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Relevance of hybrid artificial intelligence for improving the forecasting accuracy of natural resource prices

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Geoscience Frontiers 2024年第3期15卷 431-446页

作者： Mei Li Rida Waheed Dervis Kirikkaleli Ghazala aziz School of Management and Economics and Shenzhen Finance Institute The Chinese University of Hong KongShenzhen(CUHK-Shenzhen)China Department of Finance and Economics College of BusinessUniversity of JeddahJeddahSaudi Arabia European University of Lefke Faculty of Economic and Administrative ScienceDepartment of Banking and FinanceLefkeTurkey Department of Business Administration College of Administrative and Financial SciencesSaudi Electronic UniversityJeddahSaudi Arabia

The prediction performance of traditional forecasting methods is low due to the high level of complexity in a series of energy *** present study attempts to compare the traditional regression,machine learning tools and hybrid models to conclude the outperforming *** first step is to propose the effective denoising technique for Tadawul energy index,which has confirmed the superiority of CSD based ***,we use the CSD-ARIMA,CSD-ANN,and CSD-RNN as hybrid *** a result,CSD-RNN outperforms both other models in terms of MSE,MAPE,RMSE and *** findings are useful for policy makers,investors and portfolio managers to forecast the energy trends,and hedge the portfolio risk accordingly.

关键词： Hybrid artificial intelligence CSD denoising technique Forecasting Energy prices saudi Arabia

Bi-Level Bidding and Multi-Energy Retail Packages for Integrated Energy Service Providers Considering Multi-Energy Demand Elasticity

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CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems 2024年第4期10卷 1761-1774页

作者： Xun dou Jun Wang Qinran Hu Yang Li College of Electrical Engineering and Control Science Nanjing Tech UniversityNanjing 211816China School of Electrical Engineering Southeast UniversityNanjing 210096China

How to effectively use the multi-energy demand elasticity of users to bid in the multi-energy market and formulate multi-energy retail packages is an urgent problem which needs to be solved by integrated energy service providers(IESPs)to attract more users and reduce operating *** paper presents a unified clearing of electricity and natural gas based on a bi-level bidding and multi-energy retail price formulation method for IESPs considering multi-energy demand ***,we propose an operating structure of IESPs in the wholesale and retail energy *** multi-energy demand elasticity model of retail-side users and a retail price model for electricity,gas,heat and cooling are ***,a bi-level bidding model for IESPs considering multi-energy demand elasticity is established to provide IESPs with wholesale-side bidding decisions and retail-side energy retail price ***,an example is given to verify the proposed *** results show that the method improves the total social welfare of the electricity and natural gas markets by 7.99%and the profit of IESPs by 1.40%.It can reduce the variance of the electricity,gas,and cooling load curves,especially the reduction of the variance of the electricity load curve can which reach 79.90%.It can be seen that the research in this paper has a positive effect on repairing the limitations of integrated energy trading research and improving the economics of the operation of IESPs.

关键词： Bi-level bidding integrated energy service providers multi-energy demand elasticity multi-energy retail packages unified clearing of electricity and natural gas

RLKdb:A comprehensively curated database of plant receptor-like kinase

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Molecular Plant 2024年第4期17卷 513-515页

作者： Zhiyuan Yin Jinding Liu Daolong dou Department of Plant Pathology Nanjing Agricultural UniversityNanjing 210095China Academy for Advanced Interdisciplinary Studies Nanjing Agricultural UniversityNanjing 210095China

Dear Editor,Since the first plant receptor-like kinase(RLK)gene ZmPK1 was cloned from Zea mays in 1990(Walker and Zhang,1990),this large gene family has been extensively studied and shown to play crucial roles in growth,development,and immunity(Tang et al.,2017).RLKs are widespread in the plant ***,biological functions of most RLKs remain largely elusive(Dievart et al.,2020).Given RLKs share a conserved monophyletic RLK/Pelle kinase domain,RLKs in several model plants are classified into distinct families by extracellular domains(Shiu and Bleecker,2001).However,independent domain shuffling in specific lineages drives the origin of novel families,which raises a question what is the landscape of RLKs across the entire plant kingdom?Previously,sequence-homology-based methods have been widely used for RLK identification and classification,which might miss distantly related proteins with similar structures and potential novel families not mentioned in the *** academic community urgently requires a dedicated database for a systematic overview of the RLK gene family,providing data support for in-depth research on RLK ***,we used a topology-based method to accurately isolate the RLKomes from *** obtained RLKomes were further classified into(sub)families based on extracellular *** con-structed a comprehensively curated plant RLK database(https://***/rlkdb),which contains valuable re-sources for investigating the origin and evolution of the RLK fam-ily and multiple online tools for personalized analysis.

