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Structural network characteristics affect epidemic severity and prediction in social contact networks

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Infectious Disease Modelling 2024年第1期9卷 204-213页

作者： Jae McKee Tad dallas Bioinnovation Program Tulane UniversityNew OrleansLA70118USA department of Medicine Tulane University School of MedicineNew OrleansLA70112USA department of Biological sciences University of South CarolinaColumbiaSC29208USA

Understanding and mitigating epidemic spread in complex networks requires the measurement of structural network properties associated with epidemic *** measures of epidemic thresholds like the basic reproduction number(R0)have been adapted to account for the structure of social contact networks but still may be unable to capture epidemic potential relative to more recent measures based on spectral graph ***,we explore the ability of R0 and the spectral radius of the social contact network to estimate epidemic *** do so,we simulate epidemics on a series of constructed(small world,scale-free,and random networks)and a collection of over 700 empirical biological social contact ***,we explore how other network properties are related to these two epidemic estimators(R0 and spectral radius)and mean infection prevalence in simulated ***,we find that network properties strongly influence epidemic dynamics and the subsequent utility of R0 and spectral radius as indicators of epidemic risk.

关键词： Social contact network Spectral radius Epidemic severity Basic reproduction number

Magnetostratigraphy of Late Cenozoic fossil mammals in the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau

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Science Bulletin 2003年第2期48卷 188-193页

作者： SONG Chunhui1,2,FANG Xiaomin 1,2,GAO Junping1, NIE Junsheng1,YAN Maodu1,3.XU Xianhai1 & SUN Dong1 1. MOE National Laboratory of Western China抯 Environmental Systems & College of Resource and Environment,Lanzhou university,Lanzhou 73.000,China 2. State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology ,Institute of Earth Environment,Chinese Academy of sciences,Xi抋n 710075, China 3. department of geological sciences,university of Michigan,AnnArbor,MI 48109,usa Univ Arizona Steward Observ Tucson AZ 85721 USA MOE National Laboratory of Western China\'s Environmental Systems & College of Resource and Environment Lanzhou University Lanzhou 730000 China

A number of fossil mammals have been found in the very thick Cenozoic stratigraphy of the Guide Basin in the northeastern margin of the Tibetan *** of these are of great significance in mammal evolution and stratigraphic correla-tion on and around the Tibetan Plateau and North ***,the chronology of these mamals is poorly *** of the mammals will not only place precise age constraints on the mammals,but also provide much inlormation on the related stratigraphy that records the uplift process of the Tibetan *** paleomagnetism of the upper part of the Cenozoic stratigraphy at He'erjia and Lajigai north of Guide County has revealed magnetic chrons that can be correlated to Ganss and 3.n *** the section spanning about 3.16.5 Ma and the *** and third layers of fossil mammals at about 5.25,5.1 and 4.4 Ma,*** of the significant genus Gazella kueitensis and the Chinese elephant Anancus sinensis are firstly constrained at about 5.25 MaBP and 4.4 Ma,*** mammalian evolution and the associated increase in coarse sediments and sedimentation rate may suggest that the northeastern Tibetan Plateau was uplifted rapidly at that time,and the eastern Tibetan Plateau with its neighboring regions was not high enough to stop mammal exchange between the northern and southern sides of the Tibetan Piateau.

关键词： Tibetan Plateau Guide Basin Late Cenozoic stratigra-phy fossil mammals paleomagnetism.

Experimental remolding on the caprock's 3. strain field of the Indosinian-Yanshanian epoch in Tongling deposit concentrating area

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Science China Earth sciences 2005年第7期48卷 863-874页

作者： DENG Jun1,HUANG Dinghua2,WANG Qingfei1,WAN Li1,SUN Zhongshi3.YANG Liqiang1 & GAO Bangfei1 1. State Key Laboratory of geological Processes and Mineral Resources,China university of Geosciences,Beijing 100083.China 2. Faculty of Earth sciences,China university of Geosciences,Wuhan 43.074,China 3. department of Earth sciences,Jilin university,Changchun 13.061,China State Key Laboratory of geological Processes and Mineral Resources China University of Geosciences Beijing 100083 China Faculty of Earth sciences China University of Geosciences Wuhan 430074 China department of Earth sciences Jilin University Changchun 130061 China

