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Resilience Building and Collaborative Governance for Climate Change Adaptation in Response to a New State of More Frequent and Intense Extreme Weather Events

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International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2023年第1期14卷 162-169页

作者： Huiling Ouyang Xu Tang Renhe Zhang Alexander Baklanov Guy Brasseur Rajesh Kumar Qunli Han Yong Luo Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences&Institute of Atmospheric Sciences Fudan UniversityShanghai200438China Fudan Development Institute Fudan UniversityShanghai200433China Integrated Research on Disaster Risk(IRDR)International Centre of Excellence(ICoE)on Risk Interconnectivity and Governance on Weather/Climate Extremes Impact and Public Health Fudan UniversityShanghai200438China Science and Innovation Department World Meteorological Organization(WMO)CH1211GenevaSwitzerland Max Planck Institute for Meteorology 20146HamburgGermany Research Applications Laboratory National Center for Atmospheric ResearchBoulderCO80301USA Integrated Research on Disaster Risk(IRDR)−International Programme Office(IPO) Beijing100094China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling and Department of Earth System ScienceTsinghua UniversityBeijing100084China

The weather conditions of the summer of 2022 were very unusual,particularly in Eastern Asia,Europe,and North America.The devasting impact of climate change has come to our attention,with much hotter and drier conditions,and with more frequent and intense flooding events.Some extreme events have reached a dangerous level,increasingly threatening human lives.The interconnected risks caused by these extreme disaster events are triggering a chain effect,forcing us to respond to these crises through changes in our living environment,which affect the atmosphere,the biosphere,the economy including the availability of energy,our cities,and our global society.Moreover,we have to confront the abnormal consequences of untypical,rapid changes of extreme events and fast switches between extreme states,such as from severe drought to devastating flooding.Recognizing this new situation,it is crucial to improve the adaptation capacity of our societies in order to reduce the risks associated with climate change,and to develop smarter strategies for climate governance.High-quality development must be science-based,balanced,safe,sustainable,and climate-resilient,supported by the collaborative governance of climate mitigation and adaptation.This article provides some recommendations and suggestions for resilience building and collaborative governance with respect to climate adaptation in response to a new planetary state that is characterized by more frequent and severe extreme weather events.

关键词： Climate change adaptation Collaborative governance Extreme weather events Resilience building

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利用多模式最优集成方法预报上海PM2.5

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环境科学学报 2018年第9期38卷 3449-3456页

作者：瞿元昊许建明 Guy Brasseur 谢英周广强马井会长三角环境气象预报预警中心上海200030 上海市气象与健康重点实验室上海200030 德国马普气象研究所汉堡20095

采用多模式最优集成方法(OCF),对PANDA项目中国和欧洲7个空气质量模式的PM_(2.5)预报结果进行集成释用.2016年6月—2017年5月对上海逐日预报试验结果表明:和最优单模式预报结果相比,OCF预报的PM_(2.5)日均质量浓度的均方根误差降低1.9μ... 详细信息

采用多模式最优集成方法(OCF),对PANDA项目中国和欧洲7个空气质量模式的PM_(2.5)预报结果进行集成释用.2016年6月—2017年5月对上海逐日预报试验结果表明:和最优单模式预报结果相比,OCF预报的PM_(2.5)日均质量浓度的均方根误差降低1.9μg·m-3,相关系数提高0.04,日均质量浓度的精度评分TI提高了2.4,污染TS评分提高了0.28,污染空报率降低了20%,显著提高了PM_(2.5)污染等级预报、趋势预报和精度预报的技巧.对长三角合肥、南京、苏州、杭州、宁波5个城市的预报试验也得到类似的结果,为城市空气质量预报提供了新的方法和思路.但OCF对客观预报的改进幅度在夏季不如冬季显著,在降雨日相对较低.

关键词：多模式最优集成 PM2.5 空气质量模式

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Is atmospheric oxidation capacity better in indicating tropospheric O_(3) formation?

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Frontiers of Environmental Science & Engineering 2022年第5期16卷 127-133页

作者： Peng Wang Shengqiang Zhu Mihalis Vrekoussis guy Pbrasseur Shuxiao Wang Hongliang Zhang Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Fudan UniversityShanghai 200438China IRDR ICoE on Risk Interconnectivity and Governance on Weather/Climate Extremes Impact and Public Health Fudan UniversityShanghai 200438China Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention Department of Environmental Science&EngineeringFudan UniversityShanghai 200438China Institute of Environmental Physics University of BremenBremen D-28359Germany Climate and Atmosphere Research Center(CARE-C) the Cyprus InstituteNicosia 27456Cyprus Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Hamburg 20146Germany National Center for Atmospheric Research BoulderCO 80307USA State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control School of EnvironmentTsinghua UniversityBeijing 100084China State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex Beijing 100084China Institute of Eco-Chongming(IEC) Shanghai 202162China

Tropospheric ozone(O_(3))concentration is increasing in China along with dramatic changes in precursor emissions and meteorological conditions,adversely affecting human health and ecosystems.O_(3) is formed from the complex nonlinear photochemical reactions from nitrogen oxides(NOx=NO+NO_(2))and volatile organic compounds(VOCs).Although the mechanism of O_(3) formation is rather clear,describing and analyzing its changes and formation potential at fine spatial and temporal resolution is still a challenge today.In this study,we briefly summarized and evaluated different approaches that indicate O_(3) formation regimes.We identify that atmospheric oxidation capacity(AOC)is a better indicator of photochemical reactions leading to the formation of O_(3) and other secondary pollutants.Results show that AOC has a prominent positive relationship to O_(3) in the major city clusters in China,with a goodness of fit(R^(2))up to 0.6.This outcome provides a novel perspective in characterizing O_(3) formation and has significant implications for formulating control strategies of secondary pollutants.

