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A tentative study for the prediction of the CME related geomagnetic storm intensity and its transit time

Science china(Technological sciences) 2005年第6期48卷 648-668页

作者： ZHAO Xinhua1,2.& FENG Xueshang1,3 1. SIGMA Weather Group, Key Laboratory of Space Weather, Center for Space Science and Applied Re-search, chinese academy of {2., beijing 100080, china 2. graduate school of the chinese academy of {2., beijing 100039, china 3. school of Geophysics and Geoinformation Systems, china University of Geo{2., beijing 100083, china 1. SIGMA Weather Group Key Laboratory of Space Weather Center for Space Science and Applied Research Chinese Academy of Sciences 100080 Beijing China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences 100039 Beijing China 3. school of Geophysics and Geoinformation Systems China University of Geosciences 100083 Beijing China

Using 80 CME-ICME events during 1997.1―2.02.9, based on the eruptive source locations of CMEs and solar magnetic field observation at the photosphere, a current sheet magnetic coordinate (CMC) system is established in order to study the propagation of CME and its geoeffectiveness. In context of this coordinate system, the effect of the eruptive source location and the form of heliospheric current sheet (HCS) at the eruptive time of CME on the geomagnetic storm intensity caused by CME and the CME’s transit time at the Earth is investigated in detail. Our preliminary conclusions are: 1) The geomagnetic disturbances caused by CMEs tend to have the so-called “same side-opposite side effect”, i.e. CMEs erupt from the same side of the HCS as the earth would be more likely to arrive at the earth and the geomagnetic disturbances associated with them tend to be of larger magnitude, while CMEs erupting from the opposite side would arrive at the earth with less probability and the corresponding geomagnetic disturbance magnitudes would be relatively weaker. 2. The angular separation between the earth and the HCS affect the corresponding disturbance intensity. That is, when our earth is located near the HCS, adverse space weather events occur most probably. 3) The erupting location of the CME and its nearby form of HCS will also affect its arrival time at the earth. According to these conclusions, in this context of CMC coordinate we arrive at new prediction method for estimating the geomagnetic storm intensity (Dstmin) caused by CMEs and their transit times. The application of the empirical model for 80 CME-ICME events shows that the relative error of Dst is within 30% for 59% events with Dstmin≤?50 nT, while the averaged absolute error of transit time is lower than 10 h for all events.

关键词： coronal mass ejections, current sheet magnetic coordinate system, geomagnetic storm intensity, transit time, prediction method.

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Integrated precise orbit determination of Shenzhou IV unmanned spacecraft

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Science china(Technological sciences) 2004年第5期47卷 518-525页

作者： L Congmin1,2. GU Yidong3, LIN Baojun3 & GUO Jiong3 1. Center for Space Science and Applied Research, chinese academy of {2., beijing 100080, china 2. graduate school of the chinese academy of {2., beijing 100039, china 3. General Establishment of Space Science and Application, chinese academy of {2., beijing 100080, china Correspondence should be addressed to L Congmin 1. Center for Space Science and Applied Research Chinese Academy of Sciences 100080 Beijing China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences 100039 Beijing China 3. General Establishment of Space Science and Application Chinese Academy of Sciences 100080 Beijing China

Considering the characteristic orbit of Shenzhou IV spacecraft and the advantages and disadvantages of several types of domestic orbit measurements, a scheme of IPOD is determined, which uses GPS, SLR and USB observation data jointly plus precise ionosphere corrections to GPS observation data. IPOD system and mathematic models of OD are introduced. The results of different joint OD are analyzed using true observation data, and show that radial accuracy is better than 2.m.

关键词： Shenzhou IV unmanned spacecraft integrated precise orbit determination GPS SLR USB.

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Kinetics and reaction mechanism of phenol hydroxylation catalyzed by La-Cu_4FeAlCO_3

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Science china Chemistry 2005年第6期48卷 530-537页

作者： CHEN Chunxia1,2. XU Chenghua1, FENG Liangrong1, SUO Jishuan1 & QIU Fali1 1. Chengdu Institute of Organic Chemistry, chinese academy of {2., Chengdu 610041, china 2. graduate school of the chinese academy of {2., beijing 100039, china 1. Chengdu Institute of Organic Chemistry Chinese Academy of Sciences 610041 Chengdu China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences 100039 Beijing China

