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The silk road economic belt: balance of interests

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Economic and Political Studies 2018年第3期6卷 293-318页

作者： Yakov Silin Larisa kapustina Italo Trevisan Andrei Drevalev Department of Regional and Municipal Economics and Management Ural State University of EconomicsYekaterinburgRussia Department of Marketing and International Management Ural State University of EconomicsYekaterinburgRussia Department of Economics and Management University of TrentoTrentoItaly

The article makes an analogy between the Great Silk Road and the modern Belt and Road Initiative(BRI,also known as‘One Belt,One Road’[OBOR])of China in the context of their significance for the development of international trade,as well as the Central Asian *** historical role of the Silk Road is considered from the viewpoint of mutual benefit of states along the trade *** authors consider the concept as the co-development of states,suggested by China within the framework of the BRI,which involves international cooperation on the basis of mutual benefits for all participants,promotion of economic growth and welfare,development of modern infrastructure through joint *** attempt is made to assess the interests of Central Asian countries in the Silk Road Economic Belt(SREB)*** interests include construction of modern road infrastructure,exploration and extraction of mineral deposits,transportation of energy resources,establishment of logistics and industrial *** is an increase in the transit role of the Central Asian countries within the framework of the BRI,as well an increase in investments from *** countries along SREB are concerned about potential threats of the inflow of Chinese labour,the use of technologies that can cause environmental problems,the loss of control over strategic assets,and general growth of financial dependence on *** article analyses Russia’s perception of the Chinese *** is concluded that the main mutual interest of the two countries is opposing the US’s attempts to establish a dominating role in the region and thus ensuring the security of the transport system through the institutions of the Eurasian Economic Union(EAEU)and the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation(SCO).The authors reveal a trend of changing the role of Russia as the main transit corridor for Chinese goods exported to Europe and European ones imported to *** key long-term economic interests of China implement

关键词： Economy of China BRI(or OBOR) Silk Road Economic Belt(SREB) Silk Road Fund Eurasian integration

Experimental Investigation of Two-Phase Flow Maldistribution in Plate Heat Exchangers

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Fluid Dynamics & Materials Processing 2022年第4期18卷 1015-1024页

作者： Zhaiyk Tokhtarov Vitaly Perov Vitaly Borisov Evgeny Tikhomirov Olga Grunina Nadezhda kapustina Elmira Cherkasova Natalya Suray Shakarim University of Semey Semey City070000Kazakhstan Plekhanov Russian University of Economics Moscow117997Russia National Research Mordovia State University Mordovia430005Russia Bauman Moscow State Technical University Moscow RegionMytischi105005Russia K.G.Razumovsky Moscow State University of Technologies and Management(The First Cossack University) Moscow119991Russia Financial University Under the Government of the Russian Federation Moscow125993Russia Russian State Agrarian University-Moscow Timiryazev Agricultural Academy Moscow127550Russia

After conducting a critical survey of the different categories of existing heat exchangers,the results of several experiments about the behaviour of a two-phase current in an open channel are *** results confirm the complexity of the problems induced in heat exchangers by flow maldistribution,especially when two-phase flows are considered in multi-channel *** is shown that severe misalignment of heat exchangers can lead to a loss of economic performance of more than 25%.Improper distribution of fluid flow causes longer fluid coils to form,and the liquid cochlea can eventually occupy a large space,thereby reducing heat transfer and disrupting the considered biphasic *** use of a small diameter distribution pipe with properly spaced outlet holes seems to be a promising approach to fix many of these *** is found that the current distribution in the channels,in addition to the header pressure distribution,also depends on factors such as the geometry and the initial flow regime in the header.