关键词： database comprehensive origin

Study on carbon emission calculation method and carbon reduction indexes of urban building stock

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Science China(Technological Sciences) 2024年第9期67卷 2706-2726页

作者： YANG Liu ZHANG Nan LU Mei LUO ZhiXing dou Mei State Key Laboratory of Green Building Xi’an University of Architecture and TechnologyXi’an 710055China School of Architecture Xi’an University of Architecture and TechnologyXi’an 710055China School of Language Literature and LawXi’an University of Architecture and TechnologyXi’an 710055China School of Management Xi’an University of Architecture and TechnologyXi’an 710055China China Southwest Architectural Design and Research Institute Corp.Ltd. Chengdu 610041China

Carbon emissions associated with buildings are a major source of urban emissions. To put forward the methods and strategies to curb carbon emissions from urban building stock, it is not only necessary to establish a carbon emission calculation method for fine statistical analysis, but also to evaluate carbon emissions of urban planning schemes with applicable indexes. Currently,researches mainly focus on carbon emissions of individual buildings. When expanded to urban building stock, the calculation faces the lack of basic data, inadequate spatial analysis and unspecific carbon reduction indexes. Therefore, this study proposes a bottom-up calculation method for urban building stock, conducts spatial analysis based on carbon balance of urban grids, reveals the coupling mechanism between urban carbon reduction indexes and grid carbon emissions, and systematically establishes a carbon-reduction-oriented urban planning method that comprises calculation, analysis and evaluation, which is applied to Xi'an,China. This study provides a theoretical reference for cities to formulate carbon reduction targets and implement planning strategies by evaluating and predicting carbon emissions from urban building stock.

关键词： carbon emissions urban building stock calculation method carbon reduction index

Evolution and Determinants of Population Agglomeration in Less Developed Metropolitan Areas:A Case Study of the Taiyuan Metropolitan Area,China

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Chinese Geographical Science 2024年第4期34卷 739-751页

作者： QIN Zhiqin LIANG Ye AN Shuwei dou Yongjing School of Economics and Management Shanxi UniversityTaiyuan 030031China School of Urban Economics and Public Affairs Capital University of Economics and BusinessBeijing 100070China School of Geography Science Taiyuan Normal UniversityJinzhong 030619China

It is of importance to enhance the urban areas'capacity for population aggregation in underdeveloped regions,aiming to rectify the imbalanced and insufficient pattern of economic development in *** the Taiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA)in central China as a case study,this paper examines the evolutionary process and characteristics of population agglomeration from 2000 to 2020,and identifies factors associated with agglomeration and their spatial *** findings indicated that:1)against the background of sustained population shrinkage in the provincial area,the TMA showed a demographic trend of steady increase,albeit with a decelerated growth *** the metropolitan area,urban population size continued to grow rapidly,whereas the rural areas endured sustained *** in city size continued to widen,and the polarization of concentrated population in the core cities kept increasing.2)Agglomerations in both secondary and service industries had significant positive effects on local population agglomeration,with the former effect being *** economic development,government fiscal expenditure,and financial advancement all contributed to facilitating local population *** a spatial spillover perspective,service agglomeration and financial development promoted population agglomeration in surrounding ***,fiscal expenditure inhibited such *** for industrial agglomeration and regional economic development,their spatial spillover effects were *** results obtained reveal several policy implications aimed at enhancing the population agglomeration capacity of the metropolitan area in underdeveloped regions during the new era.

关键词： population agglomeration population shrinkage spatial spillover effects Taiyuan Metropolitan Area(TMA) China

Deactivation mechanism for water splitting:Recent advances

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Carbon Energy 2024年第7期6卷 53-82页

作者： Yansong Jia Yang Li Qiong Zhang Sohail Yasin Xinyu Zheng Kai Ma Zhengli Hua Jianfeng Shi Chaohua Gu Yuhai dou Shixue dou Hydrogen Energy Institute Zhejiang UniversityHangzhouChina Institute of Process Equipment Zhejiang UniversityHangzhouChina Donghai Laboratory ZhoushanChina Department of Mechanical Engineering Faculty of EngineeringUniversiti MalayaKuala LumpurMalaysia Institute of Energy Materials Science University of Shanghai for Science and TechnologyShanghaiChina

Hydrogen(H2)has been regarded as a promising alternative to fossil-fuel *** H2 produced via water electrolysis(WE)powered by renewable energy could achieve a zero-carbon *** attention has been focused on developing highly active catalysts to facilitate the reaction kinetics and improve the energy efficiency of ***,the stability of the electrocatalysts hampers the commercial viability of *** studies have elucidated the origin of catalyst *** this review,we first discuss the WE mechanism,including anodic oxygen evolution reaction(OER)and cathodic hydrogen evolution reaction(HER).Then,we provide strategies used to enhance the stability of *** that,the deactivation mechanisms of the typical commercialized HER and OER catalysts,including Pt,Ni,RuO_(2),and IrO_(2),are ***,the influence of fluctuating energy on catalyst degradation is highlighted and in situ characterization methodologies for understanding the dynamic deactivation processes are described.

