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中国与巴拿马之间的贸易预测研究

中国与巴拿马之间的贸易预测研究

作者： fabian Villalobos Ugalde 大连海事大学

学位级别：硕士

根据研究中收集的历史背景,中国与巴拿马的贸易关系可以追溯到十九世纪中期,特别是从1850年。从那时候开始,中国对巴拿马作出巨大贡献,其中是中国商业办事处的开设,导致两国之间的国际关系与物流的发展了。2017年6月两国签好了一系列重... 详细信息

根据研究中收集的历史背景,中国与巴拿马的贸易关系可以追溯到十九世纪中期,特别是从1850年。从那时候开始,中国对巴拿马作出巨大贡献,其中是中国商业办事处的开设,导致两国之间的国际关系与物流的发展了。2017年6月两国签好了一系列重要的合同,导致中国和巴拿马开始了新的国际合作的阶段。它们的合作发展对很多领域有影响了:自然污染、国家安全,教育,职业培训,技术,商业等等。两国决定开始谈判一项自由贸易协定,但由于巴拿马政府更迭和冠状病毒的到来而遭受了重大延误。中国在国际贸易中所占份额的增长正在对世界经济有很重要的影响,就拉丁美洲而言,这反映在通过"一带一路"战略的扩张中。中国对拉丁美洲的兴趣意味着中国中国希望与世界各国发展贸易。巴拿马通过两个海洋港口的枢纽提供了非常重要的条件,拉丁美洲地区一流的物流系统与运河的作用相结合,为加速世界贸易提供了机会。因此,巴拿马作为一个提供特殊条件的国家的战略重要性。本人的研究重要性就是研究一下巴拿马和中国之间通过进出口贸易的重要性日益增长,通过两国之间过去10年(从2009到2018)的关系的研究。此外,本人探讨了两国之间自由贸易协定的批准所带来的好处和机会,并阐明了中国扩大与巴拿马地峡关系的原因以及这一新发展阶段将产生的重要性。为了提供更深的研究,本人使用统计工具,以便对货币和重量的贸易进行定量预测,以便能够了解两个贸易伙伴(从2019到2024)在不久的将来进出口水平通过这种方式可以分析自由贸易协定的影响,并提供有利于充分决策的投入。一旦预测被做好本人就绪并提供相关结果,就会对影响全球贸易局势并将继续从冠状病毒大流行留下的后果中影响其的风险因素进行更深入的实证分析。这是相关的工作,因为它会给我们一个更具体的想法,目前的贸易形势在世界上,分析所有的外部和内部因素,可以影响目前,国家之间的贸易关系。一些国际机构作为联合国开发计划署的文件"巴拿马COVID19的社会经济影响分析"和"拉丁美洲和加勒比经济委员会(拉加经委会)"通过会议提出的预测,最近,缓慢而艰难的复苏威胁到包括巴拿马在内的我们许多国家的国内经济。此外,这项工作分析了中国和巴拿马以及其他国家可以采取的战略,以减轻风险因素对世界经济的影响。最后,本研究中使用的方法结合了对次要信息的分析,文件,报告和研究的审查以及通过访谈收集主要数据,以及使用定量工具,线性分析模型进行统计预测,以便对决定中国和巴拿马商业关系未来情景的条件进行定性解释。特别是,SWOT工具用于对决定每个国家可能的利益和风险的优势,弱点,机会和威胁进行综合分析,以及相互补充,使我们能够更好地了解每个国家的真实情。根据这份信息,每个国家都可以制定一项战略,以了解它们如何相互受益。考虑到模型的结果以及对风险因素和战略的分析,出口和进口预测的结果增加了准确性和可靠性,提供了一个更清晰的视角,在冠状病毒影响全球经济环境的框架内。这项研究将帮助所有人都了解未来几年巴拿马和中国之间的贸易形势,并可以作为企业家和政府公司的参考,以便为如何参与贸易提供指导。从这个意义上说,可以得出结论,中国市场的增长对整个拉丁美洲地区都有很大的好处,因为中国在世界贸易中的增长和扩张。丝绸之路的扩展和中国在拉美地区的定位将在未来几年对该地区的经济发展发挥重要作用。巴拿马真的受益于中国为巴拿马经济和拉丁美洲地区带来的一切。尽管大流行,预计将假设中国,与他们的行动,你将能够有一个更好,更迅速地恢复其经济,这将产生更多的就业机会和更高的流量在全球贸易。所有这一切都将导致国家的物流系统和贸易的改善,尽管在本研究中,我们将主要关注巴拿马-中国的关系。

