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Evaluation of a 3dVAR system for the South china Sea

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2008年第5期18卷 547-554页

作者： Xianjun Xiao a,b, Dongxiao Wang a, Changxiang Yan c, Jiang Zhu c a LED, South china Sea Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510301, china b NCC,{2., beijing 100081, china c Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 10002., china LED South China Sea Institute of Oceanology Chinese Academy of Sciences Guangzhou 510301 China NCC China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China

The authors evaluate a three-dimensional variational (3dVAR) system for the South china Sea (SCS) in this study. The assimilation method applied in the system takes into consideration error correlation along each ground track and uses recursive lter for optimiza- tion. Data from three R/V cruises during the spring and summer of 1998 and the summer of 2.00 are used to evaluate the system. The root-mean-square error and bias are reduced signi cantly and when the altimeter data are assimilated, the distribution of the error is much closer to the Gaussian distribution. Precipitation and river discharge in the southwestern SCS are reproduced, and the variability of sea surface height is e ciently transferred to the subsurface. The 3dVAR system performs well for each of the three cruises, suggesting that it is steady for routine usage.

关键词： South china Sea Three-dimensional variational data assimilation Recursive lter

Numerical simulation of topography effects on the “00.7” severe rainfall in beijing

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2005年第9期15卷 818-826页

作者： ZHANG Chaolin1**, JI Chongping1, KUO Yinghwa2. FAN Shuiyong1, XUAN Chunyi3 and CHEN Min1(1. Institute of Urban Meteorology, china meteorological administration, beijing 100089,{2. 2. Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80307-3000, USA 3. beijing meteorological Bureau, beijing 100089,{2.) Institute of Urban Meteorology China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100089 China Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology Division National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO 80307-3000 United States beijing meteorological Bureau Beijing 100089 China

In an effort to study the severe rainfall event of 4—5th July 2.00 in beijing (with 2.h accumulated precipitation of 2.0 mm), we perform numerical simulations to investigate this event using the MM5v3.6 model. The model is initialized with the MM5/WRF 3DVAR analysis, which incorporates the ground-based GPS precipitable water vapor, automatic and conventional meteorological observations in its assimilation step. For 2. h accumulated precipitation forecast, the threat scores are 0.72. 0.76, 0.67 and 0.63, for thresholds of 1, 5, 10, and 2. mm, respectively. Holding other factors unchanged, sensitivity experiments were conducted with different topographic resolutions of 110, 50 and 3.7 km to investigate the topographic effects on precipitation over the beijing area. In these sensitivity experiments, we attempt to preserve the realistic orographic distribution in the model topography under the condition of keeping the dynamic-thermodynamic consistency of the initial model atmosphere to the extent possible. Results indicate that the unique topographic distribution and variations in the beijing area play an important role in determining the location, distribution and intensity of heavy precipitation.

关键词： topography heavy rainfall 3DVAR ground-based GPS numerical simulation.

Dynamic mechanisms of the post-seismic deformation following large events:Case study of the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake in Taiwan of china

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Science china Earth Sciences 2009年第11期52卷 1813-1824页

作者： ZHU ShouBiao1,2.& CAI YongEn2.1 Institute of Crustal Dynamics, china Earthquake administration, {2. 100085, china 2.Department of Geophysics, Peking University, {2. 100871, china Institute of Crustal Dynamics China Earthquake Administration Beijing China Department of Geophysics Peking University Beijing China

