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Zonal propagation of kinetic energy and convection in the South china Sea and Indian monsoon regions in boreal summer

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Science china Earth Sciences 2004年第12期47卷 1076-1084页

作者： CHEN Longxun 1 ,GAO Hui 2.,HE Jinhai 2.,TAO Shiyan 3 & JIN Zuhui 3 1.Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences,Beijing 100081,china 2.nanjing Institute of {2.,nanjing 21004.,china 3.Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 10002.,china 1. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences 100081 Beijing China 2. nanjing Institute of meteorology 210044 Nanjing China 3. Chinese Academy of Sciences Institute of Atmospheric Physics 100029 Beijing China

Zonal propagation of kinetic energy (KE) and convection in the South china Sea (SCS) and Indian summer monsoon areas are examined in present study. Results suggest that the SCS and Indian summer monsoon prevailed regions (5 —15°N) are dominated by the southwesterly wind, however, the disturbances of KE at 850 hPa and convection are observed mainly coming from the western Pacific Ocean (140—150°E), after passing through the SCS, and westward propagated into the Bay of Bengal (90—100°E). In the Indian summer monsoon domain, where the disturbances of KE are found mainly coming from the Arabian Sea (AS) and eastward propagated into the Bay of Bengal. Therefore, the SCS and the Indian summer mon- soon are quite different in zonal propagation of KE and convection. The SCS summer monsoon is mainly affected by the KE and convection coming from the tropical western Pacific. The Indian summer monsoon, however, can be partly influenced by the AS and the SCS summer monsoon. The analysis also suggests that the interaction region between the SCS and the Indian summer monsoon is around 90—95°E, rather than 105°E as proposed by earlier studies.

关键词： zonal propagation of KE and convection, East Asian monsoon, Indian monsoon.

Estimation of annual actual evapotranspiration from nonsaturated land surfaces with conventional meteorological data

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Science china Earth Sciences 2004年第3期47卷 239-246页

作者： QIU Xinfa1, ZENG Yan2. MIAO Qilong1 & YU Qiang2.1. Department of Geography, nanjing Institute of meteorology, {2., china 2. Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, china nanjing Inst Meteorol Dept Geog Nanjing 210044 Peoples R China Chinese Acad Sci Inst Geog Sci Beijing 100101 Peoples R China Chinese Acad Sci Nat Resources Res Beijing 100101 Peoples R China

Views diverge greatly on the relationship between actual evapotranspiration (AE) and potential evapotranspiration (PE). Penman showed that AE is determined in intensity by PE and changes proportionally as a function of PE. In contrast, Bouchet indicated that AE deter-mines PE and varies inversely with PE. Based on nearly 30 years data from 432.weather stations and 512.hydrological stations in china, the two different theories, Penman抯 assumption and Bouchet抯 complementary relationship between AE and PE, were tested on nine river basins. With data integration technique, the complementary relationship between AE and PE was dis-played entirely. A general model to estimate the actual evapotranspiration from nonsaturated surfaces by routine meteorological observations has been established on the basis of thorough analysis of the concept of PE. The results show that the calculations are all in error control of <10%, except for a few years over the Yellow River Basin.

关键词： complementary relationship of evapotranspiration, potential evapotranspiration, actual evapotranspiration.

Influence of interannual variability of Antarctic oscillation on mei-yu along the Yangtze and Huaihe River valley and its importance to prediction

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Chinese Science Bulletin 2003年第S2期48卷 61-67页

作者： GAO Hui~(1,2., XUE Feng~1 WANG Huijun~1 1. Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 10002., china 2. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, nanjing Institute of {2., nanjing 21004.. china Chinese Acad Sci Inst Atmospher Phys Beijing 100029 Peoples R China nanjing Inst Meteorol Dept Atmospher Sci Nanjing 210044 Peoples R China

Both correlation analysis and case study indi-cate that Antarctic oscillation (AAO) is closely related withsummer rainfall in eastern china. When AAO is stronger inboreal spring, especially in May, there is more mei-yu rain-fall in summer with a longer period along the Yangtze andHuaihe River valley. In contrast, there is less rainfall with ashorter period corresponding to a weaker AAO. Besides, ananomalous AAO changes the position and intensity of severalcirculation systems, which are important to summer rainfallalong the Yangtze and Huaihe River valley. Furthermore, theAntarctic sea ice is negatively correlated with the intensity ofAAO with a 6-month leading time. The result in this studyprovides a new method for the prediction of mei-yu.

关键词： Antarctic oscillation interannual variability mei-yu Antarctic sea ice.

