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The study on Sanmenxia annual flow forecasting in the Yellow River with mix regression model

science china(Technological {2.) 2004年第z1期47卷 118-126页

作者： JIANG Xiaohui1, LIU Changming1,2. WANG Yu3 & WANG Hongrui1 1. beijing Normal University, beijing 100875,{2. 2. institute of geographic science and natural resources, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100101,{2. 3. Reconnaissance, Planning, Design and Research institute, YRCC, Zhengzhou 450003,{2. beijing Normal Univ Beijing 100875 Peoples R China chinese Acad Sci Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Beijing 100101 Peoples R China YRCC Reconnaissance Planning Design & Res Inst Zhengzhou 450003 Peoples R China

This paper established mix regression model for simulating annual flow, in which annual runoff is auto-regression factor, precipitation, air temperature and water consumption are regression factors; we adopted 9 hypothesis climate change schemes to forecast the change of annual flow of Sanmenxia Station. The results show : (1) When temperature is steady, the average annual runoff will increase by 8.3% if precipitation increases by 10%; when precipitation decreases by 10%, the average annual runoff will decrease by 8.2.; when precipitation is steady, the average annual runoff will decrease by 2.4% if temperature increases 1℃; if temperature decreases 1℃, runoff will increase by 1.2.. The mix regression model can well simulate annual runoff. (2. As to 9 different temperature and precipitation scenarios, scenario 9 is the most adverse to the runoff of Sanmenxia Station of Yellow River; i.e. temperature increases 1℃ and precipitation decreases by 10%. Under this condition, the simulated average annual runoff decreases by 10.8%. On the contrary, scenario 1 is the best to the enhancement of runoff; i.e. when temperature decreases 1 ℃ precipitation will increase by 10%, which will make the annual runoff of Sanmenxia increase by 10.6%.

关键词： forecast annual flow, mix regression model, Sanmenxia Station

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Relationship between Environmental Pollution of Coal Mine and Spectral Characteristics of Nearby Plants

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Journal of University of science and Technology beijing 2001年第1期8卷 10-14页

作者： Liqing Lei institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100101, china chinese Acad Sci Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res Beijing 100101 Peoples R China

Remote sensing technology, as the most advanced method for collecting data, along with the common ways often used in the past on research of environmental science, was integrated to study the relationship between environmental pollution of coal mine and spectral characteristics of nearby plants. With compositive index and mean reflectivity at near infrared, a regression equation was established, and a conclusion was made that spectral reflectivity can be used to distinguish regions with different pollution degree. Through testing with real status of the research region, it is verified that this kind of integration and conclusion not only are helpful for human being in controlling the movement law of pollutants and the corresponding change of coal mine environmental quality but also bring a new way for the research of environment problems of coal mine.

关键词： remote sensing spectral characteristics reflectivity pollution index compositive index atmospheric pollution

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Rocky Land Desertification and its Driving Forces in the Karst Areas of Rural Guangxi,Southwest china

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Journal of Mountain science 2008年第4期5卷 350-357页

作者： LIU Yansui WANG Jieyong DENG Xiangzheng institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research Chinese Academy of Science Beijing 100101 China institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research Chinese Academy of Science Beijing loolo~ ChinaGraduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100039 China

With a subtropical climate,Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region has a typical karst *** desertification has become a serious environmental issue due to its high vulnerability caused by the joint effect of natural settings and human activities,because of which its eco-environment has been deteriorated in recent years,and farmland has been disappearing sharply at the same ***,in turn,has exacerbated the poverty level in the rural areas of the *** this study,we monitored the spatial distribution of rocky land desertification and its temporal evolution using Landsat TM/ETM images of 1985,1995,2.00 and *** also analyzed the driving forces of the desertification and its *** constructing regression models by using all the relevant variables and considering the lagged effects as well as fixed effects,we quantified the exact role of different factors causing rocky land desertification in the study area with some new *** new findings in this study are greatly helpful for preserving,restoring and reconstructing the degraded mountain environment in Guangxi and other karst areas in Southwest china,and also for alleviating poverty in the rural areas in the future.

关键词： Rocky land desertification karstmountain area rural poverty driving force Guangxi Southwest china

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Changes in hair arsenic concentration in a population exposed to heavy pollution:Follow-up investigation in Chenzhou City,Hunan Province,Southern china

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Journal of Environmental sciences 2010年第2期22卷 283-289页

作者： Bin Wu,Tongbin Chen Center for Environmental Remediation,institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research,chinese academy of {2.,beijing 100101,china. [a] Center for Environmental Remediation Institute of Geographic Sciences natural resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100101 China

Follow-up investigation on hair arsenic concentration was conducted in an arsenic heavily polluted area of southern china in 2.02.and 2.06. The results showed that the geometric mean of hair arsenic concentration decreased from 2.95 mg/kg in 2.02.to 1.78 mg/kg in 2.06, when the percentage of the population with levels over 1 mg/kg only decreased from 93.4% in 2.02.to 80.5% in 2.06. Over this four-year period, the population with high arsenic concentrations decreased significantly while there was no obvious change in hair arsenic concentration for people who had relatively low concentrations. In terms of age distribution, young and old people had higher hair arsenic concentrations than the middle-aged. All of these results showed that it is difficult to reverse the negative impact of arsenic pollution on human health. Arsenic pollution has a long-term continuous influence on the health of local residents.