关键词： O_(3) AOC O_(3) formation regime

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From concept to action: a united, holistic and One Health approach to respond to the climate change crisis

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Infectious Diseases of Poverty 2022年第1期11卷 68-73页

作者： Renhe Zhang Xu Tang Jian Liu Martin Visbeck Huadong Guo Virginia Murray Catherine Mcgillycuddy Bing Ke Gretchen Kalonji Panmao Zhai Xiaoming Shi Jiahai Lu Xiaonong Zhou Haidong Kan Qunli Han Qian Ye Yong Luo Jianmin Chen Wenjia Cai Huiling Ouyang Riyanti Djalante Alexander Baklanov Lu Ren Guy Brasseur George Fu Gao Lei Zhou Integrated Research on Disaster Risk International Centre of Excellence on Risk Interconnectivity and Governance on Weather/Climate Extremes Impact and Public Health&Institute of Atmospheric Sciences Fudan UniversityShanghai200438China Science Division United Nations Environment Programme(UNEP)United Nations AvenueGigiriPO Box 30552Nairobi00100Kenya GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Kiel University KielGermany Key Laboratory of Digital Earth Science Aerospace Information Research InstituteChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina UK Health Security Agency LondonSE18UGUK The Administrative Center for China’s Agenda 21 Ministry of Science and Technology of ChinaBeijing100038China Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction Sichuan UniversityChengdu610207China State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather Chinese Academy of Meteorological SciencesBeijing100081China China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health National Institute of Environmental HealthChinese Center for Disease Control and PreventionBeijing100021China One Health Center of Excellence for Research and Training School of Public HealthSun Yat-Sen UniversityGuangzhouChina National Institute of Parasitic Diseases Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention(Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research)ShanghaiChina Integrated Research On Disaster Risk-IPO BeijingChina State Key Lab of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing100875China Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling and Department of Earth System ScienceTsinghua UniversityBeijingChina ASEAN Secretariat Indonesia Integrated Research on Disaster Risk(IRDR)JakartaIndonesia Science and Innovation Department World Meteorological Organization(WMO)7 bisAvenue de la PaixBP2300CH-1211Geneva 2Switzerland Max Planck Institute for Meteorology HamburgGermany Chinese Center for Dis

It is unequivocal that human influence has warmed the planet,which is seriously affecting the planetary health including human health.Adapting climate change should not only be a slogan,but requires a united,holistic action and a paradigm shift from crisis response to an ambitious and integrated approach immediately.Recognizing the urgent needs to tackle the risk connection between climate change and One Health,the four key messages and recommendations that with the intent to guide further research and to promote international cooperation to achieve a more climate-resilient world are provided.

关键词： Climate change One Health International coordination and cooperation Risk-oriented recommendations

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第27章认识平流层和中间层100年进步

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气象科技进展 2019年第S1期9卷 392-400页

作者：马克·鲍德温 THOMAS BIRNER Guy Brasseur JOHN BURROWS NEAL BUTCHART ROLANDO GARCIA MARVIN GELLER LESLEY GRAY KEVIN HAMILTON NILI HARNIK[] MICHAELA I.HEGGLIN ULRIKE LANGEMATZ ALAN ROBOCK KAORU SATO ADAM A.SCAIFE 贾朋群(编译) 李婧华(编译) 埃克塞特大学慕尼黑大学马克斯-普朗克研究所不莱梅大学英国气象局 NCAR 纽约州立大学石溪分校牛津大学夏威夷大学特拉维夫大学雷丁大学柏林自由大学罗格斯大学东京大学不详

平流层包含地球大气质量的约17%,但其存在直到1902年才被认识到。随后数十年,随着更多的平流层观测,我们的认识逐渐增加。1913年,保护生命免遭有害紫外辐射伤害的臭氧层被发现。通过臭氧和水汽观测,第一个平流层大气环流的基本概念被提... 详细信息

平流层包含地球大气质量的约17%,但其存在直到1902年才被认识到。随后数十年,随着更多的平流层观测,我们的认识逐渐增加。1913年,保护生命免遭有害紫外辐射伤害的臭氧层被发现。通过臭氧和水汽观测,第一个平流层大气环流的基本概念被提出。自1950年代以来,我们对平流层和中间层的认识快速扩展,该区域在气候系统中的重要性已经清晰。随着观测更多,一些新的平流层现象被发现:准两年振荡、平流层爆发性增温、南半球臭氧洞和平流层变率的地面影响。这些现象均没有被理论预料到。理论的进步更多地源自新的平流层观测中出现的无法解释的现象。自1960年代以来,动力过程和平流层-对流层耦合环流的重要性被认识到。自大约2000年以来,平流层--甚至是中间层--更好的表示开始包括在气候和天气模式中。我们现在知道,为了制作更准确的季节天气预报和预测气候长期变化及臭氧层未来演化,模式需要具有实际动力和化学解析完好的平流层。

关键词：中间层臭氧洞大气质量紫外辐射动力过程气候系统

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