关键词：中国巴拿马贸易预测线性回归自由贸易

Reporting of dental status from full-arch radiographs: Descriptive analysis and methodological aspects

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World Journal of Clinical Cases 2014年第10期2卷 552-564页

作者： fabian Huettig Detlef Axmann Department of Prosthodontics with Section "Medical Materials and Technology" at the Centre of Dentistry Oral Medicine Maxillofacial Surgery of Eberhard-Karls-University Hospital

AIM: To identify standards, how entities of dental status are assessed and reported from full-arch radiographs of adults. METHODS: A Pub Med(Medline) search was performed in November 2011. Literature had to report at least one out of four defined entities using radiographs:number of teeth or implants; caries, fillings or restorations; root-canal fillings and apical health; alveolar bone level. Cohorts included to the study had to be of adult age. Methods of radiographic assessment were noted and checked for the later mode of report in text, tables or diagrams. For comparability, the encountered modeof report was operationalized to a logical ***: Thirty-seven out of 199 articles were evaluated via full-text review. Only one article reported all four entities. Eight articles reported at the maximum 3 comparable entities. However, comparability is impeded because of the usage of absolute or relative frequency, mean or median values as well as grouping. Furthermore the methods of assessment were different or not described sufficiently. Consequently, established sum scores turned out to be highly questionable, too. The amount of missing data within all studies remained unclear. It is even so remissed to mention supernumerary and aplased teeth as well as the count of third ***: Data about dental findings from radiographs is, if at all possible, only comparable with serious limitations. A standardization of both, assessing and reporting entities of dental status from radiographs is missing and has to be established within a report guideline.

关键词： Research design Guideline Dental radiography Epidemiology Public health EQUATOR

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保持张力：管理学科中争议的保留

管理世界 2011年第2期27卷 155-168页

作者： Frances Hauge fabian 陈文婷王溢涵杜兰大学东北财经大学工商管理学院

管理学期刊中常常出现关于学科方法的争论,或者是否应该合法化和怎样去合法化不同类型的研究方法的争论。本文区分出了9种学科研究的方法。之所以有如此多样的方法出现,是因为没有一种方法可以完全地调和学术研究中科学性与实用性的矛... 详细信息

管理学期刊中常常出现关于学科方法的争论,或者是否应该合法化和怎样去合法化不同类型的研究方法的争论。本文区分出了9种学科研究的方法。之所以有如此多样的方法出现,是因为没有一种方法可以完全地调和学术研究中科学性与实用性的矛盾。尽管如此,这些观点仍然可以帮助管理学科的研究者们重新思考现有研究的价值以及未来研究的新趋势。

关键词：管理学科张力学科方法学术研究重新思考合法化科学性研究者

All-dielectric silicon metalens for two-dimensional particle manipulation in optical tweezers

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Photonics Research 2020年第9期8卷 1435-1440页

作者： TEANCHAI CHANTAKIT CHRISTIAN SCHLICKRIEDE BASUDEB SAIN fabian MEYER THOMAS WEISS NATTAPORN CHATTHAM AND THOMAS ZENTGRAF Department of Physics Faculty of ScienceKasetsart UniversityBangkok 10900Thailand College of Advanced Manufacturing Innovation King Mongkut’s Institute of Technology LadkrabangBangkok 10520Thailand Department of Physics Paderborn UniversityWarburger Str.10033098 PaderbornGermany 4th Physics Institute and Research Center SCoPE University of StuttgartPfaffenwaldring 5770569 StuttgartGermany

Dynamic control of compact chip-scale contactless manipulation of particles for bioscience applications remains a challenging endeavor,which is restrained by the balance between trapping efficiency and scalable *** offer the implementation of feasible optical tweezers on a planar platform for shaping the exerted optical force by a microscale-integrated *** we design and experimentally demonstrate a highly efficient silicon-based metalens for two-dimensional optical trapping in the *** metalens concept is based on the Pancharatnam–Berry phase,which enables the device for polarization-sensitive particle *** optical trapping setup is capable of adjusting the position of both the metasurface lens and the particle chamber freely in three directions,which offers great freedom for optical trap adjustment and ***-dimensional(2D)particle manipulation is done with a relatively low-numerical-aperture metalens(NA(ML)=0.6).We experimentally demonstrate both 2D polarization-sensitive drag and drop manipulation of polystyrene particles suspended in water and transfer of angular orbital momentum to these particles with a single tailored *** work may open new possibilities for lab-on-a-chip optical trapping for bioscience applications and microscale to nanoscale optical tweezers.

