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Dynamic Assessment of Spatiotemporal Population Distribution Based on Mobile Phone Data: A Case Study in Xining City,China

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International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2023年第4期14卷 649-665页

作者： Benyong Wei Guiwu Su fenggui liu Institute of Geology China Earthquake AdministrationBeijing 100029China Key Laboratory of Seismic and Volcanic Hazards China Earthquake AdministrationBeijing 100029China Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability People’s Government of Qinghai Province and Beijing Normal UniversityXining 810008China School of Geography Qinghai Normal UniversityXining 810016China

High-resolution,dynamic assessments of the spatiotemporal distributions of populations are critical for urban planning and disaster *** phone big data have real-time collection,wide coverage,and high resolution advantages and can thus be used to characterize human activities and population distributions at fne spatiotemporal *** on six days of mobile phone user-location signal(MPLS)data,we assessed the dynamic spatiotemporal distribution of the population of Xining City,Qinghai Province,*** results show that strong temporal regularity exists in the daily activities of local *** spatiotemporal distribution of the local population showed a signifcant downtown-suburban attenuation *** such as land use types,holidays,and seasons signifcantly afect the spatiotemporal patterns of the local *** combining other spatiotemporal trajectory data,high-resolution and dynamic real-time population distribution evaluations based on mobile phone location signals could be better developed and improved for use in urban management and disaster assessment research.

关键词： China High-resolution mobile phone data Spatiotemporal population distribution Urban management Xining City

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灾害韧性的研究演变及多维度展望

灾害学 2024年第1期39卷 109-117页

作者：丁元慧周强刘峰贵陈琼马伟东周源涛青海师范大学地理科学学院青海西宁810008 高原科学与可持续发展研究院青海西宁810008 青海师范大学应急管理学院筹建办公室青海西宁810008 北京师范大学国家安全与应急管理学院北京100875

全球日益紧张的人地关系背景下,自然灾害事件的频发导致防灾减灾任务艰巨而迫切,提升灾害响应、防御与适应能力是减轻灾害风险,促进区域可持续发展的重要途径。目前学术界对“Resilience”一词有多种翻译,不利于灾害韧性的深入研究与概... 详细信息

全球日益紧张的人地关系背景下,自然灾害事件的频发导致防灾减灾任务艰巨而迫切,提升灾害响应、防御与适应能力是减轻灾害风险,促进区域可持续发展的重要途径。目前学术界对“Resilience”一词有多种翻译,不利于灾害韧性的深入研究与概念推广。该文通过对“Resilience”的概念进行辨析,认为“韧性”一词最接近原词所表达的内涵,并对韧性发展历史进行了回顾;明晰了灾害韧性的含义。从能力取向、过程取向、结果取向、整合取向四个方面阐述了其内涵,梳理了个人(心理)、基础设施系统、社会-生态系统三个灾害韧性的研究主体及其主要研究方法,从时空特征显现、实践化发展与韧性转型方面对未来灾害韧性的研究进行多维度展望。

关键词：韧性灾害韧性研究演变内涵多维度展望

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Economic Ripple Effects of Individual Disasters and Disaster Clusters

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International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2022年第6期13卷 948-961页

作者： Zhengtao Zhang Ning Li Ming Wang Kai liu Chengfang Huang Linmei Zhuang fenggui liu Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster Ministry of EducationBeijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management Ministry of Emergency Management and Ministry of EducationBeijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Faculty of Geographical Science Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China School of National Safety and Emergency Management Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 100875China Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability Xining 810016China

Disaster clusters refer to major disasters that cluster in space and time without any linkage, resulting in large direct damage and economic ripple effects(EREs).However, the cumulative EREs caused by a disaster cluster may not be equal to the summation EREs of the individual disasters within a cluster. We constructed a global economic ripple input-output model suitable for the analysis of disaster clusters and demonstrated the extent of this difference with the example of two typical catastrophes that occurred in 2011(the Great East Japan Earthquake and the Great Thailand Flood), within an interval of only 136 days. The results indicate that:(1) The EREs suffered by 11 of the 35countries affected(30%) are “1 + 1 > 2”, and “1 + 1 < 2”for 24 of the 35 countries affected(70%). This indicates that there is a signifi cant difference between the cumulative and the summation losses. The difference is related to factors such as trade distance, economic influence of disasteraffected sectors, and trade ties;(2) The EREs are more than two times the direct loss and have an industrial dependence, mostly aggregated in key sectors with strong industrial influence and fast trade times in the industrial chain;and(3) Additional EREs due to the extension of the recovery period will be aggregated in countries with close trade ties to the disaster-affected country, further magnifying the difference.