关键词： deactivation mechanism hydrogen evolution in situ characterization oxygen evolution water splitting

In-situ UV-Vis Spectroscopy of Trisulfur Radicals in Lithium-Sulfur Batteries

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Chemical Research in Chinese Universities 2024年第2期40卷 279-286页

作者： dou Renju WANG Qin REN Xiaoyan LU Lehui School of Applied Chemistry and Engineering University of Science and Technology of ChinaHefei230026P.R.China State Key Laboratory of Electroanalytical Chemistry Changchun Institute of Applied ChemistryChinese Academy of SciencesChangchun130022P.R.China

Here we employ in-situ UV-Vis spectroscopy to monitor the sulfur redox reaction with oxygen-containing molecules as an additive,for example,biphenyl-4,4′-dicarboxylic acid(BDC).Furthermore,Raman spectrum,electron paramagnetic resonance(EPR),and electrospray ionization-mass spectrometry(ESI-MS)measurements reveal that the formation of BDC-S_(3)•^(‒)complexes can establish the long-term stability of polysulfide radicals,change the kinetics of sulfur redox reaction,and then generate decent capacity retention and rate *** to the density functional theory(DFT)analysis,S_(3)•^(‒)radicals are the underlying product of S_(6)^(2‒)cleavage,owing to the decreased chemical energy and the increased stability of S_(3)•^(‒)radicals through Lewis acid-base *** assembled Li-S batteries with BDC additive deliver a high reversible capacity of 420 mA·h·g^(−1)over 200 cycles with over 98%Coulombic efficiency,under the current density of 0.2 C.

关键词： Radical Polysulfide In-situ UV-Vis Spectroscopy Electrolyte additive Lithium-sulfur battery

Optimal Configuration of Multitype Energy Storage for Integrated Energy Systems Considering System Reserve Value

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CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems 2024年第5期10卷 2114-2126页

作者： Xun dou Jun Wang Zhenyuan Zhang Min Gao College of Electrical Engineering and Control Science Nanjing Tech UniversityNanjing 211816China Research Institute of NARI Technology Co. Ltd.Nanjing 211106China School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering University of Electronic Science and Technology of ChinaChengdu 611731China Falcon Computing Solutions 10880 Wilshire Blvd Suite 1132Los AngelesCA 90024USA

An integrated energy system(IES)contributes to improving energy efficiency and promoting sustainable energy *** different dynamic characteristics of the system,such as demand/response schemes and complex coupling characteristics among energy sources,siting and sizing of multitype energy storage(MES)are very important for the economic operation of the *** the effect of the diversity of the IES on system reserve based on electricity,gas and heat systems in different scenarios,a two-stage MES optimal configuration model,considering the system reserve value,is *** the first stage,to determine the location and charging/discharging strategies,a location choice model that minimizes the operating cost,considering the system reserve value,is *** the second stage,a capacity choice model,to minimize the investment and maintenance cost of the MES,is ***,an example is provided to verify the effectiveness of the MES configuration method in this paper in handling operational diversity and ensuring system *** with the configuration method that disregards the system reserve value,the results show that the MES configuration method proposed in this paper can reduce the annual investment cost and operating cost and improve the system reserve value.

关键词： Integrated energy system multitype energy storage optimal configuration renewable source system reserve value

Stress corrosion cracking failure of X80 carbon steel U-b end cause d by Desulfovibrio vulgaris biocorrosion

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Journal of Materials Science & Technology 2024年第7期174卷 95-105页

作者： Zhong Li Jike Yang Shihang Lu Wenwen dou Tingyue Gu Corrosion&Protection Center University of Science&Technology BeijingBeijing 100083China Institute of Marine Science and Technology Shandong UniversityQingdao 266237China Department of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering Institute for Corrosion and Multiphase TechnologyOhio UniversityAthensOH 45701USA

Sulfate reducing bacteria(SRB)are widely present in oil and gas industry,causing pitting corrosion on pipeline *** corrosion cracking(SCC)often occurs in the presence of mechanical stress before pit-ting perforation failure,leading to economic losses and even catastrophic *** this study,stress distribution simulation using the finite element method(FEM),corrosion analysis techniques and elec-trochemical corrosion measurements were employed to investigate the SCC mechanism of X80 pipeline steel caused by Desulfovibrio vulgaris,which is a common SRB strain used in microbiologically influenced corrosion(MIC)*** was found that *** MIC caused sharp microcracks on an X80 U-bend coupon after only 2 weeks of immersion at 37℃in the deoxygenated ATCC 1249 culture medium inocu-lated with *** X80 U-bend coupon’s weight loss-based uniform corrosion rate for the 12 cm^(2)surface was 60%of that for the unstressed flat square coupon(2.3 mg cm^(−2)vs.3.8 mg cm^(−2)).This was likely because the square coupon had wide MIC pits,providing a larger effective surface area for more sessile cells(4.2×10^(8)cells cm^(−2)on square coupon vs.2.4×10^(8)cells cm^(−2)on U-bend coupon)to attach and harvest more *** SCC failure occurred on an X80 U-bend pre-cracked at the outer bottom after a 6-week immersion in the *** *** from MIC damage,this could also be because *** metabolism increased the availability hydrogen atoms on the steel surface,and promoted the diffusion of hydrogen atoms into the metal lattice,thus increasing the brittleness of the steel.

关键词： Stress corrosion cracking Microbiologically influenced corrosion Sulfate reducing bacteria X80 U-bend steel Tensile stress