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Estimation on the response of glaciers in china to the global warming in the 21st century

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chinese Science Bulletin 2000年第7期45卷 668-672页

作者： SHI Yafeng & LIU Shiyin Laboratory of Ice Core and cold regions environment, cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy of sciences, lanzhou 730000. china cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy of sciences, lanzhou 730000. china Laboratory of Ice Core and cold regions environment Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou China cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou China

Glaciers in china can be categorized into 3 types, i.e. the maritime (temperate) type, sub-continental (sub-polar) type and extreme Continental (polar) type, which take 22%, 46% and 32% of the total existing glacier area (59 406 km2) respectively. researches indicate that glaciers of the three types show different response patterns to the global warming. Since the Maxima of the Little Ice Age (the 17th century), air temperature has risen at a magnitude of 1.3℃on average and the glacier area decreased corresponds to 20% of the present total glacier area in western china. it is estimated that air temperature rise in the 2030s, 2070s and 2100s will be of the order of 0.4-1.2, 1.2-2.7 and 2.1-4.0 K in western china. With these scenarios, glaciers in china will suffer from further shrinkage by 12%, 28% and 45% by the 2030s, 2070s and 2100s. The uncertainties may account for 30%-67% in 2100 in china.

关键词： modern glacier global warming Little Ice Age glacier type temperature rise in the 21st century estimated glacier shrinkage.

Decrease trend of dust event frequency over the past 200 years recorded in the Malan ice core from the northern Tibetan Plateau

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chinese Science Bulletin 2005年第24期50卷 2866-2871页

作者： WANG Ninglian Key Laboratory of Cryosphere and environment, cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy of sciences, lanzhou 73000, china institute.of Tibetan Plateau research, chinese academy of sciences, Beijing 100085, china Key Laboratory of Cryosphere and environment Cold and And Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou 73000 China Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100085 China

By analyses of the dust layers in the Malan ice core from the northern Tibetan Plateau, it was found that dirty ratio in this core might be a good proxy for dust event frequency. The variations in the dirty ratio displayed a de- crease trend over the past 200 years, which implies that dust events became less frequent during the study period. The decrease trend in the variations in dust event frequency might be caused mostly by the natural processes, including increasing precipitation and weakening westerly which might be related with global warming. Furthermore, significant negative correlation was found between the dirty ratio and δ 18O in the Malan ice core. This is highly important for studying the effect of atmospheric dust on climate change.

关键词：青藏高原马伦冰核气候变化扬尘事件发生频率

Impacts of permafrost changes on alpine ecosystem in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

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Science china Earth sciences 2006年第11期49卷 1156-1169页

作者： WANG Genxu1,3 , LI Yuanshou2 , WU Qingbai2 & WANG Yibo3 1. institute.of Mountain Hazards and environment, chinese academy of sciences, Chengdu 610041, china 2. cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy of sciences, lanzhou 730000. china 3. Resource and environment School, lanzhou University, lanzhou 730000. china 1. institute.of Mountain Hazards and environment Chinese Academy of Sciences Chengdu 610041 China 3. Resource and environment School Lanzhou University Lanzhou 730000 China 2. cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou 730000 China

Alpine cold ecosystem with permafrost environment is quite sensitive to climatic changes and the changes in permafrost can significantly affect the alpine ecosystem. The vegetation coverage, grassland biomass and soil nutrient and texture are selected to indicate the regime of alpine cold ecosystems in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. The interactions between alpine ecosystem and permafrost were investigated with the depth of active layer, permafrost thickness and mean annual ground temperature (MAGTs). Based on the statistics model of GPTR for MAGTs and annual air temperatures, an analysis method was developed to analyze the impacts of permafrost changes on the alpine ecosystems. Under the climate change and human engineering activities, the permafrost change and its impacts on alpine ecosystems in the permafrost region between the Kunlun Mountains and the Tanggula Range of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are studied in this paper. The results showed that the per- mafrost changes have a different influence on different alpine ecosystems. With the increase in the thickness of active layer, the vegetation cover and biomass of the alpine cold meadow exhibit a significant conic reduction, the soil organic matter content of the alpine cold meadow ecosystem shows an exponential decrease, and the surface soil materials become coarse and gravelly. The alpine cold steppe ecosystem, however, seems to have a relatively weak relation to the permafrost environment. Those relationships resulted in the fact that the distribution area of alpine cold meadow decreased by 7.98% and alpine cold swamp decreased by 28.11% under the permafrost environment degradation during recent 15 years. In the future 50 years the alpine cold meadow ecosystems in different geomorphologic units may have different responses to the changes of the permafrost under different climate warming conditions, among them the alpine cold meadow and swamp ecosystem located in the low mountain and plateau area will have a relatively

关键词： permafrost environment, alpine cold ecosystem, statistics relationship, climate change, impacts, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

Vicissitude of Sogo Nur and environmental-climatic change during last 1500 years

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Science china Earth sciences 2004年第z1期47卷 61-70页

