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A tentative study for the prediction of the CME related geomagnetic storm intensity and its transit time

Science china(Technological Sciences) 2005年第6期48卷 648-668页

作者： ZHAO Xinhua1,2.& FENG Xueshang1,3.1. SIGMA Weather Group, Key Laboratory of Space Weather, Center for Space Science and Applied Re-search, Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 100080,{2. 2. Graduate school of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 10003.,{2. 3. school of geophysics and geoinformation systems,{2. university of geosciences, beijing 100083,{2. SIGMA Weather Group Key Laboratory of Space Weather Center for Space Science and Applied Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Graduate school of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China school of geophysics and {2. {3. China University of Geosciences Beijing China

Using 80 CME-ICME events during 1997.1―2.02.9, based on the eruptive source locations of CMEs and solar magnetic field observation at the photosphere, a current sheet magnetic coordinate (CMC) system is established in order to study the propagation of CME and its geoeffectiveness. In context of this coordinate system, the effect of the eruptive source location and the form of heliospheric current sheet (HCS) at the eruptive time of CME on the geomagnetic storm intensity caused by CME and the CME’s transit time at the Earth is investigated in detail. Our preliminary conclusions are: 1) The geomagnetic disturbances caused by CMEs tend to have the so-called “same side-opposite side effect”, i.e. CMEs erupt from the same side of the HCS as the earth would be more likely to arrive at the earth and the geomagnetic disturbances associated with them tend to be of larger magnitude, while CMEs erupting from the opposite side would arrive at the earth with less probability and the corresponding geomagnetic disturbance magnitudes would be relatively weaker. 2. The angular separation between the earth and the HCS affect the corresponding disturbance intensity. That is, when our earth is located near the HCS, adverse space weather events occur most probably. 3. The erupting location of the CME and its nearby form of HCS will also affect its arrival time at the earth. According to these conclusions, in this context of CMC coordinate we arrive at new prediction method for estimating the geomagnetic storm intensity (Dstmin) caused by CMEs and their transit times. The application of the empirical model for 80 CME-ICME events shows that the relative error of Dst is within 3.% for 59% events with Dstmin≤?50 nT, while the averaged absolute error of transit time is lower than 10 h for all events.

关键词： coronal mass ejections, current sheet magnetic coordinate system, geomagnetic storm intensity, transit time, prediction method.

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The crustal structure under Sanjiang and its dynamic implications:Revealed by seismic reflection/refraction profile between Zhefang and Binchuan,Yunnan

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Science china Earth Sciences 2005年第9期48卷 1329-1336页

作者： ZHANG Zhongjie1, BAI Zhiming1, WANG Chunyong2. TENG Jiwen1, Lü Qingtian3. LI Jiliang1, LIU Yifeng1 & LIU Zhenkuan4 1. Institute of geology and {2., Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 10002.,{3. 2. Institute of {2.,{3. Seismological Bureau, beijing 100085,{3. 3. Institute of Deposition Resource, Chinese Academy of geosciences, beijing 10003.,{3. 4. school of Exploration and Information,{3. {13. of geosciences, beijing 100083,{3. Institute of geology and geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Institute of geophysics China Seismological Bureau Beijing China Institute of Deposition Resource Chinese Academy of Geosciences Beijing China school of Exploration and Information China University of Geosciences Beijing China

The fault belts in Sanjiang mainly include Jinshajiang-Honghe fault, Lancangjiang fault and Nujiang fault (called Sanjiang faults) in western Yunnan Province, china. By interpreting the wide-angle seismic reflection/refraction profile between Zhefang and Binchuan, which crosses Tengchong and Baoshan blocks in Dianxi (western Yunnan) tectonic zone, we recon- struct the crustal structure with seismic traveltime tomography for crustal P-wave velocity and the seismic scattering image for crustal seismic reflection structure. In this paper, we firstly present the crustal structure images of P-wave velocity and seismic reflection under the wide-angle seismic profile. These results demonstrate that, the crustal velocity structure and seismic reflec- tion structure along the profile can be divided into 3.segments, and there is an obvious difference of crustal structure among the eastern, the western and the middle segment. Generally, crustal P-wave velocities in the Baoshan segment are 0.1―0.2.km/s slower and seismic reflection am- plitudes from Moho discontinuity are stronger than the other 2.segments. In the studied area, crustal thickness is about 40 km, and shows the thickening tendency from west to east along the profile. Additionally, it can be seen that there is one strong-amplitude seismic reflection event as bright points at the depths of 8―10 km, along the segment of 80―115 km of the profile (south- ward of Tengchong); and seismic reflection wave-field from Moho discontinuity varies obviously along the lateral direction. Finally, we make some discussions on the crustal thickening pattern in the Sanjiang fault belt, structural environment of earthquake development and the contact rela- tionship between the Tengchong block, Banshan block and Luxi trough.