关键词： Disaster clusters Disaster risk management Economic ripple efects Indirect economic losses Inputoutput model

Study of the intensity and driving factors of land use/cover change in the Yarlung Zangbo River, Nyang Qu River, and Lhasa River region, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau of China

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Journal of Arid Land 2022年第4期14卷 411-425页

作者： LUO Jing XIN Liangjie liu fenggui CHEN Qiong ZHOU Qiang ZHANG Yili College of Geographic Sciences Qinghai Normal UniversityXining 810008China Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability Xining 810008China Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources ResearchChinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100101China Center for Excellence in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijing 100101China

Land use/land cover(LULC) is an important part of exploring the interaction between natural environment and human activities and achieving regional sustainable development. Based on the data of LULC types(cropland, forest land, grassland, built-up land, and unused land) from 1990 to 2015, we analysed the intensity and driving factors of land use/cover change(LUCC) in the Yarlung Zangbo River,Nyang Qu River, and Lhasa River(YNL) region, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau of China, using intensity analysis method, cross-linking table method, and spatial econometric model. The results showed that LUCC in the YNL region was nonstationary from 1990 to 2015, showing a change pattern with "fast-slow-fast" and "U-shaped". Built-up land showed a steady increase pattern, while cropland showed a steady decrease pattern. The gain of built-up land mainly came from the loss of cropland. The transition pattern of LUCC in the YNL region was relatively single and stable during 1990–2015. The transition pattern from cropland and forest land to built-up land was a systematic change process of tendency and the transition pattern from grassland and unused land to cropland was a systematic change process of avoidance. The transition process of LUCC was the result of the combined effect of natural environment and social economic development in the YNL region. This study reveals the impact of ecological environment problems caused by human activities on the land resource system and provides scientific support for the study of ecological environment change and sustainable development of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

关键词： land use/cover change intensity analysis driving factors Yarlung Zangbo River Nyang Qu River Lhasa River Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

黄河上游景泰川电力提灌工程的经济与生态效益

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南水北调与水利科技（中英文） 2024年第3期22卷 585-594页

作者：李开梅武兰珍刘峰贵郭媛媛王金恒沈彦俊青海师范大学地理科学学院西宁810008 中国科学院遗传与发育生物学研究所农业资源研究中心石家庄050022 甘肃农业大学水利水电工程学院兰州730070 甘肃省景泰川电力提灌水资源利用中心甘肃白银730900

为促进景泰川电力提灌工程及其灌溉区(以下简称“景电工程”及“景电灌区”)持续健康发展,通过时间序列分析法,对比分析景电工程自建设以来产生的经济效益;利用2000—2020年的归一化植被指数数据,采用Slope趋势分析法,分析2000—2020年... 详细信息

为促进景泰川电力提灌工程及其灌溉区(以下简称“景电工程”及“景电灌区”)持续健康发展,通过时间序列分析法,对比分析景电工程自建设以来产生的经济效益;利用2000—2020年的归一化植被指数数据,采用Slope趋势分析法,分析2000—2020年景电灌区植被指数的时空动态变化。结果表明:1980—2020年农村人均纯收入增加19854元;城乡居民储蓄存款增加近100倍;地区生产总值增加122亿元;财政收入增加5.78亿元,40年的时间里财政收入增加289倍。2000—2020年植被指数持续增加,区域生态呈显著改善状态,景电灌区灌溉面积已发展到60784 hm^(2),荒漠化土地面积减少2.0667万hm^(2),景电工程建成以后,生态得到有效恢复,促进了区域农业经济的快速发展,居民生活水平显著提高。

关键词：黄河上游景电工程经济效益生态效益植被指数

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XRF岩芯连续扫描结果的可靠性评估及校正:以青海湖沉积为例

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海洋地质与第四纪地质 2024年第4期44卷 200-211页

作者：张航瑜王夏青黄平安万的军刘峰贵唐湘玲周科翰桂林理工大学地球科学学院桂林541004 湖南文理学院地理科学与旅游学院常德415000 南通大学地理科学学院南通226019 青海师范大学地理科学学院西宁810016

XRF岩芯连续扫描因其快速、连续、无损、高分辨率等优势在近30年常被用于不同相沉积物的元素半定量分析,特别是在湖泊沉积岩芯中的应用极为广泛。然而,XRF扫描信号值易受仪器设置和岩芯物理属性的影响,亟需全面评估其结果可靠性和校正... 详细信息