关键词： particle trapping dimensional

Role of the intracellular receptor domain of gp130 (exon 17) in human inflammatory bowel disease

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World Journal of Gastroenterology 2005年第8期11卷 1196-1199页

作者： Christoph J.Auernhammer Kathrin Zitzmann fabian Schnitzler Julia Seiderer Peter Lohse George Vlotides Dieter Engelhardt Michael Sackmann Burkhard G(o|¨)ke Thomas Ochsenkühn Department of Internal Medicine Ⅱ-Grosshadern Department of Clinical Chemistry-Grosshadern

AIM: To study the role of the intracellular receptor domain of gp130 in human inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).METHODS: We amplified and sequenced the complete exon 17 of the human gp130 gene in 146 patients with IBD. According to clinical and histopathological signs,the 146 patients with IBD were classified as having Crohn's disease (n = 73) or ulcerative colitis (n = 63),or as indeterminate status (n = 10).RESULTS: No mutations in exon 17 of the gp130 gene could be detected in any of the 146 patients with IBD ***: There is no evidence that mutations in exon 17 of the gp130 gene are involved in the pathogenesis of human IBD.

关键词： Exon 17 Inflammatory bowel disease gp130 gene

Size does not determine the grade of malignancy of early invasive colorectal cancer

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World Journal of Gastroenterology 2009年第22期15卷 2708-2713页

作者： Takahisa Matsuda Yutaka Saito Takahiro Fujii Toshio Uraoka Takeshi Nakajima Nozomu Kobayashi fabian Emura Akiko Ono Tadakazu Shimoda Hiroaki Ikematsu Kuang-I Fu Yasushi Sano Takahiro Fujimori Endoscopy Division National Cancer Center Hospital Clinical Laboratory Division National Cancer Center Hospital Division of Digestive Endoscopy and Gastrointestinal Oncology National Cancer Center Hospital East Department of Surgical and Molecular Pathology Dokkyo University School of Medicine

AIM： To clarify the clinicopathological characteristics of small and large early invasive colorectal cancers （EI-CRCs）, and to determine whether malignancy grade depends on size. METHODS： A total of 583 consecutive EI-CRCs treated by endoscopic mucosal resection or surgery at the National Cancer Center Hospital between 1980 and 2004 were enrolled in this study. Lesions were classified into two groups based on size： small （≤10 ram） and large （〉10 ram）. Clinicopathological features, incidence of lymph node metastasis （LNM） and risk factors for LNM, such as depth of invasion, lymphovascular invasion （LVI） and poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma （PDA） were analyzed in all resected specimens. RESULTS： There were 120 （21%） small and 463 （79%） large lesions. Histopathological analysis of the small lesion group revealed submucosal deep cancer （sin： 1〉1000 μm） in 90 （75%） cases, LVI in 26 （22%） cases, and PDA in 12 （10%） cases. Similarly, the large lesion group exhibited submucosal deep cancer in 380 （82%） cases, LVI in 125 （27%） cases, and PDA in 79 （17%） cases. The rate of LNM was 11.2% and 12.1% in the small and large lesion groups, ***： Small EI-CRC demonstrated the same aggressiveness and malignant potential as large cancer.

关键词： Colorectal cancer Submucosal invasion Lymph node metastasis Endoscopic mucosal resection

Prediction of Outcomes in Mini-Basketball Training Program for Preschool Children with Autism Using Machine Learning Models

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International Journal of Mental Health Promotion 2022年第2期24卷 143-158页

作者： Zhiyuan Sun fabian Herold Kelong Cai Qian Yu Xiaoxiao Dong Zhimei Liu Jinming Li Aiguo Chen Liye Zou College of Physical Education Yangzhou UniversityYangzhou225127China Institute of Sports Exercise and BrainYangzhou UniversityYangzhou225127China Department of Neurology Medical FacultyOtto von Guericke UniversityMagdeburg39120Germany German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases(DZNE) Research Group NeuroprotectionMagdeburg39120Germany Faculty of Education University of MacaoMacaoChina Exercise Psychophysiology Laboratory Institute of KEEP Collaborative InnovationSchool of PsychologyShenzhen UniversityShenzhen518060China School of Physical Education and Health East China Normal UniversityShanghai200241China