The mechanism of postseismic deformation related to strong earthquakes is important in geodynamics, and presumably afterslip or viscoelastic relaxation is responsible for the postsesimic deformation. The 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan of china, earthquake occurred in the region where GPS observation station is most densely deployed in the world. The unprecedented GPS data provides a unique opportunity to study the physical processes of postseismic deformation. Here we assume that the interactions of viscoelastic relaxation, afterslip, fault zone collapse, poroelastic rebound, flow of underground fluids, and all these combined contribute to the surface displacements following the main shock. In order to know the essence of the postseismic deformation after the strong event, fault zone collapse, poroelastic rebound, flow of underground fluids, and so on, are represented equivalently by the variations of the focal medium properties. Therefore, the viscoelastic relaxation, afterslip, and the variations of the equivalent focal medium properties are inverted by applying the GPS temporal series measurement data with viscoelastic finite element method. Both the afterslip rate distribution along the fault and the afterslip evolution with time are obtained by means of inversion. Also, the preliminary result suggests that viscosities of the lower crust and the upper mantle in Taiwan region is 2.7×1018 and 4.2.102. Pa·s, respectively. Moreover, the inversion results indicate that the afterslip contributing to postseismic deformation of 44.6% in 450 days after the Chi-Chi earthquake, with 34.7% caused by the viscous relaxation and 2..7% by other factors such as fault zone collapse, poroelastic rebound, and the flow of liquids.

关键词： mechanism of postseismic deformation viscoelastic finite element method GPS temporal series data Chi-Chi earthquake

Detection of nighttime sea fog/stratus over the Huang-hai Sea using MTSAT-1R IR data

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Acta Oceanologica Sinica 2009年第2期28卷 23-35页

作者： GAO Shanhong WU Wei ZHU Leilei FU Gang HUANG Bin Physical Oceanography laboratory Ocean University of China Qingdao 266003 China Shandong Provincial meteorological Institute Jinan 250031 China National meteorological Center China Meteorological Administration Beijing 100081 China

A dual channel difference （DCD） method is applied to detect nighttime sea fog/stratus over the Huanghai Sea using the infrared （IR） data of shortwave （3.5-4.0 μm） and longwave （10.3-11.3 μm） channels from the Multi-functional Transport Satellite （MTSAT）-IR, i.e., shortwave minus longwave brightness temperature difference （SLTD）. Twenty-four sea fog events over the Huanghai Sea during March to July of 2.06 and 2.07 are chosen to determine a suitable value of SLTD for nighttime sea fog/stratus detection, and it is found that the value of-5.5-2.5℃ can be taken as a criterion. Two case examples of sea fog events are especially demonstrated in detail utilizing the criterion, and the results show that the derived sea fog/stratus coverage is quite reasonable. This coverage information is very helpful to analyze the formation and evolution of sea fog/stratus during night and can provide sea fog researchers with observational evidences for model results verification. However, more efforts are needed to further obtain vertical extent information of sea fog/stratus and attempt to discriminate between sea fog and stratus.

关键词： Huanghai Sea nighttime sea fog MTSAT-1R dual channel difference method

Absolute radiometric calibration of CBERS-02.IRMSS thermal band

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Science china(Technological Sciences) 2005年第S2期48卷 72-90页

作者： ZHANG Yong1,2.3, GU Xingfa1,3,4, YU Tao1,3, ZHANG Yuxiang5, CHEN Liangfu1,3, LI Xiaoying1,2.3, LI Xiaowen1,3 & HE Liming6 1. State Key laboratory of Remote Sensing Science, Jointly Sponsored by the Institute of Remote Sensing Applications of Chinese Academy of Sciences and beijing Normal University, beijing 100101, china 2. Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 100039, china 3. The Center for National Spaceborne Demonstration, beijing 100101, china 4. Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, Climat Sol Environnement, 84914 Avignon, France 5. National Satellite meteorological Center, beijing 100081, china 6. State Environmental Protection administration, beijing 10002., china State Key laboratory of Remote Sensing Science Beijing Normal University Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100101 China Graduate University Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100039 China Center for National Spaceborne Demonstration Beijing 100101 China National Satellite meteorological Center Beijing 100081 China Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique Climat Sol Environnement 84914 Avignon France State Environmental Protection administration Beijing 100029 China