XRF岩芯连续扫描因其快速、连续、无损、高分辨率等优势在近30年常被用于不同相沉积物的元素半定量分析,特别是在湖泊沉积岩芯中的应用极为广泛。然而,XRF扫描信号值易受仪器设置和岩芯物理属性的影响,亟需全面评估其结果可靠性和校正效果。基于青海湖2.39 m长的完整沉积岩芯(QHH)高分辨率XRF连续扫描,结合其含水量、粒度、烧失量、元素实际含量等理化特征分析,有效识别了XRF连续扫描信号值及其元素比值的准确性和影响因素,进一步评估了国际通用的Normalized Median-scaled(NMS)和Multivariate Log-ratio Calibration(MLC)模型校正结果的可靠性。结果表明,XRF连续扫描的Zr元素信号值可准确反映QHH岩芯中的实际含量分布,而Si元素和Ti元素因相关性较弱均无法指示其在QHH岩芯中的真实情况。此外,QHH岩芯段较高的含水量明显削弱了Al、Si、K、Ca、Ti、Fe、Mn等原子量较小的元素信号值强度和波动幅度,而干燥岩芯段中XRF扫描的上述元素结果因其高分辨率和颗粒组成差异展现出较大的波动,降低了与实际含量的相关性。Rb、Sr和Zr等原子量较大的微量元素扫描信号值分布受含水量和颗粒组成的影响较小。最后,基于XRF连续扫描的相邻元素比值是快速消除多种因素一致影响的有效方法,而MLC模型对QHH整根岩芯及各段中单一元素信号值校正均有较好效果。上述结果为合理利用湖泊沉积物的XRF连续扫描数据提供借鉴,也为重建青藏高原东北部气候变化及人地关系奠定科学基础。

关键词： XRF岩芯连续扫描元素比值校正模型湖泊沉积青海湖

基于XRF岩芯连续扫描的藏南哲古错沉积物近4400年地球化学分布及环境演变

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第四纪研究 2024年第2期44卷 416-430页

作者：王玉堂王夏青刘峰贵万的军唐湘玲支泽民周科翰黄平安桂林理工大学地球科学学院广西桂林541004 湖南文理学院地理科学与旅游学院湖南常德415000 青海师范大学地理科学学院青海西宁810016 南通大学地理科学学院江苏南通226019

XRF岩芯连续扫描在近30年间被广泛用于获取不同地理环境的湖泊沉积序列元素分布及其指示的环境意义,特别是湖泊密集的“亚洲水塔”青藏高原。然而,XRF扫描数据的准确性受沉积岩芯物理属性的显著影响,可能导致记录信息的过度或错误解释... 详细信息

XRF岩芯连续扫描在近30年间被广泛用于获取不同地理环境的湖泊沉积序列元素分布及其指示的环境意义,特别是湖泊密集的“亚洲水塔”青藏高原。然而,XRF扫描数据的准确性受沉积岩芯物理属性的显著影响,可能导致记录信息的过度或错误解释。本研究基于青藏高原南部哲古错(ZGC)内近4400年以来由植物和泥沙混合沉积而成的2.16 m完整岩芯(ZGC21),利用XRF岩芯连续扫描获取其元素信号值和色度分布,结合含水量、粒度、烧失量等物理特征分析,表明ZGC岩芯层理清晰、定年精准、气候信息记录全面,是重建印度夏季风和青藏高原南部气候变化的最佳载体之一。稳定元素(Al、 K、 Fe、 Mn、 Rb、 Si、 Ti、 Zr)信号值分布均不能用于指示ZGC岩芯不同层理的碎屑物质输入比例,但Zr/Rb比值则可反映流域内物质输入的真实特征;Ca和Br元素信号值分布分别指示ZGC21岩芯的碳酸盐和有机质含量变化。基于可靠元素信号分布和AMS-14C精确定年,青藏高原南部在太阳辐射强度变化驱动下于4400~3500 a B. P.和850~80 a B. P.年间均处于寒冷气候环境中,低温不足以支撑湖内植被的生存,而在2750~1830 a B. P.和1320~850 a B. P.年间则相反。上述结果为XRF岩芯连续扫描数据的正确应用和准确解释提供科学示范,也为重建该地区过去4400年人地关系提供年代际尺度环境演变框架。

关键词：元素分布 XRF岩芯连续扫描印度夏季风气候变化哲古错青藏高原南部

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Substantial transition to clean household energy mix in rural China

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National Science Review 2022年第7期9卷 137-151页