The present work synthesizes La-Cu4FeAlCO3 catalyst under microwave irradiation and characterizes its structure using XRD and IR techniques. The results show that the obtained La-Cu4FeAlCO3 has a hydrotalcite structure. In the phenol hydroxylation with H2.2.catalyzed by La-Cu4FeAlCO3, the effects of reaction time and phenol/H2.2.molar ratio on the phenol hy-droxylation, and relationships between the initial hydroxylation rate with concentration of the catalyst, phenol, H2.2.and reaction temperature are also investigated in details. It is shown the phenol conversion can reach 50.09% (mol percent) in the phenol hydroxylation catalyzed by La-Cu4FeAlCO3, under the reaction conditions of the molar ratio of phenol/H2.2.1/2. the amount ratio of phenol/catalyst 2., reaction temperature 343 K, reaction time 12. min, 10 mL distilled water as solvent. Moreover, a kinetic equation of v = k[La ? Cu 4 FeAlCO 3 ][C 6 H 5 OH][H 2.O 2.. and the activation energy of Ea=58.37 kJ/mol are obtained according to the kinetic studies. Due to the fact that the HO-Cu+-OH species are detected in La-Cu4FeAlCO3/H2.2.system by XPS, the new mechanism about the generation of hydroxyl free radicals in the phenol hydroxylation is pro-posed, which is supposed that HO-Cu+-OH species are transition state in this reaction.

关键词： rare earth, hydrotalcite, microwave irradiation, phenol hydroxylation, kinetics, reaction mechanism.

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Characteristics of chlorine isotope distribution and analysis on sylvinite deposit formation based on ancient salt rock in the western Tarim Basin

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Science china Earth sciences 2005年第11期48卷 1913-1920页

作者： TAN Hongbing1,2. MA Haizhou1, XIAO Yingkai1, WEI Haizhen1,2. ZHANG Xiying1 & MA Wandong1 1. Institute of Salt Lakes, chinese academy of {2., Xining 810008, china 2. graduate school of the chinese academy of {2., beijing 100039, china 1. Institute of Salt Lakes Chinese Academy of Sciences 810008 Xining China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences 100039 Beijing China

During formation of the Tarim Basin, there repetitively happened seawater invasion for it was ever connected with wide Paleo-mediterranean Sea. At the same time, for the applica-tion of tectonic and paleoenvironmental condition, the basin deposits many sequences of thick strata of evaporites, especially in its two largest subbasins of Kuqa in the north and Shaqa in the southwest. Therefore, the western Tarim Basin has been considered to be a favorable location to prospect ancient sylvinite deposit. But it is unfortunate that the Br×103/Cl ratio, as a common geochemical index to uncover clues of sylvinite deposit, is almost invalid to indicate the stage of ancient brine condensation for very low content of bromine in salt rock samples (less than 10?6 commonly) in the western Tarim Basin evaporites. Fortunately, we noticed recently that the val-ues of chlorine isotope (δ 37Cl value) for salt rock samples follow some clear laws from place to place, which in the Shaqa subbasin, all δ 37Cl values of salt rock samples behaved negatively and on the contrary, they all surprisingly showed positive values in the Kuqa subbasin. Based on conclusions of previous research and referring to the ratios of Br×103/Cl for salt rock or brine samples, we proved that the chlorine isotope (δ 37Cl) could be used as an effective index to find ancient sylvinite deposit in those evaporites rock basin with low content of Br element back-ground, such as the Tarim Basin. Thus according to the new index of chlorine isotope, we con-clude that the concentration of ancient brines formed ancient salt rocks is much more concen-trated in the Shaqa subbasin than that in the Kuqa subbasin. Particularly, the δ 37Cl value of salt rock in Kashi depression of the western Shaqa subbasin is greatly negative (

关键词： the Tarim Basin, chlorine isotope, ancient salt rock, ancient sylvinite deposit, deposit stage

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Isotopic feature and uranium dating of the volcanic rocks in the Okinawa Trough

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中国科学：地球科学英文版 2006年第4期49卷 375-383页

作者： HUANG Peng1,2. LI Anchun1, HU Ningjing2.3, FU Yongtao1& MA Zhibang4 1. Institute of Oceanology, chinese academy of {2., Qingdao 2.6071, china 2. graduate school of the chinese academy of {2., beijing 100039, china 3. Institute of Soil Science, chinese academy of {2., Nanjing 2.0008, china 4. Institute of Geology and Geophysics, chinese academy of {2., beijing 10002., china 1. Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences Qingdao 266071 China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences Beijing 100039 China 3. Institute of Soil Science Chinese Academy of Sciences Nanjing 210008 China 4. Institute of Geology and Geophysics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

