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Teleconnection between the Indian summer monsoon onset and the Meiyu over the Yangtze River Valley

Science China Earth sciences 2008年第7期51卷 1021-1035页

作者： LIU YunYun1,2.3.& DING YiHui2.1 chinese {2. of {2. {3., Beijing 100081, China 2.National Climate Center, Beijing 100081, China 3.Graduate University of chinese {2. of {3., Beijing 100049, China 1. chinese academy of {2. {3. Beijing 100081 China 2. National Climate Center Beijing 100081 China 3. Graduate University of chinese {2. of {2. Beijing 100049 China

Based on the Indian and chinese precipitation data and the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis circulation data, the relationship between the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) onset and the Meiyu over the Yangtze River Valley has been discussed by the methods of correlation analysis and composite analysis. The results show that the date of ISM onset over Kerala in the southwestern coast of the Indian Peninsula is about two weeks earlier than the beginning of the Meiyu over the Yangtze River Valley. After the outbreak of ISM, the teleconnection mode sets up from the western coast of India via the Bay of Bengal (BOB) to the Yangtze River Valley and southern Japan. It is different both in time and space from the telecon- nection mode which is from the northwest of India via the Tibetan Plateau to northern China. The for- mer mode is defined as the "south" teleconnection of the Asian summer monsoon, forming in the pe- riod of ISM onset; while the latter mode is called the "north" teleconnection, mainly occurring in the Asian monsoon culminant period. During the process of the "south" teleconnection’s formation, the Asian monsoon circulation has experienced a series of important changes: ISM onset, the northward movement of the south Asia high (SAH), the onset vortex occurrence, the eastward extension of the stronger tropical westerly belt, and the northeastward jump of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), etc. Consequently, since ISM sets up over Kerala, the whole Asian continent is covered by the upper SAH after about two weeks, while in the mid- and lower troposphere, a strong wind belt forms from the Arabian Sea via the southern India, BOB and the South China Sea (SCS), then along the western flank of WPSH, to the Yangtze River Valley and southern Japan. With the northward moving of the subtropical jet streams, the upper westerly jet stream and the low level jet have been coupled ver- tically over east Asia, while the Yangtze River Valley happens to locate in the ascending motion

关键词： Indian summer monsoon (ISM) the Meiyu over the Yangtze River Valley teleconnection mode

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Possible mechanism of the effect of convection over Asian-Australian “land bridge” on the East Asian summer monsoon onset

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Science China Earth sciences 2006年第11期49卷 1223-1232页

作者： HE Jinhai1, WEN Min2. DING Yihui3.& ZHANG Renhe2.1. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of meteorological Disaster (KLME), Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing University of Informa- tion Science and Technology, Nanjing 2.0044, China 2. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW), {2. {2. of meteorological sciences, Beijing 100081, China 3. National Climate Center, {2. meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China 1. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of meteorological Disaster (KLME) Nanjing Institute of Meteorology Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Nanjing 210044 China 2. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW) Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Beijing 100081 China 3. National Climate Center Chinese Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China

The Asian-Australian “land bridge” is an area with the most vigorous convection in Asian monsoon region in boreal spring, where the onset and march of convection are well associated with the onset of East Asian summer monsoon. The convection occurs over Indo-China Peninsula as early as mid-April, which exerts critical impact on the evolution of monsoon circulation. Before mid-April there are primarily sensible heatings to the atmosphere over Indo-China Peninsula and Indian Peninsula, so the apparent heating ratios over them decrease with height. However, after mid-April it changes into latent heating over Indo-China Peninsula due to the onset of convection, and the apparent heating ratio increases with height in mid- and lower troposphere. The vertical distribution of heating ratio and its differences between Indo-China Peninsula and Indian Peninsula are the key factors leading to the splitting of boreal subtropical high belt over the Bay of Bengal. Such mechanism is strongly supported by the fact that the evolution of the vertical heating ratio gradient above Indo-China Peninsula leads that of 850 hPa vorticity over the Bay of Bengal. Convections over Indo-China Peninsula and its surrounding areas further increase after the splitting. Since then, there is a positive feedback lying among the convective heating, the eastward retreat of the subtropical high and the march of monsoon, which is a possible mechanism of the advance of summer monsoon and convection from Indo-China Peninsula to South China Sea.

关键词： Asian-Australian 'land bridge', tropical convection, Indo-China Peninsula, the splitting of boreal subtropical high belt, East Asian summer monsoon onset.

