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An arctic low-energy house as experimental setup for studies of heat dynamics of buildings

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Frontiers of Architectural Research 2013年第4期2卷 488-499页

作者： Philip Delft Andersen Carsten Rode henrik.madsen DTU Compute Richard Pedersens Plads Technical University of Denmark Building 322 Kongens Lyngyb DK-2800 Denmark DTU Civil Engineering Brovej Bygning 118 Technical University of Denmark Kongens Lyngyb DK-2800 Denmark

This paper addresses the difficulties in pinpointing reasons for unexpectedly high energy consumption in construction, and in low-energy houses especially. Statistical methods are applied to improve the insight into the energy performance and heat dynamics of a building based on consumption records and weather data. Dynamical methods separate influences from outdoor temperature, solar radiation, and wind on the energy consumption in the building. The studied building is a low-energy house in Sisimiut, GreenLand. Weather conditions like large temperature differences between indoors and outdoors throughout tong winters, strong winds, and very different circumstances regarding solar radiation compared to areas where Low-energy houses are usually built, make the Location very interesting for modeling and testing purposes. In 2011 new measurement equipment was installed in the house, which will be used to develop more detailed models of the heat dynamics and energy performance in relation to different meteoroLogicaL variables, heating systems, and user behavior. This type of models is known as a graybox model and is been introduced in this paper.

关键词： Low-energy houses Heat dynamics Arctic climate Statistical modeling Graybox modeling

An introduction to multivariate probabilistic forecast evaluation

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能源与人工智能(英文) 2021年第2期4卷 119-135页

作者： Mathias Blicher Bjerregard Jan Kloppenborg Møller henrik.madsen Technical University of Denmark Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer Denmark

Probabilistic forecasting is becoming increasingly important for a wide range of applications,especially for en-ergy systems such as forecasting wind power production.A need for proper evaluation of probabilistic forecasts follows naturally with this,because evaluation is the key to improving the *** plenty of excellent reviews and research papers on probabilistic forecast evaluation already exist,we find that there is a need for an introduction with some practical *** particular,many forecast scenarios in energy systems are inher-ently multivariate,and while univariate evaluation methods are well understood and documented,only limited and scattered work has been done on their multivariate *** paper therefore contains a review of a selected set of probabilistic forecast evaluation methods,primarily scoring rules,as well as practical sections that explain how these methods can be calculated and *** three case studies featuring simple autore-gressive models,stochastic differential equations and real wind power data,we implement,apply and discuss the logarithmic score,the continuous ranked probability score and the variogram score for forecasting problems of varying ***,the advantages and disadvantages of the three scoring rules are highlighted,and this provides a significant step towards deciding on an evaluation method for a given multivariate forecast scenario including forecast scenarios relevant for energy systems.

关键词： Probabilistic forecast evaluation Multivariate scoring rules Wind power forecast Ensemble forecast Time series analysis

Identification of non-linear autoregressive models with exogenous inputs for room air temperature modelling

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能源与人工智能(英文) 2022年第3期9卷 78-87页

作者： Christian Ankerstjerne Thilker Peder Bacher Davide Cali henrik.madsen Technical University of Denmark Department of Applied Mathematics and Computer ScienceAsmussens AlléBuilding 303BDK-2800 Kgs.LyngbyDenmark

This paper proposes non-linear autoregressive models with exogenous inputs to model the air temperature ineach room of a Danish school building connected to the local district heating network. To obtain satisfactorymodels, the authors find it necessary to estimate the solar radiation effect as a function of the time of the dayusing a B-spline basis expansion. Furthermore, this paper proposes a method for estimating the valve positionof the radiator thermostats in each room using modified Hermite polynomials to ensure monotonicity of theestimated curve. The non-linearities require a modification in the estimation procedure: Some parametersare estimated in an outer optimisation, while the usual regression parameters are estimated in an inneroptimisation. The models are able to simulate the temperature 24 h ahead with a root-mean-square-errorof the predictions between 0.25℃ and 0.6℃. The models seem to capture the solar radiation gain in away aligned with expectations. The estimated thermostatic valve functions also seem to capture the importantvariations of the individual room heat inputs.

