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Fault prediction model based on evidential reasoning approach

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Science china(Information Sciences) 2010年第10期53卷 2032-2046页

作者： SI XiaoSheng 1,2., HU ChangHua 1 & ZHOU ZhiJie 1,2.1 Unit 302. Xi’an Institute of Hi-Tech, Shaanxi, Xi’an 71002., china 2.department of Automation, Tsinghua University,{2., china 1. Unit 302 Xi’an Institute of Hi-Tech Shaanxi Xi’an 710025 China2. Department of Automation Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China

In order to deal with fault prediction problems that involve both quantitative and qualitative in-formation for nonlinear complex system, a new fault prediction model is established based on the evidential reasoning (ER) approach, and an optimal learning algorithm for training ER-based prediction model is pre-sented based on the mean square error (MSE) criterion. This prediction model inherits the advantages of ER approach, which can deal with precise data, incomplete data and fuzzy data with nonlinear characteristic. In this model, the input signals transformed using rule based information transformation technique, are aggregated by analytical ER approach, and then the outputs of prediction model are constructed according to the types of system outputs. In addition, two fault decision criteria are defined to conduct fault identification. To overcome the difficulty in determining model parameters accurately and subjectively, a nonlinear optimization model is constructed and the optimal parameters are obtained. Two experimental studies are conducted to evaluate the performance of the proposed model. The results show that the established prediction model and the presented parameters optimization methods can deal with fault prediction problem effectively.

关键词： fault prediction evidential reasoning belief distribution nonlinear optimization

Analysis of the observation of particle detector inside ‘CBERS-1’ satellite under solar quiet conditions

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Science china(Technological Sciences) 2006年第3期49卷 342-357页

作者： ZOU Hong1, XIAO Zuo1, HAO Yongqiang1, ZOU Jiqing1, ZHU Wenming2. WU Zhongxiang2.& XIANG Hongwen2.1. department of Geophysics, Peking University, beijing 100871,{2. 2. Chinese Academy of Space Technology, beijing 100086,{2. department of Geophysics Peking University Beijing 100871 China Chinese Academy of Space Technology Beijing 100086 China

Based on the knowledge and related theory of earth’s radiation belt, the data of energetic particles observed by detectors onboard ‘CBERS-1’ satellite at a solar syn- chronous orbit were analyzed. It is proved that the observational results are in agreement with the theoretical description of the radiation belt structures. Analysis of more than 3 years’ data showed clearly that under quiet solar conditions, at a height of about 800 km the energetic particles were mainly located in three regions: northern auroral belt (40°― 80°), southern auroral belt (?40°― ?80°) and South Atlantic Geomagnetic Anomaly Re- gion (SAA). Actually, this is for the global distribution, at each longitude the latitudinal coverage is much narrower and particles are along the geomagnetic latitude of about ±60°. The species of particles in different regions and their counting rates are different. In SAA, usually both electrons and protons are observed, which should come from inner radiation belt; in polar regions only energetic electrons are observed under the quiet condition, which belongs to the outer radiation belt. The distribution of outer radiation electrons is asymmetrical for longitudes as well as northern and southern polar regions. These asymmetries can be explained with the reflecting altitudes of the mirror points of charged particles at the same L shell.

关键词： radiation-belts, energetic-particle, drift-shell, mirror-point.

Mathematical stencil and its application in finite difference approximation to the Poisson equation

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Science china Mathematics 2005年第10期48卷 1421-1429页

作者： FENG Hui~1 ZHANG Baolin~(1,2. & LIU Yang~1 1. department of Mathematics,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072.china 2. Laboratory of Computational Physics,Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics,{2. 100088. china 1. department of Mathematics Wuhan University 430072 Wuhan China 2. Laboratory of Computational Physics Institute of Applied Physics and Computational Mathematics 100088 Beijing China

The concept of mathematical stencil and the strategy of stencil elimination for solving the finite difference equation is presented, and then a new type of the iteration algorithm is established for the Poisson equation. The new algorithm has not only the obvious property of parallelism, but also faster convergence rate than that of the classical Jacobi iteration. Numerical experiments show that the time for the new algorithm is less than that of Jacobi and Gauss-Seidel methods to obtain the same precision, and the computational velocity increases obviously when the new iterative method, instead of Jacobi method, is applied to polish operation in multi-grid method, furthermore, the polynomial acceleration method is still applicable to the new iterative method.