关键词： arsenic human health soil contamination hair arsenic

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CH_4 uptake flux of Leymus chinensis steppe during rapid growth season in Inner Mongolia,china

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science china Earth {2. 2010年第7期53卷 977-983页

作者： GENG YuanBo1, LUO GuangQiang1,2.& YUAN GuoFu1 1 institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100101, china 2.Graduate University of chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100049, china 1. institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100101 China2. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China

The influence of near ground atmosphere CH4 concentration, soil water content, soil Eh, plants, soil temperature, and pH on CH4 uptake flux of Leymus chinensis steppe during rapid growth season was studied using field in-situ measurement in Xilin River basin of Inner Mongolia, china. The results showed that CH4 uptake flux was positively correlated with near ground atmosphere CH4 concentration and soil Eh but negatively correlated with soil water content. Precipitation may decrease the CH4 flux by increasing the soil water content. The average fluxes of three treatments during the observation period were 1.52.(natural conditions, 1.51 (aboveground plants were excluded), and 2.00 mg m?2.d?1 (all plants were removed), respectively. The difference between the CH4 flux of natural condition treatment and that of removing aboveground plants treatment is small, whereas the flux of removing all plants treatment is larger than the other two treatments. This means that the contribution of aboveground plants to CH4 uptake flux is smaller than that of roots or roots-removing process. CH4 uptake flux is not sensitive to soil temperature and the narrow-ranged soil pH (6.36–7.86). The Leymus chinensis steppe acts as a sink for CH4, and thus more studies should be focused on its affecting factors and related mechanisms.

关键词： CH4 uptake flux Leymus chinensis steppe affecting factors static opaque chamber/gas chromatography method

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Thresholds of geographic environmental elements in sediment yield of drainage basins

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science china Earth {2. 2005年第2期48卷 230-240页

作者： CHEN Hao, ZHOU Jinxing, CAI Qiangguo, LU Zhongchen & LI Zhongyan institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100101, china institute of Forestry science, chinese academy of Forestry science, beijing 100091, china Research Center for Eco-Environment {2., chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100085, china Computing institute of science and Engineering, North china Electric Power University, beijing 102.06, china 1. institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences 100101 Beijing China 2. institute of Forestry science Chinese Academy of Forestry Science 100091 Beijing China 3. Research Center for Eco-Environment sciences Chinese Academy of Sciences 100085 Beijing China 4. Computing institute of science and Engineering North China Electric Power University 102206 Beijing China

Threshold of environmental elements in drainage basin sediment yield refers to, under effect of climate, underlying surface and human activity, a turning point of abrupt changes in drainage sediment yield related to environmental element characteristics. Previous studies on threshold of sediment yield of relevant drainage basins were mainly concentrated on impact of natural zones with a few researches on impact of other environmental elements. Particularly studies on compound environmental element threshold in drainage basin sediment yield remain blank today. Studies indicate that sediment yield in drainage basins is affected by compound interactions and complex actions. Based on single element analysis, the present paper gives quantitatively compound threshold of environmental elements affecting sediment yield of the drainage basin between Hekouzhen and Tongguan in the middle Yellow River by the method of multi-variant, polynomial formula regression analysis.

关键词： middle Yellow River, environmental element, sediment, sediment delivery mudule, threshold.

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Calculating soil moisture by remote sensing and analyzing hydrologic cycle process in the Yellow River basin

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science china(Technological {2.) 2004年第z1期47卷 1-13页

作者： YANG Shengtian1 & LIU Changming1, 2.1. School of Environmental sciences, beijing Normal University, beijing 100875, china 2. institute of geographic science and natural resources Research, beijing 100101, china beijing Normal Univ Sch Environm Sci Beijing 100875 Peoples R China Inst Geog Sci & Nat resources Beijing 100101 Peoples R China

Based on the AVHRR pathfinder remote sensing data, soil moisture, precipitation and evaporation during the period of 1982.1998, soil moisture of all layers of soil-profile (0—1 m) in the Yellow River basin over the 17 years are calculated by the remote sensing model of calculating soil water. The Yellow River basin is divided into seven subcatchments as control sections at the location of six hydrologic stations (Lanzhou, Toudaoguai, Longmen, Sanmenxia, Huayuankou and Lijin). After calculating soil moisture and obtaining runoff data and precipitation data, the dynamical features of hydrological cycle in the Yellow River basin are analyzed for the period from 1982.to 1988 using water balance method. The conclusions are as follows: It is feasible to calculate the soil water on the macro-scale, in the soil profile with temporal continuity by means of remote sensing and survey in land. Some values of the key water cycle factors in the Yellow River are obtained, which include the annual precipitation of 4000 km3, the evapotranspiration of 3000-3500 km3, and the soil moisture transformation of ?500- 500 km3. Consequently, we analyzed the process of the water cycle in the Yellow River over the 17 years, and the results show that the segment upstream of Lanzhou city is a relatively humid region, and the area of internal waters and the reaches of Shanshan is the most desiccated region. Therefore, the runoff in the depth process is intensive and the runoff-generating process is weak in more arid regions.

