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Annual precipitation fields secular variation over global land areas for 1948—2.00

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Chinese Science Bulletin 2003年第3期48卷 281-286页

作者： SHI Neng & CHEN Luweng Department of Atmospheric Sciences, nanjing institute of {2., nanjing 2.0044, china Department of Atmospheric Sciences Nanjing Institute of Meteorology Nanjing 210044 China

The secular variation over the global land an-nual precipitation (GLAP) fields for 1948—2.00 is investi-gated. Evidence suggests that the GLAP abruptly reduced around 1978 and experienced a decrease of 0.54 mm/a, on average. Fuzzy clustering is used to group the annual pre-cipitation over commonly-used 36 latitudes belts into six belts for examining its secular variation. The results show that, except northern high-latitudes (60°—90°N) where it is slightly increased, the precipitation is decreased, especially in 35°N—35°S, and the diminution is the maximum of 0.98 mm/a at tropics. Moreover, identification of 1948—2.00 flood/drought years on a global basis is made, showing no-ticeable interdecadal variations. During the years of warm (cold) events the precipitation decreases (increases) by 15.4 mm (14.4 mm) per year, on average. It can be assumed that global warming and frequent ENSO occurrences from the end of the 1970s maybe serve as the root cause of the dimi-nution.

关键词：全球降水长期变化年降水 ENSO 陆地 1948-2.00年

Estimation of annual actual evapotranspiration from nonsaturated land surfaces with conventional meteorological data

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Science china Earth Sciences 2004年第3期47卷 239-246页

作者： QIU Xinfa1, ZENG Yan2. MIAO Qilong1 & YU Qiang2.1. Department of Geography, nanjing institute of {2., nanjing 2.0044, china 2. institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, china Department of Geography Nanjing Institute of Meteorology Nanjing 210044 China Inst. of Geogr. Sci./Nat. Rsrc. Res. Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100101 China

Views diverge greatly on the relationship between actual evapotranspiration (AE) and potential evapotranspiration (PE). Penman showed that AE is determined in intensity by PE and changes proportionally as a function of PE. In contrast, Bouchet indicated that AE deter-mines PE and varies inversely with PE. Based on nearly 30 years data from 432.weather stations and 512.hydrological stations in china, the two different theories, Penman抯 assumption and Bouchet抯 complementary relationship between AE and PE, were tested on nine river basins. With data integration technique, the complementary relationship between AE and PE was dis-played entirely. A general model to estimate the actual evapotranspiration from nonsaturated surfaces by routine meteorological observations has been established on the basis of thorough analysis of the concept of PE. The results show that the calculations are all in error control of <10%, except for a few years over the Yellow River Basin.

关键词： complementary relationship of evapotranspiration, potential evapotranspiration, actual evapotranspiration.

On critical values concerning the evolution of the long period families

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Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astrophysics 2009年第4期9卷 494-500页

作者： Xi-Yun Hou1,2. Astronomy Department, nanjing University, nanjing 2.0093,{2. 2.institute of Space Environment and Astronautics, nanjing University, nanjing 2.0093,{2. Astronomy Department Nanjing University Nanjing 210093 China institute of Space Environment and Astronautics Nanjing University Nanjing 210093 China

In a previous paper, we proposed another special critical value concerning the evolution of the long period family around the equilateral equilibrium points, besides the two values given by Henrard. Are there any other special critical values？ After studying the stability curves of the long period family carefully, we gave a negative answer. During the study, we found an interesting family of periodic orbits which we called the homo family. We studied the evolution of this family following the increase of μ. With these findings, we were able to explain the origin of the four branches of periodic families emanating from L4 and the stability results of the equilateral equilibrium points.

关键词： celestial mechanics

A new sequential learning algorithm for RBF neural networks

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Science china(Technological Sciences) 2004年第4期47卷 447-460页

作者： YANG Ge1, LV Jianhong1 & LIU Zhiyuan2.1. Department of Power Engineering, Southeast University, nanjing 2.0096, china 2. Department of Power Engineering, nanjing institute of Technology, nanjing 2.0013, china Department of Power Engineering Southeast University Nanjing China Department of Power Engineering Nanjing Institute of Technology Nanjing China

Due to their inherent imperfections, it is hard to use the static neural networks for nonlinear time-varying process modeling and prediction, and the minimal resource allocation network (MRAN) is difficult to be realized for its too many regulation parameters. A new sequential learning algorithm for radial basis function (RBF) neural networks based on local projection named Local Projection Network (LPN) is proposed in this paper. The results of validation for several benchmark problems with the new algorithm show that the presented LPN not only has the same level as M-RAN in network size and precision of the outputs, but also has fewer regulation parameters and is more predictable.

关键词： radial basis functions, local projection network, minimal resource allocation network, learning algorithm.