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Two possible mechanisms for vortex self-organization

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Science China Earth sciences 2006年第2期49卷 202-211页

作者： LUO Zhexian2. ZHOU Xiuji1 & GAO Shouting3.1. chinese {2. of {2. {3., Beijing 100081, China 2. Department of Space Information Science, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 2.0044, China 3. Institute of Atmospheric Physics, chinese {2. of {3., Beijing 10002., China 2. Department of Environmental Science Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Nanjing 210044 China 1. chinese academy of {2. {3. Beijing 100081 China 3. Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

The vortex self-organization is investigated in this paper by four groups of numerical experiments within the framework of quasi-geostrophic model, and based on the experimental results two types of possible mechanisms for vortex self-organization are suggested. The meso-scale to-pography may enable separated vortices to merge into a larger scale vortex; and the interaction of meso-γ and meso-β scale systems may make separated vortices to self organize a typhoon-like vor-tex circulation.

关键词： vortex, self-organization, meso-scale topography, interaction of different scales.

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An integrated decision method for prediction of tropical cyclone movement by using genetic algorithm

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Science China Earth sciences 2005年第3期48卷 429-440页

作者： YANG Yuanqin1 & WANG Jizhi2.1. National meteorological Center, Beijing 100081,China 2. {2. {3. of meteorological sciences, Beijing 100081, China 1. National meteorological Center 100081 Beijing China 2. chinese academy of {2. {3. 100081 Beijing China

In this study an integrated decision method for the multi-prediction results of tropical cyclone movements by using genetic algorithm (GA) has been adopted. A genetic learning artifi- cial neural network (GLANN) as a learning mechanism for track prediction was developed through training with the huge samples of typhoon tracks from 1884 to 2.02. The prediction of typhoon motion is to consider how to suit the dynamic change of environment, where typhoon passed through. The neural network structure is described by GA. A fitness function for choice of GA is given to approach the maximum of fitness (the minimum of the errors). Parallel comparing analyses for prediction abilities of unusual typhoon tracks in recent years by GLANN with multi-forecast methods were conducted. More types of cases were employed in the comparing analyses, which consist of the typhoon, Winnie, No.11, in 1997, characterized by a long life over the ocean and in the mainland with severe effect on China, the 10 unusual typhoon tracks in the 1990s, the tracks with landfall and affected action in 1998 and the typhoons born in the Northwestern Pacific and the South China Sea in 2.00, including the 2.—48 h forecast, etc. The results indicated that for prediction ability of typhoon tracks, specially for unusual typhoons, GA decision-making developed in this study is superior to the others.

关键词： genetic algorithm, integrated decision, prediction of tropical cyclone.

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Relationship between the Asian-Pacific oscillation and the tropical cyclone frequency in the western North Pacific

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Science China Earth sciences 2008年第3期51卷 380-385页

作者： ZHOU BoTao1, CUI Xuan2.& ZHAO Ping3.1 Laboratory for Climate Studies, National Climate Center, China meteorological Administration, Beijing {2., China 2.National meteorological Center, China meteorological Administration, Beijing {2., China 3.chinese academy of meteorological sciences, China meteorological Administration, Beijing {2., China 1. Laboratory for Climate Studies National Climate Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China 2. National meteorological Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China 3. chinese {2. of {2. {3. China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China

The relationship between the Asian-Pacific oscillation (APO) and the tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific (WNP) in summer is preliminarily investigated through an analysis of ob- served data. The result has shown clearly that APO is significantly and positively correlated to the tropical cyclone frequency in the WNP. If APO is above (below) the normal in summer, more (less) tropical cyclones will tend to appear in the WNP. The present study also addresses the large-scale at- mospheric general circulation changes underlying the linkage between APO and the WNP tropical cy- clone frequency. It follows that a positive phase of summer APO is concurrent with weakened as well as northward and eastward located western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), low-level convergence and high-level divergence, and reduced vertical zonal wind shear in the WNP, providing favorable envi- ronment for the tropical cyclone genesis, and thus more tropical cyclones will come into being, and vice versa.