关键词： Maldistribution heat exchangers two phase open channel

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中俄边境贸易影响因素研究

中俄边境贸易影响因素研究

作者： kapustina Anastasiia 辽宁大学

学位级别：硕士

进入21世纪,经济全球化进程日益加快,区域经济一体化趋势也越来越明显,通过对外贸易实现本国经济的发展意义积极而重大。中国和俄罗斯作为世界上具有较高影响力的大国,在经济全球化背景下,也有着紧密的贸易合作,2019年两国边境贸易总额... 详细信息

进入21世纪,经济全球化进程日益加快,区域经济一体化趋势也越来越明显,通过对外贸易实现本国经济的发展意义积极而重大。中国和俄罗斯作为世界上具有较高影响力的大国,在经济全球化背景下,也有着紧密的贸易合作,2019年两国边境贸易总额达到了1109.2亿美元,床下历史新高,未来两国贸易的发展值得期待。但通过深入研究,我们也发现,中国和俄罗斯边境贸易的发展受到很多因素的影响,比如政治因素、经济因素、社会因素、文化因素等,本文结合中俄贸易现状,对影响中俄边境贸易的因素进行研究,并提出与之对应的优化对策。具体来说,本文主要从以下几个方面进行:第一章绪论,介绍本文的研究背景和研究意义,阐述本文的国内外研究现状,说明本文的研究方法和创新之处;第二章相关理论基础,结合中俄边境贸易对比较优势理论、绝对优势理论、国际竞争优势理论、产业内贸易理论进行阐述,形成本文的理论铺垫;第三章中俄边境贸易的现状和问题,首先总结了中国和俄罗斯合作发展历程,然后对中国对俄罗斯边境进出口贸易状况进行分析,从而总结中国和俄罗斯双边贸易特点,并最终分析中国和俄罗斯双边贸易存在的问题;第四章中国和俄罗斯边境贸易的因素影响分析,从经济因素、社会因素、政治因素、文化因素四个主要方面对影响因素进行分析;第五章推动中俄边境贸易的对策建议,从深化中国“一带一路”倡议,充分发挥资源互补性优势,优化贸易结构,充分发挥友好国家关系,提升贸易透明度,加强基础设施建设,提升两国贸易自由化和便利化水平,促进双边贸易政策规范化六个方面提出推动中俄边境贸易发展的科学对策。

关键词：中国俄罗斯边境贸易影响因素

Predicting Electric Energy Consumption for a Jerky Enterprise

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Energy and Power Engineering 2020年第6期12卷 396-406页

作者： Elena kapustina Eugene Shutov Anna Barskaya Agata Kalganova National Research Tomsk Polytechnic University Tomsk Russia

Wholesale and retail markets for electricity and power require consumers to forecast electricity consumption at different time intervals. The study aims to increase economic efficiency of the enterprise through the introduction of algorithm for forecasting electric energy consumption unchanged in technological process. Qualitative forecast allows you to essentially reduce costs of electrical energy, because power cannot be stockpiled. Therefore, when buying excess electrical power, costs can increase either by selling it on the balancing energy market or by maintaining reserve capacity. If the purchased power is insufficient, the costs increase is due to the purchase of additional capacity. This paper illustrates three methods of forecasting electric energy consumption: autoregressive integrated moving average method, artificial neural networks and classification and regression trees. Actual data from consuming of electrical energy was used to make day, week and month ahead prediction. The prediction effect of prediction model was proved in Statistica simulation environment. Analysis of estimation of the economic efficiency of prediction methods demonstrated that the use of the artificial neural networks method for short-term forecast allowed reducing the cost of electricity more efficiently. However, for mid- range predictions, the classification and regression tree was the most efficient method for a Jerky Enterprise. The results indicate that calculation error reduction allows decreases expenses for the purchase of electric energy.