In recent years evidence has emerged suggesting that Mini-basketball training program(MBTP)can be an effec-tive intervention method to improve social communication(SC)impairments and restricted and repetitive beha-viors(RRBs)in preschool children suffering from autism spectrum disorder(ASD).However,there is a considerable degree if interindividual variability concerning these social outcomes and thus not all preschool chil-dren with ASD proﬁt from a MBTP intervention to the same *** order to make more accurate predictions which preschool children with ASD can beneﬁt from an MBTP intervention or which preschool children with ASD need additional interventions to achieve behavioral improvements,further research is *** study aimed to investigate which individual factors of preschool children with ASD can predict MBTP intervention out-comes concerning SC impairments and ***,test the performance of machine learning models in predict-ing intervention outcomes based on these *** were 26 preschool children with ASD who enrolled in a quasi-experiment and received MBTP *** demographic variables(e.g.,age,body,mass index[BMI]),indicators of physicalﬁtness(e.g.,handgrip strength,balance performance),performance in execu-tive function,severity of ASD symptoms,level of SC impairments,and severity of RRBs were obtained to predict treatment outcomes after MBTP *** learning models were established based on support vector machine algorithm were *** comparison,we also employed multiple linear regression models in ***ﬁndings suggest that in preschool children with ASD symptomatic severity(r=0.712,p<0.001)and baseline SC impairments(r=0.713,p<0.001)are predictors for intervention outcomes of SC ***,BMI(r=-0.430,p=0.028),symptomatic severity(r=0.656,p<0.001),baseline SC impair-ments(r=0.504,p=0.009)and baseline RRBs(r=0.647,p<0.001)can predict intervention outcomes of RRBs.

关键词： Prediction outcomes mini-basketball training program autistic children machine learning models

Relationships between Features of EmergingAdulthood, Situated Decisions toward PhysicalActivity, and Physical Activity among CollegeStudents: The Moderating Role of ExerciseIntensity Tolerance

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International Journal of Mental Health Promotion 2023年第11期25卷 1209-1217页

作者： Jinghua Chen Zihe Wang fabian Herold Alyx Taylor Jin Kuang Ting Wang Arthur F.Kramer Liye Zou Body-Brain-Mind Laboratory School of PsychologyShenzhen UniversityShenzhen518060China Beijing Chaoyang Hospital Capital Medical UniversityBeijing100020China Research Group Degenerative and Chronic Diseases MovementFaculty of Health Sciences BrandenburgUniversity of PotsdamPotsdam14476Germany School of Rehabilitation Sport and PsychologyAECC University CollegeBournemouthBH52DFUK Center for Cognitive&Brain Health Northeastern UniversityBoston02115-5005USA Beckman Institute University of IllinoisIllinoisUSA

A significant portion of emerging adults do not achieve recommended levels of physical activity (PA). Previous studies observedassociations between features of emerging adulthood and PA levels, while the potential psychological mechanisms that mightexplain this phenomenon are not fully understood. In this context, there is some evidence that situated decisions towardphysical activity (SDPA) and exercise-intensity tolerance might influence PA level. To provide empirical support for thisassumption, the current study investigated whether (i) features of emerging adulthood are linked to SDPA, which, in turn,might affect PA engagement;(ii) exercise-intensity tolerance moderate the relationship between SDPA and PA level;and (iii)SDPA is a mediator of the relationship between features of emerging adulthood and PA levels under the prerequisite thatexercise-intensity tolerance moderates the link between SDPA and PA engagement. In this study a group of 1,706 Chinesecollege students was recruited and asked to complete a set of questionnaires assessing their SDPA, PA levels, exercise-intensitytolerance, and features associated with emerging adulthood, namely Self-exploration, Instability, and Possibility. Our resultsindicated that SDPA positively predicted PA levels and this relationship became stronger when exercise-intensity tolerance wasused as a moderator. Furthermore, it was observed that individuals with a higher level of Instability and a lower level ofPossibility during emerging adulthood exhibited a lower level of SDPA. Taken together, the results of our study providefurther insights on a potential psychological mechanism linking features of emerging adulthood and physical activity.

关键词： Emerging adulthood situated decisions physical activity exercise-intensity tolerance moderated model

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丹麦肉鸡业面临的机遇与挑战

世界农业 2013年第9期 153-155页

作者： fabian Brocktter 叶岚中国农业出版社

丹麦的肉鸡业被看做是整个北欧肉鸡业的标杆,它的强大在于其规模的可控性。有许多经验值得中国学习。但同时,丹麦肉鸡产业也面临许多问题,如鸡的福利问题、抗生素使用问题等,因此丹麦肉鸡产业是机遇与挑战并存。

关键词：丹麦肉鸡业机遇挑战