Sand-dust storms in china: temporal-spatial distribution and tracks of source lands

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Journal of Geographical Sciences 2001年第3期11卷 253-260页

作者： QIU Xin-fa1, ZENG Yan2. MIAO Qi-long2.(1. Urban & Resource Department, nanjing University, nanjing 2.0009, {2. 2. Department of Environmental Science, nanjing Institute of meteorology, nanjing 21004., {2.) Urban Resource Department Nanjing University Department of Environmental Science Nanjing Institute of Meteorology

Sand-dust storm is a special natural disaster that frequently occurs in deserts and their surrounding areas. With the data published onSurface Meteorological Monthly Bulletin andSurface Chart during 1971–1996, the temporal-spatial distribution and annual variation of sand-dust storms are analyzed on the basis of the case study of atmospheric processes. Furthermore, the tracks and source areas of sand-dust storms are determined with the aid of GIS. The results show that except some parts of Qinghai Province and Inner Mongolia as well as Beijing, sand-dust storms decrease apparently in time and space in recent decades in china. Sand-dust storms occur most frequently in spring, especially in April. According to their source areas, sand-dust storms are classified into two types, i.e., the inner-source and outer-source sand-dust storms. Most of the outer-source sand-dust storms move along the north and west tracks. The north-track outer-source sand-dust storms always intrude into china across the Sino-Mongolian border from Hami, a city in the eastern part ofXinjiang, to Xilin Gol, a league in Inner Mongolia, while the west-track ones intrude into china from both southern and northern Xinjiang. The source lands of inner-source sand-dust storms concentrate in the Taklimakan Desert and its surrounding areas in southern Xinjiang, southern part of the Junggar Basin in north of Xinjiang, the Hexi Corridor in western Gansu Province, the dry deserts of Inner Mongolia and the Qaidam Basin in Qinghai.

关键词： sand-dust storm temporal-spatial distribution tracks source lands

A three-dimensional variational ocean data assimilation system:Scheme and preliminary results

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Science china Earth Sciences 2006年第11期49卷 1212-1222页

作者： ZHU Jiang1,2. ZHOU Guangqing1, YAN Changxiang1, FU Weiwei1 & YOU Xiaobao1,3 1. International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 10002., china 2. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, {2., china 3. Beijing Institute of Applied meteorology, Beijing 10002., china 1. International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China 2. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Nanjing 210044 China 3. Beijing Institute of Applied meteorology Beijing 100029 China

A new 3DVAR-based Ocean Variational Analysis System (OVALS) is developed. OVALS is capable of assimilating in situ sea water temperature and salinity observations and satellite altimetry data. As a component of OVALS, a new variational scheme is proposed to assimilate the sea surface height data. This scheme considers both the vertical correlation of background errors and the nonlinear temperature-salinity relationship which is derived from the generalization of the linear balance constraints to the nonlinear in the 3DVAR. By this scheme, the model temperature and salinity fields are directly adjusted from the altimetry data. Additionally, OVALS can assimilate the temperature and salinity profiles from the ARGO floats which have been implemented in recent years and some temperature and salinity data such as from expendable bathythermograph, moored ocean buoys, etc. A 2.-year assimilation experiment is carried out by using OVALS and the Tropical Pacific circulation model. The results show that the assimilation system may effectively improve the estimations of temperature and salinity by assimilating all kinds of observations. Moreover, the root mean square errors of temperature and salinity in the upper depth less than 42. m reach 0.63℃ and 0.34 psu.

关键词： data assimilation, 3DVAR, sea surface height, ARGO floats.

Annual precipitation fields secular variation over global land areas for 1948—2.00

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Chinese Science Bulletin 2003年第3期48卷 281-286页

作者： SHI Neng & CHEN Luweng Department of Atmospheric Sciences, nanjing Institute of meteorology, {2., china Department of Atmospheric Sciences Nanjing Institute of Meteorology Nanjing 210044 China

The secular variation over the global land an-nual precipitation (GLAP) fields for 1948—2.00 is investi-gated. Evidence suggests that the GLAP abruptly reduced around 1978 and experienced a decrease of 0.54 mm/a, on average. Fuzzy clustering is used to group the annual pre-cipitation over commonly-used 36 latitudes belts into six belts for examining its secular variation. The results show that, except northern high-latitudes (60°—90°N) where it is slightly increased, the precipitation is decreased, especially in 35°N—35°S, and the diminution is the maximum of 0.98 mm/a at tropics. Moreover, identification of 1948—2.00 flood/drought years on a global basis is made, showing no-ticeable interdecadal variations. During the years of warm (cold) events the precipitation decreases (increases) by 15.4 mm (14.4 mm) per year, on average. It can be assumed that global warming and frequent ENSO occurrences from the end of the 1970s maybe serve as the root cause of the dimi-nution.