关键词： Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Method Artificial Neural Networks Classification and Regression Trees Electricity Consumption Ener-gy Forecasting

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俄罗斯新建住宅的定价机制研究

俄罗斯新建住宅的定价机制研究

作者： EKATERINA kapustina（叶卡捷琳娜）哈尔滨工业大学

学位级别：硕士

房地产市场对人民生活的各个方面都产生了很大的影响,表现出一些普遍和特殊的影响。市场的主要功能之一是建立均衡价格,根据该均衡价格有效需求对应于报价数量。房地产市场在任何国家的经济中扮演着重要的角色,它是国家财富重要组成的... 详细信息

房地产市场对人民生活的各个方面都产生了很大的影响,表现出一些普遍和特殊的影响。市场的主要功能之一是建立均衡价格,根据该均衡价格有效需求对应于报价数量。房地产市场在任何国家的经济中扮演着重要的角色,它是国家财富重要组成的一部分。房地产是个人生活的基础,也是企业和各类组织进行经济活动和发展的基础。在俄罗斯,房地产市场正在快速并且积极的发展,参与房地产交易的个人、企业和机构数量也在不断增长。俄罗斯的住房市场主要存在以下问题:经济发展形势不稳定,房地产价格不断增长,使得买卖交易非常不稳定。此外,复杂的税收立法,信息基础设施的发展水平低下,公民法律培训不足,导致人民很难购买住房。房地产市场分为初级和次级市场。这两个市场有各自的特征和客户。初级住房市场发展迅速,需求比次级住房要大。由于新建房屋的良好状况、住宅的新颖性、新的通讯系统和工程系统、设计合理以及舒适度高,初级市场需求很大。2017年,俄罗斯住房建设规模比2016年增加了31%,2018年将会继续增长。目前,房地产市场出现了两个相反的趋势。一方面,个人经济状况的低下导致需求的减少,这将导致公寓成本下降。另一方面,在经济不稳定和卢布贬值的时期,人们正试图通过投资房地产来赚钱。尽管俄罗斯住宅房地产市场普遍存在积极的动态,但市场参与者仍面临许多困难。这些问题与政府制度有关,如法律的不完善和繁琐的官僚机制。此外,困难的不是由于价格高,而是收入低,这使得许多俄罗斯市民无法搬进新的住房。上述问题的解决绝非一日之功,但有可能建立一个机制来寻找市场上最好的价格。本文旨在考虑各种因素确定新公寓价格的最优体系。这项工作的最终目标是获得一个能够满足市场各个方面的机制,排除了开发商故意抬高的价格,并且使住宅价格可以在市民承受能力之内。论文分析了不同国家房地产市场发展的相关文献,对俄罗斯房地产市场的经验和特点进行了研究。房地产市场上的价格取决于许多因素,论文分析了影响价格的各个因素,影响全球,影响来自全球,区域和个人多方面的价格只是这个目标所固有的。该物业具有平稳性,独特性,持续性,创造期限和土地有限等特点。对于这个市场上吸引的房地产作为商品的具体特点,首先它的稳定性会受到影响,房地产对于他们所处的地区是分不开的,而房地产的买家则获得了该地区的整个特征。这些引起许多市场特性,特别是,诸如定价个性,买卖双方的数量有限,定位市场和由其衍生的工艺高度依赖。一般来说,通过城市/地区的声望,娱乐资源的可用性,基础设施的质量,环境条件来确定该国内的价格差异。世界主要国家的资本基本上有一个特殊的发展趋势,与区域房地产市场有很大差异。资本价格远高于地区资本,受全球而非国家因素的调控。造成这种情况的原因是:全市作为一个经济,金融,文化,教育和旅游中心,劳动力流动,信誉和资金的吸引力对私人投资的状态。因此,评估的正常发展的城市的时候,全球因素的影响几乎是察觉不到的,微乎其微,因为客户与开发商最大的影响有一个第二级-区域层面的因素,第三个-在对象的属性具体目标。撰写工作的方法论基础是科学的方法,这是基于对俄罗斯新公寓市场问题的客观综合因素分析和最优价格形成的要求。该研究使用一套科学知识的方法和技术进行。抽象-逻辑方法允许揭示价格优化和金融稳定评估的理论方面,以确定在这一领域发生的过程和现象的主要特征。系统结构方法用于分析影响价格的因素并识别结构变化。使用经济数学和经济统计方法可以确定价格对因素的依赖性,评估它们对进一步发展的影响和改善组织财务稳定性的方法。在研究过程中,我们选择了评估市场因素的经济数学和经济统计方法对影响因素对有效指标影响程度的评估。该方法的主要优点是结合评估房地产市场因素的方法,在此基础上建立回归模型。工作中使用的经济和数学建模方法不仅可以评估和预测经济状况,还可以确定影响价格动态的因素,并选择调控工具。该方法的主要优点是对房地产市场因素的评价方法的结合,在此基础上建立了回归模型。本研究采用的经济和数学建模方法不仅可以对经济状况进行评估和预测,还可以确定影响价格动态的因素,并选择其监管工具。所得数据有助于确定最佳的财产价值。利用计算机技术和统计分析包对采集到的材料进行分析,并根据计算方法和技术进行研究。本研究具有实践性,因为它包含了现成的工作机制,最适合房地产开发商和房地产中介机构。为了检查已制定的价格优化机制,我们选择了俄罗斯一般城市别尔哥罗德。收集到的关于新公寓的信息,关键因素评估是构建回归和确定因素相互关系的基础。最后,我们确定了平均市场价格,平均价格偏差,故意抬高价格低估的公寓。目前,该市已建成24座新建建筑,为便于分析,已将其研究并列入表中。为构建价格回归模型,截至2018年,俄罗斯别尔哥罗德市所有24个新建筑中有7 200多套新建公寓被考虑。通过公开信息资源和房地产机构专家收集有关它们的信息。在本表