Volcanic rocks from the northern and middle Okinawa Trough were dated by ura- nium-series dating method. Differential fractions using magnetic procedure were designed to separate samples. New report on the ages and isotopic data of rocks in the northern trough (especially black pumice) was discussed. Based on the uranium dates and Sr-Nd isotopic ratio, magmatic evolution process of the Okinawa Trough was noted. Firstly, there have been wide silicic volcanic activities in the Okinawa Trough from late Pleistocene to present, and the volcanic rocks can be divided into three subgroups. Secondly, magma generally came from PREMA source area under the Okinawa Trough. Magmatic evolution in the northern trough was similar to the middle, but different to the south. Finally, volcanic activities indicated that opening of the southern Okinawa Trough did not happen due to the collision between Luson Arc and Eurasian Plate until the early Pleistocene.

关键词： Okinawa Trough, black pumice, uranium-series dating, Sr-Nd isotopic ratio, magmatic evolution.

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Temporal-spatial variations of euphotic depth of typical lake regions in Lake Taihu and its ecological environmental significance

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Science china Earth sciences 2006年第4期49卷 431-442页

作者： ZHANG Yunlin1, 2. QIN Boqiang1, HU Weiping1, WANG Sumin1, CHEN Yuwei1 & CHEN Weimin1 1. Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology, chinese academy of {2., Nanjing 2.0008, china 2. graduate school of the chinese academy of {2., beijing 100039, china 1. Nanjing Institute of Geography & Limnology Chinese Academy of Sciences Nanjing 210008 China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences Beijing 100039 China

By using the data of underwater irradiance measured in the different lakeregions of Lake Taihu during 1998—2.04 and total suspended solids (TSS), wind speeds of the total13 stations in typical lake regions during 1993—2.03, this paper analyzes the factors ofinfluencing on PAR (pho-tosynthetically available radiation) attenuation, euphotic depth, andpresents the temporal and spatial variations of euphotic depth of typical lake regions in LakeTaihu, and the spectral distributions of euphotic depth at station 2. The results show that theconcentration of TSS is the most important factor impacting PAR attenuation, followed by chlorophylla; chromophoric dissolved organic matter (CDOM) has little impact on the PAR euphotic depth. During1993—2.03, the mean yearly PAR euphotic depths of the typical lake regions ranged from 1.04 to1.95 m with a mean value of 1.35±0.2. m. The PAR euphotic depth fell into 3 spatial zone types:Type Ⅰ, the lowest, including the lake center and the inflows of rivers; Type Ⅱ, intermediate,including Meiliang Bay, Wulihu Lake and Gonghu Bay; Type Ⅲ, the greatest, including the East LakeTaihu; corresponding mean depths were approximately 1.1, 1.4, 2.0 m, respectively. The seasonalvariations of euphotic depths were not quite the same in different lake regions. In the lake center,the mean values of PAR euphotic depth in summer and autumn were significantly greater than those inwinter and spring; in the Meiliang Bay, winter means were significantly greater than in the otherthree seasons; in the East Lake Taihu, winter means were significantly less than in the other threeseasons. However, no distinct seasonal change was recorded in the Wulihu Lake, Gonghu Bay and theinflows of rivers. The spectral distributions of euphotic depth present a minimal value at the bluelight wave band of 400 nm, and a peak at the green light wave band of around 580 nm. In 1998 and1999, based on the seasonal many-day continuous measurements, the PAR euphotic depths at station 2.

