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Explainability-based Trust Algorithm for electricity price forecasting models

Energy and AI 2023年第4期14卷 141-158页

作者： Leena Heistrene Ram Machlev Michael Perl Juri Belikov dmitry Baimel Kfir Levy Shie Mannor Yoash Levron Electrical Engineering Department School of TechnologyPandit Deendayal Energy UniversityGandhinagarGujarat382007India The Andrew and Erna Viterbi Faculty of Electrical&Computer Engineering Technion-Israel Institute of TechnologyHaifa3200003Israel Department of Software Science Tallinn University of TechnologyAkadeemia tee 15ATallinn12618Estonia Electrical&Electronics Engineering Department Sami Shamoon College of EngineeringBeer-Sheva84100Israel

Advanced machine learning(ML)algorithms have outperformed traditional approaches in various forecasting applications,especially electricity price forecasting(EPF).However,the prediction accuracy of ML reduces substantially if the input data is not similar to the ones seen by the model during *** is often observed in EPF problems when market dynamics change owing to a rise in fuel prices,an increase in renewable penetration,a change in operational policies,*** the dip in model accuracy for unseen data is a cause for concern,what is more,challenging is not knowing when the ML model would respond in such a *** uncertainty makes the power market participants,like bidding agents and retailers,vulnerable to substantial financial loss caused by the prediction errors of EPF ***,it becomes essential to identify whether or not the model prediction at a given instance is *** this light,this paper proposes a trust algorithm for EPF users based on explainable artificial intelligence *** suggested algorithm generates trust scores that reflect the model’s prediction quality for each new *** scores are formulated in two stages:in the first stage,the coarse version of the score is formed using correlations of local and global explanations,and in the second stage,the score is fine-tuned further by the Shapley additive explanations values of different *** score-based explanations are more straightforward than feature-based visual explanations for EPF users like asset managers and traders.A dataset from Italy’s and ERCOT’s electricity market validates the efficacy of the proposed *** show that the algorithm has more than 85%accuracy in identifying good predictions when the data distribution is similar to the training *** the case of distribution shift,the algorithm shows the same accuracy level in identifying bad predictions.

关键词： Electricity price forecasting EPF Explainable AI model XAI SHAP Explainability

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Previous hepatitis B viral infection–an underestimated cause of pancreatic cancer

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World Journal of Gastroenterology 2022年第33期28卷 4812-4822页

作者： Sergey Batskikh Sergey Morozov Alexey Dorofeev Zanna Borunova dmitry Kostyushev Sergey Brezgin Anastasiya Kostyusheva Vladimir Chulanov Department of Hepatology Moscow Clinical Scientific Center N.A.A.S.LoginovMoscow 111123Russia Department of Gastroenterology Hepatology and NutritionFederal Research Center of NutritionBiotechnology and Food SafetyMoscow 115446Russia Department of Scientific and Clinical Laboratory Research Moscow Clinical Scientific Center N.A.A.S.LoginovMoscow 111123Russia Laboratory of Genetic Technologies Sechenov UniversityMoscow 119435Russia Division of Biotechnology Scientific Center for Genetics and Life SciencesSirius University of Science and TechnologySochi 354340Russia Laboratory of Genetic Technologies and Translational Research National Medical Research Center for Tuberculosis and Infectious Diseases of Ministry of Health of RussiaMoscow 127994Russia

BACKGROUND The etiology of pancreatic cancer remains unclear. This limits the possibility of prevention and effective treatment. Hepatitis B virus(HBV) is responsible for the development of different types of cancer, but its role in pancreatic cancer is still being *** To assess the prevalence of previous HBV infection and to identify viral biomarkers in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma(PDAC) to support the role of the virus in etiology of this *** The data of 130 hepatitis B surface antigen-negative subjects were available for the final analysis,including 60 patients with PDAC confirmed by cytology or histology and 70 sex-and age-matched controls. All the participants were tested for HBV biomarkers in blood [antibody to hepatitis B core antigen(anti-HBc), antibody to hepatitis B surface antigen(anti-HBs) and HBV DNA], and for those with PDAC, biomarkers in resected pancreatic tissues were tested(HBV DNA, HBV pregenomic RNA and covalently closed circular DNA). We performed immunohistochemistry staining of pancreatic tissues for hepatitis B virus X antigen and Ki-67 protein. Non-parametric statistics were used for the *** Anti-HBc was detected in 18/60(30%) patients with PDAC and in 9/70(13%) participants in the control group(P = 0.029). Accordingly, the odds of PDAC in anti-HBc-positive subjects were higher compared to those with no previous HBV infection(odds ratio: 2.905, 95% confidence interval: 1.191-7.084, standard error 0.455). HBV DNA was detected in 8 cases of PDAC and in 6 of them in the pancreatic tumor tissue samples only(all patients were anti-HBc positive). Blood HBV DNA was negative in all subjects of the control group with positive results of the serum anti-HBc test. Among 9 patients with PDAC, 5 revealed signs of replicative competence of the virus(covalently closed circular DNA with or without pregenomic RNA) in the pancreatic tumor tissue samples. Hepatitis B virus X antigen expression and active cell