Based on the laboratory calibration before launch of CBERS-02.IRMSS thermal infrared channel, the onboard blackbody calibration, the radiometric cross- calibration against TERRA MODIS corresponding channel and the in-flight field calibration at Lake Qinghai: water surface radiometric calibration test site of china on Aug. 17, 2.04 are carried out in this research. When making onboard blackbody calibration of CBERS-02.IRMSS, it is necessary to understand inside structures and light path in IRMSS camera and receive and process calibration blackbody signals at normal and high temperatures. Onboard blackbody calibration results of each detector are very important to relative radiometric calibration of images processing and absolute radiometric calibration of each detector. In-flight field calibration mainly contains field experiments, obtaining synchronous images, spectrum marching and MODTRAN radiative transmi- ssion computation. Radiometric cross-calibration of CBERS-02.IRMSS thermal band against TERRA MODIS selected 6 times synchronous images of two sensors passing through Lake Qinghai and Lake Taihu from August to December, 2.04 to compute the cross calibration data. Combining the in-flight field calibration and radiometric cross calibration data, the absolute radiometric calibration coefficients are calculated by the linear regression method. This new calibration model can obviously control the radiometric calibration uncertainties aroused by the single point method used in the in-flight calibration of CBERS-02.IRMSS, this kind of sensors cannot receive the cosmic background radiation. In this research, the radiometric calibration coefficients obtained through the linear regression model are 8.53 (gain, unit: DN/W m?2.r?1μm?1) and 44.92.(offset, unit: DN).

关键词： CBERS-02 IRMSS thermal band in-flight field calibration onboard blackbody calibration cross calibration.

Regional soil moisture simulation for Shaanxi Province using SWAT model validation and trend analysis

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Science china Earth Sciences 2010年第4期53卷 575-590页

作者： LI MingXing1,2.MA ZhuGuo1 & DU JiWen3 1 Key laboratory of Regional climate-Environment Research for Temperate East Asia,Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,{2. 10002.,china 2.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,{2. 100049,china 3 Shaanxi administration of Meteorology,Xi’an 710014,china Key laboratory of Regional climate-Environment Research for Temperate East Asia Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China Shaanxi administration of Meteorology Xi’an China

The soil moisture in Shaanxi Province,a region with complex topography,is simulated using the distributed hydrological model Soil Water Assessment Tool(SWAT).Comparison and contrast of modeled and observed soil moisture show that the SWAT model can reasonably simulate the long-term trend in soil moisture and the spatiotemporal variability of soil moisture in the *** to NCEP/NCAR and ERA40 reanalysis of soil moisture show that the trend of variability in soil moisture simulated by SWAT is more consistent with the *** model results suggested that high soil moisture in surface soil layers appears in the southern Shaanxi with high vegetation cover,and the Qinling mountainous region with frequent orographic *** deeper soil layers,high soil moisture appears in the river basins and *** regional soil moisture showed a generally decreasing trend on all soil layers from 1951 to 2.04,with a stronger and significant decreasing trend in deeper soil layers,especially in the northern parts of the province.

关键词： SWAT soil moisture content simulation validation trend analysis

Influence of atmospheric heat sources over the Tibetan Plateau and the tropical western North Pacific on the inter-decadal variations of the stratosphere-troposphere exchange of water vapor

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Science china Earth Sciences 2008年第8期51卷 1179-1193页

作者： ZHAN RuiFen1,2.LI JianPing2.1Shanghai Typhoon Institute of china meteorological administration,Shanghai 2.0030,china 2.tate Key {2. of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics(LASG),Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences,beijing 10002.,china Shanghai Typhoon Institute of china meteorological administration Shanghai China State Key laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG) Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