关键词： lake taihu euphotic depth diffuse attenuation coefficient total suspendedsolid ecological

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Spatial heterogeneity of the driving forces of cropland change in china

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Science china Earth sciences 2005年第12期48卷 2231-2240页

作者： LIU Xuhua1,2. WANG Jinfeng1, LIU Mingliang4,1 & MENG Bin1,2.3 1. Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research, chinese {2. of sciences, beijing 100101, china 2. graduate school of the chinese {2. of sciences, beijing 100039, china 3. College of Arts and sciences of beijing Union University, beijing 100083, china 4. school of Forestry and Wildlife sciences, Auburn University, Auburn, Alabama, AL36849, USA 1. Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences 100101 Beijing China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences 100039 Beijing China 3. school of Forestry and Wildlife sciences Auburn University Auburn AL36849 Alabama USA 4. College of Arts and sciences of beijing Union University 100083 Beijing China

By using digital satellite remote sensing data acquired in 1987―1989 and 1999―2.00 and GIS combined with the natural and socio-economic data, this paper drew an integrated zonation of the cropland change and its driving forces in china. The results indicated that the cropland change in the study period was constrained by geographical factors and driven by cli-mate change as well as socio-economic system. Moreover, the regional differences of the drivers for cropland change were significant. In the midwest of china, natural condition changes and geographical background were the main constraints and drivers, while in Eastern china, social and economic changes and economic policies were the main driving forces. The cropland loss was nationwide. The dominant factors to cause this decrease included buildup of developing area to attract foreign capital and technologies, changes of industry structure due to urban in-fluence, the change of employment notions thanks to living standard improvement, rapid ur-banization due to the expansion of cities and towns, the diminished farming net income partly because of the global warming effects, and the rapid economic growth stimulated by the con-venient transportation system. These factors interact and interdepend with each other to cause the cropland loss in china recently. The reasons for the increase of cropland were primarily the cultivation and deforestation by the farmers who want to increase income. This study on the mechnism of LUCC relied on the cropland change integrated classification considering the natural or human factors both inside and outside the region, which provides a new approach to study the integrated regionalization and LUCC mechanism.

关键词： land use change, driving force, integrated classification, spatial statistics, cropland, china.

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Sequence analysis of mRNA polyadenylation signals of rice genes

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chinese Science Bulletin 2006年第9期51卷 1069-1077页

作者： LU Ying1, 2. GAO Chenxi1,2.3 & HAN Bin1,3,41. National Center for Gene Research, Shanghai Institutes for Biological sciences, chinese {2. of sciences, Shanghai 2.02.3, china 2. graduate school of the chinese {2. of sciences, beijing 100039, china 3. Institute of Plant Physiology and Ecology, Shanghai Institutes for Biological sciences, chinese {2. of sciences, Shanghai 2.0032. china National Center for Gene Research Shanghai Institutes for Biological Sciences Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai 200233 China graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences Beijing 100039 China Institute of Plant Physiology and Ecology Shanghai Institutes for Biological Sciences Chinese Academy of Sciences Shanghai 200032 China

The formation of eukaryotic mRNAs involves the cleavage and polyadenylation of pre- mRNAs. To investigate the sequence requirement of putative polyadenylation signals (PASs), poly(A) sites and downstream elements (DUEs) in 3′-end-pro- cessing in rice, we compared expressed sequences tags (ESTs) with poly(A) extremity to full-length cDNA sequences and constructed a database of 12.69 pre- mRNA sequences in ?40―+40 nt surrounding the poly(A) sites, which were from 9953 genes. The al- ternative poly(A) sites were revealed in approxi- mately 2.% of mRNAs. Nearly 80% of pre-mRNAs showed stringent requirement of the YA (CA or UA) at poly (A) sites for polyadenylation. About 7.9% had the AAUAAA signals on ?40―?1 nt upstream of the poly(A) sites. Over 60% of mRNAs probably used the one- or two-base variants of AAUAAA hexamers as their PASs in 3′ fragments. The single-base variants of AAUGAA revealed the high frequency in 11.5% of 3′ fragments. The DUEs were detected in 90% of pre- mRNAs, especially more than half of the pre-mRNAs with multi-base variants of AAUAAA had the DUEs surrounding the poly(A) site. The location of DUE is also important for defining the cleavage site. Al- though most of the rice pre-mRNAs did not contain AAUAAA signal, the existence of downstream ele- ments ensured the efficiency of cleavage-polyade-

关键词：多聚腺苷酸序列分析 mRNA 水稻基因工程

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Land cover changes based on plant successions: Deforestation, rehabilitation and degeneration of forest in the upper Dadu River watershed

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Science china Earth sciences 2005年第12期48卷 2214-2230页

