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Control of atmospheric CO_2 concentrations by 2050: A calculation on the emission rights of different countries

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Science China Earth sciences 2009年第10期52卷 1447-1469页

作者： DING ZhongLi1, DUAN XiaoNan2, GE QuanSheng3.& ZHANG ZhiQiang4.1 Institute of Geology and Geophysics, chinese academy of {3., Beijing 100029, China 2 The General Office of chinese academy of {3., Beijing 100864. China 3.Institute of Geographic {3. and Natural Resources Research, chinese academy of {3., Beijing 100101, China 4.The Lanzhou Branch of the National Science Library, the Scientific Information Center for Resources and Environment, Lanzhou 73.000, China Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China The General Office of chinese academy of sciences Beijing 100864 China Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy

This paper is to provide quantitative data on some critical issues in anticipation of the forthcoming international negotiations in Denmark on the control of atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Instead of letting only a small number of countries dominate a few controversial dialogues about emissions reductions, a comprehensive global system must be established based on emissions allowances for different countries, to realize the long-term goal of controlling global atmospheric CO2 concentrations. That a system rooted in "cumulative emissions per capita," the best conception of the "common but differentiated responsibilities" principle affirmed by the Kyoto Protocol according to fundamental standards of fairness and justice, was demonstrated. Based on calculations of various countries' cumulative emissions per capita, estimates of their cumulative emissions from 1900 to 2005, and their annual emissions allowances into the future (2006―2050), a 4.0 ppmv atmospheric CO2 concentration target was set. According to the following four objective indicators―total emissions allowance from 1900 to 2050, actual emissions from 1900 to 2005, emissions levels in 2005, and the average growth rate of emissions from 1996 to 2005―all countries and regions whose population was more than 3.0000 in 2005 were divided into four main groups: countries with emissions deficits, countries and regions needing to reduce their gross emissions, countries and regions needing to reduce their emissions growth rates, and countries that can maintain the current emissions growth rates. Based on this proposal, most G8 countries by 2005 had already expended their 2050 emissions allowances. The accu-mulated financial value based on emissions has reached more than 5.5 trillion US dollars (20 dollars per ton of CO2). Even if these countries could achieve their ambitious emissions reduction targets in the future, their per capita emissions from 2006 to 2050 would still be much higher than those of developing coun

关键词： international negotiations on climate change cumulative emissions per capita emission allowance

Estimating surface evapotranspiration using combined MODIS and CBERS-02 data

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Science China(Technological sciences) 2005年第S2期48卷 145-160页

作者： XIN Xiaozhou1,2, LIU Qinhuo1, TANG Yong1,3. TIAN Guoliang1, GU Xingfa1, LI Xiaowen1,2, ZHENG Hongsheng4.& CHEN Jiayi4.1. State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Institute of Remote Sensing Applications, chinese {3. of sciences, Beijing 100101, China 2. Research Center for Remote Sensing and GIS, Department of Geography, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China 3. Graduate University of chinese {3. of sciences, Beijing 10003., China 4. Department of Atmospheric Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China 1. State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Institute of Remote Sensing Applications Chinese Academy of Sciences 100101 Beijing China2. Research Center for Remote Sensing and GIS Department of Geography Beijing Normal University 100875 Beijing China3. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences 100039 Beijing China4. Department of Atmospheric Physics Peking University 100871 Beijing China

Spatial scale error is one of the most serious problems in the estimates of land surface heat fluxes of sensible and latent from satellite-borne data such as MODIS 1km resolution reflectance and emissive data. One of the feasible and economic ways to decrease the spatial scale error is to use high resolution land use class data together with the MODIS data. CBERS-02 data were used to produce land use class of Baiyangdian area, Hebei Province, China in the autumn of 2004. The area ratio of each class in MODIS pixel was calculated, and used to derive the heat fluxes of the mixed pixel. The results showed that the estimated heat fluxes of soil, sensible and latent have been changed remarkably after using the high resolution land class data. It could be concluded from the comparison between simulated and ground-measured fluxes as well as the theoretical analysis that high resolution land class data are useful to diminishing the scale error of heat fluxes estimated from low resolution satellite data.