关键词： Asian-Pacific oscillation western North Pacific tropical cyclone atmospheric circulation

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Zonal propagation of kinetic energy and convection in the South China Sea and Indian monsoon regions in boreal summer

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Science China Earth sciences 2004年第12期47卷 1076-1084页

作者： CHEN Longxun 1 ,GAO Hui 2.,HE Jinhai 2.,TAO Shiyan 3.& JIN Zuhui 3.1.{2. academy of {2. {3.,Beijing 100081,China 2.Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,Nanjing 2.0044,China 3.Institute of Atmospheric Physics,{2. academy of {3.,Beijing 10002.,China 1. chinese academy of {2. {3. 100081 Beijing China 2. Nanjing Institute of Meteorology 210044 Nanjing China 3. chinese {2. of {2. Institute of Atmospheric Physics 100029 Beijing China

Zonal propagation of kinetic energy (KE) and convection in the South China Sea (SCS) and Indian summer monsoon areas are examined in present study. Results suggest that the SCS and Indian summer monsoon prevailed regions (5 —15°N) are dominated by the southwesterly wind, however, the disturbances of KE at 850 hPa and convection are observed mainly coming from the western Pacific Ocean (140—150°E), after passing through the SCS, and westward propagated into the Bay of Bengal (90—100°E). In the Indian summer monsoon domain, where the disturbances of KE are found mainly coming from the Arabian Sea (AS) and eastward propagated into the Bay of Bengal. Therefore, the SCS and the Indian summer mon- soon are quite different in zonal propagation of KE and convection. The SCS summer monsoon is mainly affected by the KE and convection coming from the tropical western Pacific. The Indian summer monsoon, however, can be partly influenced by the AS and the SCS summer monsoon. The analysis also suggests that the interaction region between the SCS and the Indian summer monsoon is around 90—95°E, rather than 105°E as proposed by earlier studies.

关键词： zonal propagation of KE and convection, East Asian monsoon, Indian monsoon.

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Global analysis theory of climate system and its applications

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chinese Science Bulletin 2003年第10期48卷 1034-1039页

作者： LI Jianping1,2.& CHOU Jifan2.3.1. LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, chinese {2. of {2., Beijing 10002., China 2. Department of Atmospheric {2., Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 73.000, China 3. Training Center for China meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China Department of Atmospheric sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou 730000 China LASG Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

The idea and main theoretical results of the global analysis theory of climate system are briefly summarized in this paper. A theorem on the global behavior of climate system is given, i.e. there exists a global attractor in the dynamical equations of climate, any state of climate system will be evolved into the global attractor as time increases, indicating the nonlinear adjustment process of climate system to external forcing. The different effects of external forcing, dissipation and nonlinearity on the long-term behavior of solutions are pointed out, and some main applications of the global analysis theory are also introduced. Especially, three applications, the adjustment and evolution processes of climate, the principle of numerical model design and the optimally numerical integration, are discussed.

关键词：整体分析理论气侯体系应用不定性计算法则气侯科学数字模型

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Application of the moist vorticity vector in the analysis of a heavy rainfall event in North China

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第12期17卷 1457-1465页

作者： Zhao Yu1,2.3. Wang Jianguo4 and Xue Deqiang2.1. Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation Physics and Severe Storms, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, chinese {2. of {2., Beijing 10002., China 2. Shandong Provincial {3. Observatory, Jinan 2.003., China 3. Graduate University of chinese {2. of {2., Beijing 10003., China 4. Shandong Provincial {3. Bureau, Jinan 2.003., China) Laboratory of Cloud-Precipitation Physics and Severe Storms Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China Shandong Provincial meteorological Observatory Jinan 250031 China Graduate University of chinese academy of {2. Beijing 100039 China Shandong Provincial meteorological Bureau Jinan 250031 China

The moist vorticity vector (MVV), defined as (ζa×▽qv)/ρ introduced by Gao et al. is used to study a heavy rainfall event in North China. The MVV has zonal, meridional and vertical components in a three-dimensional framework. Analysis of domain-mean and mass-integrated quantities shows that the variation of the vertical component of the MVV closely follows the variation of the cloud hydrometeors, with a linear correlation coefficient of 0.95, indicating that the vertical component of the MVV is strongly associated with midlatitude convection. Further analysis shows that the vertical component of the MVV reflects the interaction between the horizontal vorticity and the horizontal specific humidity gradient, which can associate dynamic and thermodynamic processes with cloud microphysical processes. Thus, this study can help to understand how the interaction between circulations and clouds aids the development of convection, and the MVV can be used to trace the development and evolution of heavy rainfall.

关键词： moist vorticity vector heavy rainfall modeling study.