关键词： Sanjiang area wide-angle seismic profile crustal structure.

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Characteristics and origins of primary fluids and noble gases in mantle-derived minerals from the Yishu area,Shandong Province,china

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Science china Earth Sciences 2006年第1期49卷 77-87页

作者： MA Jinlong1,2. TAO Mingxin2.3.& YE Xianren2.1. Resources and Environmental school, Lanzhou {2., Lanzhou 73.000, china 2. Key Laboratory of Gas {3.chemistry, Institute of {3.logy and geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 73.000, china 3. College of Resources Science & Technology, beijing Normal {2., beijing 100875, china Resources and Environmental school Lanzhou University Lanzhou China Key Laboratory of Gas geochemistry Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Lanzhou China College of Resources Science & Technology Beijing Normal University Beijing China

Fluids and noble gases of mantle-derived materials are important tracers forthe mantle information. Compositions of primary fluids and noble gases in mantle-derived mineralsfrom the Yishu area, Shandong Province, china, were tested by the methods of heat-bursting andheat-melting respectively. The fluids are mainly composed of CO_2. CO and H_2. which account forabout 90% of the total, and are similar to the mantle-derived rocks from other areas of easternchina; ratios of ~{2.e/~4He in almost all samples range from 0.82.Ra to 2.74 Ra, whereas^(40)Ar/^({2.)Ar from 2.9.5 to 758.8. Both ranges are much lower than those of the typical oceanmantle-derived samples (such as MORB) and primarily reflect the influences of the atmosphericcomponents and the radiogenic isotopes. Ratios of C/~{2.e range from 2..6 x 10~9 to 1050 x 10~9,N_2.Ar from 92. to 56612. and N_2.~{2.e from 2.5 x 10~9 to 2. x 10~9, similar to those in westernUnited States and New Zealand which belong to the tectonic plate collision regions. The ratios fallin the intersect of mantle-crust-atmosphere in the comprehensive tracer-charts, reflecting theinfluences of the atmosphere and the crusts with organic components. Our results suggest that thecomposition of the primary fluids and the isotopic ratios of the noble gases may either reflect theevolution process of mantle-derived rocks connected with the rise and eruption of magma, or theinfluence of the ancient subduction-plate on the continental mantle of this region.

关键词： noble gases, primary fluids, mantle-derived minerals, Yishu area.

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Variation properties of ionospheric eclipse factor and ionospheric influence factor

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2005年第6期15卷 573-576页

作者： ZHAO Chunmei 1,2.*, YUAN Yunbin1, OU Jikun1 and CHEN Jinping3.1. Institute of geodesy and {2., Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 43.077, china 2. Graduate {3. of Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 10003., china 3. Department of Precision Instrument and Mechanology, Tsinghua university, beijing 100084, china) Institute of geodesy and geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan 430077 China Graduate school Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100039 China Department of Precision Instrument and Mechanology Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China

The concepts and calculation methods of ionospheric eclipse factor (IEF) and ionospheric influence factor (IFF) are further illustrated. The temporal and spacial variation properties of IEF and IFF are studied, which shows that the properties are influenced by the geographic position and season. The possibility of improving the precision of using GPS data to determine ionospheric delay based on the above variation properties is also analysed.

关键词： GPS Ionospheric eclipse factor Ionospheric influence factor

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Analysis and application of automatic deformation monitoring data for buildings and structures of mining area

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中国有色金属学会会刊：英文版 2011年第S3期21卷 516-522页

作者： XIAO Jie1, 2. 3. ZHANG Jin4 1. Institute of geodesy and {2., Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 43.077, china 2. Key Laboratory of Dynamic geodesy, Institute of geodesy and {2., Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 43.077, china 3. Graduate school of Chinese Academy of Sciences, {12. 100049, china 4. Department of Surveying and Mapping, Taiyuan university of Technology, Taiyuan 03.02., china Institute of geodesy and geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan 430077 China Key Laboratory of Dynamic geodesy Institute of Geodesy and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Wuhan 430077 China Graduate school of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China Department of Surveying and Mapping Taiyuan University of Technology Taiyuan 030024 China

The buildings and structures of mines were monitored automatically using modern surveying technology. Through the analysis of the monitoring data, the deformation characteristics were found out from three aspects containing points, lines and regions, which play an important role in understanding the stable state of buildings and structures. The stability and deformation of monitoring points were analysed, and time-series data of monitoring points were denoised with wavelet analysis and Kalman filtering, and exponent function and periodic function were used to get the ideal deformation trend model of monitoring points. Through calculating the monitoring data obtained, analyzing the deformation trend, and cognizing the deformation regularity, it can better service mine safety production and decision-making.