Based on field observations and rheology analysis, we perform one analogue experiment and remold the 3. structural frame of Tongling deposit concentrating area firstly. Then we disassemble and dialyze the 3. structures of the model using the methods of "slicing" and "stripping". A series of sliced planes vertical to the fold hinges show similar landscapes of that in the drill hole profiles. Meanwhile, layer stripping analysis indicates that the deformation features of each layer in the model are qualitatively analogical to those obtained from field observations. Through contrasting the 3. structure between the experimental model and the field phenomena, we verify the following 3. deformation features of the caprock in this area: (1) the Tongling area mainly consists of three series of NE S-typed fold groups; (2) in the uniform stress field, the incoherent folds universally develop in different positions, along different axes as well as in different strata; (3. the faults propagate upward which are mostly inter-bedded detachment faults, while the fold amplitudes decrease while going deeper; and (4) the folds and cleavages are highly developed in the Silurian System indicating that the deformation effect of the Indosin-ian-Yanshanian structural layer terminates at this layer, which suggests that the Silurian System is the crucial layer for the inversion between brittle and plastic deformation domains and the underlying strata are subject to the control of another deformation system with distinct properties.

关键词： Tongling deposit concentrating area Indosinian-Yanshanian epoch 3. structural frame of the caprock analogue experiment slicing and stripping analysis structural model.

Northernmost paleo-tethyan oceanic basin in Tibet:Geo-chronological evidence from ^(40)Ar/^(3.)Ar age dating of Dur'ngoi ophiolite

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Chinese Science Bulletin 2001年第14期46卷 1203-1205页

作者： CHEN Liang, SUN Yong, PEI Xianzhi, GAO Ming, FENG Tao, ZHANG Zhongqing & CHEN Wen1. Laboratory of Continental Dynamics, Northwest university, Xi’an 710069, China 2. department of Geology, Northwest university, Xi’an, 710069, China 3. Institute of Geology, Chinese Academy of {3. sciences, Beijing, 10003., China Laboratory of Continental Dynamics Northwest University Xi’an China department of Geology Northwest University Xi’an China Institute of Geology Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences Beijing China

Whole rock 40Ar/3.Ar age dating has been conducted on a basalt sample from Dur’ngoi ophiolite, Qinghai Province, which was reported to be the northernmost pa-leo-tethyan oceanic basin in Tibet. A high temperature pla-teau age (3.5.3.7.9 Ma) with an isochorn age (3.6.6±7.1 Ma) has been obtained, representing the eruption time of oceanic crust Considering related geological settings, the new age provides constraints on the northernmost pa-leo-tethyan suture zone in Tibet and the tectonic evolution of Paleo-tethys in Northeast Tibet and adjacent areas.

关键词： Dur’ngoi ophlolite 40Ar -3.Ar age Paleo-tethys.

Petrogenesis of Songshugou dunite body in the Qinling orogenic belt, Central China: Constraints from geochemistry and melt inclusions

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Science China Earth sciences 2005年第8期48卷 1146-1157页

作者： SU Li1,2, SONG Shuguang3.& ZHOU Dingwu1 1. Key Laboratory of Continental Dynamics of the Ministry of Education, department of Geology, Northwestern university, Xi’an 710069, China 2. The geological Lab Center, China university of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083. China 3. Key Laboratory of Orogenic Belts of the Ministry of Education, department of Geology, Peking university, Beijing 100871, China 1. Key Laboratory of Continental Dynamics of the Ministry of Education Department of Geology Northwestern University 710069 Xi’an China 2. The geological Lab Center China University of Geosciences 100083 (Beijing)Beijing China 3. Key Laboratory of Orogenic Belts of the Ministry of Education Department of Geology Peking University 100871 Beijing China

The Songshugou dunite body, which occupies an area of about 20 km2, is the largest ultramafic massif in the eastern Qinling orogenic belt, Central China. The major compo-nent of this body is dunitic rocks including mylonitic dunite and coarse-grained dunite; they oc-cupy about 95 vol% of the total body. Petrography, mineral composition, major and trace ele-ments and primitive melt inclusions have been investigated in this paper; all revealed that this dunite body is the product of melt-rock interaction by porous percolation flow. In comparison with dunite sills or veins in harzburgite from the basal part of Oman ophiolite, this dunite body is characterized by lower contents of Al2O3. CaO and HREE but higher content of highly incom-patible elements and Zr and Hf. The LREE enriched patterns and primitive mantle normalized spidergrams of trace elements are also different from the Oman dunite. Combining with melt in-clusions observed in olivines, we conclude that this dunite body is the product of large- scale porous percolation flow of high-MgO melts within depleted mantle peridotites. The high-MgO magma, in essence, was most probably produced at the hot head of an upwelling mantle plume. The occurrence of the Songshugou dunite body is closely associated with the activity of mantle super-plume in Neo-Proterozoic era in the Yangtze Craton.