关键词：新建住宅定价机制俄罗斯回归分析

Individual alcohol consumption by the population of Russia versus regional living conditions

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Global Health Journal 2024年第1期8卷 24-31页

作者： Sergey A.Maksimov Svetlana A.Shalnova Galina A.Muromtseva Yuliya A.Balanova Svetlana E.Evstifeeva Anna V.kapustina Oksana M.Drapkina National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine Moscow 101990Russia

Background:There are substantial regional differences in drinking alcohol in Russia,both at the population and individual ***,the causes of these differences have not been studied ***:The goal of our study was to examine the effect of regional living conditions on individual alcohol consumption by the population of ***:For the analysis,we used data from a cross-sectional epidemiological study conducted in *** final analytical sample included 18,130 people aged 25-64 *** conducted the interviews face to face,based on which any drinking in the last year,as well as alcohol abuse,were considered as a *** abuse was recorded when the respondent consumed 5.75 or more grams of pure ethanol per day(75th percentile of average daily alcohol consumption among alcohol drinkers).The assessment of the regional living conditions was accomplished via integral indexing,which was previously performed based on publicly available data for *** were assessed using generalized scoring equations with unchanging standard *** associations were expressed by odds ratios(OR)and 95%confidence intervals(C).Results:Deterioration of social conditions and increase in demographic depression in the region of residence increased the odds of any drinking(OR 1.51,95%CI:1.33 to 1.72,P<0.001 and OR 1.22,95%CI:1.05 to 1.41,P=***9,respectively).The odds of alcohol abuse increased with the deterioration of social living conditions and the growth of the industrial development in the region:OR 1.35,95%CI:1.14 to 1.59,P<0.001 and OR 1.16,95%CI:1.05 to 1.28,P=0.002,***:Our analysis allowed assessing the impact of the regional living conditions on individual drinking alcohol in the population of Russia.

关键词： Alcohol Living environment Regional features Russia

丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟对接中的中俄经贸合作研究

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丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟对接中的中俄经贸合作研究

作者：卡佳（kapustina EKATERINA）吉林大学

学位级别：硕士

随着中国改革开放步伐的不断加快,建设丝绸之路经济带变得越加突出,同时,为了更好的推进中俄两国在经贸中的交流与合作,俄罗斯总统普京和中国国家主席习近平签署了《中华人民共和国与俄罗斯联邦关于全面战略协作伙伴关系新阶段的联合声... 详细信息