作者： JIN Heling, XIAO Honglang, SUN Liangying, ZHANG Hong, SUN Zhong & LI XiaozeKey Laboratory of Desert and Desertification, cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy of sciences, lanzhou 730000. china School of Resources and environment, lanzhou University, lanzhou 730000. china 1. Key Laboratory of Desert and Desertification Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences 730000 Lanzhou China2. School of Resources and Environment Lanzhou University 730000 Lanzhou China

Lakes in arid zone are sensitive to climatic changes. The lacustrine sediment sequence in Sogo Nur has well and truly recorded climatic events such as the Sui-Tang Dynasty Warm Period, the Song-Liao Dynasty cold Period, the Medieval Warm Period, the Little Ice Age and the 20th Century Warm Period. Commonly, the climate in warm Periods was relatively humid,accordingly the lake area extended and water level rose, and vice versa. Apart from climatic change, human activity is also an important factor of influencing lake vicissitude, and they played the dominant role alternatively during different periods; the factor of climatic change predominated in historical period, while since the beginning of the 20th century the utilization of water resources by human has became decisive.

关键词： granularity, soluble salt, lake vicissitude, climatic change, Sogo Nur.

Impact of land-use change on hydrological processes in the Maying River basin, china

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Science china Earth sciences 2006年第10期49卷 1098-1110页

作者： WANG Genxu1,3, ZHANG Yu2, LIU Guimin2 & CHEN Lin3 1. institute.of Mountain Hazards and environment, chinese academy of sciences, Chengdu 610041, china 2. cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy of sciences, lanzhou 730000. china 3. Resource and environment School, lanzhou University, lanzhou 730000. china 1. institute.of Mountain Hazards and environment Chinese Academy of Sciences Chengdu 610041 China 3. Resource and environment School Lanzhou University Lanzhou 730000 China 2. cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou 730000 China

Since the 1960s, dramatic changes have taken place in land-use patterns characterized by the persistent expansion of cultivated land and a continuous decrease in natural woodland and grassland in the arid inland river basins of china. It is very important to assess the effects of such land-use changes on the hydrological processes so vital for water resource management and sustainable development on the catchment scale. The Maying River catchment, a typical arid inland watershed located in the middle of the Hexi Corridor in northwest china, was the site chosen to investigate the hydrological responses to land-use changes. The annual runoff, base flow, maximum peak flow, and typical seasonal runoff in both spring and autumn flood periods were selected as the variables in the hydrological processes. Statistical-trend analysis and curvilinear regression were utilized to detect the trends in hydrological variables while eliminating the climatic influence. The relationship between cultivated land-use and hydrological variables was analyzed based on four periods of land-use variation data collected since 1965. A runoff model was established composed of two factors, i.e., cultivated land use and precipitation. The impact of land use changes, especially in the large ar- eas of upstream woodland and grassland turned into cultivated lands since 1967, has resulted in a mean annual runoff decrease of 28.12%, a base flow decline of 35.32%, a drop in the maximum peak discharge of 35.77%, and mean discharge decreases in spring and autumn of 36.05% and 24.87% respectively, of which the contribution of cultivated land expansion to the influence of annual runoff amounts to 77%-80%, with the contribution to the influence of spring discharge being 73%-81%, and that to the influence of base flow reaching 62%-65%. Thus, a rational regulation policy of land use patterns is vitally important to the sustainable use of water resources and the proper development of the entire catchment.

关键词： land-use change, arid inland river catchment, hydrological process, impact, Maying River.

Respondence and feedback of modern sand deserts to climate change ——A case study in Gurbantunggut Desert

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chinese Science Bulletin 2000年第12期45卷 1137-1142页

作者： WEI WenshouXinjiang institute.of Ecology and Geography, chinese academy of sciences, Urumqi 830011, china Open Laboratory of Ice-Core, cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy ofsciences, lanzhou 730000. china Xinjiang institute.of Ecology and Geography Chinese Academy of Sciences Urumqi 830011 China Open Laboratory of Ice-Core Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou 730000 China

The research on the respondence and feedback of modern sand deserts to the climate change is an important component part in the studies on the global climate change. Deserts respond to the climate change, meanwhile, they affect the climate with their feedback of peculiar environment during the respondence. Many researches on desert climate have been carried out at home and abroad. However, there is little research on the respondence and feedback of modern fixed, semi-fixed and mobile deserts in arid areas to the climate change, in which the factor analysis as well as the parameter changing effects is especially the difficult problem all along. In this note, the parameters of the respondence and feedback of Gurbantunggut Desert to the climate change are measured and analyzed, some variable parameters of water-heat exchange are obtained, and a numerical model of desertification is developed according to a series of climate change of about 40 years and the variable relations of meteorological and physical

关键词： Gurbantunggut Desert climate change respondence and feedback numerical model.