关键词： the Yellow River, soil moisture, remote sensing, hydrologic cycle.

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Trend of urban system structure under the restriction of water and land resources in Xinjiang

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chinese science Bulletin 2006年第A01期51卷 179-188页

作者： ZHANG Xiaolei & LEIJun Xinjiang institute of Ecology and Geography, chinese academy of sciences, Urumqi 830011,{2. institute of geographical science and natural resources Research, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100101,{2. Graduate School, chinese academy of sciences, {12. 100039,{2. chinese Acad Sci Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog Urumqi 830011 Peoples R China chinese Acad Sci Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res Beijing 100101 Peoples R China chinese Acad Sci Grad Sch Beijing 100039 Peoples R China

根据在 Xinjiang 影响城市的开发和城市的系统结构的水和陆地资源上的研究，这篇论文分析利用地位和城市的水资源的缺乏。城市的水资源的消费和浪费在一个增加趋势，这被考虑。然而，在 Xinjiang 的大多数城市和镇在水资源的缺乏水资源... 详细信息

根据在 Xinjiang 影响城市的开发和城市的系统结构的水和陆地资源上的研究，这篇论文分析利用地位和城市的水资源的缺乏。城市的水资源的消费和浪费在一个增加趋势，这被考虑。然而，在 Xinjiang 的大多数城市和镇在水资源的缺乏水资源的废物是严肃的，特别在小镇上。megapolis 和中等城市的发展被有限陆地资源显然限制。尽管有扩展小城市和镇的相对大的空格，水和陆地资源的输出好处是低的。为了完成城市的系统的顺序的扩大，在 Xinjiang 组织，在都市化的快速的发展拿一个圆和三条带和节俭资源的策略的城市的空间发展模式被建议。

关键词：城镇体系结构水资源土地资源供水能力新疆

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Reconstruction of temperature series in china for the last 5000 years

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Progress in natural science:Materials International 2006年第8期16卷 838-845页

作者： GE Quansheng, WANG Shunbing and ZHENG Jingyun (institute of geographical {2. and natural resources Research, chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100101, china Graduate School of the chinese academy of sciences, beijing 100039, china) [a]chinese academy of {2. Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research Beijing China [b]Graduate School of the chinese academy of sciences Beijing China

A temperature series with a 100 year resolution for the last 5000 years in china has been reconstructed by using 31 longterm temperature proxy series selected from recent publications in the last 2. years. The proxy records include pollens, stalagmites, lake-sediments, peat, ice cores and historical documents. The result reveals that in the millennial scale temperature variation it was warm in 3050-2.0 BC and it was cold in 2.0 BC-1950 AD. In the above two periods there were many stages of sub-scale temperature fluctuations. The result also shows an obvious temperature discrepancy on the century to multi-century scale between the Eastern Monsoon Region, the Qinghai-Tibet Region and the Northwestern Region in 2.50 BC, 2.50 BC, 1350 BC, 950-350 BC, 50-2.0 AD, and 550 AD. A comparison between the reconstructed series of this paper and some North Hemisphere temperature series indicates that in the longterm scale change, the temperature change in china is in phrase with that of the Northern Hemisphere during the last 5000 years, while on the century to multi-century scale there are differences at the beginning and end times, which may imply that temperature change does not occur simultaneously in different regions.

关键词： temperature series the last 5000 years china.

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STUDY ON DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY OF SHIPPING CENTERS AND TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS IN THE YELLOW SEA RIM

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chinese geographical {2. 2003年第2期13卷 97-103页

作者： JIN Feng-jun (institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research, chinese Acad emy of {2., beijing 100101, P.R. china) institute of geographic {2. and natural resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100101 P. R. China

It is very important to establish cooperative mechanism to guarantee allmembers to develop their e-conomies in the Yellow Sea Rim. In this paper, the development strategiesof shipping centers and transportation network are discussed based on economic globalizationtendency. The results argue that a united transportation network should be built in order to promotethe economic competition of Northeast Asia in the world. As a key component of the economiccooperation, a hierarchical shipping centers network should be established with Hong Kong, Shanghai,Pusan, Kobe, and Tokyo as cores. The authorities of china, Japan, R. 0. Korea and D. P. R. Koreashould make more efforts to build a set of cooperation institutions based on raising thetransportation efficiency.

关键词： the yellow sea rim shipping center transportation network hub-and-spoke system

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