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系统工程学报 2001年第5期16卷 349-353页

作者：舒光复中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院系统科学研究所北京100080

在介绍了从定性到定量综合集成的特点以后介绍了其实现的方法之一———综合集成系统重构分析 .然后提出了用系统重构灵敏度分析处理专家意见不一致的情况 ,它可与专家对有关方面的熟悉程度、经验的可信度相结合进行研讨与综合。

关键词：综合集成系统重构宏观经济决策支持系统

A MULTI-OBJECTIVE decision-MAKING MODEL FOR WATER AND SEDIMENT IN REGULATION A RESERVOIR

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A MULTI-OBJECTIVE DECISION-MAKING MODEL FOR WATER AND SEDIME...

第九次河流泥沙国际学术大会

作者： Yang PENG and Hongwu ZHANGKey Laboratory of Water and Sediment sciences Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China. Yitian LI Key Laboratory of Water and Sediment sciences Wuhan University Hubei 430072 China

＜正＞This paper presents a multi-objective decision-making model for the coordinative dispatch of flow and sediment in reservoirs. The model was developed to address the contradiction between sediment trapping and flow regulation in reservoirs. The maximum benefits of flood control, hydropower generation and navigation of a reservoir were considered as the target functions, and the corresponding submodels for the reservoir operation were established. The functional relationships between the reservoir operation parameters and targets were derived so that all three targets can be linked together. The model was tested by applying it to the Three Gorges Project （TGP） in the flood recession period. The results demonstrate that this model is a useful tool to aid in handling the contradictive operations in a reservoir.

关键词： Multi-objective decision Coordinative dispatch of water and sediment Flood control Power generation Navigation operation Submodel coupling

Continuous Time Discounted Markov decision Processes with Stochastic Termination and Unbounded Rewards

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Continuous Time Discounted Markov Decision Processes with St...

中国运筹学会第六届学术交流会

作者： ZHANG Jihong ZHANG Xiangsun Institute of Applied Mathematics, Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing, 100080

This paper studies continuous time discounted Markov decision processes with stochastic termination and unbounded rewards. By the change of the objective function structure, the model is transformed into an equivalent continuous time discounted Markov decision processes. Thus most results in the latter may be generalized directly to hold for the model discussed in this paper.

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民办高校办学风险及其监管体系建构

教育发展研究 2008年第24期28卷 44-48页

作者：史雯婷上海市教育科学研究院高等教育研究所上海200032

为有效保障办学者、教师以及学生等利益相关者的权益,亟需对民办高校办学风险与监管问题进行研究。本文分析指出,民办高校办学风险来自于内部运行和外部环境两方面,具体表征为决策风险、管理风险和财务风险等,并在此基础上系统探讨了民... 详细信息

为有效保障办学者、教师以及学生等利益相关者的权益,亟需对民办高校办学风险与监管问题进行研究。本文分析指出,民办高校办学风险来自于内部运行和外部环境两方面,具体表征为决策风险、管理风险和财务风险等,并在此基础上系统探讨了民办高校办学风险监管的特点、目标与框架等。

关键词：民办高校办学风险监管体系

Emerging Collective Behaviors of Animal Groups

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Emerging Collective Behaviors of Animal Groups

第三届全国复杂动态网络学术论坛

作者： Jinhu Lu Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science Chinese Academy of sciences

Many animal groups routinely make consensus decisions jointly with all group members [1-12]. For example, a swarm of honeybees searching a new nest site, a flock of birds deciding when to leave a foraging patch, or a group of ungulates, primates, and fishes selecting where to travel after a rest period. Here we build a novel model merging the locally neighboring reciprocal action and alignment together to investigate the mechanisms of consensus decision-making and its robustness [9-11]. Our model reveals that the shapes of the coherent flocks are limited in a

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A density-dependent matrix model and its applications in optimizing harvest schemes

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Science China(Technological sciences) 2006年第Z1期49卷 108-117页

作者： Guofan Shao, WANG Fei, DAI Limin, BAI Jianwei & LI Yingshan Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN 47907, USA Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese Academy of sciences, Shenyang 110016, China Inner Mongolia Agriculture University, Hohhot 010019, China Academy of Forest Inventory and Planning, State Forestry Administration, Beijing 100714, China Department of Forestry and Natural Resources Purdue University West Lafayette USA Institute of Applied Ecology Chinese Academy of Sciences Shenyang China Inner Mongolia Agriculture University Hohhot China Academy of Forest Inventory and Planning State Forestry Administration Beijing China

Based on temporal data collected from 36 re-measured plots, transition probabilities of trees from a diameter class to a higher class were analyzed for the broad-leaved-Korean pine forest in the Changbai Mountains. It was found that the transition probabilities were related not only to diameter size but also to the total basal area of trees with the diameter class. This paper demonstrates the development of a density-dependent matrix model, DM2, and a series of simulations with it for forest stands with different conditions under different harvest schemes. After validations with independent field data, this model proved a suitable tool for optimization analysis of harvest schemes on computers. The optimum harvest scheme(s) can be determined by referring to stand growth, total timbers harvested, and size diversity changes over time. Three user-friendly interfaces were built with a forest management decision support system FORESTAR?for easy operations of DM2 by forest managers. This paper also summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of DM2.