Heat transfer process of roadway embankments with different type and width of road surface in permafrost regions

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第3期17卷 314-319页

作者： YU Qihao, PAN Xicai, CHENG Guodong and BAI Yang (State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil engineering, cold and arid regions environment and engineering research institute. chinese A-cademy of sciences, lanzhou 730000. china) [a]State Key Laboratory of Frozen Soil engineering Cold and Arid Regions Environment and Engineering Research Institute Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou China

The stability of roadbed in permafrost areas has become a big concern with rapid development and construction of throughways, highways and railways in these areas under the current climate change since it is governed by the thermal condition, or in other words, the heat transfer process in the embankment. We carried out a finite element analysis to analyze the effects of different types of road surface and the effect of breadth of embankment on the embankment heat transfer process. The results indicated that the mean annual heat transfer rate at the bottom of the roadway embankment with asphalt surfaces is 3 times that with sandy gravel surfaces. This means annual heat transfer rate increased by 60% when the breadth of asphalt surface was doubled. The increased heat transfer rate was mainly located at the bottom of the embankment and resulted in the effect of thermal concentration,. leading to degradation of the permafrost by as much as 1.6 times. It was also found that increasing embankment height would not reduce these increases of the heat transfer rate. Therefore both asphalt road surface and increased embankment breadth can lead to an intensified heat transfer rate in roadway embankment, consequently degradating the underlying permafrost and embankment instability.

关键词： wide road surface roadway embankment permafrost regions process of heat transfer heat flux ground temperature field.

THE SAND WEDGE AND MIRABILITE OFTHE LAST ICE AGE AND THEIR PALEOCLIMATICSIGNIFICANCE IN HEXI CORRIDOR

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chinese Geographical Science 2001年第1期11卷 80-86页

作者： HU Gang, WANG Nai-ang (School of Resources and environment, lanzhou University, lanzhou 730000. P. R. china cold and arid Regrons environment and engineering research institute. the chinese academy of Scienes, lanzhou 730000. P. R. china) School of Resources and environment Lanzhou University Lanzhou P. R. China cold and arid Regrons environment and engineering research institute the Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou P. R. China

The sand wedges in Hexi Corridor occur in the alluvial gravel stratum of bajada and high terraces. The 14C ages of eolian sand in sand wedges prove that they formed during the Last Ice Age, with the mean annual air temperature about ? 5.6°C. The common 14C and AMS 14C dating ages of terrestrial branch relicts in Huahai clay-mirabilite interlayer are (11 600 ± 280) a B. P. and (1118 ± 54) a B. P. respectively, proving that the mirabilite formed at the cold episode of the Last Glacial Maximum(LGM) and Younger Dryers(YD) in Huahai Lake. It is pointed out that the mean annual air temperature in Hexi Corridor during LGM was about ?3°C – ?7°C, 11°C – 15°C lower than that of present, and that during YD was about 0°C – 2°C, 6°C – 8°C lower than at present. This decreasing temperature values are generally coincident with those inferred by pollen, sand wedge and ice core in the northern china, and also with the research on temperature-falling amplitude of middle and high latitude on the Northern Hemisphere recently.

关键词： sand wedge Last Ice Age Hexi Corridor paleoclimate

Study of spatial distribution of sandy desertification in North china in recent 10 years

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Science china Earth sciences 2004年第z1期47卷 78-88页

作者： WANG Tao, WU Wei, XUE Xian, SUN Qingwei & CHEN GuangtingKey Laboratory of Desert and Desertification, cold and arid regions environmental and engineering research institute. chinese academy of sciences, lanzhou 730000. china Department of environment engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871, china chinese Acad Sci Cold & Arid Reg Environm & Engn Res Inst Key Lab Desert & Desertificat Lanzhou 730000 Peoples R China Peking Univ Dept Environm Engn Beijing 100871 Peoples R China

Sandy desertification is a land degradation characterized by wind erosion, mainly resulted from the excessive human activities in arid, semiarid and part of sub-humid regions in North china. It is one of main kinds of desertification/land degradation as well as water-soil erosion and salinization in china. Rapid and continuous spread of sandy desertification during last 50 years has created a major environmental and socio-economic problem in North china. Remote sensing monitored results in 2000 showed that the sandy desertified land area has been 38.57× 104 km2. The area of potential to slightly sandy desertified land is 13.93× 104 km2, moderately land 9.977×104 km2, severely land 7.909 ×104 km2 and very severely land 6.756×104 km2. Sandy desertification mainly occurs in the semi-arid mixed farming-grazing zone and its northern rangeland zone, semi-arid dryland rainfed cropping zone and arid oasis-desert margin zone. The average annually developmental rate of sandy desertified land increased from 2,100 km2 ·a-1 in 1976-1988 to 3,600 km2 · a-1 in 1988-2000. The basic status of sandy desertification in North china is 'overall deterioration, while local rehabilitation'. Already achieved rehabilitation results and monitoring assessment show that about 60% of desertified land in North china can be restored under the conditions of rational land-use ways and intensity.

关键词： sandy desertified land, spatial distribution, remote sensing monitoring, last 10 years, North china.