Numerical simulation of Meiyu front and the diagnosis of moist vorticity vector

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2007年第11期17卷 1341-1347页

作者： Ping Fan1,2.and Luo Zhexian2.1. institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 10002., china 2. {2. University of Information Sciences & Technology, nanjing 2.0044, china) institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Acad. of Sci. Beijing 100029 China nanjing University of Information Sciences and Technology Nanjing 210044 China

Moist vorticity vector is introduced to study the development and evolution of mesoscale convective vortex (MCV) in the Meiyu front precipitation with the Advanced Regional Predication System (ARPS). In this study, the heavy rainfall is simulated to investigate the genesis, development and dissipation of middle scale convective vortex, which occurred from 0000 UTC 3 July to 12.0 UTC 5 July over the Jianghuai River valley. Moist vorticity vector (MVV) has zonal, radial and vertical components in its 3D spatial distribution. The simulation shows that the vertical component of moist vorticity vector well demonstrates the spatial distribution characteristics of middle scale convective vortex, especially in the process of Meiyu front precipitation. Diagnosis upon zonal, radial averaged and mass-integrated quantities of MVV shows that its vertical component and the surface precipitating ratio are in phase with a correlation coefficient of 0.68, indicating that the vertical component of MVV is closely associated with the Meiyu front precipitation. In addition, the tendency of the vertical component of MVV is mainly determined by the interaction between the vorticity and the zonal and radial gradient of condensational or depositional heating.

关键词： moist vorticity vector mesoscale convective vortex Meiyu front precipitation

EXPLICIT SIMULATION ON THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE WINNIE (1997)

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Journal of Hydrodynamics 2006年第6期18卷 736-741页

作者： ZHONG Zhong ZHANG Jirl-shan institute of meteorology PLA University of Science and Technology Nanjing 211101 China nanjing Hydraulic Research institute Nanjing 210029 China

An explicit simulation of the tropical cyclone Winnie （1997） was conducted by use of a triply-nested 3-D nonhydrostatic mesoscale model MM5, before and after its landfall. The simulated results show that the model can well reproduce the track of Winnie （1997） with a BOGUS storm-like vortex inserted in the large-scale first-guess field at the initial model time. The mean track error in a 6 h interval is 54.5 km, which is much less than that obtained with the operational prediction. Comparisons between simulation and observation near the landfall place show that the main temporal variation features of sea level pressure and surface wind speed can also be successfully captured. The characteristics of the eyewall, the spiral cloud band and the corresponding precipitation were disclosed, and the applications of the model outputs were also discussed.

关键词： tropical cyclone simulation track intensity,eyewall spiral cloud band storm surge

Trace element geochemistry of the Lower Cambrian black rock series from northwestern Hunan, South china

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2004年第1期14卷 65-71页

作者： PAN Jiayong 1,2. *, MA Dongsheng 1 and CAO Shuanglin 1,2. (1.The State Key Laboratory for Mineral Deposits Research, nanjing University, nanjing 2.0093,{2. 2. East{2. institute of Technology, Fuzhou 344000,{2.) nanjing Univ State Key Lab Mineral Deposit Res Nanjing 210093 Peoples R China E china Inst Technol Fuzhou 344000 Peoples R China

Samples of black rock series collected from the Lower Cambrian Niutitang Formation, northwestern Hunan Province, china, were analyzed for trace elements. The trace element geochemical characteristics of the ore layer (high enrichments of Ni, Mo, V, U, Cu, Pb, Zn, Cd, Tl and Ba; high U/Th ratios and LREE enriched patterns with positive Eu and Y anomalies) support the assumption that the Ni Mo polymetallic layer is of submarine hydrothermal origin. High field strength elements (HFSE) and lithophile elements such as Nb, Ta, Zr, Hf, Li, Be, Rb, Cs, Th and Sc are remarkably higher in the upper unit than those in the lower unit of the Niutitang Formation. These features may reflect that hydrothermal contributions were diminished, and terrigenous constituents were increased in the sediments of the upper unit of the Niutitang Formation.

关键词： black rock series Early Cambrian trace elements northwestern Hunan china

Influence of interannual variability of Antarctic oscillation on mei-yu along the Yangtze and Huaihe River valley and its importance to prediction

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Chinese Science Bulletin 2003年第S2期48卷 61-67页

作者： GAO Hui~(1,2., XUE Feng~1 WANG Huijun~1 1. institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 10002., china 2. Department of Atmospheric Sciences, {2. institute of meteorology, nanjing 2.0044. china Chinese Acad Sci Inst Atmospher Phys Beijing 100029 Peoples R China nanjing Inst Meteorol Dept Atmospher Sci Nanjing 210044 Peoples R China

Both correlation analysis and case study indi-cate that Antarctic oscillation (AAO) is closely related withsummer rainfall in eastern china. When AAO is stronger inboreal spring, especially in May, there is more mei-yu rain-fall in summer with a longer period along the Yangtze andHuaihe River valley. In contrast, there is less rainfall with ashorter period corresponding to a weaker AAO. Besides, ananomalous AAO changes the position and intensity of severalcirculation systems, which are important to summer rainfallalong the Yangtze and Huaihe River valley. Furthermore, theAntarctic sea ice is negatively correlated with the intensity ofAAO with a 6-month leading time. The result in this studyprovides a new method for the prediction of mei-yu.

关键词： Antarctic oscillation interannual variability mei-yu Antarctic sea ice.

Possible effect of climate changes on the coastal zone of the Yangtze River Delta

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Journal of Geographical Sciences 1998年第1期8卷 42-51页

作者： Miao Qilong nanjing institute of {2., nanjing 2.0044, china

A coastal historical evolution of the Yangtze River Delta was discussed in this paper on the basis of the historical data of the coastal zone and an estimation was made for the future change of the coast The emphasis was put on the future climate change that will have influence on the sea wall, coastal navigation and freshwater resources in the Delta It was also pointed out that the global warming and precipitation increase in the Yangtze River Valley may exert more impact on the zone In addition, some measures describing how to adapt to the climate change and reduce its impact were put forward

关键词： climate change greenhouse effect sea surface rising the Yangtze River Delta coastal zone