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A methodology for coffee price forecasting based on extreme learning machines

Information Processing in Agriculture 2022年第4期9卷 556-565页

作者： Carolina Deina Matheus Henrique do Amaral Prates Carlos Henrique Rodrigues Alves Marcella Scoczynski Ribeiro Martins Flavio Trojan Sergio Luiz Stevan Jr hugo valadares siqueira Department of Production Engineering Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul90.035-190Brazil Department of Electronics Federal University of TechnologyParana 84017-220Brazil Graduate Program in Production Engineering Federal University of TechnologyParana 84017-220Brazil

This work introduces a methodology to estimate coffee prices based on the use of Extreme Learning *** process is initiated by identifying the presence of nonstationary components,like seasonality and *** components are withdrawn if they are ***,the temporal lags are selected based on the response of the Partial Autocorre-lation Function *** predictors,we address the following models:Exponential Smooth-ing(ES),Autoregressive(AR)and Autoregressive Integrated and Moving Average(ARIMA)models,Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)and Extreme Learning Machines(ELMs)neural *** computational results based on three error metrics and two coffee types(Ara-bica and Robusta)showed that the neural networks,especially the ELM,can reach higher performance levels than the other *** methodology,which presents preprocess-ing stages,lag selection,and use of ELM,is a novelty that contributes to the coffee prices forecasting field.

关键词： Coffee price forecasting Linear models Artificial neural networks Computational intelligence

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Paleoproterozoic juvenile magmatism within the northeastern sector of the Sao Francisco paleocontinent:Insights from the shoshonitic high Ba-Sr Montezuma granitoids

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Geoscience Frontiers 2020年第5期11卷 1821-1840页

作者： Samuel Moreira Bersan Alice Fernanda de Oliveira Costa Andre Danderfer Francisco Roberio de Abreu Cristiano Lana Glaucia Queiroga Craig Storey hugo Moreira Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto Programa de Pos-graduacaoDepartamento de GeologiaCampus Morro do CruzeiroOuro PretoMGCEP 35400-000Brazil Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto Departamento de GeologiaCampus Morro do CruzeiroOuro PretoMGCEP 35400-000Brazil Sustain Geologia Ltda Teresa M.Valadares 503/502Belo HorizonteMGCEP 30575-160Brazil University of Portsmouth School of Earth and Environmental SciencesBurnaby BuildingBurnaby RoadPortsmouthPO13QLUK

New,integrated petrographic,mineral chemistry,whole rock geochemical,zircon and titanite UPb geochronology,and zircon Hf isotopic data from the Montezuma granitoids,as well as new geochemical results for its host rocks represented by the Corrego Tingui Complex,provides new insights into the late-to post-collisional evolution of the northeastern Sao Francisco paleocontinent.U-Pb zircon dates from the Montezuma granitoids spread along the Concordia between ca.2.2 Ga to 1.8 Ga and comprise distinct *** I have crystallization ages between ca.2.15 Ga and 2.05 Ga and are interpreted as inherited *** II zircon dates vary from 2.04 Ga to1.9 Ga and corresponds to the crystallization of the Montezuma granitoids,which were constrained at ca.2.03 Ga by the titanite U-Pb *** age zoning is common within the ca.1.8 Ga Group III zircon ages,being related to fluid isotopic re-setting during the Espinhaco rifiting ***εHf(t)analysis show dominantly positive values for both Group I(-4 to+9)andⅡ(-3 to+8)zircons and TDM2 model ages of 2.7-2.1 Ga and 2.5-1.95 Ga,***,the Montezuma granitoids are weakly peraluminous to metaluminous magnesian granitoids,enriched in LILES and LREE,with high to moderate Mg#and depleted in some of the *** lithochemical signature,added to the juvenile signature of both inherited and crystallized zircons,allowed its classification as a shoshonitic high Ba-Sr granitoid related to a late-to post-collisional lithosphere delamination followed by asthenospheric *** this scenario,the partial melting of the lithospheric mantle interacted with the roots of an accreted juvenile intra-oceanic arc,being these hybrid magma interpreted as the source of the Montezuma *** Corrego Tingui Complex host rocks are akin to a syn-to late-collisional volcanic arc granitoids originated from the partial melting of ancient crustal *** results presented in this study have revealed the occurrence of j

关键词： Zircon U–Pb-Hf Titanite U–Pb High Ba–Sr Late-to post-collisional Sao Francisco paleocontinent

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