关键词：全球降水长期变化年降水 ENSO 陆地 1948-2.00年

CALCULATION AND ANALYSIS ON CHANGE OFAGRICULTURAL WATER CONSUMPTIONIN THE CHANGJIANG DELTA

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Chinese Geographical Science 2001年第4期11卷 35-39页

作者： ZHANG Yong-qin1, MIAO Qi-long2. PENG Bu-zhuo1(1. Department of Urban and Resources Sciences, nanjing University, nanjing 2.0093, P. R. {2. 2. Department of Environmental Sciences, nanjing Institute of meteorology, nanjing 21004., P. Department of Urban and Resources Sciences Nanjing University Nanjing P. R. China Department of Environmental Sciences Nanjing Institute of Meteorology Nanjing P. R. China

ABSTRACT: The potential evapotranspiration of specific crops in the Changjiang Delta is calculated by using Pen-man-Monteith method, and an agricultural water consumption model in the area is developed on the basis of agricultural production situation. This model has higher precision compared with actual data and can reflect the actual status of agriculture water need. Considering the meteorological, hydrological, economical development situation of the Changjiang Delta, this paper calculates and analyzes the volumes of agricultural water consumption in 2.00, 2.10, 2.30 and 2.50 under different climate change conditions and different development speeds of urbanization in future. The result shows agriculture water demand increases with temperature rising and decreases obviously with cultivated area reducing. For the Changjiang Delta, the volume of agricultural water consumption in the future will less than that of present.

关键词： agricultural water consumption Changjiang Delta climate change impact

Possible mechanism of the effect of convection over Asian-Australian “land bridge” on the East Asian summer monsoon onset

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Science china Earth Sciences 2006年第11期49卷 1223-1232页

作者： HE Jinhai1, WEN Min2. DING Yihui3 & ZHANG Renhe2.1. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster (KLME), nanjing Institute of meteorology, nanjing University of Informa- tion Science and Technology, nanjing 21004., china 2. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, china 3. National Climate Center, Chinese Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, china 1. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster (KLME) Nanjing Institute of Meteorology Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Nanjing 210044 China 2. State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather (LaSW) Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Beijing 100081 China 3. National Climate Center Chinese Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China

The Asian-Australian “land bridge” is an area with the most vigorous convection in Asian monsoon region in boreal spring, where the onset and march of convection are well associated with the onset of East Asian summer monsoon. The convection occurs over Indo-china Peninsula as early as mid-April, which exerts critical impact on the evolution of monsoon circulation. Before mid-April there are primarily sensible heatings to the atmosphere over Indo-china Peninsula and Indian Peninsula, so the apparent heating ratios over them decrease with height. However, after mid-April it changes into latent heating over Indo-china Peninsula due to the onset of convection, and the apparent heating ratio increases with height in mid- and lower troposphere. The vertical distribution of heating ratio and its differences between Indo-china Peninsula and Indian Peninsula are the key factors leading to the splitting of boreal subtropical high belt over the Bay of Bengal. Such mechanism is strongly supported by the fact that the evolution of the vertical heating ratio gradient above Indo-china Peninsula leads that of 850 hPa vorticity over the Bay of Bengal. Convections over Indo-china Peninsula and its surrounding areas further increase after the splitting. Since then, there is a positive feedback lying among the convective heating, the eastward retreat of the subtropical high and the march of monsoon, which is a possible mechanism of the advance of summer monsoon and convection from Indo-china Peninsula to South china Sea.

关键词： Asian-Australian 'land bridge', tropical convection, Indo-china Peninsula, the splitting of boreal subtropical high belt, East Asian summer monsoon onset.

Possible effect of climate changes on the coastal zone of the Yangtze River Delta

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Journal of Geographical Sciences 1998年第1期8卷 42-51页

作者： Miao Qilong nanjing Institute of meteorology, {2., china

A coastal historical evolution of the Yangtze River Delta was discussed in this paper on the basis of the historical data of the coastal zone and an estimation was made for the future change of the coast The emphasis was put on the future climate change that will have influence on the sea wall, coastal navigation and freshwater resources in the Delta It was also pointed out that the global warming and precipitation increase in the Yangtze River Valley may exert more impact on the zone In addition, some measures describing how to adapt to the climate change and reduce its impact were put forward

关键词： climate change greenhouse effect sea surface rising the Yangtze River Delta coastal zone