关键词： Hepatitis B virus Previous hepatitis B Occult hepatitis B virus infection Pancreatic cancer Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

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Operating limits and features of direct air capture on K_(2)CO_(3)/ZrO_(2) composite sorbent

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Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering 2022年第6期35卷 11-20页

作者： Vladimir S.Derevschikov Janna V.Veselovskaya Anton S.Shalygin dmitry A.Yatsenko Andrey Z.Sheshkovas Oleg N.Martyanov Boreskov Institute of Catalysis SB RAS Akademika Lavrentieva Av.5630090 NovosibirskRussia Novosibirsk State University Pirogova Str.1630090 NovosibirskRussia

Potassium carbonate-based sorbents are prospective materials for direct air capture(DAC).In the present study,we examined and revealed the influence of the temperature swing adsorption(TSA)cycle conditions on the CO_(2) sorption properties of a novel aerogel-based K_(2)CO_(3)/ZrO_(2) sorbent in a DAC *** was shown that the humidity and temperature drastically affect the sorption dynamic and sorption capacity of the *** a temperature at the sorption stage was 29℃ and a water vapor pressure P_(H2O) in the feed air was 5.2 mbar(1 bar=105 Pa),the composite material demonstrated a stable CO_(2) sorption capacity of 3.4%(mass).An increase in sorption temperature leads to a continuous decrease in the CO_(2) absorption capacity reaching a value of 0.7%(mass)at T=80℃.The material showed the retention of a stable CO_(2) sorption capacity for many cycles at each temperature in the *** PH2O in the inlet air from 5.2 to 6.8 mbar leads to instability of CO_(2) sorption capacity which decreases in the course of 3 consecutive TSA cycles from 1.7%to 0.8%(mass)at T=29℃.A further increase in air humidity only facilitates the deterioration of the CO_(2) sorption capacity of the material.A possible explanation for this phenomenon could be the filling of the porous system of the sorbent with solid reaction products and an aqueous solution of potassium salts,which leads to a significant slowdown in the CO_(2) diffusion in the composite sorbent *** investigate the regeneration step of the TSA cycle in situ,the macro ATRFTIR(attenuated total reflection Fourier-transform infrared)spectroscopic imaging was applied for the first *** was shown that the migration of carbonate-containing species over the surface of sorbent occurs during the thermal regeneration stage of the TSA *** movement of the active component in the porous matrix of the sorbent can affect the sorption characteristics of the composite *** revealed features make it possible

关键词： Zirconia aerogel Potassium carbonate Carbon dioxide Direct air capture Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopic imaging

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Creating technical heritage object replicas in a virtual environment

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Frontiers of Mechanical Engineering 2016年第1期11卷 108-115页

作者： Olga EGOROVA dmitry SHCHERBININ Theory of Mechanisms and Machines Department Bauman Moscow State Technical University Moscow 10505 Russia S. I. Vavilov Institute for the History of Science and Technology of RAS Moscow Russia

The paper presents innovative informatics methods for creating virtual technical heritage replicas, which are of significant scientific and practical importance not only to researchers but to the public in general. By performing 3D modeling and animation of aircrafts, spaceships, architectural-engineering buildings, and other technical objects, the process of teaming is achieved while promoting the preservation of the replicas for future generations. Modem approaches based on the wide usage of computer technologies attract a greater number of young people to explore the history of science and technology and renew their interest in the field of mechanical engineering.

关键词： 3D document history of science and technology technical knowledge popularization virtual environment replica mechanism and machine science (MMS)

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Electrolyte materials for protonic ceramic electrochemical cells:Main limitations and potential solutions

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Materials Reports(Energy) 2022年第4期2卷 19-35页

作者： Anna V.Kasyanova Inna A.Zvonareva Natalia A.Tarasova Lei Bi dmitry A.Medvedev Zongping Shao Laboratory of Electrochemical Devices Based on Solid Oxide Proton Electrolytes Institute of High Temperature Electrochemistry620990YekaterinburgRussia Hydrogen Energy Laboratory Ural Federal University620002YekaterinburgRussia School of Resource and Environment and Safety Engineering University of South ChinaHengyangHunan421001China State Key Laboratory of Materials-Oriented Chemical Engineering College of Chemical EngineeringNanjing Tech UniversityNanjing210009China WA School of Mines:Minerals Energy and Chemical Engineering(WASM-MECE)Curtin UniversityPerthWA6845Australia