关键词： Songshugou dunite body, geochemistry, melt inclusion, mantle plume, Qinling orogenic belt.

Mechanism for calcite dissolution and its contribution to development of reservoir porosity and permeability in the Kela 2 gas field,Tarim Basin,China

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Science China Earth sciences 2008年第4期51卷 567-578页

作者： YU BingSong1,3. DONG HailLiang2,3.& RUAN Zhuang1,3.1 State Key Laboratory of geological Processes and Mineral Resources, China university of Geosciences, Beijing 100083. China 2 {3. of Geology, Miami university,Oxford, OH 45056, usa 3.Geomicrobiology Laboratory, China university of Geosciences, Beijing, 100083. China State Key Laboratory of geological Processes and Mineral Resources China University of Geosciences Beijing 100083 China department of Geology Miami University Oxford OH 45056 USA Geomicrobiology Laboratory China University of Geoscien

This study is undertaken to understand how calcite precipitation and dissolution contributes to depth-related changes in porosity and permeability of gas-bearing sandstone reservoirs in the Kela 2 gas field of the Tarim Basin, Northwestern China. Sandstone samples and pore water samples are col-lected from well KL201 in the Tarim Basin. Vertical profiles of porosity, permeability, pore water chem-istry, and the relative volume abundance of calcite/dolomite are constructed from 3.00 to 4000 m below the ground surface within major oil and gas reservoir rocks. Porosity and permeability values are in-versely correlated with the calcite abundance, indicating that calcite dissolution and precipitation may be controlling porosity and permeability of the reservoir rocks. Pore water chemistry exhibits a sys-tematic variation from the Na2SO4 type at the shallow depth (3.00-3.3. m), to the NaHCO3.type at the intermediate depth (3.3.―3.95 m),and to the CaCl2 type at the greater depth (3.28―3.3. m). The geochemical factors that control the calcite solubility include pH, temperature, pressure, Ca2+ concen-tration, the total inorganic carbon concentration (ΣCO2), and the type of pore water. Thermodynamic phase equilibrium and mass conservation laws are applied to calculate the calcite saturation state as a function of a few key parameters. The model calculation illustrates that the calcite solubility is strongly dependent on the chemical composition of pore water, mainly the concentration difference between the total dissolved inorganic carbon and dissolved calcium concentration (i.e., [ΣCO2] -[Ca2+]). In the Na2SO4 water at the shallow depth, this index is close to 0, pore water is near the calcite solubility. Calcite does not dissolve or precipitate in significant quantities. In the NaHCO3.water at the intermedi-ate depth, this index is greater than 0, and pore water is supersaturated with respect to calcite. Massive calcite precipitation was observed at this depth interval and

关键词： calcite dissolution porosity thermodynamic Tarim Basin

Determination of tectonic background for sedimentary basin from sandstone geochemistry

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Chinese Science Bulletin 1998年第14期43卷 1191-1196页

作者： SHAO Lei 1, K. Stattegger 2 and LI Wenhou 3.1. Laboratory of Marine Geology, Tongji university, Shanghai 200092, China 2. geological and Paleontological Institute, university of Kiel, 24118 Kiel, Germany 3. {3. of Geology, Northwest Unive Laboratory of Marine Geology Tongji University Shanghai China geological and Paleontological Institute University of Kiel Kiel Germany department of Geology Northwest University Xi’an China

The chemical composition of sedimentary rocks is mainly controlled by source rocks. Through examining chemical composition of terrigenous rocks, the tectonic evolution of a sedimentary basin can be modeled. The Turpan Basin belongs to a continental sedimentary basin and its source rocks are derived from the upper continental crust.

关键词： sedimentary rock geochemistry basin analysis Turpan Basin.