关键词： surface evapotranspiration spatial scale error MODIS CBERS land class.

Carbon isotope composition of the Lower Triassic marine carbonates, Lower Yangtze Region, South China

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Science China Earth sciences 2006年第3期49卷 225-241页

作者： ZUO Jingxun1,2, TONG Jinnan3. QIU Haiou4.& ZHAO Laishi3.1. Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology, chinese academy of {3., Nanjing 210008, China 2. Henan Institute of Geological Survey, Zhengzhou 4.0007, China 3. State Key Laboratory of Geological Processes and Mineral Resources at China University of Geo{3., Wuhan 4.0074. China 4. Faculty of Material {3. and Chemical Engineering, China University of Geo{3., Wuhan 4.0074. China 1. Nanjing Institute of Geology and Palaeontology Chinese Academy of Sciences Nanjing 210008 China 2. Henan Institute of Geological Survey Zhengzhou 450007 China 3. State Key Laboratory of Geological Processes and Mineral Resources at China University of Geosciences Wuhan 430074 China 4. Faculty of Material sciences and Chemical Engineering China University of Geosciences Wuhan 430074 China

Studies on three Lower Triassic sections located on the shallow water platform, the deep water slope and in the deep water basin in the Lower Yangtze Region, South China, show the similar trend of carbon isotope evolution. Biostratigraphic correlations among the Lower Triassic sections on the basis of standard conodont zones indicate that three negative shifts occurred in the Griesbachian, the Smithian and the late Spathian stages respectively, and one distinctly positive shift occurred in the early Spathian stage. Trend of carbon isotope evolution of the Lower Triassic reflects some significant changes in the global carbon cycle. Moreover, δ 13. background values are intensively controlled by palaeogeographic environment. In general, δ 13. values from deep-water slope carbonates are lighter than those from carbonate platform and heavier than those from deep-water basin carbonates. The positive carbon isotope excursion may be induced by a significant amount of organic carbon burial in marine sediments and increase in primary productivity. The large negative carbon isotope excursions during the Early Triassic in Lower Yangtze Region are interpreted to relate to volcano eruptions based on tuffaceous claystone interlayers observed near the Permian-Triassic boundary, the Induan- Olenekian boundary and the Lower Triassic-Middle Triassic boundary.

关键词： Lower Triassic, carbon isotope compositions, palaeogeography, volcanic eruptions, Lower Yangtze Region.

The gravitational gradient tensor’s invariants and the related boundary conditions

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Science China Earth sciences 2010年第5期53卷 781-790页

作者： YU JinHai1,2,3.& ZHAO DongMing4.1 College of Earth Science, Graduate University of chinese academy of {3., Beijing 10004., China 2 Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics, chinese academy of {3., Wuhan 4.0077, China 3.State Key Laboratory of Astronautic Dynamics, Xi’an 71004., China 4.Zhengzhou Institute of Surveying and Mapping, Zhengzhou 4.0052, China 1. College of Earth Science Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China2. Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan 430077 China3. State Key Laboratory of Astronautic Dynamics Xi’an 710043 China4. Zhengzhou Institute of Surveying and Mapping Zhengzhou 450052 China

Here we report new approaches of recovering the Earth gravitational field from GOCE (Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer) gradiometric data with the help of the gradient tensor’s invariants. Our results only depend on GOCE satellite’s position and gradiometry, in other words, they are completely independent of the satellite attitude. First, starting from the invariants, linearization models are established, which can be referred as the general boundary conditions on the satellite’s orbit. Then, the spherical approximation expressions for the models are derived, and the corresponding solving methods for them are discussed. Furthermore, considering effects of J2-term, the spherical approximation models are improved so that the accuracies of the boundary conditions can be theoretically raised to O ( J 2/2 T), which is approximately equivalent to O(T2). Finally, some arithmetic examples are constructed from EGM96 model based on the derived theories, and the computational results illustrate that the spherical models have accuracies of 10-7 and the order recovering the gravitational field can reach up to 200, and the models with regard to effect of J2-term have accuracies of 10-8 and the order can reach up to 280.