关键词： uneven-aged forestry, diameter transition model, harvesting intensity, diameter limit, sustainable forest management.

An Intelligent Method for Early Design and decision of Space Payload

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An Intelligent Method for Early Design and Decision of Space...

The 2010 IEEE International Conference on Progress in Informatics and Computing

作者： Ming Wen Changchun Institute of Optics Fine Mechanics and Physics Chinese Academy of sciences Changchun China Cheng-shan Han Changchun Institute of Optics Fine Mechanics and Physics Chinese Academy of sciences Changchun China

＜正＞This paper is concerned with the design and decision method of space payload in the early design *** objective is to develop a generalized intelligent framework to assist designers in designing space payload.A multi-level method is introduced,which is based on the combination of case-based reasoning（CBR）,multicriteria rough sets theory（MRST） and kernel-based self-organizing maps（KSOM）.The first is CBR module,which aims to help designers to obtain some similar cases of the new *** second is MRST module,which can extract the decision rules of configuration *** third is KSOM module,which can reduce the variable range and design space of the space *** results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed design method.

关键词： space payload intelligent design decision

现代服务业发展的管理体制走向：国家综合试点地区例证

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重庆社会科学 2017年第2期 5-15页

作者：王佳宁罗重谱服务重庆市委决策系列选题研究小组

2011年以来,国家先后分四批在12个地区开展现代服务业综合试点。这些试点地区在管理体制上积极探索、先行先试,较好地推动了现代服务业的发展。通过比较试点地区现代服务业发展的管理体制的异同,可得到如下启示:应加强顶层设计,实现各... 详细信息

2011年以来,国家先后分四批在12个地区开展现代服务业综合试点。这些试点地区在管理体制上积极探索、先行先试,较好地推动了现代服务业的发展。通过比较试点地区现代服务业发展的管理体制的异同,可得到如下启示:应加强顶层设计,实现各层级政府及政府职能部门间的协作共治;坚持有所为有所不为,建设服务型政府;发挥市场主体和行业协会等社会组织的作用,构建政府与市场、政府与社会的新型合作关系;健全决策咨询制度,邀请新型智库参与决策和政府绩效评价。

关键词：现代服务业服务业管理体制现代服务业综合试点

The new interpretation of support vector machines on statistical learning theory

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Science China Mathematics 2010年第1期53卷 151-164页

作者： ZHANG ChunHua 1 , TIAN YingJie 2 & DENG NaiYang 3,1 School of Information, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China 2 Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science, Chinese Academy of sciences, Beijing 100080, China 3 College of Science, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China School of Information Renmin University of China Beijing China Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China College of Science China Agricultural University Beijing China

This paper is concerned with the theoretical foundation of support vector machines (SVMs). The purpose is to develop further an exact relationship between SVMs and the statistical learning theory (SLT). As a representative, the standard C-support vector classification (C-SVC) is considered here. More precisely, we show that the decision function obtained by C-SVC is just one of the decision functions obtained by solving the optimization problem derived directly from the structural risk minimization principle. In addition, an interesting meaning of the parameter C in C-SVC is given by showing that C corresponds to the size of the decision function candidate set in the structural risk minimization principle.

关键词： C-support vector classification the minimization principle of the structural risk KKT conditions

Water resources optimization and eco-environmental protection in Qaidam Basin

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Journal of Geographical sciences 2001年第2期11卷 231-238页

作者： FANG Chuang-lin~1, BAO Chao~2 (1. Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China 2. Dept. of Geography, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China) Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research CAS Dept. of Geography Peking University

In order to realize sustainable development of the arid area of Northwest China, rational water resources exploitation and optimization are primary prerequisites. Based on the essential principle of sustainable development, this paper puts forward a general idea on water resources optimization and eco-environmental protection in Qaidam Basin, and identifies the competitive multiple targets of water resources optimization. By some qualitative methods such as Input-output Model & AHP Model and some quantitative methods such as System Dynamics Model & Produce Function Model, some standard plans of water resources optimization come into being. According to the Multiple Targets decision by the Closest Value Model, the best plan of water resources optimization, eco-environmental protection and sustainable development in Qaidam Basin is finally decided.

关键词： water resources optimization Multiple Targets decision by the Closest Value Model eco-environmental protection Qaidam Basin