性成分

Effect of Tillage Practices on Hydro-Physical Properties of Soils in a Rice-Grown Environment in North Central Nigeria

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Journal of Environmental Protection 2024年第5期15卷 527-536页

作者： Ebierni Akpoebidimiyen Otuaro John Jiya Musa Felix Oguche Abayomi ibrahim Kuti Abubakar Ndaman Civil Engineering Department Maritime University Okerenkoko Nigeria Department of Agricultural and Bioresources Engineering Federal University of Technology Minna Nigeria Institute of Water and Environmental Management Faculty of Agricultural and Food Sciences and Environmental Management University of Debrecen Boszormenyi St Hungary

This study details soil’s physical and chemical properties in a rice-grown environment in Minna environs Niger State, Nigeria, under different soil and water conservation practices. Soil samples were collected at 0 - 10 cm, 10 - 20 cm and 20 - 30 cm, respectively, using a soil auger to determine their physical and chemical properties such as moisture content, particle size, bulk density, particle density, porosity and organic matter. The textural classification determined the percentage dominance of the soil types in each study site location. The moisture content of site 1 ranged between 14.3% to 13.7%, site 2 ranged between 13.2% to 10.2%, site 3 ranged between 15.4% to 13.2%, site 4 ranged between 15.6% to 13.6% and site 5 ranged between 16.1% to 10.9%. The clay content of sites 3, 4 and 5 is higher than that of sites 1 and 2, while the silt contents of sites 1, 2 and 3 are higher than that of sites 4 and 5. The mean value of soil organic carbon from each study location was 2.37%, 2.03%, 2.43%, 2.07% and 2.17% for sites 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, respectively. Therefore, site 1 is susceptible to erosion because of poor infiltration rate and well-ploughed or cultivated land by the tractor (harrowed). The particle sizes analysis indicated that the soil type in Site 1 and Site 2 is mainly sandy loam, while Site 3 and Site 5 are mainly loamy and predominantly clay loam in Site 4.

关键词： Degradation Erosion Fertility Irrigation Management

Clinical Presentation and Treatment Outcomes of Pregnancy-Related Acute Kidney Injury among Pregnant Women Admitted at the Benjamin Mkapa Hospital in Tanzania

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Open Journal of Nephrology 2024年第2期14卷 157-175页

作者： Kessy Shija Hindu ibrahim Sylvia Jumbe Bushi Lugoba Stephen Mathew Kibusi Alphonce Chandika Department of Nephrology and Urology Benjamin Mkapa Hospital Dodoma Tanzania Clinical Research and Innovation Benjamin Mkapa Hospital Dodoma Tanzania Outreach Services and Clinical Coordination Benjamin Mkapa Hospital Dodoma Tanzania Clinical Audit and Quality Assurance Benjamin Mkapa Hospital Dodoma Tanzania School of Nursing and Public Health University of Dodoma Dodoma Tanzania Executive Director Benjamin Mkapa Hospital Dodoma Tanzania

Background: Globally, PRAKI is among the leading causes of death in pregnant women. The prevalence, causes and outcome of this condition vary among countries due to differences in environmental, socioeconomic, and health delivery systems. The common causes that have been reported in several studies are PIH, Haemorrhages and Sepsis while the outcomes may be either complete renal recovery, progression to CKD and hence dialysis dependency or death. This study aimed at determining clinical presentation and treatment outcomes of Pregnancy-Related Acute Kidney Injury in Pregnant women admitted at the Benjamin Mkapa Hospital, Dodoma, Tanzania. Results: Out of 4007 pregnant women who were admitted to the maternity ward 51 pregnant women were found to have PRAKI. Of those with PRAKI, 74.5% were between 21 to 25 years. The leading causes of PRAKI were PPH 12 (23.53%), Eclampsia 12 (23.53%), and pre-eclampsia 12 (23.5%). Hemodialysis therapy was provided to 22 (43.1%) patients, 15 (29.4%) individuals recovered spontaneously with medical management and 14 (27.5%) missed haemodialysis therapy due to various reasons. The mortality due to PRAKI was 17 (33.3%). Conclusion and Recommendation: Pre-eclampsia/eclampsia and post-partum haemorrhage were found to be the main causes of PRAKI. The mortality related to PRAKI is high and Hemodialysis therapy is vital help to prevent deaths for pregnant women with PRAKI. Pregnant women who develop acute kidney injury should be followed closely and a nephrologist should be consulted early. Early referral should be done by the lower level facilities for all at-risk pregnant women to a specialized multidisciplinary health facility.

关键词： Clinical Presentation Treatment Outcomes Pregnancy-Related Acute Kidney Injury