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Climate change projections for the Middle EasteNorth Africa domain with COSMO-CLM at different spatial resolutions

Advances in Climate Change Research 2018年第1期9卷 66-80页

作者： Edoardo BUCCHIGNANI Paola MERCOGLIANO hans-ju¨rgen panitz Myriam MONTESARCHIO Euro Mediterranean Center on Climate Change(CMCC) Capua CE 81043Italy Italian Aerospace Research Center(CIRA) Capua CE 81043Italy Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research-Department Troposphere Research(IMK-TRO) Karlsruhe Institute of Technology(KIT)Karlsruhe 76131Germany

In this study,projected changes in the future climate conditions for the Middle EasteNorth Africa domain over the 21st century have been *** simulations with the COSMO-CLM model have been conducted respectively,at a spatial resolution of 0.44 and 0.22,over the period 1979e2100,employing the IPCC RCP4.5 *** and boundary conditions have been derived by the global model *** main aim of the work is to provide regional climate projections for this area,widening the range of the data already available,yet with higher resolution,useful for many applications,especially as an input for the impact *** two different resolutions have been employed in order to quantify the differences due to the spatial scale effects,comparing the results also with the driving global *** projections show a significant warming expected over the whole area considered at the end of the 21st century,along with a reduction in precipitation,which is particularly evident over the western part of the *** projections depend on the horizontal resolution,suggesting the need for additional simulations at higher resolution,especially for a proper representation of extreme weather events.

关键词： COSMO-CLM Middle EasteNorth IPCC RCP4.5

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