关键词： mathematical stencil, stencil elimination, Poisson equation, finite difference, iterative algorithm,parallelism.

Synthesis,field emission and microwave absorption of carbon nanotubes filled with ferromagnetic nanowires

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Science china(Technological Sciences) 2010年第6期53卷 1453-1459页

作者： LV RuiTao1,KANG FeiYu1,GU JiaLin1,WANG KunLin2.& WU DeHai2.1 Laboratory of Advanced Materials,department of Materials Science and Engineering,Tsinghua University,beijing {2.,china 2.department of Mechanical Engineering,Tsinghua University,beijing {2.,china 1. Laboratory of Advanced Materials Department of Materials Science and Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China2. Department of Mechanical Engineering Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China

Carbon nanotubes filled with ferromagnetic metal nanowires (M-CNTs) were synthesized by using chlorine-contained benzene (***) as *** wall thicknesses of M-CNTs synthesized by trichlorobenzene are much thinner than those by precursor without Cl (***).As-synthesized thin-walled M-CNTs exhibit remarkably enhanced field electron emission performance with a low turn-on field of 0.3 V/μm and better field-emission ***-absorption coatings were made by dispersing as-synthesized M-CNTs into epoxy resin *** is found that the reflection losses in S-band (2.4 GHz),C-band (4-8 GHz) and X-band (8-12.GHz) are enhanced in the order of FeCoNi-CNTs 2.35 kg/m2.when the coating thickness is 2.0 *** demonstrates that M-CNTs are promising to be used as lightweight and wide-band microwave absorbers.

关键词： carbon nanotubes ferromagnetic nanowires field emission microwave absorption

Reduced analysis and confirmatory research on co-adaptability theoretical solution to conflicting events in construction engineering projects

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Science china(Technological Sciences) 2010年第2期53卷 480-485页

作者： HOU XueLiang1 , LU Mei2.& WANG Kai3 1 School of Business Administration, North china Electric Power University, beijing 102.06, china 2.department of Construction Management, Tsinghua University, beijing 100084, china 3 College of Management, beijing Jiaotong University, beijing 100084, china 1. School of Business Administration North China Electric Power University Beijing 102206 China2. Department of Construction Management Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China3. College of Management Beijing Jiaotong University Beijing 100084 China

The co-adaptability theoretical solution to conflicting events in construction engineering projects has three problems. First, the transformation of constraint conditions of theoretical solution is very difficult in practical engineering applications; second, some coefficients are difficult to be determined; third, there are overfull circular arithmetic operations involved in it. To resolve these problems, a new method to reduce the theoretical solution complications is proposed. By analyzing the operating mechanism of theoretical solution model, redundancies in the theoretical solution can be eliminated, and the ISM mapping with the co-adaptability solution can be set up. Based on this approach, a procedure to solve practical conflicting events in construction projects is established by replacing characteristic variables with mathematic variables. The research results show that the procedure can replace the co-adaptability theoretical solution effectively and solve practical conflicting events in construction projects.

关键词： construction project conflict theoretical solution reduced analysis ISM confirmatory research

Self-healing routing: failure,modeling and analysis

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Science china(Information Sciences) 2011年第3期54卷 609-622页

作者： XU MingWei 1,2., LI Qi 1,2., YANG Yuan 1,2., HOU MeiJia 1,2.& PAN LingTao 1,2.1 department of Computer Science, Tsinghua University, beijing 100084,{2. 2.Tsinghua National Laboratory for Information Science and Technology (TNList), beijing 100084,{2. 1. department of Computer Science Tsinghua University Beijing 100084 China2. Tsinghua National Laboratory for Information Science and Technology (TNList) Beijing 100084 China

Network failures occur frequently, and self-healing ability of existing routing protocols cannot guarantee fast route convergence under these failures without impacting packet forwarding. During routing convergence, network routes may be incorrect and even routing black holes and loops occur, which will result in extensive packet loss and thus influence network performance. To solve this problem, several improved routing solutions have been proposed. In this paper, we propose the concept and model of self-healing routing and analyze the key problems in current intra-domain and inter-domain self-healing routing protocols after briefly reviewing the characteristics of network failures. We classify the different self-healing solutions into two categories based on their design principles: routing restoration and routing protection, and systematically analyze these different typical solutions. Finally, we discuss several key issues in self-healing routing and propose a hybrid protection and restoration based routing scheme.