随着中国改革开放步伐的不断加快,建设丝绸之路经济带变得越加突出,同时,为了更好的推进中俄两国在经贸中的交流与合作,俄罗斯总统普京和中国国家主席习近平签署了《中华人民共和国与俄罗斯联邦关于全面战略协作伙伴关系新阶段的联合声明》。本文主要探讨丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟对接中的中俄经贸合作,通过相关文献和资料对中俄经济状况研究理论成果进行分类归纳,分析中俄对丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟对接的优势因素、劣势因素、机会方面和威胁方面等,以此分析中俄两国经贸合作的发展问题。本文研究发现,丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟对接中的中俄经贸合作正在稳步推进,中俄在基础设施建设合作、中俄毗邻地区的区域经济合作、多领域协作实现基础设施互联互通等都取得了一定的成效。但是,中俄两国的经贸合作仍然缺乏对制度的深层对接和实质性安排,例如模式选择、机制建设和平台应用等,这些都还存在着许多阻力和不利因素。因此,本文研究丝绸之路经济带和欧亚经济联盟之间的对接与合作,探索不同国家新的发展思路,寻求多方的新合作途径,并提供中国和欧亚经济联盟之间的实际行动方案。基于以上研究,本文提出如下建议:切实推进中俄两国经贸领域的区域性合作,加强中俄两国的基础设施互联互通,促进中俄双方扩大投资贸易多个领域的合作,加强中俄两国的金融领域合作等来促进丝绸之路经济带与欧亚经济联盟对接中的中俄经贸合作。

关键词：丝绸之路经济带欧亚经济联盟经贸合作

Efficacy of Mometasone Furoate Nasal Spray in Delayed Antibiotic Prescriptions for Acute Rhinosinusitis: A Multicenter, Randomized, Open-Label, Comparative, Prospective, Parallel Group Study

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International Journal of Otolaryngology and Head & Neck Surgery 2024年第5期13卷 321-343页

作者： Vasyl Popovych Ivanna Koshel Vitalii Leshak Oleksandr Malofiichuk Liubov Piletska Natalia kapustina Oksana Martynnyk Volodimir Kuderskyi Head Department of Surgery No. 1 Lviv Medical University Lviv Ukraine E.N.T. Department Ivano-Frankivsk National Medical University Ivano-Frankivsk Ukraine E.N.T. Department Uzhhorod National University Uzhhorod Ukraine Municipal Non-Profit Institution Regional Clinical Hospital n. a. O. F.Herbachevskyi Zhytomyr Region Ukraine

While their clinical presentation is similar, post-viral rhinosinusitis does not indicate the possible development of bacterial rhinosinusitis which occurs in only 0.5% to 5% of all cases of ARS. However, unreasonable antibacterial therapy is prescribed in 54% to 77% of cases. The perspective is to use delayed antibacterial therapy management. The purpose of the study was to investigate the efficacy of mometasone furoate nasal spray within the delayed prescription approach. Methods: A multicenter, randomized, open-label, comparative, prospective, parallel group study enrolled a total of 156 patients with ARS aged 18 to 60 years, of them 155 patients completed the study. The patients were randomized into the main group of Mometasone Furoate (Flix) Nasal Spray or into the control group of amoxicillin clavulanate tablets while both groups were administered a standard ARS therapy. Findings: The use of MF nasal spray within the delayed antibiotics prescription approach has a significantly higher efficacy compared to the immediate antibiotics prescription in the first days of treatment (p < 0.05). Antibacterial therapy was prescribed to 42.3% of patients in the main group compared to 100.0% of patients in the control group (p < 0.05). It was shown that there were statistically significant differences in the dynamics of changes in the total symptom score between the patients administered antibiotics and the antibiotic-naive patients. Conclusion: The use of MF within the delayed antibiotics prescription approach reliably improves the pattern of symptoms over time at the disease onset and significantly reduces the need for NSAIDs administration and antibiotics prescription frequency.

关键词： Rhinosinusitis Mometasone Furoate Delayed Antibiotic