关键词： the Earth’s gravitational field gravitational gravidiometry tensor’s invariant

Biomass estimation and uncertainty analysis based on CBERS-02 CCD camera data and field measurement

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Science China(Technological sciences) 2005年第S2期48卷 116-128页

作者： CHEN Liangfu1,2, GAO Yanhua1,3. CHENG Yu1,3. WEI Zheng1,3. XIAO Qing1,4. LIU Qinhuo1, YU Tao1, LIU Qijing5, GU Xingfa1 & TIAN Guoliang1 1. State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Institute of Remote Sensing Applications, chinese academy of {3., Beijing 100101, China 2. Geography and Environment College, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang 3.0027, China 3. Graduate University of chinese academy of {3., Beijing 10003., China 4. Beijing Research Institute of Uranium Geology, Beijing 100875, China 5. Institute of Geographic {3. and Natural Resources Research, chinese academy of {3., Beijing 100101, China 1. State Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Institute of Remote Sensing Applications Chinese Academy of Sciences 100101 Beijing China 2. Geography and Environment College Jiangxi Normal University 330027 Nanchang China 3. Graduate University of chinese academy of sciences 100039 Beijing China 4. Beijing Research Institute of Uranium Geology 100875 Beijing China 5. Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences 100101 Beijing China

The study site is located in Qianyanzhou experimental station and the surrounding area. Based on CBERS-02 satellite data and field measurement, we not only discussed the relationship between NDVI and biomass of two species of coniferous plantations, namely, Pinus massoniana Lamb and Pinus elliottii Engelm, but also introduced the biomass models based on NDVI. The comparison between measured biomass in Qianyanzhou and biomass derived from CBERS-02 CCD data showed that it is feasible to estimate biomass based on NDVI. But its limitations cannot be ignored. This kind of model depends on the dominant vegetation species. There are some effect factors in estimating biomass based on NDVI. This paper analyzes these factors based on fine-resolution CBERS-02 CCD data and some conclusions are drawn: In Qianyanzhou, the area with good vegetation coverage, the nonlinearity of NDVI has little influence on scaling-up of NDVI. As a result of surface heterogeneity, scaling-up can cause NDVI within each pixel to change. Because scaling-up can cause pixel attribute to change, the applicability of biomass model is one of the sources of error in estimating biomass.

关键词： NDVI biomass scaling effect scaling-up.

Functional analysis of schistosomes EF-hand domain-containing tegument proteins

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chinese Science Bulletin 2007年第15期52卷 2100-2107页

作者： YU FuDong1,2,3.KANG Bin1,3.LI YuanYuan3.4.& LI YiXue1,3.1 Bioinformatics Center,Key Laboratory of Systems Biology,Shanghai Institutes for Biological sciences,chinese {3. of Sci-ences,Shanghai 20003.,China 2 Graduate University of chinese {3. of sciences,Shanghai 20003.,China 3.Shanghai Center for Bioinformation Technology,Shanghai 20023.,China 4.Key Laboratory of Systems Biology,Shanghai Institutes for Biological sciences,chinese {3. of sciences,Shanghai 20003.,China Bioinformatics Center Key Laboratory of Systems Biology Shanghai Institutesfor Biological Sciences Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai 200031 China

Schistosomes cause schistosomiasis disease which severely threatens human health. Little is known about the functions of EF-hand domain containing schistosomes tegument proteins other than as an-tigens. More possible functions of these tegument proteins were investigated with in silico analyses including protein-protein functional interaction,site-specific variation and glycosylation modification. The analysis results suggested that schistosomes could actively modulate host immune responses for its own favor through functional interactions with host proteins with immunomodulatory function,and passively regulate host immune responses through sequence variation under positive selection and glycosylating the recognition sites of host immune attack. In addition,the analysis of the C-terminal domain of these tegument proteins indicated that they could assist schistosomes in escaping host immune attacks through inhibiting chemotaxis and non-complement fixing antibody (IgG4. responses. In summary,our results suggested that these tegument antigen proteins could assist schistosomes in escaping and modulating host immune responses for self-protection during the process of host-para-site interaction.