关键词： failure intra-domain routing inter-domain routing self-healing routing

Non-isothermal Melt Crystallization Kinetics of Anhydrite-Filled Polypropylene Composites

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Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science) 2010年第1期25卷 12-19页

作者：王少会 department of chemistry and Chemical Engineering East China JiaoTong University

The non-isothermal crystallization kinetics of polypropylene （PP）, PP/anhydrite composites were investigated by differential scanning calorimetry （DSC） with various cooling rates. The Avrami analysis modified by Jeziorny and a method developed by Mo were employed to describe the non-isothermal crystallization process of these samples. The difference in the exponent n between PP and PP/anhydrite composites indicated that non-isothermal kinetic crystallization corresponded to tri-dimensional growth with heterogeneous nucleation. The values of half-time, Zc and F（T） showed that the crystallization rate increased with the increasing of cooling rates for PP and PP/anhydrite composites, but the crystallization rate of PP/anhydrite composites was faster than that of PP at a given cooling rate. The method developed by Ozawa did not describe the non-isothermal crystallization process of PP very well. Moreover, the method proposed by Kissinger was used to evaluate the activation energy of the mentioned samples. The result showed that the activation energy of PP/anhydrite was greatly larger than that of PP.

关键词： polypropylene anhydrite composites non-isothermal crystallization kinetics

Interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation and its influence on East Asian climate during boreal winter and spring

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Science china Earth Sciences 2006年第5期49卷 554-560页

作者： FAN Ke1,2.3 & WANG Huijun2.1. Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 10002., china 2. {2. of Atmospheric Science, Yunnan University, Kunming 650091, china 3. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 100049, china 1. Nansen-Zhu International Research Center Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100029 China 2. department of Atmospheric Science Yunnan University Kunming 650091 China 3. Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100049 China

The interannual variability of Antarctic Oscillation (AAO) and its influence on East Asian climate during both boreal winter and spring are addressed. The results show that the positive AAO anomaly decreases the cold activity over East Asia during both boreal winter and spring. AAO-related barotropic meridional teleconnection from Antarctic to Arctic is found through analysis of mean me- ridional circulations. This meridional teleconnection is remarkable over Eurasia during boreal winter and over the Pacific Ocean during boreal spring. The results also show that zonal mean zonal wind at high latitudes in Southern Hemisphere has well positive correlation with that of Eurasia during boreal winter and has negative correlation with Pacific North American teleconnection (PNA) during boreal spring, which again display the meridional teleconnection. Thus, local meridional teleconnection is a possible linkage for interaction of circulations at mid-high latitudes between both hemispheres.

关键词： Antarctic Oscillation, Eurasian west wind, meridional teleconnection, mean meridional circulation.

Preparation and characterization of a novel adsorbent for removing lipophilic organic from water

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Science china chemistry 2005年第6期48卷 600-604页

作者： LIU Huijuan1, DAI Ruihua1, QU Jiuhui1 & RU Jia1,2.1. State Key Laboratory of Environmental Aquatic chemistry, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 100085,{2. 2. Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, beijing 100039,{2. 1. State Key Laboratory of Environmental Aquatic chemistry Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences Chinese Academy of Sciences 100085 Beijing China 2. Graduate School of the Chinese Academy of Sciences 100039 Beijing China

A novel composite adsorbent containing a kind of lipid-triolein is studied. The ad-sorbent is prepared by embedding triolein into cellulose acetate (CA) sphere. The preparation method, the physical-chemical properties of the adsorbent and the removal efficiency of two or-ganochlorinated pesticides are studied. The adsorbent is stable in water and no triolein leaks into water for 465 h soaking. The adsorbent has high adsorption capacity for organochlorinated pes-ticides such as dieldrin and aldrin. The results suggest that triolein-containing adsorbent could serve as a good adsorbent for lipophilic organic pollutants. The adsorption rate for lipophilic pol-lutants is very fast and has relation with the logKow of the compounds.

关键词： triolein, cellulose acetate, adsorbent, lipophilic organic, drinking water.