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PRELIMINARY STUDY ON SAND - DUST STORM DISASTER AND COUNTERMEASURES IN china

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chinese Geographical Science 2002年第1期12卷 9-13页

作者： ZHANG Qing yang, ZHAO Xi you, ZHANG Yuan, LI Li(chinese academy of meteorological sciences, beijing 100081, P.R.china) chinese academy of Meterological sciences Beijing P. R. China

As a kind of natural disasters, sand dust storms frequently occur in deserts and their surrounding areas. The occurrence of this disaster in china′s northwest and north china has exerted an extremely adverse effect upon the environment in china. The management of sand dust storms is of a systematic project closely related with the environment such as agriculture, ecosystem, forestry, water conservancy, meteorology and other aspects. Therefore, studies of the formation, the basic features, causes, temporal spatial distribution, developing trend and related disasters of sand dust storms in china are conducted based on satellite data. The experience of sand dust storms control and countermeasures in the United States and some other countries are referred. Meanwhile, preliminary countermeasures relating to sand dust storms in china are proposed.

关键词： sand-dust storm in china spatial and temporal distribution meteorologicaldisaster countermeasures of sand-dust storms

Water-vapor source shift of Xinjiang region during the recent twenty years

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第5期17卷 569-575页

作者： Dai Xingang , Li Weijing , Ma Zhuguo and Wang Ping (Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china Laboratory for Climate Change, chinese meteorological administration, beijing 100081, china) Key Laboratory of Regional Climate-Environment for Temperate East Asia Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China Laboratory for Climate Change Chinese Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China

The aim of this paper is to investigate the climate water-vapor sources of Xinjiang region and their shifts during the past 20 years. First, the principle and steps are roughly regulated to seek the water-vapor sources. Second, the climate stationary water-vapor transport in troposphere is calculated to distinguish where the water vapor comes from by ERA-40 reanalysis. In addition, the collocation between the transport and the atmospheric column water vapor content is analyzed. The results show that the major vapor comes from the west side of Xinjiang for mid-month of seasons, apart from July while the water vapor comes from the north or northwest direction. The water vapor sources are different for different seasons, for example, the Caspian Sea and Mediterranean are the sources in January and April, the North Atlantic and the Arctic sea in July, and the Black Sea and Caspian Sea in October, respectively. In recent ten years more water vapor above Xinjiang comes from the high latitudes and the Arctic sea with global warming, and less from Mediterranean in comparison with the case of 1973—1986. In fact, the air over subtropics becomes dry and the anomalous water vapor transport direction turns to west or southwest during 1987—2000. By contrast, the air over middle and high latitudes is warmer and wetter than 14 years ago.

关键词： global warming water-vapor source water-vapor transport precipitable water Xinjiang climate inter-decadal change.

Comparative analysis of temperature and CO2 fluxes for winter wheat in Tibetan Plain and North china Plain using the EMD method

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2006年第10期16卷 1066-1071页

作者： JIANG Zhaoyang, YU Qiang, LEI Shuhe, WANG Tianduo, SUN Xiaomin and ZHANG Renhua ( chinese academy of meteorological Science, beijing 100081, china Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100101, china Mathematics Department, Ocean University of china, Qingdao 266071, china Shanghai Institute of Plant Physiology and Ecology, chinese academy of sciences, Shanghai 200032, china) chinese academy of meteorological Science Beijing 100081 China Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100101 China Mathematics Department Ocean University of China Qingdao 266071 China Shanghai Institute of Plant Physiology and Ecology Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai 200032 China

Comparative study of spectral properties of temperature and CO2 fluxes measured by eddy covariance method at Yucheng (36°57'N, 116°36'E, 28 m a.s.l., in the North china Plain) and at Lhasa (29°41'N, 91°20'E, 3688 m a.s. 1., on the Tibetan Plateau) is described using the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method. The main results are: (1) The intrinsic oscillation modes or intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) were extracted from data of temperature ( T) and CO2 fluxes (F) measured at Yucheng ( T1 and F1) and Lhasa ( T2 and F2) . (2) Hilbert transform was applied to these IMF components, then the Hubert-Huang spectra and the marginal spectra of these data were obtained. (3) Comparison of temperature and CO2 fluxes in North china Plain and on Tibetan Plain illustrated that the characteristic frequencies corresponding to T1, F1, T2 and F2 are 0.05 Hz, 0.03 Hz, 0.014 Hz and 0.005 Hz, respectively.

关键词： empirical mode decomposition (EMD) intrinsic mode function (IMF) flux Hilbert transform wheat Tibet.

Climate effects of nuclear war in china

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Journal of Environmental sciences 1993年第2期5卷 230-240页

作者： Cao Hongxingchinese academy of meteorological sciences, beijing 100081, chinaWang Yongzhong Lin Yunmeibeijing Institute of Meteorology, beijing 100081, china chinese academy of meteorological sciences Beijing 100081 China. China

By utilizing simulations of climatic respponse to nuclear smoke, which were made by the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, USA, climate change in china induced by a large-scale nuclear war is analysed. Remarkable climate change in china following nuclear smoke injections is found. The surface air temperature decreases dramatically around all china, surface cooling is 13 ℃ averaging over whole china in July and maximum cooling is 23. 4 ℃ , 3 ℃ cooling in January and maximum 8℃ for the 150 Tg smoke injection (equivalent to the base-line nuclear war). However, the change in temperature is unhomogeneous, implying that the rise in temperature happens over some parts of china. An averaging precipitation decrease in many of months of the experimental year. The precipitation defect is dependent on a scale of nuclear war, the deduction is 1.8mm/day averaging over china in July in the 150 Tg smoke injection, and 0.1 mm/d in January. Nevertheless, the precipitation enhancement in a few months over some regions is found. This dramatic climate change brings catastrophe to agriculture, ecology, as well as socio-economics.