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A comparative analysis on two solar proton events

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chinese Science Bulletin 2007年第1期52卷 47-51页

作者： LE GuiMing1,2.3.4, HAN YanBen2.& ZHANG YiJun3.1 Key Laboratory of Radiometric Calibration and Validation for Environmental Satellites, China {2. Administration, Beijing 100081, China 2.National Astronomical Observatories, {2. {3. of sciences, Beijing 100012. China 3.chinese academy of meteorological sciences, China {2. Administration, Beijing 100081, China 4 National Center for Space Weather, China {2. Administration, Beijing 100081, China Key Laboratory of Radiometric Calibration and Validation for EnvironmentalSatellites China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China

This paper presents a comparative analysis on the two Solar Proton Events (SPE), which occurred on 14 July 2.00 (Bastille Day) and 2. October 2.03.(2.OCT03. respectively. It is found that although the peak flux of the latter seemed to be greater than that of the former based on geostationary observations, the maximum intensities of the energetic protons (>10 MeV and 3. MeV) during the Bastille Day event were all higher than those of the 2.OCT03.event according to the interplanetary observations. Further analysis indicated that the quantity of the seed particles, which could be accelerated to the energies exceeding 10 and 3. MeV by the Coronal Mass Ejection (CME)-driven shock on 14 July 2.00, was far larger than that of the 2.OCT03.event. In the Bastille Day case, when the CME approached to the height around 14 R⊙, the CME-driven shock would reach its maximum capacity in accelerating the solar en- ergetic protons (>100 MeV). In contrast, on 2. October 2.03. when CME approached to the height about 58R⊙, the CME-driven shock reached its highest potential in accelerating the solar energetic protons of the same category. At this moment, the peak flux (>100 MeV) was about 155 pfu, which was much lower than 3.5 pfu measured on 14 July 2.00. This demonstrated that in the Bastille Day event, the quantity of the seed particles, which could be accelerated to the energy beyond 100 MeV, was significantly larger than its counterpart in the 2.OCT03.case. Therefore, the peak flux of an SPE event depends not only on the interplanetary intensity of the solar energetic particles, but also on the velocity of the associated CME-driven shock, and the quantity of the seed particles as well as on the interplanetary magnetic en- vironment. This paper also reveals that the magnetic sheath associated with ICME on 2. October 2.03.captured a large number of solar energetic protons, including those having energy greater than 100 MeV.

关键词：太阳质子 CME 太阳耀斑太阳系

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Characteristics of vertical ozone distribution in the lower troposphere in the Yangtze River Delta at Lin'an in the spring of 2.01

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Science China Earth sciences 2005年第9期48卷 1519-1528页

作者： ZHENG Xiangdong1, CHAN Chuenyu2. CUI Hong2. QIN Yu3. CHAN Loyan2. ZHENG Yongguang3.& LEE Yusiang2.1. {2. academy of {2. {3., Beijing 100081, China 2. Department of Civil and Structural Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Hong Kong, China 3. Department of Atmospheric {3., Peking University, Beijing 100871, China 1. chinese academy of {2. {3. 100081 Beijing China 2. Department of Civil and Structural Engineering Hong Kong Polytechnic University Hung Hom Hong Kong China 3. Department of Atmospheric sciences Peking University 100871 Beijing China

We analyzed vertical distributions of ozone (O3. in the lower troposphere (< 5 km above ground) at Lin’an (119.75°E, 3..3.°N), Zhejiang Province using electrochemical concen- tration cell (ECC) ozonesonde data obta... 详细信息

We analyzed vertical distributions of ozone (O3. in the lower troposphere (3..3.°N), Zhejiang Province using electrochemical concen- tration cell (ECC) ozonesonde data obtained from February 2. to April 13. 2.01. The results showed that the vertical O3.distributions are controlled by metrological conditions and the char- acteristics of O3.profiles are related to those of wet bulb potential temperature and wind field. O3.below 2.km showed that the strongest variability and enhanced O3.mixing ratios were associated with easterly winds that blow pollutants from the upwind source region of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region. Vertical O3.profiles below 5 km can be grouped into 5 categories: (1) peak mixing ratio type, (2. well-mixed type, (3. layered-structure type, (4) episodic pollution type and (5) alti- tudinal increasing type. Vertical distributions of O3.affected by regional transport of polluted air masses were investigated. Transport of polluted air from high latitudes of northern China, ac- companying subsiding motion of air and stagnant atmospheric conditions are important factors that lead to high mixing ratios of O3.at Lin’an. The stagnant atmospheric conditions associated with a continental high pressure system and pollution plume transported from the YRD and cen- tral-eastern China also lead to regional accumulation of O3.and high O3.mixing ratio at Lin’an. Long-range transport of O3.and pollutants from the Pearl River Delta in South China and in-situ O3.formation also resulted in elevated O3.mixing ratios at around 1 km altitudes and layered O3.distribution in the lower troposphere.

关键词： vertical ozone distribution, lower troposphere, Yangtze River Delta, Lin'an.

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