Solid oxide fuel cells(SOFCs)and electrolysis cells(SOECs)are promising energy conversion devices,on whose basis green hydrogen energy technologies can be developed to support the transition to a carbon-free *** compared with oxygen-conducting cells,the operational temperatures of protonic ceramic fuel cells(PCFCs)and electrolysis cells(PCECs)can be reduced by several hundreds of degrees(down to low-and intermediatetemperature ranges of 400–700C)while maintaining high performance and *** is due to the distinctive characteristics of charge carriers for proton-conducting ***,despite achieving outstanding lab-scale performance,the prospects for industrial scaling of PCFCs and PCECs remain hazy,at least in the near future,in contrast to commercially available SOFCs and *** this review,we reveal the reasons for the delayed technological development,which need to be addressed in order to transfer fundamental findings into industrial *** solutions to the identified problems are also highlighted.

关键词： Protonic ceramic fuel cells(PCFCs) Protonic ceramic electrolysis cells(PCECs) Proton transport Electrochemistry Hydrogen energy

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采用丝网印刷法基于Bi_(2)Te_(2.8)Se_(0.2)和Bi_(0.5)Sb_(1.5)Те_(3)悬浮液制备柔性热电发电机

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Journal of Central South University 2023年第9期30卷 2906-2918页

作者： VOLOSHCHUK Irina BABICH Alexey PEREVERZEVA Svetlana TEREKHOV dmitry SHERCHENKOV Alexey National Research University of Electronic Technology Bld.1Shokin SquareZelenogradMoscowRussia

本研究开发了利用磷酸锌水泥和碱性硅酸钠水溶液作为黏合剂的丝网印刷形成n型和p型热元件腿的技术,研究了厚膜的热电性能。以碱性硅酸钠水溶液为黏合剂,利用基于Bi_(2)Te_(3)-Sb_(2)Te_(3)(p型)和Bi_(2)Te_(3)-Bi_(2)Se_(3)(n型)的悬浮... 详细信息

本研究开发了利用磷酸锌水泥和碱性硅酸钠水溶液作为黏合剂的丝网印刷形成n型和p型热元件腿的技术,研究了厚膜的热电性能。以碱性硅酸钠水溶液为黏合剂,利用基于Bi_(2)Te_(3)-Sb_(2)Te_(3)(p型)和Bi_(2)Te_(3)-Bi_(2)Se_(3)(n型)的悬浮液的丝网印刷结果,制备了柔性热电发电机(TEG)的原型。开发的原型包括6对由铜线连接的n型和p型腿,和一个硅胶基质被用作柔性底座。对样机的研究表明,在室温(298 K)下,柔性厚膜TEG在温差?T=2.5 K和10.0 K下的输出电压分别为0.8 mV和14.8 mV。

关键词：热电装置柔性热电发电机能量收集热电材料丝网印刷热电性能

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First record of Cercidiphylloxylon (Cercidiphyllaceae) from the Palaeocene of Fushun,NE China

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Journal of Systematics and Evolution 2010年第4期48卷 302-308页

作者： dmitry GROMYKO Albert G.ABLAEV Department of Palaeobotany Komarov Botanical InstituteRussian Academy of Sciences V.I.Il'ichev Pacific Oceanological Institute Far Eastern BranchRussian Academy of Sciences

Cercidiphylloxylon spenceri(Brett)Pearson is described from the Lizigou Formation,Palaeocene in *** growth rings are distinct;pores are diffuse,solitary,with somewhat angular outlines in cross section;vessel elements long with long scalariform perforation plates;intervessel pitting is opposite to scalariform;fibertracheids are present;axial parenchyma is scarce;rays are mostly biseriate and *** wood characters of the fossil specimen fall into the range of those of extant Cercidiphyllum(Cercidiphyllaceae).The finding is one of the earliest fossil wood records of Cercidiphyllaceae.

关键词： Cercidiphylloxylon Cercidiphyllum fossil wood Fushun Palaeocene

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Single‑Photon Sources Based on Novel Color Centers in Silicon Carbide P–I–N Diodes: Combining Theory and Experiment

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Nano-Micro Letters 2021年第5期13卷 192-203页

作者： Igor A.Khramtsov dmitry Yu.Fedyanin Laboratory of Nanooptics and Plasmonics Center for Photonics and 2D MaterialsMoscow Institute of Physics and Technology141700DolgoprudnyRussian Federation

Point defects in the crystal lattice of SiC,known as color centers,have recently emerged as one of the most promising single-photon emitters for non-classical light ***,the search for the best color center that satisfies all the requirements of practical applications has only just *** color centers in SiC have been recently discovered but not yet ***,it is extremely challenging to understand their optoelectronic properties and evaluate their potential for use in practical single-photon ***,we present a theoretical approach that explains the experiments on single-photon electroluminescence(SPEL)of novel color centers in SiC p-i-n diodes and gives the possibility to engineer highly efficient single-photon emitting diodes based on ***,we develop a novel method of determining the electron and hole capture cross sections by the color center from experimental measurements of the SPEL rate and second-order *** other methods,the developed approach uses the experimental results at the single defect level that can be easily obtained as soon as a single-color center is identified in the i-type region of the SiC p-i-n diode.