关键词：寄生虫血吸虫皮蛋白质健康

The impact of vegetation restoration on erosion-induced sediment yield in the middle Yellow River and management prospect

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Science China Earth sciences 2005年第6期48卷 724-741页

作者： CHEN Hao1, ZHOU Jinxing2, CAI Qiangguo1, YUE Zhongqi3. LU Zhongchen4. LIANG Guanglin1& HUANG Jianguo5 1. Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Re-search, chinese {3. of sciences, Beijing 100101, China 2. Institute of Forestry, chinese {3. of Forestry sciences, Beijing 100091, China 3. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China 4. Eco-environmental Research Center, chinese {3. of sciences, Beijing 100085, China 5. College of Resources and Environment, Southwest Agricultural University, Chongqing 4.0716, China Correspondence should be addressed to Chen Hao 1. Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences 100101 Beijing China 2. Institute of Forestry Chinese Academy of Forestry Sciences 100091 Beijing China 3. Department of Civil Engineering University of Hong Kong Hong Kong China 4. Eco-environmental Research Center Chinese Academy of Sciences 100085 Beijing China 5. College of Resources and Environment Southwest Agricultural University 400716 Chongqing China

According to the characteristics of water and erosion environments of different natural zones on the Loess Plateau, this paper studies changes of vegetation types, distribution boundaries of forest and grass as well as restoration capacity of vegetation in different natural zones in the middle Yellow River. The annual precipitation of 53. mm is the critical annual pre-cipitation for forest and grass distribution in the middle Yellow River. Among the zonal and azonal environmental factors affecting watershed sediment yield, the intermediate diameter D50 (mm) of suspended load and forest coverage (V, %) play the leading role. Of them the effect weight of forest coverage (V, %) on catchments sediment yield is only 3.4. less than the role of the intermediate diameter (D50, mm), they are almost the same. To effectively control soil erosion in semiarid, especially in hilly-gullied areas and make sediment transport modulus reduce to less than 6000 t/km2, it is rather difficult by merely relying on natural restoration of forest. In the process of cultivated land conversion into forest land and grassland, measures suiting local conditions should be adopted in tree species selection and artificial afforestation (grass planting) based on management with biological measures for slopeland and engineering measures for hilly-gullied areas, so that watershed forest coverage in key counties can reach at least over 3.%.Compared with the standard period of precipitation prior to the 1960s, with the decrease of an-nual precipitation at various periods, plant productivities decline to different degrees under natural conditions. The main reason accountable for the low survival rate of new seedlings and grass over years is due to precipitation decrease. In light with regression models of annual pre-cipitation and natural vegetation productivities, it is possible to obtain estimated values of wa-tershed natural vegetation productivity and eco-water consumption needed for the restoration to

关键词： vegetation restoration, eco-water requirement, watershed sediment yield, the middle Yellow River.

Evolution of desertification in a two-dimensional energy balance model coupled with thermodynamics and dynamics

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Science China Earth sciences 2010年第11期53卷 1726-1733页

作者： CHAO JiPing1,2 & LI YaoKun3.4.1National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center, Beijing 100081, China 2First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266061, China 3.tate Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, {3. {3. of sciences, Beijing 100029, China 4.raduate University of {3. {3. of sciences, Beijing 10004., China 1. National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center Beijing 100081 China2. First Institute of Oceanography State Oceanic Administration Qingdao 266061 China3. State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China4. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China