关键词： nuclear winter climate simulation precipitation change.

Computational stability of the forced dissipative nonlinear atmospheric equations

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chinese Science Bulletin 1999年第10期44卷 949-952页

作者： LI Jianping and CHOU Jifan LASG , Institute of Atmospheric Physics , chinese academy of sciences , beijing 100080, china Department of Atmospheric sciences , Lanzhou University , Lanzhou 730000, china beijing meteorological College, beijing 100081, china LASG Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Department of Atmospheric sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou China beijing meteorological College Beijing China

A new concept of computational quasi-stability (CQS) is introduced to study the computational stability (CS) of the forced dissipative nonlinear (FDN) evolution equations. Based on the concept, the CQS criterion of difference scheme of FDN atmospheric equations is obtained. So it provides the theoretical basis for designing the computational stable difference scheme of FDN atmospheric equations.

关键词： computational stability (CS) computational quasi-stability (CQS) operator equation difference scheme forced dissipative nonlinear (FDN) equations.

Two possible mechanisms for vortex self-organization

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Science china Earth sciences 2006年第2期49卷 202-211页

作者： LUO Zhexian2, ZHOU Xiuji1 & GAO Shouting3 1. chinese academy of meteorological sciences, beijing 100081, china 2. Department of Space Information Science, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, china 3. Institute of Atmospheric Physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china Department of Environmental Science Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Nanjing China chinese academy of meteorological sciences Beijing China Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

The vortex self-organization is investigated in this paper by four groups of numerical experiments within the framework of quasi-geostrophic model, and based on the experimental results two types of possible mechanisms for vortex self-organization are suggested. The meso-scale to-pography may enable separated vortices to merge into a larger scale vortex; and the interaction of meso-γ and meso-β scale systems may make separated vortices to self organize a typhoon-like vor-tex circulation.

关键词： vortex, self-organization, meso-scale topography, interaction of different scales.

Forecasting the summer rainfall in North china using the year-to-year increment approach

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Science china Earth sciences 2009年第4期52卷 532-539页

作者： FAN Ke1, LIN MeiJing1,2 & GAO YuZhong3 1 Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china 2 Graduate University of the chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100049, china 3 Heilongjiang meteorological administration, Harbin 150030, china Nansen-Zhu International Research Center Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Graduate University of the chinese academy of sciences Beijing China Heilongjiang meteorological administration Harbin China

A new approach to forecasting the year-to-year increment of rainfall in North china in July-August (JA) is proposed. DY is defined as the difference of a variable between the current year and the preceding year (year-to-year increment). NR denotes the seasonal mean precipitation rate over North china in JA. After analyzing the atmospheric circulation anomalies associated with the DY of NR, five key predictors for the DY of NR have been identified. The prediction model for the DY of NR is established by using multi-linear regression method and the NR is obtained (the current forecasted DY of NR added to the preceding observed NR). The prediction model shows a high correlation coefficient (0.8) between the simulated and the observed DY of NR throughout period 1965-1999, with an average relative root mean square error of 19% for the percentage of precipitation rate anomaly over North china. The prediction model makes a hindcast for 2000-2007, with an average relative root mean square error of 21% for the percentage of precipitation rate anomaly over North china. The model reproduces the downward trend of the percentage of precipitation rate anomaly over North china during 1965-2006. Because the current operational prediction models of the summer precipitation have average forecast scores of 60%-70%, it has been more difficult to forecast the summer rainfall over North china. Thus this new approach for predicting the year-to-year increment of the summer precipitation (and hence the summer precipitation itself) has the potential to significantly improve operational forecasting skill for summer precipitation.

关键词： annual increment North china precipitation prediction prediction skill

Advancement and prospect of short-term numerical climate prediction

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chinese Science Bulletin 2001年第18期46卷 1497-1502页

作者： CHOU Jifan & XU Ming1. Department of Atmospheric sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, china 2. Training Center of chinese meteorological administration, beijing 100081, china Department of Atmospheric sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou China Training Center of chinese meteorological administration Beijing China

The defects of present methods of short-term numerical climate prediction are discussed in this paper, and four challenging problems are put forward. Considering our under developed computer conditions, we should innovate in the approcuch of numerical climate prediction on the basis of our own achievements and experiences in the field of short-term numerical climate prediction. It is possibly an effective way to settle the present defects of short-term numerical climate prediction.

关键词： short-term climate numerical prediction defects innovation.

Global analysis theory of climate system and its applications

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chinese Science Bulletin 2003年第10期48卷 1034-1039页

作者： LI Jianping1,2 & CHOU Jifan2,3 1. LASG, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100029, china 2. Department of Atmospheric sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, china 3. Training Center for china meteorological administration, beijing 100081, china Department of Atmospheric sciences Lanzhou University Lanzhou 730000 China LASG Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

The idea and main theoretical results of the global analysis theory of climate system are briefly summarized in this paper. A theorem on the global behavior of climate system is given, i.e. there exists a global attractor in the dynamical equations of climate, any state of climate system will be evolved into the global attractor as time increases, indicating the nonlinear adjustment process of climate system to external forcing. The different effects of external forcing, dissipation and nonlinearity on the long-term behavior of solutions are pointed out, and some main applications of the global analysis theory are also introduced. Especially, three applications, the adjustment and evolution processes of climate, the principle of numerical model design and the optimally numerical integration, are discussed.

关键词：整体分析理论气侯体系应用不定性计算法则气侯科学数字模型