关键词： Color centers Electron capture cross section Single-photon emitting diodes Single-photon electroluminescence Charge state control

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Silica-based nanoarchitecture for an optimal combination of photothermal and chemodynamic therapy functions of Cu2–xS cores with red emitting carbon dots

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Frontiers of Chemical Science and Engineering 2023年第12期17卷 2144-2155页

作者： Alexey Stepanov Svetlana Fedorenko Kirill Kholin Irek Nizameev Alexey Dovzhenko Rustem Zairov Tatiana Gerasimova Alexandra Voloshina Anna Lyubina Guzel Sibgatullina dmitry Samigullin Asiya Mustafina Arbuzov Institute of Organic and Physical Chemistry FRC Kazan Scientific Center of RASKazan 420088Russia Department of Physics Kazan National Research Technological UniversityKazan 420015Russia Department of Nanotechnology in Electronics Kazan National Research Technical University named after A.N.Tupolev-KAIKazan 420111Russia Kazan(Volga region)Federal University Kazan 420008Russia Kazan Institute of Biochemistry and Biophysics FRC Kazan Scientific Center of RASKazan 420111Russia

This study introduces multifunctional silica nanoparticles that exhibit both high photothermal and chemodynamic therapeutic activities,in addition to *** activity of the silica nanoparticles is derived from their plasmonic properties,which are a result of infusing the silica nanoparticles with multiple Cu2-xS *** infusion process is facilitated by a recoating of the silica nanoparticles with a cationic *** key factors that enable the internal incorporation of the Cu2-xS cores and the external deposition of red-emitting carbon dots are *** Cu2-xS cores within the silica nanoparticles exhibit both self-boosting generation of reactive oxygen species and high photothermal conversion efficacy,which are essential for photothermal and chemodynamic *** silica nanoparticles’small size(no more than 70 nm)and high colloidal stability are prerequisites for their cell *** internalization of the red-emitting silica nanoparticles within cells is visualized using fluorescence microscopy *** chemodynamic activity of the silica nanoparticles is associated with their dark cytotoxicity,and the mechanisms of cell death are evaluated using an apoptotic *** photothermal activity of the silica nanoparticles is demonstrated by significant cell death under near-infrared(1064 nm)irradiation.

关键词： copper sulfide nanoparticles chemodynamic therapy photothermal therapy carbon dots silica nanoparticles

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Simultaneous creation of multiple vortex-antivortex pairs in momentum space in photonic lattices

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Advanced Photonics 2023年第6期5卷 92-100页

作者： Feng Li Sergei V.Koniakhin Anton V.Nalitov Evgeniia Cherotchenko dmitry D.Solnyshkov Guillaume Malpuech Min Xiao Yanpeng Zhang Zhaoyang Zhang Xi'an Jiaotong University Key Laboratory for Physical Electronics and Devices of the Ministry of EducationShaanxi Key Laboratory of Information Photonic TechniqueSchool of Electronic Science and EngineeringFaculty of Electronics and InformationXi’anChina Institute for Basic Science Center for Theoretical Physics of Complex SystemsDaejeonRepublic of Korea Korea University of Science and Technology(UST) Basic Science ProgramDaejeonRepublic of Korea Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology DolgoprudnyiRussia University of Wolverhampton Faculty of Science and EngineeringWolverhamptonUnited Kingdom ITMO University St.PetersburgRussia Ioffe Institute St.PetersburgRussia UniversitéClermont Auvergne Institut PascalPHOTON-N2CNRSClermont INPClermont-FerrandFrance Institut Universitaire de France ParisFrance University of Arkansas Department of PhysicsFayettevilleArkansasUnited States Nanjing University School of PhysicsNational Laboratory of Solid State MicrostructuresNanjingChina

Engineering of the orbital angular momentum(OAM)of light due to interaction with photonic lattices reveals rich physics and motivates potential *** report the experimental creation of regularly distributed quantized vortex arrays in momentum space by probing the honeycomb and hexagonal photonic lattices with a single focused Gaussian *** the honeycomb lattice,the vortices are associated with Dirac ***,we show that the resulting spatial patterns of vortices are strongly defined by the symmetry of the wave packet evolving in the photonic lattices and not by their topological *** findings reveal the underlying physics by connecting the symmetry and OAM conversion and provide a simple and efficient method to create regularly distributed multiple vortices from unstructured light.

关键词： vortex photonic lattice orbital angular momentum topology symmetry

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