关键词： Time series analysis Non-linear models District heating Smart energy systems

The Influence of Land-Use on Water Quality in a Tropical Coastal Area: Case Study of the Keta Lagoon Complex, Ghana, West Africa

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Open Journal of Modern Hydrology 2013年第4期3卷 188-195页

作者： Angela M. Lamptey Patrick K. Ofori-Danson Stephen Abbenney-Mickson henrik Breuning-madsen Mark K. Abekoe Department of Agriculture Engineering Fac- ulty of Engineering University of Ghana Legon Ghana Department of Geography and Geology University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark Department of Marine and Fisheries Sciences University of Ghana Legon Ghana Department of Soil Science Faculty of Agriculture University of Ghana Legon Ghana.

The Keta Lagoon and its catchment areas in Ghana are influenced by intensive agriculture and the use of agro-chemicals. It has therefore, become necessary to assess the quality of water in the lagoon and the surrounding fresh water aquifers. In this study, a water quality index (WQI), indicating the water quality has been adopted. The WQI was determined on a basis of various physico-chemical parameters like pH, conductivity, turbidity, dissolved oxygen, calcium, magnesium, chloride, nitrates, ammonium and sodium. The index was used both for tracking changes at one site over time, and for comparisons among sites. The WQI was also employed to wells used for irrigation on farms along the Keta Sand Spit as well as that of the Keta Lagoon Complex and its surrounding floodplains, in order to ascertain the quality of water for public and livestock consumption, irrigation, recreation and other purposes. The WQI of the wells, Keta lagoon and its floodplains showed various degrees of poor water quality and therefore considered unsuitable for drinking and recreation. By WHO standards, this calls for intensive physical and chemical treatment of the water for human consumption.

关键词： Tropical Coastal Area Keta Lagoon Complex Floodplains Water Quality Index WHO Standards Physico-Chemical Parameters Ghana

安全可持续开发页岩气资源——只有通过实施最佳运营实践方案，证明开发页岩气安全可靠，才会得到相关者的认可

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世界石油工业 2013年第6期20卷 32-35页

作者： henrik O. madsen Remi Eriksen 挪威船级社 DNV海事和石油天然气部

北美页岩气革命引发了全球其他具有潜在页岩气资源国的关注。随着国内常规天然气产量开始下降，许多国家将不得不依赖于大量进口天然气，而开发国内页岩气资源则有助于减少对天然气进口的依赖。目前，页岩气行业面临着诸如安全、健康和... 详细信息

北美页岩气革命引发了全球其他具有潜在页岩气资源国的关注。随着国内常规天然气产量开始下降，许多国家将不得不依赖于大量进口天然气，而开发国内页岩气资源则有助于减少对天然气进口的依赖。目前，页岩气行业面临着诸如安全、健康和环境风险管理等各方面的挑战，而且公众的态度也呈两级分化。只有通过实施最佳运营实践方案，并证明开发页岩气安全可靠、这一行业才会得到利益相关者的认可。挪威船级社（DNV）已经开发了一套推荐做法，旨在建立一个共同的框架来管理页岩气田开发和运营各个阶段中的各种风险。

关键词：可持续开发安全可靠页岩气运营资源证明环境风险管理天然气产量

MicroRNA-126 and epidermal growth factor-like domain 7 predict recurrence in patients with colon cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy

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Cancer Drug Resistance 2019年第3期2卷 885-896页

作者： Torben Frøstrup Hansen Anting Liu Carlsen Julia Tanas Tanassi Ole Larsen Flemming Brandt Sørensen Lars henrik Jensen Anders Jakobsen Danish Colorectal Cancer Center South Vejle HospitalInstitute of Regional Health ResearchUniversity of Southern DenmarkVejle 7100Denmark Department of Autoimmunology and Biomarkers Statens Serum InstitutCopenhagen 2300Denmark Department of Congenital Disorders Statens Serum InstitutCopenhagen 2300Denmark Department of Oncology Herlev HospitalHerlev 2730Denmark University Institute of Pathology Aarhus University Hospitaland department of Clinical MedicineUniversity of AarhusAarhus 8200Denmark