This study investigates the Stratosphere-Troposphere Exchange(STE) of water vapor,emphasizes its interdecadal variations over Asia in boreal summer,and discusses the influences of atmospheric heat sources over the Tibetan Plateau and the tropical western North Pacific(WNP) on them by using the Wei method with reanalysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF) for the years of *** climatology shows that the upward transport of water vapor across the tropopause in boreal summer is the most robust over the joining area of the South Asian Peninsula and Indian-Pacific Oceans(defined as AIPO).The upward transport over there can persistently convey the abundant water vapor into the stratosphere and then influence the distribution and variation of the stratospheric water *** analysis shows that interdecadal variations of the water vapor exchange over the AIPO are significant,and its abrupt change occurred in the mid-1970s and the early *** these three periods,as important channels of the water vapor exchange,the effect of Bay of Bengal-East Asia as well as South china Sea was gradually weakening,while the role of the WNP becomes more and more *** studies show that atmospheric heat sources over the Tibetan Plateau and the WNP are two main factors in determining the interdecadal variations of water vapor *** thermal influences over the Tibetan Plateau and the WNP have been greatly adjusted over the pass 44 *** synthesis influences the interdecadal variations of the water vapor exchange by changing the Asian summer monsoon,but their roles vary with time and *** after 1992.the influence of heat source over the Tibetan Plateau remarkably weakens,while the heat source over the WNP dominates the across-tropopause water vapor *** have important implications for understanding the transport of other components in the atmosphere and estimating the impact of human activities(

关键词： Tibetan Plateau tropical western North Pacific atmospheric heat source STE inter-decadal variations

climate change tendency and grassland vegetation response during the growth season in Three-River Source Region

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Science china Earth Sciences 2010年第10期53卷 1506-1512页

作者： QIAN Shuan1,FU Yang2.& PAN FeiFei3 1 National meteorological Center,beijing {2.,china 2.Qinghai meteorological Research Institute,Xining 810001,china 3 Department of Geography,University of North Texas,Denton,TX 762.3,USA National meteorological Center Beijing China Qinghai meteorological Research Institute Xining China Department of Geography University of North Texas Denton USA

climate change,climate suitablity change for grassland vegetation,and grassland response to climate change during the growth season are studied systematically by using meteorological data of temperature,precipitation,and length of sunlight from 1961 to 2.07,NOAA/AVHRR NDVI from 1982.to 2.06,and observations of grass height,biomass,and coverage in enclosed grassland from 1994 to *** models are developed to evaluate climate change and the climatic suitability of grassland vegetation *** temperature,accumulative precipitation,and length of sunlight during the growth season increased from 1961 to 2.07 at rates of 0.2.°C/10 yr,2.32.mm/10 yr,and 2.81 h/10 yr,*** increase rates of ave-rage temperature between April and May,and between June and August are 0.17 and 0.30°C/10 yr;accumulative rainfall between April and May increased at a rate of 2.80 mm/10 yr,and accumulative rainfall between June and August decreased at a rate of 0.38 mm/10 yr;the increase rates of accumulative length of sunlight between April and May,and between June and August are 2.15 and 1.2.h/10 *** climatic suitability of grassland vegetation growth showed an increasing trend,and the increase rate between April and May is greater than that between June and *** NDVI observations from 1982.to 2.06 and measurements of grass height,dry biomass,and coverage from 1994 to 2.06 show that the climate change has resulted in an increase in plant productivity of the grassland in Three-River Source *** some protection measures are taken as soon as possible,the deteriorated grassland in Three-River Source Region can recover.

关键词： climate change climate suitability change grassland vegetation Three-River Source Region

umerical tests of efficiency of the retrospective time integration scheme in the self-memory model

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Progress in Natural Science:Materials International 2004年第9期 89-92页

作者： GU Xiangqian 1*, YOU Xingtian 2. ZHU He 2.and CAO Hongxing 1(1. Chinese Academy of meteorological Sciences, beijing 100081,{2. 2. Training Center of china meteorological administration, beijing 100081,{2.)

A set of numerical tests was carried out to compare the retrospective time integral scheme in a self memory model, whose dynamic kernel is the barotropical quasi geostrophic model, with the ordinary centered difference scheme in the barotropical quasi geostrophic model. The Rossby Haurwitz wave function was taken as the initial fields for both schemes. The results show that in comparison with the ordinary centered difference scheme, the retrospective time integral scheme reduces by 2.orders of magnitude the forecast error, and the forecast error increases very little with lengthening of the time step. Therefore, the retrospective time integral scheme has advantages of improving the forecast accuracy, extending the predictable duration and reducing the computation amount.

关键词： numerical tests self-memory model retrospective time integral scheme.