Early J_2 basalts in SE China:Incipience of large-scale late Mesozoic magmatism

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Science China Earth sciences 2006年第8期49卷 796-815页

作者： XIE Xin1, XU Xisheng1, ZOU Haibo2, JIANG Shaoyong1, ZHANG Ming3.& QIU Jiansheng1 1. State Key Laboratory of Mineral Deposit Research, department of Earth sciences, Nanjing university, Nanjing 210093. China 2. department of Earth and Space sciences, university of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA90095-1567, usa. 3. GEMOC ARC National Key Centre, department of Earth and Planetary sciences, Macquarie university, Sydney, N.S.W. 2109, Australia 1. State Key Laboratory of Mineral Deposit Research Department of Earth Sciences Nanjing University Nanjing 210093 China 2. department of Earth and Space sciences University of California at Los Angeles Los Angeles CA90095-1567 USA 3. GEMOC ARC National Key Centre Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences Macquarie University Sydney N.S.W. 2109 Australia

Magmatism in SE China was dormant during 204―180 Ma, but was reactivated in 180― 170 Ma (early J2), and then became more and more intensive towards the end of early Cretaceous. The small-scale early J2 magmatism is the incipience to long-term and large-scale magmatism in this region. A near east-west (EW) trend volcanic belt was distributed across south Hunan, south Jiangxi and southwest Fujian was formed during early J2 time. Along this belt from the inland toward the coast, the lithology of basalts changes from alkali into tholeiite, and the amount of erupted volcanic rocks and the proportions of rhyolites coexisting with the basalts increase. On the basis of geochemical char- acteristics of these basalts, we infer that the melting degree of source rocks and the extent of frac- tional crystallization and crustal contamination all increased whereas the depth of mantle source de- creased from the inland to the coast, which led to the variations of geological characteristics of the volcanic belt. In early J2, the western spreading Pacific plate began to subduct underneath SE China continental block, reactivating near EW trend deep fault that was originally formed during the Indos- inian event. The stress of the western spreading Pacific plate and the extent of asthenosphere up- welling increased from the inland to the coast, which is consistent with the generation and evolution of early J2 basalts.

关键词： early J2 basalts, upwelling of asthenosphere, large-scale magmatism, SE China, the Pacific plate.

Dehydration melting of solid amphibolite at 2.0 GPa: Effects of time and temperature

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Science China Earth sciences 2005年第8期48卷 1120-1133页

作者： ZHOU Wenge1, XIE Hongsen1, LIU Yonggang1, ZHENG Xiaogang1, ZHAO Zhidan2 & ZHOU Hui3.1. Laboratory of Material in the Earth’s Interior, Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of sciences, Guiyang 550002, China 2. department of Geology, China university of Geosciences, Beijing 100083. China 3. department of Geology, Peking university, Beijing 100871, China 1. Laboratory of Material in the Earth’s Interior Institute of Geochemistry Chinese Academy of Sciences 550002 Guiyang China 2. department of Geology China University of Geosciences 100083 Beijing China 3. department of Geology Peking University 100871 Beijing China

Two sets of dehydration-melting with a natural solid amphibolite, collected from North Himalayan structure zone, Tibet, have been carried out in multi-anvil apparatus at 2.0 GPa and 800―1000℃, for 12―200 h. One is keeping the pressure at 2.0 GPa and the annealing time of 12 h, changing the temperature (800―1000℃). The other is keeping the pressure at 2.0 GPa and temperature at 850℃, varying the annealing time (12―200 h). The products are inspected with microscope and electron probe. The results indicate that at 2.0 GPa, annealing time of 12 h, garnets, melts and clinopyroxenes occur in amphibolite gradually with increasing temperature and the chemical compositions of melt vary from tonalite to granodiorite, and then to tonalite. However, at 2.0 GPa and 850℃, with the annealing time increasing, the garnets, melts and cli-nopyroxenes also occur in amphibolite gradually and the chemical compositions of melt vary from tonalite to granodiorite. In both cases, melts interconnect with each other when the contents of melt are over the 5 vol.%. the viscosities of the melt produced in amphibolite at temperature higher than 850℃ are on a level with 104 Pa·s. The interconnected melt with such a viscosity may segregate from the source rock and form the magma over reasonable geological time. Therefore, it is believed that at the lower part of the overthickened crust, the tonlitic and grano-dioritic magma may be generated through the dehydration melting of amphibolite.

关键词： solid amphibolite, high pressure, high temperature, time, partial melting.