关键词： wavelet analysis Kalman filtering deformation monitoring data analysis mine

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Paleomagnetic dating of the Cenjiawan Paleolithic site in the Nihewan Basin, northern china

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Science china Earth Sciences 2006年第3期49卷 295-303页

作者： WANG Hongqiang1,2. DENG Chenglong1, ZHU Rixiang1 & XIE Fei3.1. Paleomagnetism and geochronology Laboratory (SKL-LE), Institute of geology and geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sci- ences, {3. 10002., china 2. school of the Earth Sciences and Resources, china university of geosciences, beijing 100083, china 3. Hebei Province Institute of Cultural Relics, Shijiazhuang 050000, china Paleomagnetism and geochronology Laboratory (SKL-LE) Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China school of the Earth Sciences and Resources China University of Geosciences Beijing China Hebei Province Institute of Cultural Relics Shijiazhuang China

Rock magnetic and magnetostratigraphic investigations on a lacustrine sequence in the Nihewan Basin, northern china, which bears the Cenjiawan Paleolithic site, indicate that the dominant magnetic mineral and remanence carrier contained in the sediments is magnetite. While hematite co-exists with magnetite in some portions of the Cenjiawan sequence, where characteristic remanent magnetizations are carried by both magnetite and hematite. Measurements of anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility confirm that the Cenjiawan sequence has preserved the original sedimentary features and is suitable for magnetostratigraphic study. Paleomagnetic results indicate that the Cenjiawan Paleolithic site is formed just posterior to the Punaruu normal event, which is dated at about 1.1 Ma. Combined with the paleomagnetic results of the Donggutuo, Xiaochangliang and Majuangou sections, it is concluded that early humans were occupying the Nihewan Basin around 1.6, 1.3.and 1.1 Ma. This integrated result is significant to understanding the ability of migration and adaptation to the envi- ronment of early humans.

关键词： Nihewan Basin, Early Pleistocene, Cenjiawan, Paleolithic site, paleomagnetism.

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A new method for spatio-temporal prediction of rainfall-induced landslide

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Science china Earth Sciences 2006年第4期49卷 421-430页

作者： DING Jixin1,2. YANG Zhifa2. SHANG Yanjun2. ZHOU Shenghua1 & YIN Juntao3.1. china Non-ferrous Metals Resource {2.logical Survey, beijing 100012. china 2. Institute of {2.logy and geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Engineering {2.mechanics, beijing 10002., china 3. school of {2.science & Environmental Engineering, Central South university, Changsha 410083. china china Non-ferrous Metals Resource geological Survey Beijing China Institute of geology and geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Key Laboratory of Engineering Geomechanics Beijing China school of geoscience & Environmental Engineering Central South University Changsha China

geological condition and rainfall are two most principal conditions inducing landslides in the Chongqing region. By analyzing the forming conditions of rainfall-induced landslides, a new method for spatio-temporal prediction of rainfall-induced landslide is brought forward on the basis of grading and overlapping geological condition and rainfall factor in this paper. At first, semi-quantitative assessment and grading for the geological condition of a certain area or slope can be carried out with the multi-factor interactive matrix. Then the severity of rainfall in that area is grading according to the maximum daily rainfall and the total rainfall in a rainfall course. Finally, the “landslide probability judgement factor” can be worked out through grading and overlapping “geological condition influenc- ing factor” and “rainfall influencing factor”, by which the landslide can be graded into 4 grades, they are landslide extremely easily happening, landslide easily happening, landslide difficultly happening and landslide hardly ever happening respectively. More accurate spatio-temporal prediction of rain- fall-induced landslides can come true on the ground of detailed geological survey of some dangerous slopes in an area and more precise weather forecast. Finally, the reliability and feasibility of carrying out the spatio-temporal prediction of rainfall-induced landslides with the method of “two factors” grading and overlapping are validated by the example of Jipazi landslide.

关键词： rainfall-induced landslide, geological condition, rainfall, two factors, grading and overlapping, interactive matrix, spatio-temporal prediction.