The relationship between desert evolution and change in albedo has been investigated quasi-analytically using a zonal mean two-dimensional energy balance model which considers the radiation transmission process due to thermodynamics and bound- ary layer movement caused by kinetics. A climate state including temperature, zonal wind, meridional wind and vertical wind can be simulated according to the current zonal distribution of albedo. Given desert distribution, characterized by the value and distribution of albedo, the response of climate on albedo has been studied to analyze the evolution of desert climate. One significant result is that the simple model can reproduce mean meridional circulation. Another result indicates that climate corresponds to two equilibria. This happens when the junction temperature between vegetation and desert is higher than a certain critical value. As for the first equilibrium, the desert belt is predicted to move southward in the northern hemisphere with the increasing values of albedo, which corresponds to the current trend of climate change. For the second equilibrium, vegetation will expand northward with increasing values of albedo, which would indicate a narrowing of the desert belt. In order to determine if the two equilibria exist, new physical models are needed.

关键词： two-dimensional energy balance model desertification two equilibria

Origin of the Red Earth sequence on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau and its implications for regional aridity since the middle Miocene

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Science China Earth sciences 2006年第5期49卷 505-517页

作者： WANG Xianyan1,7, LU Huayu1,2, JI Junfeg3. WANG Xiaoyong1,7, ZHAO Jingbo4. HUANG Baochun5 & LI Zhen6 1. SKLLQG, Institute of Earth Environment, chinese academy of {3., Xi’an 710075, China 2. Department of Urban and Resources {3., Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093. China 3. Department of Earth {3., Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093. China 4. Department of Geography, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710062, China 5. Institute of Geology and Geophysics, chinese academy of {3., Beijing 100029, China 6 Department of Geography, Qinghai Normal University, Xining 810008, China 7. Graduate School of the chinese academy of {3., Beijing 10003., China 1. SKLLQG Institute of Earth Environment Chinese Academy of Sciences Xi’an 710075 China 7. Graduate School of the chinese academy of sciences Beijing 100039 China 2. Department of Urban and Resources sciences Nanjing University Nanjing 210093 China 3. Department of Earth sciences Nanjing University Nanjing 210093 China 4. Department of Geography Shaanxi Normal University Xi’an 710062 China 5. Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China 6. Department of Geography Qinghai Normal University Xining 810008 China

The Red Earth deposit around Xining, northeastern Tibetan Plateau, has beenstudied in terms of soil micro-structure, grain-size distribution, major- and trace-elementchemistry and magne-tostratigraphy. Field investigations indicate that the Red Earth sequenceconsists of 25 visually definable yellow-brown and weakly-developed soils interbedded with reddishstrongly-developed soils, and has a similar structure to the aeolian Red Clay deposit on the chineseLoess Plateau. Grain-size analysis shows that the Red Earth deposit is very fine-grained with anegligible sand fraction ( > 63.μm). Thin-section observations under light microscopy show that thedeposit has a clayey texture and the coarse fraction ( > 10 μm) mainly consists of quartz,feldspar and micas. Pyroxene and hornblende were also observed. This mineralogical composition ofthe coarse fraction is similar to that of the Quaternary loess. In addition, all of the mineralgrains are semi angular semi-angular and are generally finer than 63.μm. There is a good agreementbetween the major and minor trace element chemistry of loess-soil units and the Red Earth *** REE distributions of the loess-soil and the Red Earth deposit are similar in shape, withenriched LREE and fairly flat HREE profiles and a clear negative Eu anomaly. The geochemicalcharacteristics of the Red Earth deposit are also identical to those of upper continental crust,thus indicating a wind-blown origin. Magnetostratigraphic investigation shows that onset of the RedEarth deposition predates 11.4.Ma BP (13.6 Ma at a nearby site). The distribution of the reportedMiocene aeolian loess at Qin''an of the Loess Plateau is still unknown. Our results indicate thatthis aeolian deposit had extended to the northeastern Tibetan Plateau by at least the middleMiocene. The similarity of the element geochemistry between the Red Earth deposit and the overlyingloess shows that they may have similar sources and dynamic transport system, and may indicate thatthe

关键词： Red Earth deposit, Northeastern Tibetan Plateau, aeolian deposit, aridity of Asia, the middle Miocene.