Aim:Neoadjuvant chemotherapy may represent a shift in the treatment of locally advanced colon *** angiogenic couple has-microRNA-126(miRNA-126)and epidermal growth factor-like domain 7(EGFL7)are transcribed from the same gene and regulates all aspects of angiogenesis and may influence the ability of tumor cells to *** aim was to analyze the relationship between miRNA-126 and EGFL7 and disease recurrence in patients with locally advanced colon cancer treated with neoadjuvant ***:This study included 71 patients from a phase II study all planned for three cycles of capecitabine and oxaliplatin before *** was sampled at baseline and right before and after the *** miRNA-126 was analysed by RT-qPCR and a quantitative immunoassay was used for the analyses of ***:The rates of 5-year disease-free survival(DFS)and overall survival(OS)were 80%and 85%,*** level of circulating miRNA-126 before the operation predicts recurrence,P=*** patients with values below and above the median the recurrence rate was 31%and 4%,*** results applied to EGFL7.A combined estimate identified a subgroup of patients(25 of 71)with no recurrence and a 5-year DFS and OS rate of 100%,***:MicroRNA-126 and EGFL7 are predictors for disease recurrence in patients with locally advanced colon cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and may assist in selection of adjuvant chemotherapy.

关键词： Chemotherapy colon cancer epidermal growth factor-like domain 7 microRNA-126

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阿梅格尔巴克/哥本山

城市环境设计 2019年第2期 172-183页

作者： Nanna Gyldholm M?ller Alberto Cumerlato Aleksander Wadas Alexander Codda Alexander Ejsing Alexandra Gustafsson Alina Tamosiunaite Armor Gutierrez Anders Hjortn?s Andreas Klok Pedersen Annette Jensen Ariel Wallner Ask Andersen Balaj IIulian Blake Smith Borko Nikolic Brygida Zawadzka Buster Christensen Chris Falla Chris Zhongtian Yuan Daniel Selensky Dennis Rasmussen Espen Vik Finn N?rkj?r Franck Fdida Gonzalo Castro Gül Ertekin George Abraham Helen Chen Henrick Poulsen henrik R?mer Kania Horia Spirescu Jakob Ohm Laursen Jelena Vucic Jeppe Ecklon Ji-young Yoon Jing Xu Joanna Jakubowska Johanna Nenander Kamilla Heskje Katarzyna Siedlecka Krzysztof Marciszewski Laura W?tte Liang Wang Lise Jessen Long Zuo Maciej Zawadzki Mads Enggaard Stidsen Marcelina Kolasinska Marcos Bano Maren Allen Mathias Bank Matti N?rgaard Michael Andersen Narisara Ladawal Schr?der Niklas A. Rasch Nynne madsen ?ssur Nols? Pero Vukovic Richard Howis Ryohei Koike Se Hyeon Kim Simon Masson Sunming Lee Toni Mateu Xing Xiong Zoltan David Kalaszi Rasmus Hjortshoj 陈子钰

垃圾焚烧发电厂阿梅格尔巴克/哥本山位于工业区,多年来,该工业区已成为冒险者们的极限运动目的地。原始的工业设施为各种极限运动活动提供了场所,如缆绳滑水、卡丁车和攀岩等。阿梅格尔巴克/哥本山是该地区最重要的地标,其建筑亟须更新... 详细信息

垃圾焚烧发电厂阿梅格尔巴克/哥本山位于工业区,多年来,该工业区已成为冒险者们的极限运动目的地。原始的工业设施为各种极限运动活动提供了场所,如缆绳滑水、卡丁车和攀岩等。阿梅格尔巴克/哥本山是该地区最重要的地标,其建筑亟须更新。我们提出了一种新型的垃圾焚烧发电厂,这种工厂能产生经济、环保和社会效益。我们不将阿梅格尔巴克/哥本山视为一个孤立的对象,而是调动起建筑的

关键词：巴克本山