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The April 14th, 2.10 Yushu earthquake, a devastating earthquake with foreshocks

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Science china Earth Sciences 2010年第6期53卷 791-793页

作者： NI SiDao1, WANG WeiTao2.& LI Li3.1 school of Earth and Space Sciences, {2. of Science and Technology of china, Hefei 2.0}02., china 2.Institute of geophysics, china Earthquake Administration, beijing 100081, china 3.National Earthquake Infrastructure Service, china Earthquake Administration, beijing 10003., china school of Earth and Space Sciences University of Science and Technology of China Hefei China Institute of geophysics China Earthquake Administration Beijing China National Earthquake Infrastructure Service China Earthquake Administration Beijing China

In the early morning of April 14th, 2.10, a strong earth- quake (Ms7.1, http://***; Mw6.9, http://neic. ***) occurred in Yushu district, Qinghai Province, china. More than 2.00 lives were lost and over 100000 injured,

关键词： Figure Yushu earthquake a devastating earthquake with foreshocks The April 14th 2.10 very than

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Origin of the Red Earth sequence on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau and its implications for regional aridity since the middle Miocene

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Science china Earth Sciences 2006年第5期49卷 505-517页

作者： WANG Xianyan1,7, LU Huayu1,2. JI Junfeg3. WANG Xiaoyong1,7, ZHAO Jingbo4, HUANG Baochun5 & LI Zhen6 1. SKLLQG, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710075, china 2. Department of Urban and Resources Sciences, Nanjing {2., Nanjing 2.0093. china 3. Department of Earth Sciences, Nanjing {2., Nanjing 2.0093. china 4. Department of geography, Shaanxi Normal {2., Xi’an 710062. china 5. Institute of geology and geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 10002., china 6 Department of geography, Qinghai Normal {2., Xining 810008, china 7. Graduate school of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 10003., china SKLLQG Institute of Earth Environment Chinese Academy of Sciences Xi’an China Graduate school of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Department of Urban and Resources Sciences Nanjing University Nanjing China Department of Earth Sciences Nanjing University Nanjing China Department of geography Shaanxi Normal University Xi’an China Institute of geology and geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Department of geography Qinghai Normal University Xining China

The Red Earth deposit around Xining, northeastern Tibetan Plateau, has beenstudied in terms of soil micro-structure, grain-size distribution, major- and trace-elementchemistry and magne-tostratigraphy. Field investigations indicate that the Red Earth sequenceconsists of 2. visually definable yellow-brown and weakly-developed soils interbedded with reddishstrongly-developed soils, and has a similar structure to the aeolian Red Clay deposit on the ChineseLoess Plateau. Grain-size analysis shows that the Red Earth deposit is very fine-grained with anegligible sand fraction ( > 63.μm). Thin-section observations under light microscopy show that thedeposit has a clayey texture and the coarse fraction ( > 10 μm) mainly consists of quartz,feldspar and micas. Pyroxene and hornblende were also observed. This mineralogical composition ofthe coarse fraction is similar to that of the Quaternary loess. In addition, all of the mineralgrains are semi angular semi-angular and are generally finer than 63.μm. There is a good agreementbetween the major and minor trace element chemistry of loess-soil units and the Red Earth *** REE distributions of the loess-soil and the Red Earth deposit are similar in shape, withenriched LREE and fairly flat HREE profiles and a clear negative Eu anomaly. The {2.chemicalcharacteristics of the Red Earth deposit are also identical to those of upper continental crust,thus indicating a wind-blown origin. Magnetostratigraphic investigation shows that onset of the RedEarth deposition predates 11.4 Ma BP (13.6 Ma at a nearby site). The distribution of the reportedMiocene aeolian loess at Qin''an of the Loess Plateau is still unknown. Our results indicate thatthis aeolian deposit had extended to the northeastern Tibetan Plateau by at least the middleMiocene. The similarity of the element {2.chemistry between the Red Earth deposit and the overlyingloess shows that they may have similar sources and dynamic transport system, and may indicate thatthe

关键词： Red Earth deposit, Northeastern Tibetan Plateau, aeolian deposit, aridity of Asia, the middle Miocene.

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Source time-function as discriminant using empirical Green's function

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Science china Earth Sciences 2005年第12期48卷 2118-2122页

作者： HE Yongfeng1,2.& CHEN Xiaofei1 1. Department of geophysics, school of Earth & Space Sciences, Peking {2., {3. 100871, china 2. North-West Institute of Nuclear Technology, Xi’an 71002., china Department of geophysics School of Earth & Space Sciences Peking University Beijing China North-West Institute of Nuclear Technology Xi’an China

The source mechanism of underground nuclear explosions is remarkably different from that of earthquakes in both spatial radiation pattern and source time-function (STF). Small underground nuclear explosions can be used as empirical Green’s functions (EGF) to isolate the source-time spectrum of a large suspected earthquake occurred in a Nuclear Test Site (target area) by the spectral division method. As this study shows, with high-quality data, the quotient spectrum can be transformed to the time domain, yielding the apparent far-field source-time function of the large suspected event. The relative source time-function (RSTF) of a nuclear ex-plosion is usually a simple pulse with a duration of about 1 s., while an earthquake’s is more complicated with a series of pulses and a longer duration. The RSTF can be used as a nice dis-criminant to distinguish the nature earthquakes from underground nuclear explosions in target areas.

关键词： target-area, empirical Green's function, RSTF.

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