作者： Guofeng Shen Rui Xiong Yanlin Tian Zhihan Luo Bahabaike Jiangtulu Wenjun Meng Wei Du Jing Meng Yuanchen Chen Bing Xue Bin Wang Yonghong Duan Jia Duo fenggui Fan Lei Huang Tianzhen Ju fenggui liu Shunxin Li Xianli liu Yungui Li Mu Wang Ying Nan Bo Pan Yanfang Pan Lizhi Wang Eddy Zeng Chao Zhan Yilin Chen Huizhong Shen Hefa Cheng Shu Tao College of Urban and Environmental Sciences Peking University Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control (AEMPC)Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Institute of Reproductive and Child Health Peking University Laboratory of Geographic Information Science School of Geographic Sciences East China Normal University The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction University College London College of Environment Zhejiang University of Technology Institute of Applied Ecology Chinese Academy of Sciences Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics School of Public Health Peking University College of Resources and Environment Shanxi Agricultural University Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Environmental Pollution and Bioremediation Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography Chinese Academy of Sciences National Engineering Technology Research Center for Desert-Oasis Ecological Construction Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography Chinese Academy of Sciences University of Chinese Academy of Sciences School of Geography and Tourism Anhui University School of Environment Nanjing University College of Geography and Environmental Science Northwest Normal University College of Geographical Science Qinghai Normal University Academy of Plateau Science and Sustainability College of Chemistry Chemical Engineering and Environment Minnan Normal University School of Environmental Science and Engineering Hubei Polytechnic University Department of Environmental Engineering Southwest University of Science and Technology College of Food Science Tibet Agricultural and Animal Husbandry University College of Geography and Ocean Sciences Yanbian University Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering Kunming University of Science and Technology College of Geography and Environmental Science Henan University College of Ecology and Environment Hainan University School of Environment Ji

The household energy mix has significant impacts on human health and climate,as it contributes greatly to many health-and climate-relevant air *** to the well-established urban energy statistical system,the rural hous ehold energy statistical system is incomplete and is often associated with high *** a nationwide investigation,this study reve aled high contributions to energy supply from coal and biomass fuels in the rural household energy sector,while electricity comprised ～20%.Stacking(the use of multiple sources of energy) is significant,and the average number of energy types was 2.8 per *** to 2012,the consumption of biomass and coals in 2017 decreased by 45% and 12%,respectively,while the gas consumption amount increased by 204%.Increased gas and decreased coal consumptions were mainly in cooking,while decreased biomass was in both cooking(41%) and heating(59%).The time-sharing fraction of electricity and gases(E&G) for daily cooking grew,reaching 69% in 2017,but for space heating,traditional solid fuels were still dominant,with the national average shared fraction of E&G being only 20%.The non-uniform spatial distribution and the non-linear increase in the fraction of E&G indicated challenges to achieving universal access to modern cooking energy by 2030,particularly in less-developed rural and mountainous *** some non-typical heating zones,the increased share of E&G for heating was significant and largely driven by income growth,but in typical heating zones,the time-sharing fraction was <5 % and was not significantly increased,except in areas with policy *** intervention policy not only led to dramatic increases in the clean energy fraction for heating but also accelerated the clean cooking *** income,higher education,younger age,less energy/stove stacking and smaller family size positively impacted the clean energy transition.

关键词： household energy mix energy transition clean heating modern energy sustainable development

Risk analysis of snow disaster in the pastoral areas of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

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Journal of Geographical Sciences 2014年第3期24卷 411-426页

作者： liu fenggui MAO Xufeng ZHANG Yili CHEN Qiong liu Pei ZHAO Zhilong School of Life and Geographic Science Qinghai Normal University Xining 810008 China Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research CAS Beijing 100101 China

Snow disaster is one of the top ten natural disasters worldwide, and the most se- vere natural disaster to affect the pastoral areas of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Based on the hazard harmfulness data collected from historical records and data collected from entities affected by this hazard in 2010, a comprehensive analysis of the 18 indexes of snow disaster on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau was conducted, encompassing the hazard harmfulness, the amount of physical exposure the hazard-bearing entities face, the sensitivity to the hazard, and the capacity to respond to the disaster. The analysis indicates that：（1） areas at high-risk of snow disaster on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are located in certain areas of the counties of Yecheng and Pishan in the Xinjiang region; （2） areas at medium-risk of snow disaster are found between the Gangdise Mountains and the Himalayas in the central-western part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and the southeastern part of the southern Qinghai Plateau; （3） the risk of snow disaster is generally low throughout the large area to the south of 30°N and the re- gion on the border of the eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Overall, the risk of snow disaster in high-altitude areas of the central Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is higher than that at the edge of the plateau.

关键词： Qinghai-Tibet Plateau snow disaster risk pastoral area