作者： YAN Jianzhong1,2.3, ZHANG Yili1, BAI Wanqi1, LIU Yanhua4, BAO Weikai5, LIU Linshan1, 2.& ZHENG Du1 1. Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research, chinese {2. of sciences, beijing 100101, china 2. graduate school of the chinese {2. of sciences, beijing 100039, china 3. College of Resources and Environment, Southwest Agricultural University, Chongqing 400716, china 4. The Ministry of Science and Technology, P. C. china, beijing 100862. china 5. Chengdu Institute of Biology, chinese {2. of sciences, Chengdu 610041, china 1. Institute of Geographic sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences 100101 Beijing China 2. graduate school of the {2. academy of sciences 100039 Beijing China 3. College of Resources and Environment Southwest Agricultural University 400716 Chongqing China 4. The Ministry of Science and Technology P. C. China 100862 Beijing China 5. Chengdu Institute of Biology Chinese Academy of Sciences 610041 Chengdu China

To link regional land use/cover changes with environmental effects, land cover changes are required to reflect vegetation successions, whereas the land cover classification systems commonly used nowadays cannot serve this purpose. In this paper, a new land cover classification system is established in which land covers are classified by the vegetation succes-sions, taking Zamtang County, Barkam County and Jinchuan County in the upper Dadu River watershed as a study area. Using multi-temporal remote sensing images, the land cover data of 1967, 1986 and 2.00 are obtained by means of integration of unsupervised classification and visual interpretation methods. The database facilitates the study of land use/cover changes, en-vironmental effects and ecological construction. Land cover changes reflect the main ecological processes in the upper Dadu River watershed. The landscape composed mainly of grasslands, wildwoods and alpine scrubs in 1967 was changed to that of grasslands, secondary forests, al-pine scrubs, fragmentary wildwoods, artificial forests, secondary scrubs in 2.00, meanwhile, the landscape got more fragmentized. The total area of the forests decreased by 9.43%. Study results have shown the process of restoration of logged areas in forest centers. From 1967 to 2.00, only 6.86 percents of logged areas were converted to shrubs, meadows or crop-lands, and the rest were converted into artificial forests or secondary forests. So the ecological shelter functions will be restored, stage by stage. Firewood collection, charcoal production and overgrazing are the three major triggers for the extensive degradation of alpine oak forests, Sa-bina tibetica forests and meadows. The arid valley grasslands expanded too. The degradation of vegetation in the southern slopes impairs ecological shelter functions and affects livelihood of local residents, so it is essential to find effective measures for ecological restoration and recon-struction. Field investigations have found

关键词： land use/cover classification, upper Dadu River watershed, vegetation successions, GIS, RS.

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Prediction method for October 2.03 solar storm

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Science china(Technological sciences) 2006年第5期49卷 629-640页

作者： XIE Yanqiong1, 2. 3, WEI Fengsi1, FENG Xueshang1 & ZHONG Dingkun1, 2.1. State Key Laboratory of Space Weather, Center for Space Science and Applied Research, chinese academy of {2., beijing 100080, china 2. graduate school, chinese academy of {2., beijing 100039, china 3. Institute of Meteorology, PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 2.1101, china State Key Laboratory of Space Weather Center for Space Science Applied Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100080 China graduate school Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100039 China Institute of Meteorology PLA University of Science Technology Nanjing 211101 China

Aiming at two intense shock events on October 2. and 2., 2.03, this paper presents a two-step method, which combines synoptic analysis of space weather ——“observing” and quantitative prediction ——“palpating”, and then uses it to test predictions. In the first step of “observing”, on the basis of observations of the solar source surface magnetic field, interplanetary scintillation (IPS) and ACE spacecraft, we find that the propagation of the shocks is asymmetric relative to the normal direction of their solar sources, and the Earth is located near the direction of the fastest speed and the greatest energy of the shocks. As the two fast ejection shock events, the fast explosion of coronal mass of the extremely high temperature, the strong magnetic field, and the high speed background solar wind are also helpful to their rapid propagation. In the second step of “palpating”, we adopt a new membership function of the fast shock events for the ISF method. The predicted results show that for the onset time of the geomagnetic disturbance, the relative errors between the observational and the predicted results are 1.8% and 6.7%; and for the magnetic disturbance magnitude, the relative errors are 4.1% and 3.1%, re- spectively. Furthermore, the comparison among the predicted results of our two-step method with those of five other prevailing methods shows that the two-step method is advantageous. The results tell us that understanding the physical features of shock propagation thoroughly is of great importance in improving the prediction precision.

关键词： solar storm, interplanetary shock, interplanetary scintillation, two-step method, ISF method.

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